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Author

G Mazor

Bio: G Mazor is an academic researcher. The author has contributed to research in topics: Herd immunity & Vaccination. The author has an hindex of 1, co-authored 1 publications receiving 312 citations.

Papers
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The theoretical results indicate that the advantages and disadvantages of a pulse strategy should be seriously examined in Israel and in countries with similar patterns of measles virus transmission.
Abstract: Although vaccines against measles have been routinely applied over a quarter of a century, measles is still persistent in Israel, with major epidemics roughly every 5 years. Recent serological analyses have shown that only 85% of Israelis aged 18 years have anti-measles IgG antibodies. Considering the high transmissibility of the virus and the high level of herd immunity required for disease eradication, the Israeli vaccination policy against measles is now being reevaluated. Motivated by theoretical studies of populations in perturbed environments, we examined the possibility of replacing the conventional cohort vaccination strategy by a pulse strategy--i.e., periodic vaccination of several age cohorts at the same time. Numerical studies of a deterministic age-structured model suggest that vaccination, which renders immunity to no more than 85% of the susceptible children aged 1-7 years, once every 5 years will suffice to prevent epidemics in Israel, where infection rate is highest amongst schoolchildren. The model suggests that by using such a strategy the density of susceptible individuals is always kept below the threshold above which recurrent epidemics will be maintained. Analysis of simpler, non-age-structured, models serves to clarify the basic properties of the proposed strategy. Our theoretical results indicate that the advantages and disadvantages of a pulse strategy should be seriously examined in Israel and in countries with similar patterns of measles virus transmission.

321 citations


Cited by
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MonographDOI
01 Jan 2006
TL;DR: Ben-chohra as discussed by the authors dedicates this book to his family members who complete us, and his children, Mohamed, Maroua, and Abdelillah; J. Henderson dedicates to his wife, Darlene and his descendants, Kathy.
Abstract: Dedication We dedicate this book to our family members who complete us. In particular, M. Ben-chohra's dedication is to his wife, Kheira, and his children, Mohamed, Maroua, and Abdelillah; J. Henderson dedicates to his wife, Darlene, and his descendants, Kathy, Contents Preface xi 1. Preliminaries 1 1.1. Definitions and results for multivalued analysis 1 1.2. Fixed point theorems 4 1.3. Semigroups 7 1.4. Some additional lemmas and notions 9 2. Impulsive ordinary differential equations & inclusions 11 2.1. Introduction 11 2.2. Impulsive ordinary differential equations 12 2.3. Impulsive ordinary differential inclusions 24 2.4. Ordinary damped differential inclusions 49 2.5. Notes and remarks 62 3. Impulsive functional differential equations & inclusions 63 3.1. Introduction 63 3.2. Impulsive functional differential equations 63 3.3. Impulsive neutral differential equations 74 3.4. Impulsive functional differential inclusions 80 3.5. Impulsive neutral functional DIs 95 3.6. Impulsive semilinear functional DIs 107 3.7. Notes and remarks 118 4. Impulsive differential inclusions with nonlocal conditions 119 4.1. Introduction 119 4.2. Nonlocal impulsive semilinear differential inclusions 119 4.3. Existence results for impulsive functional semilinear differential inclusions with nonlocal conditions 136 4.4. Notes and remarks 145 5. Positive solutions for impulsive differential equations 147 5.1. Introduction 147 5.2. Positive solutions for impulsive functional differential equations 147 5.3. Positive solutions for impulsive boundary value problems 154 5.4. Double positive solutions for impulsive boundary value problems 159 5.5. Notes and remarks 165 viii Contents 6. Boundary value problems for impulsive differential inclusions 167 6.1. Introduction 167 6.2. First-order impulsive differential inclusions with periodic boundary conditions 167 6.3. Upper-and lower-solutions method for impulsive differential inclusions with nonlinear boundary conditions 184 6.4. Second-order boundary value problems 191 6.5. Notes and remarks 198 7. Nonresonance impulsive differential inclusions 199 7.1. Introduction 199 7.2. Nonresonance first-order impulsive functional differential inclusions with periodic boundary conditions 199 7.3. Nonresonance second-order impulsive functional differential inclusions with periodic boundary conditions 209 7.4. Nonresonance higher-order boundary value problems for impulsive functional differential inclusions 217 7.5. Notes and remarks 227 8. Impulsive differential equations & inclusions with variable times 229 8.1. Introduction 229 8.2. First-order impulsive differential equations with variable times 229 8.3. Higher-order impulsive differential equations with variable times 235 8.4. Boundary value problems for differential inclusions with variable times 241 8.5. Notes and remarks 252 9. Nondensely defined impulsive differential equations & inclusions 253 9.1. Introduction 253 9.2. Nondensely defined impulsive semilinear differential equations with nonlocal conditions 253 9.3. Nondensely defined …

807 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Theoretical results show that the measles ‘pulse’ vaccination strategy can be distinguished from the conventional strategies in leading to disease eradication at relatively low values of vaccination.

507 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The causes and consequences of seasonality are examined, and several new results concerning vaccination strategy and the interpretation of disease outbreak data are derived, and a mathematical analysis of routine and pulse vaccination programmes for seasonal infections is presented.
Abstract: Seasonal change in the incidence of infectious diseases is a common phenomenon in both temperate and tropical climates. However, the mechanisms responsible for seasonal disease incidence, and the e...

494 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
29 Oct 1999-Science
TL;DR: Analysis of measles epidemics in UK cities shows the reverse pattern, namely a shift from spatial incoherence and irregularity before vaccination to regular, synchronous epidemics afterward, and models show that these patterns can arise from disease-specific responses to dynamical noise.
Abstract: Measles epidemics in UK cities, which were regular and highly synchronous before vaccination, are known to have become irregular and spatially uncorrelated in the vaccine era. Whooping cough shows the reverse pattern, namely a shift from spatial incoherence and irregularity before vaccination to regular, synchronous epidemics afterward. Models show that these patterns can arise from disease-specific responses to dynamical noise. This analysis has implications for vaccination strategies and illustrates the power of comparative dynamical studies of sympatric metapopulations.

310 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
28 Aug 2006-Vaccine
TL;DR: An SEIRS epidemic model with time delays and pulse vaccination is formulated and it is proven that the infection-free periodic solution is globally attractive if the vaccination rate is larger than theta*.

293 citations