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Klaus Jöhnk

Bio: Klaus Jöhnk is an academic researcher from Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation. The author has contributed to research in topics: Climate model & Stratification (water). The author has an hindex of 21, co-authored 46 publications receiving 2899 citations. Previous affiliations of Klaus Jöhnk include University of Amsterdam & Leibniz Association.

Papers
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a coupled biological-physical model was developed to investigate how competition for light between buoyant cyanobacteria, diatoms and green algae in eutrophic lakes is affected by the meteorological conditions of this extreme summer heatwave.
Abstract: Dense surface blooms of toxic cyanobacteria in eutrophic lakes may lead to mass mortalities of fish and birds, and provide a serious health threat for cattle, pets, and humans. It has been argued that global warming may increase the incidence of harmful algal blooms. Here, we report on a lake experiment where intermittent artificial mixing failed to control blooms of the harmful cyanobacterium Microcystis during the summer of 2003, one of the hottest summers ever recorded in Europe. To understand this failure, we develop a coupled biological-physical model investigating how competition for light between buoyant cyanobacteria, diatoms and green algae in eutrophic lakes is affected by the meteorological conditions of this extreme summer heatwave. The model consists of a phytoplankton competition model coupled to a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model, driven by meteorological data. The model predicts that high temperatures favour cyanobacteria directly, through increased growth rates. Moreover, high temperatures also increase the stability of the water column, thereby reducing vertical turbulent mixing, which shifts the competitive balance in favour of buoyant cyanobacteria. Through these direct and indirect temperature effects, in combination with reduced wind speed and reduced cloudiness, summer heatwaves boost the development of harmful cyanobacterial blooms. These findings warn that climate change is likely to yield an increased threat of harmful cyanobacteria in eutrophic freshwater ecosystems.

867 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
14 Feb 2008-Nature
TL;DR: The first experimental demonstration of chaos in a long-term experiment with a complex food web, isolated from the Baltic Sea, demonstrates that species interactions in food webs can generate chaos, and implies that stability is not required for the persistence of complex food webs, and that the long- term prediction of species abundances can be fundamentally impossible.
Abstract: Mathematical models predict that species interactions such as competition and predation can generate chaos. However, experimental demonstrations of chaos in ecology are scarce, and have been limited to simple laboratory systems with a short duration and artificial species combinations. Here, we present the first experimental demonstration of chaos in a long-term experiment with a complex food web. Our food web was isolated from the Baltic Sea, and consisted of bacteria, several phytoplankton species, herbivorous and predatory zooplankton species, and detritivores. The food web was cultured in a laboratory mesocosm, and sampled twice a week for more than 2,300 days. Despite constant external conditions, the species abundances showed striking fluctuations over several orders of magnitude. These fluctuations displayed a variety of different periodicities, which could be attributed to different species interactions in the food web. The population dynamics were characterized by positive Lyapunov exponents of similar magnitude for each species. Predictability was limited to a time horizon of 15-30 days, only slightly longer than the local weather forecast. Hence, our results demonstrate that species interactions in food webs can generate chaos. This implies that stability is not required for the persistence of complex food webs, and that the long-term prediction of species abundances can be fundamentally impossible.

382 citations

BookDOI
01 Jan 2004

198 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, a time lag of 1 yr in the response of deep-water winter temperatures to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAOW) was observed in Lake Constance, indicating that climate variability influenced both the causes (nutrient supply for phytoplankton growth) and symptoms (the degree of hypolimnetic oxygen deficiency).
Abstract: Recent winter warming over Central Europe associated with a positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) strongly influenced the thermal and water column stability properties of deep Lake Constance ( zmean 5 101 m). Volumetrically weighted average water temperatures have increased since the 1960s by an average of 0.0178C yr 21 , and its interannual variability was strongly related to the variability in winter air temperature and the NAO winter index (NAOW). The influence of NAO W on water temperature was more persistent than its influence on air temperature. The seasonal persistence of the NAOW signal increased with water depth. Deep-water temperatures were related to the NAOW from one spring mixing period to the next. This caused a time lag of 1 yr in the response of deep-water winter temperatures to the NAOW. Reduced winter cooling during high-NAOW years resulted in the persistence of small temperature gradients that possibly resisted complete mixing. This, in turn, resulted in less upward mixing of nutrients (total phosphorus and total silica), which accumulated in the hypolimnion during the previous stratification period. A second effect of incomplete mixing was the lack of the replenishment of deepwater oxygen during high-NAOW years. Hence, besides its strong impact on the thermal regime, climate variability influenced both the causes (nutrient supply for phytoplankton growth) and symptoms (the degree of hypolimnetic oxygen deficiency) of trophic changes in Lake Constance.

188 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Any further temperature increase would promote the growth and development of Nostocales species in general, and that of the invasive species in particular, and would enable a more northward expansion of A. ovalisporum.
Abstract: Some tropical cyanobacteria have spread to temperate freshwaters during the last decades. To evaluate their further development in temperate lakes, we studied the temperature- and light-dependent growth of three invasive (Cylindrospermopsis raciborskii, Anabaena bergii and Aphanizomenon aphanizomenoides) and three native (Aphanizomenon gracile, Aphanizomenon flos-aquae and Anabaena macrospora) cyanobacterial species (Nostocales) from German lakes. We also included one potentially invasive (Aphanizomenon ovalisporum) Nostocales species. We conducted semi-continuous culture experiments and a microcosm experiment along a natural light gradient. Temperature data were used to design a model to simulate the development of selected species according to three temperature scenarios (past, present and future). Native species had significantly higher growth rates than invasive species and the potential invader A. ovalisporum at low temperatures (� 108C), while the opposite was true at high temperatures (� 358C). Maximum growth rates of A. ovalisporum, A. aphanizomenoides and C. raciborskii were clearly higher than those of A. bergii and the native species. Regarding light-dependent growth, significant differences were found between single species but not between all native and invasive species. The model simulation demonstrates a shift in dominance from the native A. gracile in the historic scenario to C. raciborskii populations in the future scenario, in which also the potential invader A. ovalisporum is able to establish populations in temperate lakes. Our findings suggest that any further temperature increase would promote the growth and development of Nostocales species in general, and that of the invasive species in particular, and would enable a more northward expansion of A. ovalisporum.

145 citations


Cited by
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Journal ArticleDOI
04 Apr 2008-Science
TL;DR: A link exists between global warming and the worldwide proliferation of harmful cyanobacterial blooms as discussed by the authors, and it has been shown that global warming can be linked with the proliferation of these blooms.
Abstract: A link exists between global warming and the worldwide proliferation of harmful cyanobacterial blooms.

2,180 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Organizing the material of community ecology according to this framework can clarify the essential similarities and differences among the many conceptual and theoretical approaches to the discipline, and allow for the articulation of a very general theory of community dynamics.
Abstract: Community ecology is often perceived as a mess, given the seemingly vast number of processes that can underlie the many patterns of interest, and the apparent uniqueness of each study system. However, at the most general level, patterns in the composition and diversity of speciesthe subject matter of community ecologyare influenced by only four classes of process: selection, drift, speciation, and dispersal. Selection represents deterministic fitness differences among species, drift represents stochastic changes in species abundance, speciation creates new species, and dispersal is the movement of organisms across space. All theoretical and conceptual models in community ecology can be understood with respect to their emphasis on these four processes. Empirical evidence exists for all of these processes and many of their interactions, with a predominance of studies on selection. Organizing the material of community ecology according to this framework can clarify the essential similarities and dif...

1,792 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A review of the relationship between eutrophication, climate change and cyanobacterial blooms in freshwater, estuarine, and marine ecosystems can be found in this paper.

1,675 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This work has identified the key response variables within a lake that act as indicators of the effects of climate change on both the lake and the catchment, which reflect a wide range of physical, chemical, and biological responses to climate.
Abstract: While there is a general sense that lakes can act as sentinels of climate change, their efficacy has not been thoroughly analyzed. We identified the key response variables within a lake that act as indicators of the effects of climate change on both the lake and the catchment. These variables reflect a wide range of physical, chemical, and biological responses to climate. However, the efficacy of the different indicators is affected by regional response to climate change, characteristics of the catchment, and lake mixing regimes. Thus, particular indicators or combinations of indicators are more effective for different lake types and geographic regions. The extraction of climate signals can be further complicated by the influence of other environmental changes, such as eutrophication or acidification, and the equivalent reverse phenomena, in addition to other land-use influences. In many cases, however, confounding factors can be addressed through analytical tools such as detrending or filtering. Lakes are effective sentinels for climate change because they are sensitive to climate, respond rapidly to change, and integrate information about changes in the catchment.

1,353 citations