Brendon Bradley

Bio: Brendon Bradley is an academic researcher from University of Canterbury. The author has contributed to research in topics: Liquefaction & Seismic hazard. The author has an hindex of 42, co-authored 289 publications receiving 5816 citations. Previous affiliations of Brendon Bradley include Stanford University & Chuo University.

National Seismic Hazard Model for New Zealand: 2010 Update

Abstract: A team of earthquake geologists, seismologists, and engineering seis- mologists has collectively produced an update of the national probabilistic seismic hazard (PSH) model for New Zealand (National Seismic Hazard Model, or NSHM). The new NSHM supersedes the earlier NSHM published in 2002 and used as the hazard basis for the New Zealand Loadings Standard and numerous other end-user applica- tions. The new NSHM incorporates a fault source model that has been updated with over 200 new onshore and offshore fault sources and utilizes new New Zealand-based and international scaling relationships for the parameterization of the faults. The dis- tributed seismicity model has also been updated to include post-1997 seismicity data, a new seismicity regionalization, and improved methodology for calculation of the seismicity parameters. Probabilistic seismic hazard maps produced from the new NSHM show a similar pattern of hazard to the earlier model at the national scale, but there are some significant reductions and increases in hazard at the regional scale. The national-scale differences between the new and earlier NSHM appear less than those seen between much earlier national models, indicating that some degree of consis- tency has been achieved in the national-scale pattern of hazard estimates, at least for return periods of 475 years and greater. Online Material: Table of fault source parameters for the 2010 national seismic- hazard model.

A generalized conditional intensity measure approach and holistic ground motion selection

Abstract: A generalized conditional intensity measure (GCIM) approach is proposed for use in the holistic selection of ground motions for any form of seismic response analysis. The essence of the method is the construction of the multivariate distribution of any set of ground-motion intensity measures conditioned on the occurrence of a specific ground-motion intensity measure (commonly obtained from probabilistic seismic hazard analysis). The approach therefore allows any number of ground-motion intensity measures identified as important in a particular seismic response problem to be considered. A holistic method of ground-motion selection is also proposed based on the statistical comparison, for each intensity measure, of the empirical distribution of the ground-motion suite with the ‘target’ GCIM distribution. A simple procedure to estimate the magnitude of potential bias in the results of seismic response analyses when the ground-motion suite does not conform to the GCIM distribution is also demonstrated. The combination of these three features of the approach make it entirely holistic in that: any level of complexity in ground-motion selection for any seismic response analysis can be exercised; users explicitly understand the simplifications made in the selected suite of ground motions; and an approximate estimate of any bias associated with such simplifications is obtained. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Near-source Strong Ground Motions Observed in the 22 February 2011 Christchurch Earthquake

Abstract: On 22 February 2011 at 12:51 p.m. local time, a moment magnitude Mw 6.3 earthquake occurred beneath the city of Christchurch, New Zealand, causing an level of damage and human casualties unparalleled in the country's history. Compared to the preceding 4 September 2010 Mw 7.1 Darfield earthquake, which occurred approximately 30 km to the west of Christchurch, the close proximity of the 22 February event led to ground motions of significantly higher amplitude in the densely populated regions of Christchurch. As a result of these significantly larger ground motions, structures in general, and commercial structures in the central business district in particular, were subjected to severe seismic demands and, combined with the event timing, structural collapses accounted for the majority of the 181 casualties (New Zealand Police 2011). This manuscript provides a preliminary assessment of the near-source ground motions recorded in the Christchurch region. Particular attention is given to the observed spatial distribution of ground motions, which is interpreted based on source, path, and site effects. Comparison is also made of the observed ground motion response spectra with those of the 4 September 2010 Darfield earthquake and those used in seismic design in order to emphasize the amplitude of the ground shaking and also elucidate the importance of local geotechnical and deep geologic structure on surface ground motions. New Zealand resides on the boundary of the Pacific and Australian plates (Figure 1) and its active tectonics are dominated by: 1) oblique subduction of the Pacific plate beneath the Australian plate along the Hikurangi trough in the North Island; 2) oblique subduction of the Australian plate beneath the Pacific plate along the Puysegur trench in the southwest of the South Island; and 3) oblique, right-lateral slip along numerous crustal faults in the axial tectonic belt, of which the …

Soil Liquefaction Effects in the Central Business District during the February 2011 Christchurch Earthquake

Abstract: During the period between September 2010 and June 2011, the city of Christchurch was strongly shaken by a series of earthquakes that included the 4 September 2010 ( Mw = 7.1), 26 December 2010 ( Mw = 4.8), 22 February 2011 ( Mw = 6.2), and 13 June 2011 ( Mw = 5.3 and Mw = 6.0) earthquakes. The moment magnitude ( Mw ) values adopted in this paper are taken from GNS Science, New Zealand (http://www.geonet.org.nz); they are 0.1 units higher than the corresponding Mw values reported by the U.S. Geological Survey (http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqinthenews/2011/usb0001igm/). These earthquakes produced strong ground motions within the central business district (CBD) of Christchurch, which is the central heart of the city just east of Hagley Park and encompasses approximately 200 ha. Some of the recorded ground motions had 5% damped spectral accelerations that surpassed the 475-year return-period design motions by a factor of two. Ground shaking caused substantial damage to a large number of buildings and significant ground failure in areas with liquefiable soils. The 22 February earthquake was the most devastating. It caused 181 fatalities and widespread liquefaction and lateral spreading in the suburbs to the east of the CBD and in areas within the CBD, particularly along the stretch of the Avon River that runs through the city. There were pockets of heavy damage in the CBD, including the collapse of two multistory reinforced concrete buildings, as well as the collapse and partial collapse of many unreinforced masonry structures including the historic Christchurch Cathedral in the center of the CBD. Soil liquefaction in a substantial part of the CBD adversely affected the performance of many multistory buildings, resulting in global and differential settlements, lateral movement of foundations, tilt of buildings, and bearing failures. The Mw = 6.2, 22 February 2011 earthquake …

Geotechnical aspects of the 22 february 2011 christchurch earthquake

Abstract: SUMMARY The 22 February 2011, Mw6.2-6.3 Christchurch earthquake is the most costly earthquake to affect New Zealand, causing 181 fatalities and severely damaging thousands of residential and commercial buildings, and most of the city lifelines and infrastructure. This manuscript presents an overview of observed geotechnical aspects of this earthquake as well as some of the completed and on-going research investigations. A unique aspect, which is particularly emphasized, is the severity and spatial extent of liquefaction occurring in native soils. Overall, both the spatial extent and severity of liquefaction in the city was greater than in the preceding 4 th September 2010 Darfield earthquake, including numerous areas that liquefied in both events. Liquefaction and lateral spreading, variable over both large and short spatial scales, affected commercial structures in the Central Business District (CBD) in a variety of ways including: total and differential settlements and tilting; punching settlements of structures with shallow foundations; differential movements of components of complex structures; and interaction of adjacent structures via common foundation soils. Liquefaction was most severe in residential areas located to the east of the CBD as a result of stronger ground shaking due to the proximity to the causative fault, a high water table approximately 1m from the surface, and soils with composition and states of high susceptibility and potential for liquefaction. Total and differential settlements, and lateral movements, due to liquefaction and lateral spreading is estimated to have severely compromised 15,000 residential structures, the majority of which otherwise sustained only minor to moderate damage directly due to inertial loading from ground shaking. Liquefaction also had a profound effect on lifelines and other infrastructure, particularly bridge structures, and underground services. Minor damage was also observed at flood stop banks to the north of the city, which were more severely impacted in the 4 th September 2010 Darfield earthquake. Due to the large high-frequency ground motion in the Port hills numerous rock falls and landslides also occurred, resulting in several fatalities and rendering some residential areas uninhabitable.

The Design and Analysis of Experiments

Abstract: THE DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF EXPERIMENTS. By Oscar Kempthorne. New York, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1952. 631 pp. $8.50. This book by a teacher of statistics (as well as a consultant for \"experimenters\") is a comprehensive study of the philosophical background for the statistical design of experiment. It is necessary to have some facility with algebraic notation and manipulation to be able to use the volume intelligently. The problems are presented from the theoretical point of view, without such practical examples as would be helpful for those not acquainted with mathematics. The mathematical justification for the techniques is given. As a somewhat advanced treatment of the design and analysis of experiments, this volume will be interesting and helpful for many who approach statistics theoretically as well as practically. With emphasis on the \"why,\" and with description given broadly, the author relates the subject matter to the general theory of statistics and to the general problem of experimental inference. MARGARET J. ROBERTSON

Ground Motion Characteristics Estimated from Spectral Ratio between Horizontal and Verticcl Components of Mietremors.

Abstract: The spectral ratio between horizontal and vertical components (H/V ratio) of microtremors measured at the ground surface has been used to estimate fundamental periods and amplification factors of a site, although this technique lacks theoretical background. The aim of this article is to formulate the H/V technique in terms of the characteristics of Rayleigh and Love waves, and to contribute to improve the technique. The improvement includes use of not only peaks but also troughs in the H/V ratio for reliable estimation of the period and use of a newly proposed smoothing function for better estimation of the amplification factor. The formulation leads to a simple formula for the amplification factor expressed with the H/V ratio. With microtremor data measured at 546 junior high schools in 23 wards of Tokyo, the improved technique is applied to mapping site periods and amplification factors in the area.

NGA-West2 Equations for Predicting PGA, PGV, and 5% Damped PSA for Shallow Crustal Earthquakes:

Abstract: We provide ground motion prediction equations for computing medians and standard deviations of average horizontal component intensity measures (IMs) for shallow crustal earthquakes in active tecton...

Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures

Abstract: Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures provides requirements for general structural design and includes means for determining dead, live, soil, flood, wind, snow, rain, atmospheric ice, and earthquake loads, as well as their combinations, which are suitable for inclusion in building codes and other documents. This Standard, a revision of ASCE/SEI 7-05, offers a complete update and reorganization of the wind load provisions, expanding them from one chapter into six. The Standard contains new ultimate event wind maps with corresponding reductions in load factors, so that the loads are not affected, and updates the seismic loads with new risk-targeted seismic maps. The snow, live, and atmospheric icing provisions are updated as well. In addition, the Standard includes a detailed Commentary with explanatory and supplementary information designed to assist building code committees and regulatory authorities. Standard ASCE/SEI 7 is an integral part of building codes in the United States. Many of the load provisions are substantially adopted by reference in the International Building Code and the NFPA 5000 Building Construction and Safety Code. Structural engineers, architects, and those engaged in preparing and administering local building codes will find this Standard an essential reference in their practice. Note: New orders are fulfilled from the second printing, which incorporates the errata to the first printing.

Efficient analytical fragility function fitting using dynamic structural analysis

Abstract: Estimation of fragility functions using dynamic structural analysis is an important step in a number of seismic assessment procedures. This paper discusses the applicability of statistical inferenc...