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Juan M. Sánchez

Bio: Juan M. Sánchez is an academic researcher from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The author has contributed to research in topics: Debt & Recession. The author has an hindex of 21, co-authored 110 publications receiving 1512 citations. Previous affiliations of Juan M. Sánchez include University of Rochester & Federal Reserve System.


Papers
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TL;DR: This paper developed a model of endogenous sovereign debt maturity choice that rationalizes various stylized facts about debt maturity and the yield spread curve: first, sovereign debt duration and maturity generally exceed one year, and co-move positively with the business cycle.
Abstract: This study develops a novel model of endogenous sovereign debt maturity choice that rationalizes various stylized facts about debt maturity and the yield spread curve: first, sovereign debt duration and maturity generally exceed one year, and co-move positively with the business cycle. Second, sovereign yield spread curves are usually non-linear and upward-sloped, and may become non-monotonic and inverted during a period of high credit market stress, such as a default episode. Finally, output volatility, sudden stops, impatience and risk aversion are key determinants of maturity, both in our model and in the data.

9 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the role of improvements in information technologies in consumer credit markets has been analyzed and quantitatively quantified, and it is shown that information costs have a significant effect on the bankruptcy rate.
Abstract: Consumer bankruptcies rose sharply over the last 20 years in the U.S. economy. During the same period, there was impressive technological progress in the information sector. This paper provides a theory to understand and quantify the role of improvements in information technologies in consumer credit markets. Informational frictions restrict the amount of debt that can be borrowed. In fact, in the equilibrium in which investing in information is too expensive, many households borrow such small amounts that the default risk is very low. When information costs drop and informational frictions vanish, those households borrow more and default is likely after a bad shock. Quantitative exercises show that information costs have a significant effect on the bankruptcy rate. Additionally, a drop in information costs generates changes in other variables (e.g. interest rate dispersion) similar to what has occurred over the last 20 years.

9 citations

ReportDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors revisited the behavior of small versus large firms during the episodes of credit disruption and recessions in the sample extended to cover the 2007-09 economic crisis.
Abstract: Gertler and Gilchrist (1994) provide evidence for the prevailing view that adverse shocks are propagated via credit constraints of small firms. We revisit the behavior of small versus large firms during the episodes of credit disruption and recessions in the sample extended to cover the 2007-09 economic crisis. We find that large firms' short-term debt and sales contracted relatively more than those of small firms during the 2007-09 episode. Furthermore, the short-term debt of large firms also contracted relatively more in the previous tight money episodes if one takes into account the longer period that it takes for large firms' debt to reach its post-shock trough. Our findings challenge the view that propagation of shocks in the economy takes place via credit constraints of small firms.

8 citations

Posted Content
TL;DR: In this paper, a costly state verification framework is embedded into the standard growth model to address how technological progress in financial intermediation affects the economy, and the efficacy of monitoring depends upon the amount of resources invested in the activity.
Abstract: To address how technological progress in financial intermediation affects the economy, a costly-state verification framework is embedded into the standard growth model. The framework has two novel features. First, firms differ in the risk/return combinations that they offer. Second, the efficacy of monitoring depends upon the amount of resources invested in the activity. A financial theory of firm size results. Undeserving firms are over financed, deserving ones underfunded. Technological advance in intermediation leads to more capital accumulation and a redirection of funds away from unproductive firms toward productive ones. Quantitative analysis suggests that finance is important for growth.

7 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The authors developed a model of endogenous debt restructuring that captures key facts of sovereign debt and restructuring episodes, and employed dynamic discrete choice methods that allow for smoother decision rules, rendering the problem tractable.
Abstract: Sovereign debt crises involve debt restructurings characterized by a mix of face value haircuts and maturity extensions. The prevalence of maturity extensions has been hard to reconcile with economic theory. We develop a model of endogenous debt restructuring that captures key facts of sovereign debt and restructuring episodes. While debt dilution pushes for negative maturity extensions, three factors are important in overcoming the effects of dilution and generating maturity extensions upon restructurings: income recovery after default, credit exclusion after restructuring, and regulatory costs of book value haircuts. We employ dynamic discrete choice methods that allow for smoother decision rules, rendering the problem tractable.

7 citations


Cited by
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TL;DR: In this paper, the authors formulate a version of the growth model in which production is carried out by heterogeneous establishments and calibrate it to US data, and argue that differences in the allocation of resources across establishments that differ in productivity may be an important factor in accounting for cross-country differences in output per capita.

1,299 citations

Journal Article
TL;DR: Šonje et al. as mentioned in this paper used a sample of 35 countries for the period between 1860 and 1963 to show the relationship between income and financial depth measured by the ratio between bank's assets and GDP.
Abstract: relationship. All subsequent studies confirmed it (see for example King and Levine, 1993, and the review in: Pagano, 1993). Goldsmith used a sample of 35 countries for the period between 1860 and 1963 to show the relationship between income and financial depth measured by the ratio between bank's assets and GDP. He also showed that in periods of rapid growth, financial depth grows faster than income. More details about measuring financial depth can be found in this paper. FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Velimir Šonje

891 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This article developed a model co-determining aggregate total factor productivity (TFP), sectoral TFP, and scales across industrial sectors and found that financial frictions disproportionately affect TFP in tradable sectors where production requires larger costs.
Abstract: Explaining levels of economic development hinges on explaining TFP dierences across coun- tries. In poor countries, total factor productivity (TFP) is particularly low in sectors producing tradable goods. We document that an important dierence between tradable and non-tradable sectors is their average establishment size: Tradable establishments operate at much larger scales. We develop a model co-determining aggregate TFP, sectoral TFP, and scales across industrial sectors. In our model, …nancial frictions disproportionately aect TFP in tradable sectors where production requires larger …xed costs. Our quantitative exercises show that …- nancial frictions explain a substantial part of the observed cross-country relationship between aggregate TFP, sectoral TFP, and output per worker.

884 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the role of financial frictions in determining total factor productivity (TFP) was evaluated using producer-level data, and a model of establishment dynamics was proposed to reduce TFP through two channels: finance frictions distort entry and technology adoption decisions.
Abstract: We use producer-level data to evaluate the role of financial frictions in determining total factor productivity (TFP). We study a model of establishment dynamics in which financial frictions reduce TFP through two channels. First, finance frictions distort entry and technology adoption decisions. Second, finance frictions generate dispersion in the returns to capital across existing producers and thus productivity losses from misallocation. Parameterizations of our model consistent with the data imply fairly small losses from misallocation, but potentially sizable losses from inefficiently low levels of entry and technology adoption. (JEL E32, E44, F41, G32, L60, O33, O47)

874 citations