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Author

Dirk Douwes-Schultz

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Other affiliations: University of the West Indies
Bio: Dirk Douwes-Schultz is an academic researcher from Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. The author has contributed to research in topics: Life expectancy & Mortality rate. The author has an hindex of 9, co-authored 9 publications receiving 16495 citations. Previous affiliations of Dirk Douwes-Schultz include University of the West Indies.
Topics: Life expectancy, Mortality rate, Population, Years of potential life lost, Infant mortality
Papers
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Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

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Theo Vos1, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate2, Cristiana Abbafati3  +775 more•Institutions (305)
16 Sep 2017-The Lancet
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 328 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016.

10,401 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

[...]

Gregory A. Roth1, Gregory A. Roth2, Degu Abate3, Kalkidan Hassen Abate4  +1025 more•Institutions (333)
10 Nov 2018-The Lancet
TL;DR: Non-communicable diseases comprised the greatest fraction of deaths, contributing to 73·4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 72·5–74·1) of total deaths in 2017, while communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional causes accounted for 18·6% (17·9–19·6), and injuries 8·0% (7·7–8·2).

5,211 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

[...]

Mohsen Naghavi1, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir2, Cristiana Abbafati3, Kaja Abbas4  +598 more•Institutions (31)
16 Sep 2017-The Lancet
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Disease 2016 Study (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 264 causes in 195 locations from 1980 to 2016 as discussed by the authors, which includes evaluation of the expected epidemiological transition with changes in development and where local patterns deviate from these trends.

3,228 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death: reference and alternative scenarios for 2016–40 for 195 countries and territories

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Kyle J Foreman1, Neal Marquez2, Andrew J. Dolgert1, Kai Fukutaki1, Nancy Fullman1, Madeline McGaughey1, Martin A Pletcher1, Amanda E. Smith1, Kendrick Tang1, Chun-Wei Yuan1, Jonathan C Brown1, Joseph Friedman3, Jiawei He4, Kyle R. Heuton, Mollie Holmberg5, Disha J Patel1, Patrick Reidy, Austin Carter1, Kelly Cercy1, Abigail Chapin1, Dirk Douwes-Schultz1, Tahvi Frank1, Falko Goettsch1, Patrick Y Liu3, Vishnu Nandakumar1, Marissa B Reitsma1, Vince Reuter6, Nafis Sadat1, Reed J. D. Sorensen1, Vinay Srinivasan1, Rachel L Updike1, Hunter York1, Alan D. Lopez7, Rafael Lozano1, Stephen S Lim1, Ali H. Mokdad1, Stein Emil Vollset1, Christopher J L Murray1 •
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation1, University of Washington2, University of California, Los Angeles3, Baidu4, University of British Columbia5, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center6, University of Melbourne7
10 Nov 2018-The Lancet
TL;DR: A novel approach to modelling life expectancy, all-cause mortality and cause of death forecasts —and alternative future scenarios—for 250 causes of death from 2016 to 2040 in 195 countries and territories is provided.

1,118 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

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Daniel Dicker1, Grant Nguyen2, Degu Abate, Kalkidan Hassen Abate3  +1155 more•Institutions (7)
10 Nov 2018-The Lancet
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 as mentioned in this paper was the most recent iteration of the GBD, which used all available data to produce estimates of mortality rates between 1950 and 2017 for 23 age groups.

638 citations

Cited by
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Journal Article•DOI•
2016 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure: The Task Force for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Developed with the special contribution of the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the ESC.

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Piotr Ponikowski, Adriaan A. Voors, Stefan D. Anker, Héctor Bueno, John G.F. Cleland, Andrew J.S. Coats, Volkmar Falk, José Ramón González-Juanatey, Veli-Pekka Harjola, Ewa A. Jankowska, Mariell Jessup, Cecilia Linde, Petros Nihoyannopoulos, John Parissis, Burkert Pieske, Jillian P. Riley, Giuseppe M.C. Rosano1, Luis M. Ruilope, Frank Ruschitzka, Frans H. Rutten, Peter van der Meer, Gerasimos Filippatos, John J.V. McMurray, Victor Aboyans, Stephan Achenbach, Stefan Agewall, Nawwar Al-Attar, John Atherton, Johann Bauersachs, A. John Camm, Scipione Carerj, Claudio Ceconi, Antonio Coca, Perry M. Elliott, Çetin Erol, Justin A. Ezekowitz, Covadonga Fernández-Golfín, Donna Fitzsimons, Marco Guazzi, Maxime Guenoun, Gerd Hasenfuss, Gerhard Hindricks, Arno W. Hoes, Bernard Iung, Tiny Jaarsma, Paulus Kirchhof, Juhani Knuuti, Philippe Kolh2, Stavros Konstantinides, Mitja Lainscak, Patrizio Lancellotti2, Gregory Y.H. Lip, Francesco Maisano, Christian Mueller, Mark C. Petrie, Massimo F Piepoli, Silvia G. Priori, Adam Torbicki, Hiroyuki Tsutsui, Dirk J. van Veldhuisen, Stephan Windecker, Clyde W. Yancy, José Luis Zamorano •
St George's, University of London1, University of Liège2
01 Aug 2016-European Journal of Heart Failure
TL;DR: Authors/Task Force Members: Piotr Ponikowski* (Chairperson) (Poland), Adriaan A. Voors* (Co-Chair person) (The Netherlands), Stefan D. Anker (Germany), Héctor Bueno (Spain), John G. F. Cleland (UK), Andrew J. S. Coats (UK)

13,400 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

[...]

Theo Vos1, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate2, Cristiana Abbafati3  +775 more•Institutions (305)
16 Sep 2017-The Lancet
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 328 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016.

10,401 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, andyears lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematicanalysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

[...]

Gbd Disease, Injury Incidence, Lorenzo Monasta1, Luca Ronfani1, Ettore Beghi, Giorgia Giussani1, Boris Bikbov1, Norberto Perico1, Cristina Bosetti1, Monica Cortinovis1, Silvano Gallus, Giuseppe Remuzzi •
Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research1
10 Nov 2018-The Lancet
TL;DR: All-cause age-standardised YLD rates decreased by 3·9% from 1990 to 2017; however, the all-age YLD rate increased by 7·2% while the total sum of global YLDs increased from 562 million (421–723) to 853 million (642–1100).

7,419 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

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Theo Vos1, Theo Vos2, Theo Vos3, Stephen S Lim  +2416 more•Institutions (246)
17 Oct 2020-The Lancet
TL;DR: Global health has steadily improved over the past 30 years as measured by age-standardised DALY rates, and there has been a marked shift towards a greater proportion of burden due to YLDs from non-communicable diseases and injuries.

5,802 citations

Journal Article•DOI•
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

[...]

Gregory A. Roth1, Gregory A. Roth2, Degu Abate3, Kalkidan Hassen Abate4  +1025 more•Institutions (333)
10 Nov 2018-The Lancet
TL;DR: Non-communicable diseases comprised the greatest fraction of deaths, contributing to 73·4% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 72·5–74·1) of total deaths in 2017, while communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional causes accounted for 18·6% (17·9–19·6), and injuries 8·0% (7·7–8·2).

5,211 citations