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J. L. Allen

Bio: J. L. Allen is an academic researcher from All Saints' College. The author has contributed to research in topics: Response bias & Belief bias. The author has an hindex of 1, co-authored 1 publications receiving 131 citations.

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TL;DR: This paper investigated the effect of verbal instructions on the belief bias effect in syllogistic reasoning and found that belief bias is most clearly marked by a tendency for subjects to accept invalid conclusions which are a priori believable.
Abstract: The study is concerned with the question of whether robust biases in reasoning can be reduced or eliminated by verbal instruction in principles of reasoning. Three experiments are reported in which the effect of instructions upon the belief bias effect in syllogistic reasoning is investigated. Belief bias is most clearly marked by a tendency for subjects to accept invalid conclusions which are a priori believable. Experiment 1 attempted to replicate and extend an experiment reported by Newstead, Pollard, Evans and Allen (1992). In contrast with their experiment, it was found that belief bias was maintained despite the use of augmented instructions which emphasised the principle of logical necessity. Experiment 2 provided an exact replication of the augmented instructions condition of Newstead et al., including the presence of problems with belief-neutral conclusions. Once again, significant effects of conclusion believability were found. A third experiment examined the use of elaborated instructi...

139 citations


Cited by
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TL;DR: The authors present a framework for predicting when cognitive ability will and will not correlate with a rational thinking tendency, including some of the most classic and well-studied biases in the heuristics and biases literature.
Abstract: In 7 different studies, the authors observed that a large number of thinking biases are uncorrelated with cognitive ability. These thinking biases include some of the most classic and well-studied biases in the heuristics and biases literature, including the conjunction effect, framing effects, anchoring effects, outcome bias, base-rate neglect, "less is more" effects, affect biases, omission bias, myside bias, sunk-cost effect, and certainty effects that violate the axioms of expected utility theory. In a further experiment, the authors nonetheless showed that cognitive ability does correlate with the tendency to avoid some rational thinking biases, specifically the tendency to display denominator neglect, probability matching rather than maximizing, belief bias, and matching bias on the 4-card selection task. The authors present a framework for predicting when cognitive ability will and will not correlate with a rational thinking tendency.

712 citations

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TL;DR: Data support a model in which a metacognitive judgment about a first, initial model determines the extent of analytic engagement, and were consistently predicted by the fluency with which the initial answer was produced, providing a link to the wider literature on metamemory.

466 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is suggested that the methods used for studying reasoning be reviewed, especially the instructional context, which necessarily defines pragmatic influences as biases.
Abstract: The study of deductive reasoning has been a major paradigm in psychology for approximately the past 40 years. Research has shown that people make many logical errors on such tasks and are strongly influenced by problem content and context. It is argued that this paradigm was developed in a context of logicist thinking that is now outmoded. Few reasoning researchers still believe that logic is an appropriate normative system for most human reasoning, let alone a model for describing the process of human reasoning, and many use the paradigm principally to study pragmatic and probabilistic processes. It is suggested that the methods used for studying reasoning be reviewed, especially the instructional context, which necessarily defines pragmatic influences as biases.

364 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a simple additive probability model that describes conflict can be mapped on to three different cognitive models: the pre-emptive conflict resolution model, the default interventionist model, and the parallel-competitive model.
Abstract: In this paper, I show that the question of how dual process theories of reasoning and judgement account for conflict between System 1 (heuristic) and System 2 (analytic) processes needs to be explicated and addressed in future research work. I demonstrate that a simple additive probability model that describes such conflict can be mapped on to three different cognitive models. The pre-emptive conflict resolution model assumes that a decision is made at the outset as to whether a heuristic or analytic process will control the response. The parallel-competitive model assumes that each system operates in parallel to deliver a putative response, resulting sometimes in conflict that then needs to be resolved. Finally, the default-interventionist model involves the cueing of default responses by the heuristic system that may or may not be altered by subsequent intervention of the analytic system. A second, independent issue also emerges from this discussion. The superior performance of higher-ability participan...

314 citations

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TL;DR: This work introduces a three-stage model that elucidates the bottom-up factors that cause individuals to engage Type 2 processing and argues that considering the potential stages of reasoning allows us to distinguish early (conflict detection) and late (decoupling) sources of analytic thought.

290 citations