Miguel Carrión

Bio: Miguel Carrión is an academic researcher from University of Castilla–La Mancha. The author has contributed to research in topics: Stochastic programming & Electric power system. The author has an hindex of 20, co-authored 58 publications receiving 3916 citations.

A computationally efficient mixed-integer linear formulation for the thermal unit commitment problem

Abstract: This paper presents a new mixed-integer linear formulation for the unit commitment problem of thermal units. The formulation proposed requires fewer binary variables and constraints than previously reported models, yielding a significant computational saving. Furthermore, the modeling framework provided by the new formulation allows including a precise description of time-dependent startup costs and intertemporal constraints such as ramping limits and minimum up and down times. A commercially available mixed-integer linear programming algorithm has been applied to efficiently solve the unit commitment problem for practical large-scale cases. Simulation results back these conclusions

Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets

Abstract: This paper considers stochastic programming models for decision-making under uncertainty in the context of electricity markets. It provides a brief overview of modeling and solution techniques within a mathematical programming framework. Tutorial as well as recent references are provided. This paper provides the guidelines for discussion in a panel session organized by the authors on "Decision Making under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets", scheduled for the IEEE PES 2006 General Meeting

Scenario Reduction for Futures Market Trading in Electricity Markets

Abstract: To make informed decisions in futures markets of electric energy, stochastic programming models are commonly used. Such models treat stochastic processes via a set of scenarios, which are plausible realizations throughout the decision-making horizon of the stochastic processes. The number of scenarios needed to accurately represent the uncertainty involved is generally large, which may render the associated stochastic programming problem intractable. Hence, scenario reduction techniques are needed to trim down the number of scenarios while keeping most of the stochastic information embedded in such scenarios. This paper proposes a novel scenario reduction procedure that advantageously compares with existing ones for electricity-market problems tackled via two-stage stochastic programming.

Forward Contracting and Selling Price Determination for a Retailer

Abstract: To procure the electric energy to be sold to its clients, a retailer has to face two major difficulties. While buying electric energy, it must cope with uncertain pool prices or sign forward contracts at higher average prices. While selling electricity, it should handle the uncertainty of the end-user demand and the fact that customers might choose a different retailer if the selling price is not competitive enough. We propose a risk-constrained stochastic programming framework to decide which forward contracts the retailer should sign and at which price it must sell electricity so that its expected profit is maximized at a given risk level. The developed model takes into account the elastic behavior of end users with respect to the selling price offered by the retailer. A realistic case study illustrates the methodology proposed.

A Bilevel Stochastic Programming Approach for Retailer Futures Market Trading

Abstract: This paper presents a bilevel programming approach to solve the medium-term decision-making problem faced by a power retailer. A retailer decides its level of involvement in the futures market and in the pool as well as the selling price offered to its potential clients with the goal of maximizing the expected profit at a given risk level. Uncertainty on future pool prices, client demands, and rival-retailer prices is accounted for via stochastic programming. Unlike in previous approaches, client response to retail price and competition among rival retailers are both explicitly considered in the proposed bilevel model. The resulting nonlinear bilevel programming formulation is transformed into an equivalent single-level mixed-integer linear programming problem by replacing the lower-level optimization by its Karush-Kuhn-Tucker optimality conditions and converting a number of nonlinearities to linear equivalents using some well-known integer algebra results. A realistic case study is solved to illustrate the efficient performance of the proposed methodology.

The European commission

Abstract: 2 1 The innovative transport systems and the CityMobil project 10 1.1 The research questions 10 2 The state of art in the field of automatic transport systems 12 2.1 Case studies and demand studies for innovative transport systems 12 3 The design and implementation of surveys 14 3.1 Definition of experimental design 14 3.2 Questionnaire design and delivery 16 3.3 First analyses on the collected sample 18 4 Calibration of Logit Multionomial demand models 21 4.1 Methodology 21 4.2 Calibration of the “full” model. 22 4.3 Calibration of the “final” model 24 4.4 The demand analysis through the final Multinomial Logit model 25 5 The analysis of interaction between the demand and socioeconomic attributes 31 5.1 Methodology 31 5.2 Application of Mixed Logit models to the demand 31 5.3 Analysis of the interactions between demand and socioeconomic attributes through Mixed Logit models 32 5.4 Mixed Logit model and interaction between age and the demand for the CTS 38 5.5 Demand analysis with Mixed Logit model 39 6 Final analyses and conclusions 45 6.1 Comparison between the results of the analyses 45 6.2 Conclusions 48 6.3 Answers to the research questions and future developments 52

World energy outlook

Abstract: This chapter discusses leading problems linked to energy that the world is now confronting and to propose some ideas concerning possible solutions. Oil deserves special attention among all energy sources. Since the beginning of 1981, it has merely been continuing and enhancing the downward movement in consumption and prices caused by excessive rises, especially for light crudes such as those from Africa, and the slowing down of worldwide economic growth. Densely-populated oil-producing countries need to produce to live, to pay for their food and their equipment. If the economic growth of the industrialized countries were to be 4%, even if investment in the rational use of energy were pushed to the limit and the development of nonpetroleum energy sources were also pursued actively, it would be extremely difficult to prevent a sharp rise in prices. It is evident that it is absolutely necessary to pursue actively the development of coal, natural gas, and nuclear power if a physical shortage of energy is not to block economic growth.

Adaptive Robust Optimization for the Security Constrained Unit Commitment Problem

Abstract: Unit commitment, one of the most critical tasks in electric power system operations, faces new challenges as the supply and demand uncertainty increases dramatically due to the integration of variable generation resources such as wind power and price responsive demand. To meet these challenges, we propose a two-stage adaptive robust unit commitment model for the security constrained unit commitment problem in the presence of nodal net injection uncertainty. Compared to the conventional stochastic programming approach, the proposed model is more practical in that it only requires a deterministic uncertainty set, rather than a hard-to-obtain probability distribution on the uncertain data. The unit commitment solutions of the proposed model are robust against all possible realizations of the modeled uncertainty. We develop a practical solution methodology based on a combination of Benders decomposition type algorithm and the outer approximation technique. We present an extensive numerical study on the real-world large scale power system operated by the ISO New England. Computational results demonstrate the economic and operational advantages of our model over the traditional reserve adjustment approach.