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Showing papers by "Anushka Patel published in 2019"


Journal ArticleDOI
Stephen Kaptoge, Lisa Pennells1, Dirk De Bacquer1, Marie Therese Cooney, Maryam Kavousi, Gretchen A Stevens, Leanne M. Riley, Stefan Savin, Taskeen Khan, Servet Altay, Philippe Amouyel, Gerd Assmann, Steven Bell, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, Lisa F. Berkman, Joline W.J. Beulens, Cecilia Björkelund, Michael J. Blaha, Dan G. Blazer, Thomas Bolton, Ruth Bonita Beaglehole, Hermann Brenner, Eric J. Brunner, Edoardo Casiglia, Parinya Chamnan, Yeun Hyang Choi, Rajiv Chowdry, Sean Coady, Carlos J. Crespo, Mary Cushman, Gilles R. Dagenais, Ralph B. D'Agostino, Makoto Daimon, Karina W. Davidson, Gunnar Engström, Ian Ford, John Gallacher, Ron T. Gansevoort, Thomas A. Gaziano, Simona Giampaoli, Greg Grandits, Sameline Grimsgaard, Diederick E. Grobbee, Vilmundur Gudnason, Qi Guo, Hanna Tolonen, Steve E. Humphries, Hiroyasu Iso, J. Wouter Jukema, Jussi Kauhanen, Andre Pascal Kengne, Davood Khalili, Wolfgang Koenig, Daan Kromhout, Harlan M. Krumholz, Tai Hing Lam, Gail A. Laughlin, Alejandro Marín Ibañez, Tom W. Meade, Karel G.M. Moons, Paul J. Nietert, Toshiharu Ninomiya, Børge G. Nordestgaard, Christopher J. O'Donnell, Luigi Palmieri1, Anushka Patel, Pablo Perel, Jackie F. Price, Rui Providência, Paul M. Ridker, Beatriz L. Rodriguez, Annika Rosengren, Ronan Roussel, Masaru Sakurai, Veikko Salomaa, Shinichi Sato, Ben Schöttker, Nawar Shara, Jonathan E. Shaw, Hee Choon Shin, Leon A. Simons, Eleni Sofianopoulou, Johan Sundström, Henry Völzke, Robert B. Wallace, Nicholas J. Wareham, Peter Willeit, Darien Wood, Angela M. Wood, Dong Zhao, Mark Woodward2, Goodarz Danaei, Gregory A. Roth, Shanthi Mendis, Oyere K Onuma, Cherian Varghese, Majid Ezzati, Ian D. Graham, Rod Jackson, John Danesh, Emanuele Di Angelantonio 
TL;DR: The derivation, validation, and illustration of the revised WHO cardiovascular disease risk prediction charts that have been adapted to the circumstances of 21 global regions are reported.

445 citations



Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Turning the inverted pyramid of the health care system is essential in the ongoing battle against CV disease in China.

89 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
30 Apr 2019-PLOS ONE
TL;DR: High cardiovascular risk is common among Indonesian adults aged ≥40 years, and rates of preventive treatment are low, suggesting population-based and clinical approaches to preventing CVD should be a priority in both urban and rural areas.
Abstract: Background The brunt of cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden globally now resides within low- and middle-income countries, including Indonesia. However, little is known regarding cardiovascular health in Indonesia. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of elevated CVD risk in a specific region of Indonesia. Methods We conducted full household screening for cardiovascular risk factors among adults aged 40 years and older in 8 villages in Malang District, East Java Province, Indonesia, in 2016-2017. 10-year cardiovascular risk scores were calculated based on the World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension's region-specific charts that use age, sex, blood pressure, diabetes status and smoking behaviour. Results Among 22,093 participants, 6,455 (29.2%) had high cardiovascular risk, defined as the presence of coronary heart disease, stroke or other atherosclerotic disease; estimated 10-year CVD risk of ≥ 30%; or estimated 10-year CVD risk between 10% to 29% combined with a systolic blood pressure of > 140 mmHg. The prevalence of high CVD risk was greater in urban (31.6%, CI 30.7-32.5%) than in semi-urban (28.7%, CI 27.3-30.1%) and rural areas (26.2%, CI 25.2-27.2%). Only 11% and 1% of all the respondents with high CVD risk were on blood pressure lowering and statins treatment, respectively. Conclusions High cardiovascular risk is common among Indonesian adults aged ≥40 years, and rates of preventive treatment are low. Population-based and clinical approaches to preventing CVD should be a priority in both urban and rural areas.

61 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Compared with standard-dose monotherapy, initiating treatment with low-to-standard dose dual combination therapy is more efficacious without increasing withdrawals due to adverse events.
Abstract: Objective:To assess the efficacy and tolerability of dual combination of blood pressure (BP)-lowering drugs as initial treatment for hypertension.Methods:MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL were searched until August 2017 for randomized, double-blind trials of dual combination therapy vs. monotherapy in adults

53 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Early use of triple therapy can significantly improve hypertension control, and addition of a third drug is likely to be more efficacious without increasing adverse events, compared with increasing dose of existing dual therapy.
Abstract: Background and objectives:Most patients with hypertension need at least two drugs to achieve goal blood pressure. This systematic review assessed efficacy and safety of triple versus dual combination therapy for the management of hypertension.Methods:Publication databases, clinical trial registries

42 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is found that a multifaceted mobile technology-supported primary health care intervention was associated with greater use of preventive CVD medication and lower BP levels among high-risk individuals in a rural Indonesian population.
Abstract: Importance Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading cause of disease burden in Indonesia. Implementation of effective interventions for CVD prevention is limited. Objective To evaluate whether a mobile technology–supported primary health care intervention, compared with usual care, would improve the use of preventive drug treatment among people in rural Indonesia with a high risk of CVD. Design, Setting, and Participants A quasi-experimental study involving 6579 high-risk individuals in 4 intervention and 4 control villages in Malang district, Indonesia, was conducted between August 16, 2016, and March 31, 2018. Median duration of follow-up was 12.2 months. Residents 40 years or older were invited to participate. Those with high estimated 10-year risk of CVD risk (previously diagnosed CVD, systolic blood pressure [BP] >160 mm Hg or diastolic BP >100 mm Hg, 10-year estimated CVD risk of 30% or more, or 10-year estimated CVD risk of 20%-29% and a systolic BP >140 mm Hg) were followed up. Interventions A multifaceted mobile technology–supported intervention facilitating community-based CVD risk screening with referral, tailored clinical decision support for drug prescription, and patient follow-up. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was the proportion of individuals taking appropriate preventive CVD medications, defined as at least 1 BP-lowering drug and a statin for all high-risk individuals, and an antiplatelet drug for those with prior diagnosed CVD. Secondary outcomes included mean change in BP from baseline. Results Among 22 635 adults, 3494 of 11 647 in the intervention villages (30.0%; 2166 women and 1328 men; mean [SD] age, 58.3 [10.9] years) and 3085 of 10 988 in the control villages (28.1%; 1838 women and 1247 men; mean [SD] age, 59.0 [11.5] years) had high estimated risk of CVD. Of these, follow-up was completed in 2632 individuals (75.3%) from intervention villages and 2429 individuals (78.7%) from control villages. At follow-up, 409 high-risk individuals in intervention villages (15.5%) were taking appropriate preventive CVD medications, compared with 25 (1.0%) in control villages (adjusted risk difference, 14.1%; 95% CI, 12.7%-15.6%). This difference was driven by higher use of BP-lowering medication in those in the intervention villages (1495 [56.8%] vs 382 [15.7%]; adjusted risk difference, 39.4%; 95% CI, 37.0%-41.7%). The adjusted mean difference in change in systolic BP from baseline was −8.3 mm Hg (95% CI, −10.1 to −6.6 mm Hg). Conclusions and Relevance This study found that a multifaceted mobile technology–supported primary health care intervention was associated with greater use of preventive CVD medication and lower BP levels among high-risk individuals in a rural Indonesian population.

41 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
01 Jan 2019-Heart
TL;DR: Polypill-based therapy significantly improved the achievement of all three ESC targets for blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and antiplatelet therapy compared with usual care, particularly among those undertreated at baseline.
Abstract: Objective The aim of this study was to determine the effect of polypill-based care on the achievement of 2016 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline targets for blood pressure (BP), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and antiplatelet therapy. Methods We conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis of three randomised clinical trials that compared a strategy using a polypill containing aspirin, statin and antihypertensive therapy with usual care in patients with a prior cardiovascular disease (CVD) event or who were at high risk of their first event. Overall, the trials included 3140 patients from Australia, England, India, Ireland, the Netherlands and New Zealand (75% male, mean age 62 years and 76% with a prior CVD event). The primary outcome for this study was the proportion of people achieving ESC guideline targets for BP, LDL and antiplatelet therapy. Results Those randomised to polypill-based care were more likely than those receiving usual care to achieve recommended targets for BP (62% vs 58%, risk ratio (RR) 1.08, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.15), LDL (39% vs 34%, RR 1.13, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.25) and all three targets for BP, LDL and adherence to antiplatelet therapy (the latter only applicable to those with a prior CVD event) simultaneously (24% vs 19%, RR 1.27, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.47) at 12 months. There was no difference between groups in antiplatelet adherence (96% vs 96%, RR 1.00, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.01). There was heterogeneity by baseline treatment intensity such that treatment effects increased with the fewer the number of treatments being taken at baseline: for patients taking 3, 2 and 0–1 treatment modalities the RRs for reaching all three guideline goals simultaneously were 1.10 (95% CI 0.94 to 1.30, 22% vs 20%), 1.62 (95% CI 1.09 to 2.42, 27% vs 17%) and 3.07 (95% CI 1.77 to 5.33, 35% vs 11%), respectively. Conclusions Polypill-based therapy significantly improved the achievement of all three ESC targets for BP, LDL and antiplatelet therapy compared with usual care, particularly among those undertreated at baseline.

39 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
26 Mar 2019-PLOS ONE
TL;DR: The strategy was well implemented with increased treatment rates among high risk individuals assessed by CHWs, however effects on BP were not demonstrated and unanticipated seasonal variation in BP in the context of a stepped-wedge trial highlights the inherent risks of this study design.
Abstract: Background Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are rising in India resulting in major health system challenges. Methods Eighteen primary health centre (PHC) clusters in rural Andhra Pradesh were randomised over three, 6-month steps to an intervention comprising: (1) household CVD risk assessments by village-based community health workers (CHWs) using a mobile tablet device; (2) electronic referral and clinical decision support for PHC doctors; and (3) a tracking system for follow-up care. Independent data collectors screened people aged ≥ 40 years in 54 villages serviced by the PHCs to create a high CVD risk cohort (based on WHO risk charts and blood pressure thresholds). Randomly selected, independent samples, comprising 15% of this cohort, were reviewed at each 6-month step. The primary outcome was the proportion meeting systolic blood pressure (SBP) targets (<140mmHg). Findings Eight-four percent of the eligible population (n = 62,254) were assessed at baseline (18.4% at high CVD risk). Of those at high risk, 75.3% were followed up over two years. CHWs screened 85.9% of the baseline cohort and doctors followed up 70.0% of all high risk referrals. There was no difference in the proportion of people achieving SBP targets (41.2% vs 39.2%; adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.01 95% CI 0.76–1.35) or receiving BP-lowering medications in the intervention vs control periods respectively. There was a high discordance in risk scores generated by independent data collectors and CHWs, resulting in only 37.2% of the evaluation cohort exposed to the intervention. This discordance was mainly driven by fluctuating BP values (both normal variability and marked seasonal variations). In the pre-specified high risk concordant subgroup, there was greater use of BP-lowering medications in the intervention period (54.3% vs 47.9%, OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.03–1.44) but no impact on BP control. Conclusions The strategy was well implemented with increased treatment rates among high risk individuals assessed by CHWs, however effects on BP were not demonstrated. Use of guideline-recommended BP thresholds for identifying high risk individuals substantially affected the reproducibility of risk assessment, and thus the ability to reliably evaluate the effectiveness of the intervention. In addition, unanticipated seasonal variation in BP in the context of a stepped-wedge trial highlights the inherent risks of this study design. Trial registration Clinical Trials Registry of India CTRI/2013/06/ 003753.

36 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The NASSS framework can be applied retrospectively to generate a rich, contextualised narrative of technology-supported change efforts and the numerous interacting influences that help explain its successes, failures, and unexpected events.
Abstract: Evaluation of health technology programmes should be theoretically informed, interdisciplinary, and generate in-depth explanations. The NASSS (non-adoption, abandonment, scale-up, spread, sustainability) framework was developed to study unfolding technology programmes in real time—and in particular to identify and manage their emergent uncertainties and interdependencies. In this paper, we offer a worked example of how NASSS can also inform ex post (i.e. retrospective) evaluation. We studied the TORPEDO (Treatment of Cardiovascular Risk in Primary Care using Electronic Decision Support) research programme, a multi-faceted computerised quality improvement intervention for cardiovascular disease prevention in Australian general practice. The technology (HealthTracker) had shown promise in a cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT), but its uptake and sustainability in a real-world implementation phase was patchy. To explain this variation, we used NASSS to undertake secondary analysis of the multi-modal TORPEDO dataset (results and process evaluation of the RCT, survey responses, in-depth professional interviews, videotaped consultations) as well as a sample of new, in-depth narrative interviews with TORPEDO researchers. Ex post analysis revealed multiple areas of complexity whose influence and interdependencies helped explain the wide variation in uptake and sustained use of the HealthTracker technology: the nature of cardiovascular risk in different populations, the material properties and functionality of the technology, how value (financial and non-financial) was distributed across stakeholders in the system, clinicians’ experiences and concerns, organisational preconditions and challenges, extra-organisational influences (e.g. policy incentives), and how interactions between all these influences unfolded over time. The NASSS framework can be applied retrospectively to generate a rich, contextualised narrative of technology-supported change efforts and the numerous interacting influences that help explain its successes, failures, and unexpected events. A NASSS-informed ex post analysis can supplement earlier, contemporaneous evaluations to uncover factors that were not apparent or predictable at the time but dynamic and emergent.

28 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Among resource-constrained Chinese hospitals, introducing a multifaceted QCI intervention had no significant effect on in-hospital MACE, although it improved a few of the care process indicators of evidence-based ACS management.
Abstract: Importance: Prior observational studies suggest that quality of care improvement (QCI) initiatives can improve the clinical outcomes of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). To our knowledge, this has never been demonstrated in a well-powered randomized clinical trial. Objective: To determine whether a clinical pathway-based, multifaceted QCI intervention could improve clinical outcomes among patients with ACS in resource-constrained hospitals in China. Design, Setting, Participants: This large, stepped-wedge cluster randomized clinical trial was conducted in nonpercutaneous coronary intervention hospitals across China and included all patients older than 18 years and with a final diagnosis of ACS who were recruited consecutively between October 2011 and December 2014. We excluded patients who died before or within 10 minutes of hospital arrival. We recruited 5768 and 0 eligible patients for the control and intervention groups, respectively, in step 1, 4326 and 1365 in step 2, 3278 and 3059 in step 3, 1419 and 4468 in step 4, and 0 and 5645 in step 5. Interventions: The intervention included establishing a QCI team, training clinical staff, implementing ACS clinical pathways, sequential site performance assessment and feedback, online technical support, and patient education. The usual care was the control that was compared. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the incidence of in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), comprising all-cause mortality, reinfarction/myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke. Secondary outcomes included 16 key performance indicators (KPIs) and the composite score developed from these KPIs. Results: Of 29 346 patients (17 639 men [61%]; mean [SD] age for control, 64.1 [11.6] years; mean [SD] age for intervention, 63.9 [11.7] years) who were recruited from 101 hospitals, 14 809 (50.5%) were in the control period and 14 537 (49.5%) were in the intervention period. There was no significant difference in the incidence of in-hospital MACE between the intervention and control periods after adjusting for cluster and time effects (3.9% vs 4.4%; odds ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.75-1.15; P = .52). The intervention showed a significant improvement in the composite KPI score (mean [SD], 0.69 [0.22] vs 0.61 [0.23]; P < .01) and in 7 individual KPIs, including the early use of antiplatelet therapy and the use of appropriate secondary prevention medicines at discharge. No unexpected adverse events were reported. Conclusions and Relevance: Among resource-constrained Chinese hospitals, introducing a multifaceted QCI intervention had no significant effect on in-hospital MACE, although it improved a few of the care process indicators of evidence-based ACS management. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01398228.


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This study aims to determine whether a resource‐ and culturally appropriate lifestyle intervention programme in South Asian countries, provided to women with gestational diabetes after childbirth, will reduce the incidence of worsening of glycaemic status in a manner that is affordable, acceptable and scalable.
Abstract: Aim This study aims to determine whether a resource- and culturally appropriate lifestyle intervention programme in South Asian countries, provided to women with gestational diabetes (GDM) after childbirth, will reduce the incidence of worsening of glycaemic status in a manner that is affordable, acceptable and scalable. Methods Women with GDM (diagnosed by oral glucose tolerance test using the International Association of the Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups criteria) will be recruited from 16 hospitals in India, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Participants will undergo a repeat oral glucose tolerance test at 6 ± 3 months postpartum and those without Type 2 diabetes, a total sample size of 1414, will be randomly allocated to the intervention or usual care. The intervention will consist of four group sessions, 84 SMS or voice messages and review phone calls over the first year. Participants requiring intensification of the intervention will receive two additional individual sessions over the latter half of the first year. Median follow-up will be 2 years. The primary outcome is the proportion of women with a change in glycaemic category, using the American Diabetes Association criteria: (i) normal glucose tolerance to impaired fasting glucose, or impaired glucose tolerance, or Type 2 diabetes; or (ii) impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance to Type 2 diabetes. Process evaluation will explore barriers and facilitators of implementation of the intervention in each local context, while trial-based and modelled economic evaluations will assess cost-effectiveness. Discussion The study will generate important new evidence about a potential strategy to address the long-term sequelae of GDM, a major and growing problem among women in South Asia. (Clinical Trials Registry of India No: CTRI/2017/06/008744; Sri Lanka Clinical Trials Registry No: SLCTR/2017/001; and ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier No: NCT03305939).


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Making polypills with drugs that are more acceptable and at different available strengths, in conjunction with broader prescriber education and training, may improve their use in a market in which polypill use is very low.
Abstract: Background Polypills, fixed-dose combinations of blood pressure–lowering drug(s), and statin, with or without aspirin, improve the use of these recommended drugs in patients with or at high risk of cardiovascular disease. However, in India, there has been poor uptake of polypills despite market availability. Objectives This study sought to assess availability and cost of polypills and explore barriers and facilitators to their use in the state of Andhra Pradesh in India. Methods A mixed-methods study was conducted. Availability and cost of polypills as well as individual component drugs was assessed through a survey of pharmacies across urban, urban slum, and rural regions in state of Andhra Pradesh in India. In-depth interviews with stakeholders at each level of the health system explored barriers and facilitators to use of polypills. Results Overall, 30 pharmacies were surveyed (10 in each of urban, urban slum, and rural region). In urban region, 2 pharmacies stocked polypills (without aspirin) costing 121 Indian rupees (INR) per 10 pills, and 1 other pharmacy stocked a polypill (with aspirin) costing 24 INR per 10 pills. All pharmacies stocked a wide range of component drugs as separate pills with combined cost of the cheapest angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, statin, and aspirin INR 124 per 10 pills. Patients were willing to use polypills if prescribed by their doctor, and pharmacies were willing to stock polypills if there was market demand. For prescribers, key barriers included perceptions that current polypills contained outdated drugs and inadequate flexibility in prescribing. Conclusions In a market in which polypill use is licensed, their availability and use is very low. Lack of prescription of polypills was the predominant barrier to polypill use; therefore, making polypills with drugs that are more acceptable and at different available strengths, in conjunction with broader prescriber education and training, may improve their use.

Journal ArticleDOI
11 Mar 2019
TL;DR: This study showed feasibility of the lifestyle intervention delivered in group sessions to women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus, with 80% of women attending four or more sessions.
Abstract: Aim To evaluate the feasibility and potential effectiveness of a lifestyle intervention (diet and physical activity) among women with history of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), delivered by trained facilitators. Methods Fifty-six normoglycaemic or prediabetic women with prior GDM were recruited at mean of 17 months postpartum. Socio-demographic, medical and anthropometric data were collected. Six sessions on lifestyle modification were delivered in groups (total four groups, with 12-15 women in each group). Pre and post intervention (6 months) weight, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, 75 g oral glucose tolerance test, blood pressure (BP) and lipid parameters were compared. Results The intervention was feasible, with 80% of women attending four or more sessions. Post-intervention analyses showed a significant mean reduction of 1.8 kg in weight, 0.6 kg/m2 in BMI and 2 cm in waist circumference. There was also a significant drop of 0.3 mmol/L in fasting plasma glucose, 0.9 mmol/L in 2 h post glucose load value of plasma glucose, 3.6 mmHg in systolic BP, and 0.15 mmol/L in triglyceride levels. Changes in total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol and diastolic BP were non-significant. Conclusions This study showed feasibility of the lifestyle intervention delivered in group sessions to women with prior gestational diabetes.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: No abstract available Keywords: Editorials; Global Burden of Disease; blood pressure; noncommunicable diseases; non Communicable diseases.
Abstract: No abstract available Keywords: Editorials; Global Burden of Disease; blood pressure; noncommunicable diseases.