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Mary Wineland

Bio: Mary Wineland is an academic researcher. The author has contributed to research in topics: Ozone depletion & Atmospheric radiative transfer codes. The author has an hindex of 1, co-authored 1 publications receiving 88 citations.

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TL;DR: In this article, a comprehensive radiative transfer model is used to calculate surface spectral ultraviolet irradiance under cloud-free conditions and the results are compared with measurements made at Lauder, New Zealand (45 deg S, 170 deg E) before and after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo and including a snow-covered surface.
Abstract: A comprehensive radiative transfer model is used to calculate surface spectral ultraviolet irradiance under cloud-free conditions. The results are compared with measurements made at Lauder, New Zealand (45 deg S, 170 deg E) before and after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo and including a snow-covered surface. There is reasonable agreement between measured and calculated diffuse, direct, and global irradiances over the range 300 to 450 nm. Discrepancies may be due to calibration errors in the UV measurements, or in the extra terrestrial irradiances input to the model. Ratios of diffuse/direct irradiances are independent of such calibration uncertainties and therefore provide a sensitive test of the model. If appropriate ozonesonde data, surface albedo, and aerosol optical properties are used, the model ratios are in satisfactory agreement with measurements over a wide range of observing conditions. For cases in which the atmospheric optical properties are best known the agreement is better than 8% in the UV-B range, and for wavelengths 320 to 450 nm the deviation is smaller. The comparison suggests that the ultraviolet radiation exposure can be computed with confidence for clear sky conditions if the appropriate atmospheric molecular density profiles, ozonesonde data, surface albedo, and aerosol optical properties are available.more » The UV radiation model is used to investigate the impact of changes in solar zenith angle, ozone abundance, surface albedo, and aerosol loading on UV radiation reaching the surface of the Earth. The ratios of diffuse to direct irradiance depend critically on solar zenith angle, surface albedo, and aerosol extinction. Ozone changes have pronounced effects on the global UVB irradiance but have only a minor effect on these ratios.« less

89 citations


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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It will be several years before the beginning of an ozone recovery can be unambiguously identified at individual locations, and future changes in greenhouse gases will affect the future evolution of ozone through chemical, radiative, and dynamic processes.
Abstract: Stratospheric ozone levels are near their lowest point since measurements began, so current ultraviolet-B (UV-B) radiation levels are thought to be close to their maximum. Total stratospheric content of ozone-depleting substances is expected to reach a maximum before the year 2000. All other things being equal, the current ozone losses and related UV-B increases should be close to their maximum. Increases in surface erythemal (sunburning) UV radiation relative to the values in the 1970s are estimated to be: about 7% at Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes in winter/spring; about 4% at Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes in summer/fall; about 6% at Southern Hemisphere mid-latitudes on a year-round basis; about 130% in the Antarctic in spring; and about 22% in the Arctic in spring. Reductions in atmospheric ozone are expected to result in higher amounts of UV-B radiation reaching the Earth's surface. The expected correlation between increases in surface UV-B radiation and decreases in overhead ozone has been further demonstrated and quantified by ground-based instruments under a wide range of conditions. Improved measurements of UV-B radiation are now providing better geographical and temporal coverage. Surface UV-B radiation levels are highly variable because of cloud cover, and also because of local effects including pollutants and surface reflections. These factors usually decrease atmospheric transmission and therefore the surface irradiances at UV-B as well as other wavelengths. Occasional cloud-induced increases have also been reported. With a few exceptions, the direct detection of UV-B trends at low- and mid-latitudes remains problematic due to this high natural variability, the relatively small ozone changes, and the practical difficulties of maintaining long-term stability in networks of UV-measuring instruments. Few reliable UV-B radiation measurements are available from pre-ozone-depletion days. Satellite-based observations of atmospheric ozone and clouds are being used, together with models of atmospheric transmission, to provide global coverage and long-term estimates of surface UV-B radiation. Estimates of long-term (1979-1992) trends in zonally averaged UV irradiances that include cloud effects are nearly identical to those for clear-sky estimates, providing evidence that clouds have not influenced the UV-B trends. However, the limitations of satellite-derived UV estimates should be recognized. To assess uncertainties inherent in this approach, additional validations involving comparisons with ground-based observations are required. Direct comparisons of ground-based UV-B radiation measurements between a few mid-latitude sites in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres have shown larger differences than those estimated using satellite data. Ground-based measurements show that summertime erythemal UV irradiances in the Southern Hemisphere exceed those at comparable latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere by up to 40%, whereas corresponding satellite-based estimates yield only 10-15% differences. Atmospheric pollution may be a factor in this discrepancy between ground-based measurements and satellite-derived estimates. UV-B measurements at more sites are required to determine whether the larger observed differences are globally representative. High levels of UV-B radiation continue to be observed in Antarctica during the recurrent spring-time ozone hole. For example, during ozone-hole episodes, measured biologically damaging radiation at Palmer Station, Antarctica (64 degrees S) has been found to approach and occasionally even exceed maximum summer values at San Diego, CA, USA (32 degrees N). Long-term predictions of future UV-B levels are difficult and uncertain. Nevertheless, current best estimates suggest that a slow recovery to pre-ozone depletion levels may be expected during the next half-century. (ABSTRACT TRUNCATED)

1,152 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The Montreal Protocol is working as mentioned in this paper and ozone depletion is now decreasing, and the decline in total column amounts seen in the 1980s and 1990s at mid-latitudes has not continued.
Abstract: The Montreal Protocol is working. Concentrations of major ozone-depleting substances in the atmosphere are now decreasing, and the decline in total column amounts seen in the 1980s and 1990s at mid-latitudes has not continued. In polar regions, there is much greater natural variability. Each spring, large ozone holes continue to occur in Antarctica and less severe regions of depleted ozone continue to occur in the Arctic. There is evidence that some of these changes are driven by changes in atmospheric circulation rather than being solely attributable to reductions in ozone-depleting substances, which may indicate a linkage to climate change. Global ozone is still lower than in the 1970s and a return to that state is not expected for several decades. As changes in ozone impinge directly on UV radiation, elevated UV radiation due to reduced ozone is expected to continue over that period. Long-term changes in UV-B due to ozone depletion are difficult to verify through direct measurement, but there is strong evidence that UV-B irradiance increased over the period of ozone depletion. At unpolluted sites in the southern hemisphere, there is some evidence that UV-B irradiance has diminished since the late 1990s. The availability and temporal extent of UV data have improved, and we are now able to evaluate the changes in recent times compared with those estimated since the late 1920s, when ozone measurements first became available. The increases in UV-B irradiance over the latter part of the 20th century have been larger than the natural variability. There is increased evidence that aerosols have a larger effect on surface UV-B radiation than previously thought. At some sites in the Northern Hemisphere, UV-B irradiance may continue to increase because of continuing reductions in aerosol extinctions since the 1990s. Interactions between ozone depletion and climate change are complex and can be mediated through changes in chemistry, radiation, and atmospheric circulation patterns. The changes can be in both directions: ozone changes can affect climate, and climate change can affect ozone. The observational evidence suggests that stratospheric ozone (and therefore UV-B) has responded relatively quickly to changes in ozone-depleting substances, implying that climate interactions have not delayed this process. Model calculations predict that at mid-latitudes a return of ozone to pre-1980 levels is expected by the mid 21st century. However, it may take a decade or two longer in polar regions. Climate change can also affect UV radiation through changes in cloudiness and albedo, without involving ozone and since temperature changes over the 21st century are likely to be about 5 times greater than in the past century. This is likely to have significant effects on future cloud, aerosol and surface reflectivity. Consequently, unless strong mitigation measures are undertaken with respect to climate change, profound effects on the biosphere and on the solar UV radiation received at the Earth's surface can be anticipated. The future remains uncertain. Ozone is expected to increase slowly over the decades ahead, but it is not known whether ozone will return to higher levels, or lower levels, than those present prior to the onset of ozone depletion in the 1970s. There is even greater uncertainty about future UV radiation, since it will be additionally influenced by changes in aerosols and clouds.

588 citations

01 Jan 2002
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide a primer on radiative transfer: absorption and scattering opacity, Stokes parameters, Poincare sphere, and the Mueller matrix, as well as the principle of reciprocity for the bidirectional reflectance.
Abstract: Preface 1. Basic properties of radiation, atmospheres and oceans 2. Basic state variables 3. Interaction of radiation with matter 4. Formulation of radiative transfer problems 5. Approximate solutions of prototype problems 6. Accurate numerical solutions of prototype problems 7. Emission-dominated radiative processes 8. Radiative transfer in spectrally-complex media 9. Solar radiation driving photochemistry and photobiology 10. The role of radiation in climate Appendix 1. A primer on radiative transfer: absorption and scattering opacity Appendix 2. Stokes parameters, Poincare sphere, and the Mueller matrix Appendix 3. Nomenclature: glossary of symbols Appendix 4. Principle of reciprocity for the bidirectional reflectance Appendix 5. Isolation of the azimuth-dependence Appendix 6. The streaming term in spherical geometry Appendix 7. Reflectance and transmittance of the invariant intensity (I n2) Appendix 8. Scaling transformation for anisotropic scattering Appendix 9. Reciprocity, duality and effects of surface reflection Appendix 10. Removal of overflow problems in the intensity formulas.

515 citations

Book
13 Aug 1999
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors provide a primer on radiative transfer: absorption and scattering opacity, Stokes parameters, Poincare sphere, and the Mueller matrix, as well as the principle of reciprocity for the bidirectional reflectance.
Abstract: Preface 1. Basic properties of radiation, atmospheres and oceans 2. Basic state variables 3. Interaction of radiation with matter 4. Formulation of radiative transfer problems 5. Approximate solutions of prototype problems 6. Accurate numerical solutions of prototype problems 7. Emission-dominated radiative processes 8. Radiative transfer in spectrally-complex media 9. Solar radiation driving photochemistry and photobiology 10. The role of radiation in climate Appendix 1. A primer on radiative transfer: absorption and scattering opacity Appendix 2. Stokes parameters, Poincare sphere, and the Mueller matrix Appendix 3. Nomenclature: glossary of symbols Appendix 4. Principle of reciprocity for the bidirectional reflectance Appendix 5. Isolation of the azimuth-dependence Appendix 6. The streaming term in spherical geometry Appendix 7. Reflectance and transmittance of the invariant intensity (I n2) Appendix 8. Scaling transformation for anisotropic scattering Appendix 9. Reciprocity, duality and effects of surface reflection Appendix 10. Removal of overflow problems in the intensity formulas.

510 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In addition, it is estimated that standard gas and particulate absorbers and scatterers accounted for only about 52-62% of the observed UV reductions at Claremont and Riverside as discussed by the authors.
Abstract: Measurements in 1973 and 1987 showed that downward ultraviolet (UV) irradiances within the boundary layer in Los Angeles were up to 50% less than those above the boundary layer. Downward total solar irradiances were reduced by less than 14% in both studies. It is estimated that standard gas and particulate absorbers and scatterers accounted for only about 52–62% of the observed UV reductions at Claremont and Riverside. It is hypothesized that absorption by nitrated and aromatic aerosol components and nitrated aromatic gases caused at least 25–30% of the reductions (with aerosols accounting for about 4/5 of this percent). The remaining reductions are still unaccounted for. Absorbing aerosol components include nitrated aromatics, benzaldehydes, benzoic acids, aromatic polycarboxylic acids, phenols, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, and nitrated inorganics. Many of these species have been observed to date in atmospheric particles, and absorption coefficient data indicate many are strong absorbers at long UV wavelengths. Since aerosols containing nitrated or aromatic aerosols have been observed widely in many areas aside from Los Angeles the finding may account for a portion of UV extinction in those regions as well. In Los Angeles, the finding may be important for predicting smog evolution, since UV reductions associated with high aerosol loadings were estimated to cause a 5–8% decrease in ozone mixing ratios in August 1987. Further laboratory and field studies are needed to quantify better the extent of UV absorption due to nitrated and aromatic aerosols and nitrated aromatic gases.

356 citations