Showing papers by "Greg S. Corrado published in 2017"

Google's Multilingual Neural Machine Translation System: Enabling Zero-Shot Translation

Abstract: We propose a simple solution to use a single Neural Machine Translation (NMT) model to translate between multiple languages. Our solution requires no changes to the model architecture from a standard NMT system but instead introduces an artificial token at the beginning of the input sentence to specify the required target language. Using a shared wordpiece vocabulary, our approach enables Multilingual NMT using a single model. On the WMT’14 benchmarks, a single multilingual model achieves comparable performance for English→French and surpasses state-of-the-art results for English→German. Similarly, a single multilingual model surpasses state-of-the-art results for French→English and German→English on WMT’14 and WMT’15 benchmarks, respectively. On production corpora, multilingual models of up to twelve language pairs allow for better translation of many individual pairs. Our models can also learn to perform implicit bridging between language pairs never seen explicitly during training, showing that transfer learning and zero-shot translation is possible for neural translation. Finally, we show analyses that hints at a universal interlingua representation in our models and show some interesting examples when mixing languages.

Predicting Cardiovascular Risk Factors in Retinal Fundus Photographs using Deep Learning

Abstract: Traditionally, medical discoveries are made by observing associations and then designing experiments to test these hypotheses. However, observing and quantifying associations in images can be difficult because of the wide variety of features, patterns, colors, values, shapes in real data. In this paper, we use deep learning, a machine learning technique that learns its own features, to discover new knowledge from retinal fundus images. Using models trained on data from 284,335 patients, and validated on two independent datasets of 12,026 and 999 patients, we predict cardiovascular risk factors not previously thought to be present or quantifiable in retinal images, such as such as age (within 3.26 years), gender (0.97 AUC), smoking status (0.71 AUC), HbA1c (within 1.39%), systolic blood pressure (within 11.23mmHg) as well as major adverse cardiac events (0.70 AUC). We further show that our models used distinct aspects of the anatomy to generate each prediction, such as the optic disc or blood vessels, opening avenues of further research.

Detecting Cancer Metastases on Gigapixel Pathology Images

Abstract: Each year, the treatment decisions for more than 230,000 breast cancer patients in the U.S. hinge on whether the cancer has metastasized away from the breast. Metastasis detection is currently performed by pathologists reviewing large expanses of biological tissues. This process is labor intensive and error-prone. We present a framework to automatically detect and localize tumors as small as 100 x 100 pixels in gigapixel microscopy images sized 100,000 x 100,000 pixels. Our method leverages a convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture and obtains state-of-the-art results on the Camelyon16 dataset in the challenging lesion-level tumor detection task. At 8 false positives per image, we detect 92.4% of the tumors, relative to 82.7% by the previous best automated approach. For comparison, a human pathologist attempting exhaustive search achieved 73.2% sensitivity. We achieve image-level AUC scores above 97% on both the Camelyon16 test set and an independent set of 110 slides. In addition, we discover that two slides in the Camelyon16 training set were erroneously labeled normal. Our approach could considerably reduce false negative rates in metastasis detection.

Deep learning for predicting refractive error from retinal fundus images

Abstract: Refractive error, one of the leading cause of visual impairment, can be corrected by simple interventions like prescribing eyeglasses. We trained a deep learning algorithm to predict refractive error from the fundus photographs from participants in the UK Biobank cohort, which were 45 degree field of view images and the AREDS clinical trial, which contained 30 degree field of view images. Our model use the "attention" method to identify features that are correlated with refractive error. Mean absolute error (MAE) of the algorithm's prediction compared to the refractive error obtained in the AREDS and UK Biobank. The resulting algorithm had a MAE of 0.56 diopters (95% CI: 0.55-0.56) for estimating spherical equivalent on the UK Biobank dataset and 0.91 diopters (95% CI: 0.89-0.92) for the AREDS dataset. The baseline expected MAE (obtained by simply predicting the mean of this population) was 1.81 diopters (95% CI: 1.79-1.84) for UK Biobank and 1.63 (95% CI: 1.60-1.67) for AREDS. Attention maps suggested that the foveal region was one of the most important areas used by the algorithm to make this prediction, though other regions also contribute to the prediction. The ability to estimate refractive error with high accuracy from retinal fundus photos has not been previously known and demonstrates that deep learning can be applied to make novel predictions from medical images. Given that several groups have recently shown that it is feasible to obtain retinal fundus photos using mobile phones and inexpensive attachments, this work may be particularly relevant in regions of the world where autorefractors may not be readily available.

Learning fast and slow: deviations from the matching law can reflect an optimal strategy under uncertainty

Abstract: Behavior which deviates from our normative expectations often appears irrational A classic example concerns the question of how choice should be distributed among multiple alternatives The so called matching law predicts that the fraction of choices made to any option should match the fraction of total rewards earned from the option This choice strategy can maximize reward in a stationary reward schedule Empirically, however, behavior often deviates from this ideal While such deviations have often been interpreted as reflecting ‘noisy’, sub-optimal, decision-making, here we instead suggest that they reflect a strategy which is adaptive in non-stationary and uncertain environments We analyze the results of a dynamic foraging task Animals exhibited significant deviations from matching, and animals turned out to be able to collect more rewards when deviation was larger We show that this behavior can be understood if one considers that animals had incomplete information about the environment9s dynamics In particular, using computational models, we show that in such non-stationary environments, learning on both fast and slow timescales is beneficial Learning on fast timescales means that an animal can react to sudden changes in the environment, though this inevitably introduces large fluctuations variance in value estimates Concurrently, learning on slow timescales reduces the amplitude of these fluctuations at the price of introducing a bias that causes systematic deviations We confirm this prediction in data -- monkeys indeed solved the bias-variance tradeoff by combining learning on both fast and slow timescales Our work suggests that multi-timescale learning could be a biologically plausible mechanism for optimizing decisions under uncertainty