Erik-Jan van Kesteren

Bio: Erik-Jan van Kesteren is an academic researcher from Utrecht University. The author has contributed to research in topics: Bayesian probability & Statistical inference. The author has an hindex of 5, co-authored 13 publications receiving 940 citations. Previous affiliations of Erik-Jan van Kesteren include University of Amsterdam.

Bayesian inference for psychology. Part II: Example applications with JASP

Abstract: Bayesian hypothesis testing presents an attractive alternative to p value hypothesis testing. Part I of this series outlined several advantages of Bayesian hypothesis testing, including the ability to quantify evidence and the ability to monitor and update this evidence as data come in, without the need to know the intention with which the data were collected. Despite these and other practical advantages, Bayesian hypothesis tests are still reported relatively rarely. An important impediment to the widespread adoption of Bayesian tests is arguably the lack of user-friendly software for the run-of-the-mill statistical problems that confront psychologists for the analysis of almost every experiment: the t-test, ANOVA, correlation, regression, and contingency tables. In Part II of this series we introduce JASP (http://www.jasp-stats.org), an open-source, cross-platform, user-friendly graphical software package that allows users to carry out Bayesian hypothesis tests for standard statistical problems. JASP is based in part on the Bayesian analyses implemented in Morey and Rouder’s BayesFactor package for R. Armed with JASP, the practical advantages of Bayesian hypothesis testing are only a mouse click away.

A tutorial on conducting and interpreting a bayesian ANOVA in JASP Tutoriel pour réaliser et interpréter une analyse de variance bayésienne dans JASP

Abstract: Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is the standard procedure for statistical inference in factorial designs. Typically, ANOVAs are executed using frequentist statistics, where p-values determine statistical significance in an all-or-none fashion. In recent years, the Bayesian approach to statistics is increasingly viewed as a legitimate alternative to the p-value. However, the broad adoption of Bayesian statistics-and Bayesian ANOVA in particular-is frustrated by the fact that Bayesian concepts are rarely taught in applied statistics courses. Consequently, practitioners may be unsure how to conduct a Bayesian ANOVA and interpret the results. Here we provide a guide for executing and interpreting a Bayesian ANOVA with JASP, an open-source statistical software program with a graphical user interface. We explain the key concepts of the Bayesian ANOVA using two empirical examples.

A Tutorial on Conducting and Interpreting a Bayesian ANOVA in JASP

Abstract: Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is the standard procedure for statistical inference in factorial designs. Typically, ANOVAs are executed using frequentist statistics, where p-values determine statistical significance in an all-or-none fashion. In recent years, the Bayesian approach to statistics is increasingly viewed as a legitimate alternative to the p-value. However, the broad adoption of Bayesian statistics—and Bayesian ANOVA in particular—is frustrated by the fact that Bayesian concepts are rarely taught in applied statistics courses. Consequently, practitioners may be unsure how to conduct a Bayesian ANOVA and interpret the results. Here we provide a guide for executing and interpreting a Bayesian ANOVA with JASP, an open-source statistical software program with a graphical user interface. We explain the key concepts of the Bayesian ANOVA using two empirical examples.

Exploratory Mediation Analysis with Many Potential Mediators

Abstract: Social and behavioral scientists are increasingly employing technologies such as fMRI, smartphones, and gene sequencing, which yield ‘high-dimensional’ datasets with more columns than rows. There i...

Exploratory factor analysis with structured residuals for brain network data.

Abstract: Dimension reduction is widely used and often necessary to make network analyses and their interpretation tractable by reducing high-dimensional data to a small number of underlying variables. Techniques such as exploratory factor analysis (EFA) are used by neuroscientists to reduce measurements from a large number of brain regions to a tractable number of factors. However, dimension reduction often ignores relevant a priori knowledge about the structure of the data. For example, it is well established that the brain is highly symmetric. In this paper, we (a) show the adverse consequences of ignoring a priori structure in factor analysis, (b) propose a technique to accommodate structure in EFA by using structured residuals (EFAST), and (c) apply this technique to three large and varied brain-imaging network datasets, demonstrating the superior fit and interpretability of our approach. We provide an R software package to enable researchers to apply EFAST to other suitable datasets.

Bayesian inference for psychology. Part I: Theoretical advantages and practical ramifications.

Abstract: Bayesian parameter estimation and Bayesian hypothesis testing present attractive alternatives to classical inference using confidence intervals and p values. In part I of this series we outline ten prominent advantages of the Bayesian approach. Many of these advantages translate to concrete opportunities for pragmatic researchers. For instance, Bayesian hypothesis testing allows researchers to quantify evidence and monitor its progression as data come in, without needing to know the intention with which the data were collected. We end by countering several objections to Bayesian hypothesis testing. Part II of this series discusses JASP, a free and open source software program that makes it easy to conduct Bayesian estimation and testing for a range of popular statistical scenarios (Wagenmakers et al. this issue).

Evaluating the replicability of social science experiments in Nature and Science between 2010 and 2015

Abstract: Being able to replicate scientific findings is crucial for scientific progress. We replicate 21 systematically selected experimental studies in the social sciences published in Nature and Science between 2010 and 2015. The replications follow analysis plans reviewed by the original authors and pre-registered prior to the replications. The replications are high powered, with sample sizes on average about five times higher than in the original studies. We find a significant effect in the same direction as the original study for 13 (62%) studies, and the effect size of the replications is on average about 50% of the original effect size. Replicability varies between 12 (57%) and 14 (67%) studies for complementary replicability indicators. Consistent with these results, the estimated true-positive rate is 67% in a Bayesian analysis. The relative effect size of true positives is estimated to be 71%, suggesting that both false positives and inflated effect sizes of true positives contribute to imperfect reproducibility. Furthermore, we find that peer beliefs of replicability are strongly related to replicability, suggesting that the research community could predict which results would replicate and that failures to replicate were not the result of chance alone.

Privacy preserving association rule mining in vertically partitioned data

Abstract: A privacy preserving association rule mining algorithm was introducedThis algorithm preserved privacy of individual values by computing scalar productMeanwhile the algorithm of computing scalar product was given and the security was analyzed