Jinjun Tang

Bio: Jinjun Tang is an academic researcher from Central South University. The author has contributed to research in topics: Computer science & Traffic flow. The author has an hindex of 29, co-authored 92 publications receiving 2584 citations. Previous affiliations of Jinjun Tang include Harbin Institute of Technology & University of Washington.

An Improved Fuzzy Neural Network for Traffic Speed Prediction Considering Periodic Characteristic

Abstract: This paper proposes a new method in construction fuzzy neural network to forecast travel speed for multi-step ahead based on 2-min travel speed data collected from three remote traffic microwave sensors located on a southbound segment of a fourth ring road in Beijing City. The first-order Takagi–Sugeno system is used to complete the fuzzy inference. To train the evolving fuzzy neural network (EFNN), two learning processes are proposed. First, a $K$ -means method is employed to partition input samples into different clusters and a Gaussian fuzzy membership function is designed for each cluster to measure the membership degree of samples to the cluster centers. As the number of input samples increases, the cluster centers are modified and membership functions are also updated. Second, a weighted recursive least squares estimator is used to optimize the parameters of the linear functions in the Takagi–Sugeno type fuzzy rules. Furthermore, a trigonometric regression function is introduced to capture the periodic component in the raw speed data. Specifically, the predicted performance between the proposed model and six traditional models are compared, which are artificial neural network, support vector machine, autoregressive integrated moving average model, and vector autoregressive model. The results suggest that the prediction performances of EFNN are better than those of traditional models due to their strong learning ability. As the prediction time step increases, the EFNN model can consider the periodic pattern and demonstrate advantages over other models with smaller predicted errors and slow raising rate of errors.

Uncovering urban human mobility from large scale taxi GPS data

Abstract: Taxi GPS trajectories data contain massive spatial and temporal information of urban human activity and mobility. Taking taxi as mobile sensors, the information derived from taxi trips benefits the city and transportation planning. The original data used in study are collected from more than 1100 taxi drivers in Harbin city. We firstly divide the city area into 400 different transportation districts and analyze the origin and destination distribution in urban area on weekday and weekend. The Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) algorithm is used to cluster pick-up and drop-off locations. Furthermore, four spatial interaction models are calibrated and compared based on trajectories in shopping center of Harbin city to study the pick-up location searching behavior. By extracting taxi trips from GPS data, travel distance, time and average speed in occupied and non-occupied status are then used to investigate human mobility. Finally, we use observed OD matrix of center area in Harbin city to model the traffic distribution patterns based on entropy-maximizing method, and the estimation performance verify its effectiveness in case study.

Real-Time Traffic Flow Parameter Estimation From UAV Video Based on Ensemble Classifier and Optical Flow

Abstract: Recently, the availability of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) opens up new opportunities for smart transportation applications, such as automatic traffic data collection. In such a trend, detecting vehicles and extracting traffic parameters from UAV video in a fast and accurate manner is becoming crucial in many prospective applications. However, from the methodological perspective, several limitations have to be addressed before the actual implementation of UAV. This paper proposes a new and complete analysis framework for traffic flow parameter estimation from UAV video. This framework addresses the well-concerned issues on UAV's irregular ego-motion, low estimation accuracy in dense traffic situation, and high computational complexity by designing and integrating four stages. In the first two stages an ensemble classifier (Haar cascade + convolutional neural network) is developed for vehicle detection, and in the last two stages a robust traffic flow parameter estimation method is developed based on optical flow and traffic flow theory. The proposed ensemble classifier is demonstrated to outperform the state-of-the-art vehicle detectors that designed for UAV-based vehicle detection. Traffic flow parameter estimations in both free flow and congested traffic conditions are evaluated, and the results turn out to be very encouraging. The dataset with 20,000 image samples used in this study is publicly accessible for benchmarking at http://www.uwstarlab.org/research.html.

A hybrid approach to integrate fuzzy C-means based imputation method with genetic algorithm for missing traffic volume data estimation

Abstract: Although various innovative traffic sensing technologies have been widely employed, incomplete sensor data is one of the most major problems to significantly degrade traffic data quality and integrity. In this study, a hybrid approach integrating the Fuzzy C-Means (FCM)-based imputation method with the Genetic Algorithm (GA) is develop for missing traffic volume data estimation based on inductance loop detector outputs. By utilizing the weekly similarity among data, the conventional vector-based data structure is firstly transformed into the matrix-based data pattern. Then, the GA is applied to optimize the membership functions and centroids in the FCM model. The experimental tests are conducted to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The traffic volume data collected at different temporal scales were used as the testing dataset, and three different indicators, including root mean square error, correlation coefficient, and relative accuracy, are utilized to quantify the imputation performance compared with some conventional methods (Historical method, Double Exponential Smoothing, and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model). The results show the proposed approach outperforms the conventional methods under prevailing traffic conditions.

Lane-changes prediction based on adaptive fuzzy neural network

Abstract: Lane changing maneuver is one of the most important driving behaviors. Unreasonable lane changes can cause serious collisions and consequent traffic delays. High precision prediction of lane changing intent is helpful for improving driving safety. In this study, by fusing information from vehicle sensors, a lane changing predictor based on Adaptive Fuzzy Neural Network (AFFN) is proposed to predict steering angles. The prediction model includes two parts: fuzzy neural network based on Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy inference, in which an improved Least Squares Estimator (LSE) is adopt to optimize parameters; adaptive learning algorithm to update membership functions and rule base. Experiments are conducted in the driving simulator under scenarios with different speed levels of lead vehicle: 60 km/h, 80 km/h and 100 km/h. Prediction results show that the proposed method is able to accurately follow steering angle patterns. Furthermore, comparison of prediction performance with several machine learning methods further verifies the learning ability of the AFNN. Finally, a sensibility analysis indicates heading angles and acceleration of vehicle are also important factors for predicting lane changing behavior.

Value of Travel Time Reliability: A Review of Current Evidence

Abstract: Travel time reliability is a fundamental factor in travel behavior. It represents the temporal uncertainty experienced by users in their movement between any two nodes in a network. The importance of the time reliability depends on the penalties incurred by the users. In road networks, travelers consider the existence of a trip travel time uncertainty in different choice situations (departure time, route, mode, and others). In this paper, a systematic review of the current state of research in travel time reliability, and more explicitly in the value of travel time reliability is presented. Moreover, a meta-analysis is performed in order to determine the reasons behind the discrepancy among the reliability estimates.

An Improved Fuzzy Neural Network for Traffic Speed Prediction Considering Periodic Characteristic

Abstract: This paper proposes a new method in construction fuzzy neural network to forecast travel speed for multi-step ahead based on 2-min travel speed data collected from three remote traffic microwave sensors located on a southbound segment of a fourth ring road in Beijing City. The first-order Takagi–Sugeno system is used to complete the fuzzy inference. To train the evolving fuzzy neural network (EFNN), two learning processes are proposed. First, a $K$ -means method is employed to partition input samples into different clusters and a Gaussian fuzzy membership function is designed for each cluster to measure the membership degree of samples to the cluster centers. As the number of input samples increases, the cluster centers are modified and membership functions are also updated. Second, a weighted recursive least squares estimator is used to optimize the parameters of the linear functions in the Takagi–Sugeno type fuzzy rules. Furthermore, a trigonometric regression function is introduced to capture the periodic component in the raw speed data. Specifically, the predicted performance between the proposed model and six traditional models are compared, which are artificial neural network, support vector machine, autoregressive integrated moving average model, and vector autoregressive model. The results suggest that the prediction performances of EFNN are better than those of traditional models due to their strong learning ability. As the prediction time step increases, the EFNN model can consider the periodic pattern and demonstrate advantages over other models with smaller predicted errors and slow raising rate of errors.

Applications of artificial intelligence in transport: an overview

Abstract: The rapid pace of developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI) is providing unprecedented opportunities to enhance the performance of different industries and businesses, including the transport sector. The innovations introduced by AI include highly advanced computational methods that mimic the way the human brain works. The application of AI in the transport field is aimed at overcoming the challenges of an increasing travel demand, CO2 emissions, safety concerns, and environmental degradation. In light of the availability of a huge amount of quantitative and qualitative data and AI in this digital age, addressing these concerns in a more efficient and effective fashion has become more plausible. Examples of AI methods that are finding their way to the transport field include Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Genetic algorithms (GA), Simulated Annealing (SA), Artificial Immune system (AIS), Ant Colony Optimiser (ACO) and Bee Colony Optimization (BCO) and Fuzzy Logic Model (FLM) The successful application of AI requires a good understanding of the relationships between AI and data on one hand, and transportation system characteristics and variables on the other hand. Moreover, it is promising for transport authorities to determine the way to use these technologies to create a rapid improvement in relieving congestion, making travel time more reliable to their customers and improve the economics and productivity of their vital assets. This paper provides an overview of the AI techniques applied worldwide to address transportation problems mainly in traffic management, traffic safety, public transportation, and urban mobility. The overview concludes by addressing the challenges and limitations of AI applications in transport.