Machinery health prognostics: A systematic review from data acquisition to RUL prediction

https://escholarship.org/content/qt5ns8r3fs/qt5ns8r3fs.pdf?t=pihyfp

Remaining useful life estimation in prognostics using deep convolution neural networks

Prognostics technique aims to accurately estimate the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a subsystem or a component using sensor data, which has many real world applications. However, many of the existing algorithms are based on linear models, which cannot capture the complex relationship between the sensor data and RUL. Although Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) has been applied to predict RUL, it cannot learn salient features automatically, because of its network structure. A novel deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) based regression approach for estimating the RUL is proposed in this paper. Although CNN has been applied on tasks such as computer vision, natural language processing, speech recognition etc., this is the first attempt to adopt CNN for RUL estimation in prognostics. Different from the existing CNN structure for computer vision, the convolution and pooling filters in our approach are applied along the temporal dimension over the multi-channel sensor data to incorporate automated feature learning from raw sensor signals in a systematic way. Through the deep architecture, the learned features are the higher-level abstract representation of low-level raw sensor signals. Furthermore, feature learning and RUL estimation are mutually enhanced by the supervised feedback. We compared with several state-of-the-art algorithms on two publicly available data sets to evaluate the effectiveness of this proposed approach. The encouraging results demonstrate that our proposed deep convolutional neural network based regression approach for RUL estimation is not only more efficient but also more accurate.

Deep Convolutional Neural Network Based Regression Approach for Estimation of Remaining Useful Life

In numerous industrial applications where safety, efficiency, and reliability are among primary concerns, condition-based maintenance (CBM) is often the most effective and reliable maintenance policy. Prognostics, as one of the key enablers of CBM, involves the core task of estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of the system. Neural networks-based approaches have produced promising results on RUL estimation, although their performances are influenced by handcrafted features and manually specified parameters. In this paper, we propose a multiobjective deep belief networks ensemble (MODBNE) method. MODBNE employs a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm integrated with the traditional DBN training technique to evolve multiple DBNs simultaneously subject to accuracy and diversity as two conflicting objectives. The eventually evolved DBNs are combined to establish an ensemble model used for RUL estimation, where combination weights are optimized via a single-objective differential evolution algorithm using a task-oriented objective function. We evaluate the proposed method on several prognostic benchmarking data sets and also compare it with some existing approaches. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of our proposed method.

Multiobjective Deep Belief Networks Ensemble for Remaining Useful Life Estimation in Prognostics

Remaining useful life estimation of engineered systems using vanilla LSTM neural networks

This paper describes how damage propagation can be modeled within the modules of aircraft gas turbine engines. To that end, response surfaces of all sensors are generated via a thermo-dynamical simulation model for the engine as a function of variations of flow and efficiency of the modules of interest. An exponential rate of change for flow and efficiency loss was imposed for each data set, starting at a randomly chosen initial deterioration set point. The rate of change of the flow and efficiency denotes an otherwise unspecified fault with increasingly worsening effect. The rates of change of the faults were constrained to an upper threshold but were otherwise chosen randomly. Damage propagation was allowed to continue until a failure criterion was reached. A health index was defined as the minimum of several superimposed operational margins at any given time instant and the failure criterion is reached when health index reaches zero. Output of the model was the time series (cycles) of sensed measurements typically available from aircraft gas turbine engines. The data generated were used as challenge data for the prognostics and health management (PHM) data competition at PHMpsila08.

Damage propagation modeling for aircraft engine run-to-failure simulation

The electrification of gas turbine engines represents a major step-change in aircraft propulsion systems commonly known as Electrified Aircraft Propulsion (EAP). EAP involves the integration of electric machines potentially functioning as generators for large-scale power extraction, as motors providing electrical augmentation of the engine spools, and even as a means of driving propulsors beyond the immediate scope of the engine. It may also include the use of energy storage. These and other characteristics of hybrid electric propulsion systems are relatively new to aircraft propulsion. The expanded propulsion architecture can be leveraged to improve propulsive efficiency and achieve better vehicle aerodynamics and controllability. It can also allow for additional benefits such as those enabled through Turbine Electrified Energy Management (TEEM). As the propulsion system and its functions expand, new failure modes are introduced. Due to the highly coupled nature of the propulsion system, failures could propagate throughout the system in ways that are unique to the new EAP architectures. To build confidence in the safety and practicality of EAP concepts, these failure modes need to be identified, explored, and addressed through mitigation strategies. This paper seeks to evaluate failure modes and failure mitigation strategies for the EAP concept known as the Single-aisle Turboelectric AiRCaft with Aft Boundary Layer propulsor (STARC-ABL). The TEEM control concept is applied to improve transient operability. Several failure modes are considered and control-based failure mitigation strategies are proposed with the goal of retaining operability and overall thrust. The results demonstrate the ability to maintain operability and a substantial amount of thrust in the event of various types of failures. Some challenges are also identified and discussed.

D. Simon

Papers

Damage propagation modeling for aircraft engine run-to-failure simulation

Failure Modes and Mitigation Strategies for a Turboelectric Aircraft Concept with Turbine Electrified Energy Management