Showing papers by "Donald Maxwell Parkin published in 2000"

Trends in cancer incidence in Kyadondo County, Uganda, 1960-1997.

Abstract: Incidence rates of different cancers have been calculated for the population of Kyadondo County (Kampala, Uganda) for four time periods (1960-1966; 1967-1971; 1991-1994; 1995-1997), spanning 38 years in total. The period coincides with marked social and lifestyle changes and with the emergence of the AIDS epidemic. Most cancers have increased in incidence over time, the only exceptions being cancers of the bladder and penis. Apart from these, the most common cancers in the early years were cervix, oesophagus and liver; all three have remained common, with the first two showing quite marked increases in incidence, as have cancers of the breast and prostate. These changes have been overshadowed by the dramatic effects of the AIDS epidemic, with Kaposi's sarcoma emerging as the most common cancer in both sexes in the 1990s, and a large increase in incidence of squamous cell cancers of the conjunctiva. In the most recent period, there also seems to have been an increase in the incidence of non-Hodgkin lymphomas. So far, lung cancer remains rare. Cancer control in Uganda, as elsewhere in sub-Saharan Africa, faces a threefold challenge. With little improvement in the incidence of cancers associated with infection and poverty (liver, cervix, oesophagus), it must face the burden of AIDS-associated cancers, while coping with the emergence of cancers associated with Westernization of lifestyles (large bowel, breast and prostate).

International trends in incidence of cervical cancer: II. Squamous-cell carcinoma

Abstract: Time trends in the incidence of squamous-cell carcinomas of the cervix during the period 1973-1991 were examined using data provided by 60 population-based cancer registries from 32 defined populations in 25 countries. Three components of the incidence trend were studied: age, calendar period of diagnosis and birth cohort. Cumulative incidence rates per 1,000 person-years for 2 groups, age ranges 25-49 and 50-74 years, were calculated from the model that best described the incidence data. A significant decline in incidence was noted in the American populations (except for US Hispanic), Australia, the non-Maori women of New Zealand, northern and western Europe (except Italy and Spain, where the rates remain stable) and Asian populations (except Malay women of Singapore, who have stable rates). These trends were of similar magnitude for the whole age range studied (25-74 years). An increasing trend, mainly restricted to younger women, was found for Slovakia, Jewish women born in Israel and the United Kingdom. In Slovenia, the increasing trend was observed for all age groups. The predominant pattern shown by cancer registries in developed countries is of a reduction in the incidence of squamous cervical cancer. This could be, at least partially, attributed to the widespread practice of screening for cervical lesions. The major exception to the pattern is observed in the United Kingdom, though the increasing incidence in young women has changed to a decrease in recent years. There are only a few series covering a long period of time in developing countries, but there is little evidence for a major impact of screening.

Cancer incidence in karachi, pakistan: first results from karachi cancer registry

Abstract: No cancer incidence data from Pakistan have been published in the 5 decades since independence. Incidence data for the period 1995-1997 from the population of the Karachi South district (1.7 million) are presented here. A total of 4,268 new cancer cases were registered during this period: 2,160 cases in males and 2,108 cases in females. Overall, 95.3% of the incident cases were microscopically verified. The incidence rates for all cancers combined were 80.5 per 100,000 (crude) and 136.7 per 100,000 (age- standardised rates [ASR]) for males and 91.8 (crude) and 163.2 per 100,000 (ASR) for females. In males, lung cancer (ASR 20.3) was the most frequently recorded malignancy followed by oral cavity (ASR 13.8) and larynx cancer (ASR 8.6). In females, breast was the most common site of cancer, accounting for one third of female cancers (ASR 51.7), followed by oral cavity (ASR 14.1) and ovarian cancer (ASR 10.2). Karachi reports the highest incidence of breast cancer for any Asian population, except Jews in Israel. Tobacco smoking is estimated to be responsible for 40% of cancers in males and tobacco chewing for a further substantial proportion of head and neck cancers.

Cancer incidence in the African population of Harare, Zimbabwe: second results from the cancer registry 1993-1995.

Abstract: The data of the population-based cancer registry in Harare, Zimbabwe, for 1993–1995 are presented and compared with those from 1990–1992. The most significant change in rates is the striking increase in the incidence of Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) in both men and women, compatible with the evolution of the AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. The incidence of KS doubled in both sexes and now accounts for 31.1% of registered cancers. It has overtaken breast cancer to become the second most common tumour in African women, after cervical cancer, and is now one of the leading childhood tumours, accounting for 10.3% of cancers recorded in children (ages 0–14). With the exception of KS, the incidence and pattern of occurrence of the other malignant neoplasms changed little during the observed 6 years. Int. J. Cancer 85:54–59, 2000. © 2000 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Cancer incidence in Abidjan, Ivory Coast: first results from the cancer registry, 1995-1997.

Abstract: BACKGROUND There are few data concerning cancer incidence rates in contemporary West Africa. The first data from the cancer registry of Abidjan, the capital of Ivory Coast, for the period 1995–1997 are reported in the current study. METHODS The cancer registry attempts to record data on all new cases of cancer diagnosed in the city of Abidjan, including cases without histologic confirmation of diagnosis. RESULTS Two thousand eight hundred fifteen new cancer cases were registered in 3 years, corresponding to age-standardized (world population) incidence rates of 83.7 per 100,000 in men and 98.6 per 100,000 in women. As reported elsewhere in West Africa, the principal cancers in men were liver cancer (15%) and prostate cancer (15.8%), with modest rates of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (10.5%) and gastric cancer (4.5%). In women, breast cancer was the most frequent tumor (25.7%), followed by cervical cancer (24.0%) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (7.3%). In contrast to other registry data from West Africa, Kaposi sarcoma occurs with moderate frequency (7.7% of cases reported in men and 2.1% in women). In the pediatric age group, relatively high incidence rates were found for Burkitt lymphoma. CONCLUSIONS Although there most likely is some underascertainment of cases, so that the actual incidence rates may be underestimated, the cancer profile should be a fair reflection of the true situation. In addition to tumors that are well known to be common in sub-Saharan Africa, such as cancers of the liver and cervix, this urban population shows some features of “Westernization” of cancer patterns, in particular the relatively high rates of breast cancer and prostate cancer. The effects of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome epidemic are reflected in the moderate rates of Kaposi sarcoma reported. Cancer 2000;89:653–63. © 2000 American Cancer Society.

Chewing tobacco, alcohol, and the risk of erythroplakia.

Abstract: Although chewing tobacco, smoking, and alcohol drinking have been suggested as risk factors for oral cancer, no study has examined the relationship between those factors and the risk of erythroplakia, an uncommon but severe oral premalignant lesion. In this study, we have analyzed the effects of chewing tobacco, smoking, alcohol drinking, body mass index, and vegetable, fruit, and vitamin/iron intake on the risk of erythroplakia and explored potential interactions between those factors in an Indian population. A case-control study including 100 erythroplakia cases and 47,773 controls was conducted, as part of an on-going randomized oral cancer screening trial in Kerala, India. The analysis was based on the data from the baseline screening for the intervention group, where the diagnostic information was available. The information on epidemiological risk factors was collected with interviews conducted by trained health workers. The erythroplakia cases were identified by health workers with oral visual inspections, and then confirmed by dentists and oncologists who made the final diagnosis. The odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by the logistic regression model using SAS software. The adjusted OR for erythroplakia was 19.8 (95% CI, 9.8–40.0) for individuals who had ever chewed tobacco, after controlling for age, sex, education, body mass index, smoking, and drinking. The adjusted OR for ever-alcohol-drinkers was 3.0 (95% CI, 1.6–5.7) after controlling for age, sex, education, body mass index, chewing tobacco, and smoking. For ever-smokers, the adjusted OR was 1.6 (95% CI, 0.9–2.9). A more than additive interaction on the risk of erythroplakia was suggested between tobacco chewing and low vegetable intake, whereas a more than multiplicative interaction was indicated between alcohol drinking and low vegetable intake, and between drinking and low fruit intake. We concluded that tobacco chewing and alcohol drinking are strong risk factors for erythroplakia in the Indian population. Because the CIs of interaction terms were wide and overlapping with those of the main effects, only potential interactions are suggested.

Alcohol drinking, body mass index and the risk of oral leukoplakia in an Indian population

Abstract: Although tobacco habits have been associated with the risk of oral leukoplakia, alcohol drinking and body mass index (BMI) as risk factors have not been well established. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the independent effects of drinking, BMI, tobacco chewing and smoking on the risk of oral leukoplakia. A case-control study was conducted, with data from an ongoing randomized oral cancer screening trial in Kerala, India. Trained health workers conducted interviews and performed oral visual inspections to identify oral premalignant lesions such as leukoplakia. The logistic regression model in SAS was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). A total of 927 leukoplakia cases and 47,773 controls were included in the analysis. Ever alcohol drinking was a significant risk factor for oral leukoplakia among nonsmokers (OR=2.1, 95%CI=1.3, 3.4) and non-chewers (OR=1.8, 95%CI=1. 3, 2.5) after adjusting for age, sex, education, BMI and tobacco habits. The association with alcohol drinking was stronger among women (OR=3.9, 95%CI=1.5, 10.4) than men (OR=1.5, 95%CI=1.3, 1.9). An inverse dose-response relationship was observed between BMI and the risk of oral leukoplakia (p for trend=0.0075). Tobacco chewing was a stronger risk factor for women (OR=37.7, 95%CI=24.2, 58.7) than for men (OR=3.4, 95%CI=2.8, 4.1). Smoking was a slightly stronger risk factor for men (OR=3.3, 95%CI=2.5, 4.3) than for women (OR=2.0, 95%CI=1.5, 2.9). In conclusion, alcohol drinking was found to be an independent risk factor while BMI might be inversely associated with the risk of oral leukoplakia in an Indian population.

Survival from head and neck cancer in Mumbai (Bombay), India

Abstract: BACKGROUND Head and neck cancers, among the 10 most frequent cancers in the world, are common in regions with a high prevalence of tobacco and alcohol habits. They account for one-fourth of male and one-tenth of female cancers in India. The authors report and discuss the survival from these cancers in Mumbai (Bombay), India. METHODS Follow-up information on 6311 head and neck cancer patients registered in the Bombay Population-Based Cancer Registry for the period 1987–1991 was obtained by a variety of methods, including matching with death certificates from the Bombay vital statistics registration system, postal/telephone enquiries, home visits, and scrutiny of medical records. The survival for each case was determined as the duration between the date of incidence and the date of death or date of loss to follow-up or the closing date of the study (December 31, 1996). Cumulative observed and relative survival were calculated by the Hakulinen method. For comparison of results with other populations, age-standardized relative survival (ASRS) was calculated by directly standardizing age specific relative survival to the specific age distributions of the estimated global incidence of major cancers in 1985. The log rank test was used in univariate analysis to identify the potentially important prognostic variables. The variables showing statistical significance in univariate analysis were introduced stepwise into a Cox regression model to identify the independent predictors of survival. RESULTS The 5-year relative survival rates were 74.5% for the lip, 42.7% for the anterior tongue, 25.5% for the posterior tongue, 45.1% for the mouth, 29.7% for the oropharynx, 38.7% for the nasopharynx, 29.1% for the hypopharynx, and 41.2% for the larynx. Age, marital status, religion, and site and clinical extent of disease emerged as independent predictors of survival. Age specific 5-year relative survival declined with advancing age. Single patients had a 20% excess risk of death compared with married patients. Those with cancers of the lip, mouth, nasopharynx, and larynx had a better prognosis than those with cancer at other sites. Those with regional spread of disease experienced a threefold increased risk of death, and those with distant metastasis experienced a sixfold excess risk. Less than one-fourth of cancers were localized in the organ of origin at diagnosis; 5-year survival for localized cancers ranged from 52.9% to 80.2% depending on the subsite. CONCLUSIONS There were significant variations in survival from cancer at individual sites within the head and neck region. Comparison with other populations revealed variations that seemed to be related to differences in detection and treatment. Tobacco and alcohol control measures and early detection linked with treatment are important measures to reduce mortality from head and neck cancer. Cancer 2000;89:437–44. © 2000 American Cancer Society.

Non-Hodgkin lymphoma in Uganda: a case-control study.

Abstract: Lymphomas are a relatively common complication of AIDS in western countries but little is known of the impact of the AIDS epidemic in Africa on the risk of these tumors. The aim was to investigate the types of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) occurring in Kampala Uganda their association with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and how their risk is modified by HIV and other variables. A case-control study comparing NHL cases was conducted with age/sex-matched controls. Lymphoma cases included 50 histologically diagnosed adults (31 with validation and phenotyping) and 132 histologically diagnosed children (61 with validation and phenotyping). Controls were adults with cancers unrelated to HIV and children with non- infectious diseases. Most (90%) childhood lymphomas were EBV- positive Burkitts lymphoma (BL) with no association with HIV. Adult lymphoma cases were mainly BL (mostly EBV positive) or diffuse B cell lymphomas (71%). Only a weak association was found with HIV infection; a more precise estimate was obtained with the total series (odds ratio [OR] 2.2 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9-5.1) than validated/phenotyped cases (OR 2.1 95% CI 0.3-6.7). Higher socioeconomic status adults who traveled away from home or had a history of sexually transmitted diseases appeared to have a moderately increased risk of lymphoma. Childhood lymphomas were predominantly endemic BL the risk of which was not modified by HIV. In adults the risk associated with HIV was much lower in Uganda than in western countries possibly because of the poor survival of immunosuppressed HIV-positive individuals. Future studies will require careful attention to subtyping of lymphomas to investigate the possible differences between them. (authors)

Leads to cancer control based on cancer patterns in a rural population in South India.

Abstract: Objective: Cancer patterns and incidence rates for a rural population (359,674) resident in 384 villages spread over 2058 km2 in Palani and Oddanchathram taluks of Dindigul District, Tamil Nadu, in South India, are described in this paper. Methods: A population-based cancer registry was established in 1995 to register incident invasive and in-situ cancers. Cases were found and details abstracted by cancer registry staff visiting 26 data sources, comprising cancer hospitals, tertiary and secondary care hospitals, pathology laboratories and death registration offices. A customized version of CANREG-3 software was used for data entry and analysis. Results: During the period 1996-1998, 783 invasive cancers (310 male and 473 females) were registered, yielding an all-cancer crude incidence rate of 56.8/100,000 males and 88.5/100,000 females; the corresponding age standardized incidence rates (ASR) were 83.3 and 122.3 respectively. In males, mouth cancer (ASR 11.5) was the most frequently recorded malignancy followed by tongue (ASR 8.6), hypopharynx (ASR 7.8), esophagus (ASR 7.8) and larynx (ASR 7.8). Thus head and neck cancers accounted for half of the male cases. In females, cervical cancer (ASR 65.4) accounted for more than half of the cancers followed by breast (ASR 14.2) and mouth (ASR 10.2). Ambillikai Cancer Registry (ACR) reports the second highest incidence of cervical cancer in the world. More than four-fifths of cervical cancer cases were diagnosed in stages II B and III B; a third of these cancer patients either did not have, or did not complete, treatment. Conclusions: The observed cancer patterns in this population establish that measures directed at prevention and early detection (linked with treatment) of cervix and head and neck cancers are of paramount importance for cancer control in this and other rural populations of India where three-fourths of the total population live.

Incidence of childhood cancer in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, 1995-97.

Abstract: Incidence rates of childhood cancer for the city of Ho Chi Minh are presented for the first time. For the 3-year period 1995-97, a total of 302 cancer cases were registered in children under 15 years of age, with a male to female ratio of 1.1. The overall crude rate was 78.8 and the age-standardised incidence rate was 88.4 per million person-years, which was low in comparison with other countries in eastern Asia and with the predominantly white population of Australia. Leukaemia (principally acute lymphocytic), brain tumours and lymphomas were the most common childhood neoplasms, which is consistent with the pattern observed in other registries of the region. The rate of retinoblastoma was higher than in the other regional registries. On the other hand, no cases of hepatocellular carcinoma were registered.

Tobacco-attributable cancer burden: A global review

Abstract: In 1990, there were about 9.3 million new cases of cancer worldwide. In this paper, we attempt to estimate what proportion of this total can be ascribed to tobacco smoking. We have not concerned ourselves here with other forms of tobacco use (chewing, snuff) or with the adverse effects of environmental tobacco smoke. First, which cancers are associated with smoking? In fact, epidemiologists have claimed at some time or another to have observed an increased risk for every single cancer type. Since we cannot be sure how much of this is the result of study design or analysis, we decided to include as tobacco-related cancers only those classified as such by the International Agency for Research on Cancer: lung, oral cavity and pharynx; larynx; oesophagus; pharynx; kidney and urinary bladder.