Showing papers by "Cyrus Cooper published in 1992"

Hip fractures in the elderly: A world-wide projection

Abstract: Hip fractures are recognized to be a major public health problem in many Western nations, most notably those in North America, Europe and Oceania. Incidence rates for hip fracture in other parts of the world are generally lower than those reported for these predominantly Caucasian populations, and this has led to the belief that osteoporosis represents less of a problem to the nations of Asia, South American and Africa. Demographic changes in the next 60 years, however, will lead to huge increases in the elderly populations of those countries. We have applied available incidence rates for hip fracture from various parts of the world to projected populations in 1990, 2025 and 2050 in order to estimate the numbers of hip fractures which might occur in each of the major continental regions. The projections indicate that the number of hip fractures occurring in the world each year will rise from 1.66 million in 1990 to 6.26 million by 2050. While Europe and North America account for about half of all hip fractures among elderly people today, this proportion will fall to around one quarter in 2050, by which time steep increases will be observed throughout Asia and Latin America. The results suggest that osteoporosis will truly become a global problem over the next half century, and that preventive strategies will be required in parts of the world where they are not currently felt to be necessary.

Epidemiology of osteoporosis

Abstract: Osteoporosis is a major public health problem through its association with age-related fractures. Although fracture risk at any skeletal site depends upon a complex interaction between bone strength and trauma, recent epidemiologic studies confirm that bone density is currently the best single predictor of future fracture. The increasing burden of osteoporotic fractures urgently requires effective preventive strategies aimed at maximizing peak bone density, preventing excessive bone loss, and reducing the risk of falls.

Physical activity at 36 years: patterns and childhood predictors in a longitudinal study.

Abstract: OBJECTIVE--The aim was to describe the sex and socioeconomic differences in patterns of physical activity at work and in leisure time of men and women aged 36 years, and to investigate factors in childhood and adolescence which predict high rates of participation in sports and recreational activities in later life. DESIGN--Data collected in childhood, adolescence, and at 36 years on members of a national prospective birth cohort study were used. SETTING--The population sample was resident in England, Scotland, and Wales. SUBJECTS--A stratified sample of about 3500 men and women was studied regularly from birth until 43 years. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--More men than women reported high rates of sports and recreational activities, gardening, and do-it-yourself. In contrast women reported higher rates of bicycling and walking. Higher levels of education were associated with frequent participation in sports. Individuals often engaged in one type of activity without necessarily engaging in other types. Those who were most active in sport had been above average at sports in school, more outgoing socially in adolescence, had fewer health problems in childhood, were better educated, and had more mothers with a secondary education than those who were less active. CONCLUSIONS--Studies that examine the relationship between physical activity and chronic disease should consider a broad range of pursuits rather than extrapolating from only one area of physical activity, and in their explanations should take account of the possible role of childhood characteristics. The findings suggest the importance of developing skills and habits in childhood as well as of encouraging healthier exercise habits in adults who may have had few opportunities or low motivation previously.

Osteoarthritis of the hip: an occupational disease in farmers.

Abstract: OBJECTIVE--To test the hypothesis that farmers are at high risk of hip osteoarthritis and to investigate possible causes for such a hazard. DESIGN--Cross sectional survey. SETTING--Five rural general practices. SUBJECTS--167 male farmers aged 60-76 and 83 controls from mainly sedentary jobs. All those without previous hip replacement underwent radiography of the hip. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES--Hip replacement for osteoarthritis or radiological evidence of hip osteoarthritis. RESULTS--Prevalence of hip osteoarthritis was higher in farmers than controls and especially in those who had farmed for over 10 years (odds ratio 9.3, 95% confidence interval 1.9 to 44.5). The excess could not be attributed to any one type of farming, and heavy lifting seems the likely explanation. CONCLUSIONS--Manual handling in agriculture should be limited where possible. Consideration should be given to making hip osteoarthritis a prescribed industrial disease in farmers. There may be wider implications for the prevention of hip osteoarthritis in the general population.

Osteoarthritis of the hip and occupational activity.

Abstract: This case-referent study investigated the relation between hip osteoarthritis and occupational activity. The subjects were 60- to 75-year-old men who had undergone intravenous urography. Interviews were obtained for 245 cases who had a hip replacement for osteoarthritis or a joint space of less than or equal to 2.5 mm and 294 referents whose joint space was greater than or equal to 3.5 mm in both hips. No clear associations were found in an analysis of all the cases, but severe disease (hip replacement for osteoarthritis or a joint space of less than or equal to 1.5 mm) was more common in the farmers, especially in those with greater than or equal to 10 years in agricultural work [odds ratio (OR) 2.0, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.9-4.4]. Severe disease was also associated with prolonged standing at work (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.0-7.3) and heavy lifting (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1-5.7). These associations could not be explained by obesity or sporting activity. The findings suggest an increased risk of degenerative hip disease for farmers and indicate that mechanical overloading may contribute to its pathogenesis.

Ankylosing spondylitis in Rochester, Minnesota, 1935-1989. Is the epidemiology changing?

Abstract: Objective. To determine trends in the incidence and clinical presentation of ankylosing spondylitis first diagnosed between 1935 and 1989 among residents of Rochester, Minnesota, and in the survival of the patients. Methods. Population-based descriptive study. Results. The overall age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate was 7.3 per 100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval 6.1–8.4). The rate tended to decline between 1935 and 1989, but there was little change in the age at symptom onset or diagnosis over the 55-year study period. Overall survival was not decreased up to 28 years following diagnosis. Conclusion. These data indicate that there is a constancy in the epidemiologic characteristics of ankylosing spondylitis and suggest that previously study results indicating changes may have been due to biases in patient selection and study design.

Hospitalization with vertebral fracture among the aged: a national population-based study, 1986-1989.

Abstract: Whereas fractures related to osteoporosis have become a pressing public health concern, relatively few epidemiologic studies have focused on vertebral fractures. To shed further light on the occurrence of this injury, we collected data from the Health Care Financing Administration on 151,986 discharges listing a diagnosis of vertebral fracture over a 4-year period. After adjusting for age, white women experienced the highest rates of discharge, at 17.1 per 10,000 per year, followed by white men (9.9 per 10,000), black women (3.7 per 10,000), and black men (2.5 per 10,000). Among white women, discharge rates rose exponentially from 5.3 discharges per 10,000 population at age 65 to nearly 47.8 per 10,000 at age 90. White men, black women, and black men experienced less dramatic age-related increases in discharge rates. The similarity of these patterns to discharge rates for hip fracture suggests that the race-sex differences in vertebral fracture discharge rates may be due to differences in the incidence of vertebral fracture.

Radiographic assessment of the knee joint in osteoarthritis.

Abstract: The development of radiographic systems for the grading of osteoarthritis requires knowledge of the reproducibility of their individual component features. This paper reports the reproducibility, both within and between observers, for five commonly used radiographic features of osteoarthritis in the tibiofemoral and patellofemoral compartments of the knee joint. The results suggest that assessments of joint space narrowing, osteophyte, and bony contour in the tibiofemoral compartments are more reproducible than those of sclerosis and cyst. Patellofemoral assessments, with the exception of osteophyte, are considerably less reproducible between observers than tibiofemoral assessments.

Secular trends in the incidence of postmenopausal vertebral fractures.

Abstract: Several studies suggest secular increases in hip fracture incidence through this century, but little is known about such trends for vertebral fracture. We have examined changes in the incidence of clinically ascertained vertebral fractures among Rochester, Minnesota residents aged 35-69 years, that were first diagnosed between 1950 and 1989. Our results indicate no overall increase in incidence over the 40-year period. Categorization of fractures according to the level of preceding trauma, however, revealed a significant increase in the incidence of fractures following moderate trauma among women aged 60-69 years. This increase occurred between 1950 and 1964, and leveled off thereafter. Rates for severe trauma fractures among postmenopausal women, and for vertebral fractures from any cause among younger men and women, remained stable. The rise in moderate trauma fractures in postmenopausal women paralleled that for hip fractures in Rochester and began to plateau at around the same time. It might have resulted from increased diagnosis of vertebral fractures, but the increase in hip fracture incidence is inconsistent with this explanation. An increase in the prevalence of osteoporosis, however, might account for the trend in both types of fractures.

Is the hip involved in generalized osteoarthritis

Abstract: The authors examined the association of hip osteoarthritis with the presence of Heberden's nodes in a case-control study. Subjects were men aged 60-75 years who had undergone intravenous urography as out-patients. An examination of the hands was carried out in 240 patients who had a hip replacement for osteoarthritis or a joint space less than or equal to 2.5 mm, and in 290 controls whose joint space was greater than or equal to 3.5 mm in both hips. The presence of Heberden's nodes was associated with an increased risk of radiological hip osteoarthritis, the relationship being stronger in the 51 cases with severe joint-space narrowing (odds ratio = 3.4, 95% confidence interval 1.3-9.1). There was no evidence that this association differed according to the site of joint space narrowing within the hip. The finding provides further evidence that osteoarthritis of the hip can occur as part of a generalized process and does not only result from local damage to the joints.