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Michael J. Fine

Bio: Michael J. Fine is an academic researcher from University of Pittsburgh. The author has contributed to research in topics: Community-acquired pneumonia & Pneumonia. The author has an hindex of 84, co-authored 285 publications receiving 32890 citations. Previous affiliations of Michael J. Fine include Veterans Health Administration & University of Lausanne.


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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A prediction rule that stratifies patients into five classes with respect to the risk of death within 30 days accurately identifies the patients with community-acquired pneumonia who are at low risk for death and other adverse outcomes and may help physicians make more rational decisions about hospitalization for patients with pneumonia.
Abstract: Background There is considerable variability in rates of hospitalization of patients with community-acquired pneumonia, in part because of physicians' uncertainty in assessing the severity of illness at presentation. Methods From our analysis of data on 14,199 adult inpatients with community-acquired pneumonia, we derived a prediction rule that stratifies patients into five classes with respect to the risk of death within 30 days. The rule was validated with 1991 data on 38,039 inpatients and with data on 2287 inpatients and outpatients in the Pneumonia Patient Outcomes Research Team (PORT) cohort study. The prediction rule assigns points based on age and the presence of coexisting disease, abnormal physical findings (such as a respiratory rate of > or = 30 or a temperature of > or = 40 degrees C), and abnormal laboratory findings (such as a pH or = 30 mg per deciliter [11 mmol per liter] or a sodium concentration Results There were no significant differences in mortality in each of the five risk classes among the three cohorts. Mortality ranged from 0.1 to 0.4 percent for class I patients (P=0.22), from 0.6 to 0.7 percent for class II (P=0.67), and from 0.9 to 2.8 percent for class III (P=0.12). Among the 1575 patients in the three lowest risk classes in the Pneumonia PORT cohort, there were only seven deaths, of which only four were pneumonia-related. The risk class was significantly associated with the risk of subsequent hospitalization among those treated as outpatients and with the use of intensive care and the number of days in the hospital among inpatients. Conclusions The prediction rule we describe accurately identifies the patients with community-acquired pneumonia who are at low risk for death and other adverse outcomes. This prediction rule may help physicians make more rational decisions about hospitalization for patients with pneumonia.

3,996 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This study highlights the need to understand more fully the role of Epstein-Barr virus in the development of central giant cell granuloma and its role in the immune system.
Abstract: John G. Bartlett,1 Scott F Dowell,2 Lionel A. Mandell,6 Thomas M. File, Jr.,3 Daniel M. Musher,4 and Michael J. Fine5 'Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, 2Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, 3Northeastern Ohio Universities College of Medicine, Cleveland, Ohio, 4Baylor College of Medicine and Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas, and 5University of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; and 6McMaster University, Toronto, Canada

2,292 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
10 Jan 1996-JAMA
TL;DR: Mortality for patients hospitalized with CAP was high and was associated with characteristics of the study cohort, pneumonia etiology, and a variety of prognostic factors.
Abstract: Objective. —To systematically review the medical literature on the prognosis and outcomes of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Data Sources. —A MEDLINE literature search of English-language articles involving human subjects and manual reviews of article bibliographies were used to identify studies of prognosis in CAP. Study Selection. —Review of 4573 citations revealed 122 articles (127 unique study cohorts) that reported medical outcomes in adults with CAP. Data Extraction. —Qualitative assessments of studies' patient populations, designs, and patient outcomes were performed. Summary univariate odds ratios (ORs) and rate differences (RDs) and their associated 95% confidence intervals (Cls) were computed to estimate a summary effect size for the association of prognostic factors and mortality. Data Synthesis. —The overall mortality for the 33148 patients in all 127 study cohorts was 13.7%, ranging from 5.1% for the 2097 hospitalized and ambulatory patients (in six study cohorts) to 36.5% for the 788 intensive care unit patients (in 13 cohorts). Mortality varied by pneumonia etiology, ranging from less than 2% to greater than 30%. Eleven prognostic factors were significantly associated with mortality using both summary ORs and RDs: male sex (OR=1.3; 95% Cl, 1.2 to 1.4), pleuritic chest pain (OR=0.5; 95% Cl, 0.3 to 0.8), hypothermia (OR=5.0; 95% Cl, 2.4 to 10.4), systolic hypotension (OR=4.8; 95% Cl, 2.8 to 8.3), tachypnea (OR=2.9; 95% Cl, 1.7 to 4.9), diabetes mellitus (OR=1.3; 95% Cl, 1.1 to 1.5), neoplastic disease (OR=2.8; 95% Cl, 2.4 to 3.1), neurologic disease (OR=4.6; 95% Cl, 2.3 to 8.9), bacteremia (OR=2.8; 95% Cl, 2.3 to 3.6), leukopenia (OR=2.5; 95% Cl, 1.6 to 3.7), and multilobar radiographic pulmonary infiltrate (OR=3.1; 95% Cl, 1.9 to 5.1). Assessments of other clinically relevant medical outcomes such as morbid complications (41 cohorts), symptoms resolution (seven cohorts), return to work or usual activities (five cohorts), or functional status (one cohort) were infrequently performed. Conclusions. —Mortality for patients hospitalized with CAP was high and was associated with characteristics of the study cohort, pneumonia etiology, and a variety of prognostic factors. Generalization of these findings to all patients with CAP should be made with caution because of insufficient published information on medical outcomes other than mortality in ambulatory patients. ( JAMA . 1995;274:134-141)

1,299 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The prediction rule is based on 11 simple patient characteristics that were independently associated with mortality and stratifies patients with pulmonary embolism into five severity classes, with 30-day mortality rates of 0-1.6%.
Abstract: Rationale: An objective and simple prognostic model for patients with pulmonary embolism could be helpful in guiding initial intensity of treatment.Objectives: To develop a clinical prediction rule that accurately classifies patients with pulmonary embolism into categories of increasing risk of mortality and other adverse medical outcomes.Methods: We randomly allocated 15,531 inpatient discharges with pulmonary embolism from 186 Pennsylvania hospitals to derivation (67%) and internal validation (33%) samples. We derived our prediction rule using logistic regression with 30-day mortality as the primary outcome, and patient demographic and clinical data routinely available at presentation as potential predictor variables. We externally validated the rule in 221 inpatients with pulmonary embolism from Switzerland and France.Measurements: We compared mortality and nonfatal adverse medical outcomes across the derivation and two validation samples.Main Results: The prediction rule is based on 11 simple patient ...

974 citations


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TL;DR: In this review the usual methods applied in systematic reviews and meta-analyses are outlined, and the most common procedures for combining studies with binary outcomes are described, illustrating how they can be done using Stata commands.

31,656 citations

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TL;DR: Wang et al. as discussed by the authors used univariable and multivariable logistic regression methods to explore the risk factors associated with in-hospital death, including older age, high SOFA score and d-dimer greater than 1 μg/mL.

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Journal Article
TL;DR: Items such as physical exam findings, radiographic interpretations, or other diagnostic tests often rely on some degree of subjective interpretation by observers and studies that measure the agreement between two or more observers should include a statistic that takes into account the fact that observers will sometimes agree or disagree simply by chance.
Abstract: Items such as physical exam findings, radiographic interpretations, or other diagnostic tests often rely on some degree of subjective interpretation by observers. Studies that measure the agreement between two or more observers should include a statistic that takes into account the fact that observers will sometimes agree or disagree simply by chance. The kappa statistic (or kappa coefficient) is the most commonly used statistic for this purpose. A kappa of 1 indicates perfect agreement, whereas a kappa of 0 indicates agreement equivalent to chance. A limitation of kappa is that it is affected by the prevalence of the finding under observation. Methods to overcome this limitation have been described.

6,539 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Although high fever was associated with the development of ARDS, it was also associated with better outcomes among patients with ARDS and treatment with methylprednisolone may be beneficial for patients who develop ARDS.
Abstract: Importance Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an emerging infectious disease that was first reported in Wuhan, China, and has subsequently spread worldwide. Risk factors for the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 pneumonia have not yet been well delineated. Objective To describe the clinical characteristics and outcomes in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia who developed acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) or died. Design, Setting, and Participants Retrospective cohort study of 201 patients with confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia admitted to Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital in China between December 25, 2019, and January 26, 2020. The final date of follow-up was February 13, 2020. Exposures Confirmed COVID-19 pneumonia. Main Outcomes and Measures The development of ARDS and death. Epidemiological, demographic, clinical, laboratory, management, treatment, and outcome data were also collected and analyzed. Results Of 201 patients, the median age was 51 years (interquartile range, 43-60 years), and 128 (63.7%) patients were men. Eighty-four patients (41.8%) developed ARDS, and of those 84 patients, 44 (52.4%) died. In those who developed ARDS, compared with those who did not, more patients presented with dyspnea (50 of 84 [59.5%] patients and 30 of 117 [25.6%] patients, respectively [difference, 33.9%; 95% CI, 19.7%-48.1%]) and had comorbidities such as hypertension (23 of 84 [27.4%] patients and 16 of 117 [13.7%] patients, respectively [difference, 13.7%; 95% CI, 1.3%-26.1%]) and diabetes (16 of 84 [19.0%] patients and 6 of 117 [5.1%] patients, respectively [difference, 13.9%; 95% CI, 3.6%-24.2%]). In bivariate Cox regression analysis, risk factors associated with the development of ARDS and progression from ARDS to death included older age (hazard ratio [HR], 3.26; 95% CI 2.08-5.11; and HR, 6.17; 95% CI, 3.26-11.67, respectively), neutrophilia (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.09-1.19; and HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.01-1.17, respectively), and organ and coagulation dysfunction (eg, higher lactate dehydrogenase [HR, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.44-1.79; and HR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.11-1.52, respectively] and D-dimer [HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04; and HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04, respectively]). High fever (≥39 °C) was associated with higher likelihood of ARDS development (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.11-2.84) and lower likelihood of death (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21-0.82). Among patients with ARDS, treatment with methylprednisolone decreased the risk of death (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20-0.72). Conclusions and Relevance Older age was associated with greater risk of development of ARDS and death likely owing to less rigorous immune response. Although high fever was associated with the development of ARDS, it was also associated with better outcomes among patients with ARDS. Moreover, treatment with methylprednisolone may be beneficial for patients who develop ARDS.

6,335 citations