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Juan M. Sánchez

Bio: Juan M. Sánchez is an academic researcher from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The author has contributed to research in topics: Debt & Recession. The author has an hindex of 21, co-authored 110 publications receiving 1512 citations. Previous affiliations of Juan M. Sánchez include University of Rochester & Federal Reserve System.


Papers
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TL;DR: This paper studied the U.S. establishment-size distribution from 1974 to 2006 and found that the size of the representative establishment is relatively constant, the size distribution has become slightly more evenly distributed and the relative stability of aggregate statistics obscures important movements in the manufacturing and service sectors.
Abstract: This article studies the U.S. establishment-size distribution from 1974–2006. The main findings are: (i) the size of the “representative” establishment is relatively constant; (ii) the size distribution has become slightly more evenly distributed; (iii) the relative stability of aggregate statistics obscures important movements in the manufacturing and service sectors; (iv) both intra- and intersector changes contribute to aggregate changes; and (v) changes in the size distribution of firms are similar to those of establishments. These findings will be useful to calibrate and test models with firms/establishments heterogeneity.

28 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This article measured the relative roles of bankruptcy reform and labor market risk in accounting for consumer debt and default over the Great Recession, and found that bankruptcy reform likely prevented a substantial increase in formal bankruptcy filings, but had only limited effect on informal default from delinquencies, and that changes in job-finding rates were central to both.

28 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a quantitative model of debt delinquency and bankruptcy is developed, which reproduces the dynamics of default and suggests an interpretation of the data in which lenders frequently reset loan terms for delinquent borrowers, typically offering partial debt forgiveness, instead of a blanket imposition of the penalty rates most unsecured credit contracts specify.
Abstract: This article documents and interprets a fact central to the dynamics of informal consumer debt default. We observe that for individuals 60– 90 days late on payments, (i) 85% make payments during the next quarter, and (ii) 40% reduce their debt. To understand these facts, we develop a quantitative model of debt delinquency and bankruptcy. Our model reproduces the dynamics of delinquency and suggests an interpretation of the data in which lenders frequently reset loan terms for delinquent borrowers, typically offering partial debt forgiveness, instead of a blanket imposition of the “penalty rates†most unsecured credit contracts specify.

27 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The authors explored cross-sectional variation in cash holdings of U.S. publicly traded firms to shed light on the reasons for the recent trend in increased cash holdings, and identified factors that correlate with cash holdings and examined the evolution of these factors over the past decade.
Abstract: Currently U.S. firms hold record amounts of cash. The authors explore cross-sectional variation in cash holdings of U.S. publicly traded firms to shed light on the reasons for this recent trend. First, they identify factors that correlate with cash holdings and then examine the evolution of these factors over the past decade. Several factors, including research and development expenditures and idiosyncratic uncertainty, are important in accounting for cross-sectional differences in cash holdings. However, these factors do not increase over time as cash holdings do; thus, it seems unlikely that they underlie the increase in cash holdings. Aggregate uncertainty, however, has recently reached record levels. This uncertainty, combined with the fact that (idiosyncratic) uncertainty correlates well with cash holdings in the cross section of firms, suggests aggregate uncertainty may be an important factor accounting for the recent trend in increased cash holdings.

24 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors developed a quantitative dynamic stochastic small open economy model with incomplete markets, endogenous fiscal policy and sovereign default where public expenditures and tax rates are optimally procyclical.
Abstract: Emerging market economies typically exhibit a procyclical fiscal policy: public expenditures rise (fall) in economic expansions (recessions), whereas tax rates rise (fall) in bad (good) times. Additionally, the business cycle of these economies is characterized by countercyclical default risk. In this paper we develop a quantitative dynamic stochastic small open economy model with incomplete markets, endogenous fiscal policy and sovereign default where public expenditures and tax rates are optimally procyclical. The model also accounts for the dynamics of other key macroeconomic variables in emerging economies.

21 citations


Cited by
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors formulate a version of the growth model in which production is carried out by heterogeneous establishments and calibrate it to US data, and argue that differences in the allocation of resources across establishments that differ in productivity may be an important factor in accounting for cross-country differences in output per capita.

1,299 citations

Journal Article
TL;DR: Šonje et al. as mentioned in this paper used a sample of 35 countries for the period between 1860 and 1963 to show the relationship between income and financial depth measured by the ratio between bank's assets and GDP.
Abstract: relationship. All subsequent studies confirmed it (see for example King and Levine, 1993, and the review in: Pagano, 1993). Goldsmith used a sample of 35 countries for the period between 1860 and 1963 to show the relationship between income and financial depth measured by the ratio between bank's assets and GDP. He also showed that in periods of rapid growth, financial depth grows faster than income. More details about measuring financial depth can be found in this paper. FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Velimir Šonje

891 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This article developed a model co-determining aggregate total factor productivity (TFP), sectoral TFP, and scales across industrial sectors and found that financial frictions disproportionately affect TFP in tradable sectors where production requires larger costs.
Abstract: Explaining levels of economic development hinges on explaining TFP dierences across coun- tries. In poor countries, total factor productivity (TFP) is particularly low in sectors producing tradable goods. We document that an important dierence between tradable and non-tradable sectors is their average establishment size: Tradable establishments operate at much larger scales. We develop a model co-determining aggregate TFP, sectoral TFP, and scales across industrial sectors. In our model, …nancial frictions disproportionately aect TFP in tradable sectors where production requires larger …xed costs. Our quantitative exercises show that …- nancial frictions explain a substantial part of the observed cross-country relationship between aggregate TFP, sectoral TFP, and output per worker.

884 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the role of financial frictions in determining total factor productivity (TFP) was evaluated using producer-level data, and a model of establishment dynamics was proposed to reduce TFP through two channels: finance frictions distort entry and technology adoption decisions.
Abstract: We use producer-level data to evaluate the role of financial frictions in determining total factor productivity (TFP). We study a model of establishment dynamics in which financial frictions reduce TFP through two channels. First, finance frictions distort entry and technology adoption decisions. Second, finance frictions generate dispersion in the returns to capital across existing producers and thus productivity losses from misallocation. Parameterizations of our model consistent with the data imply fairly small losses from misallocation, but potentially sizable losses from inefficiently low levels of entry and technology adoption. (JEL E32, E44, F41, G32, L60, O33, O47)

874 citations