Mladen Živčić

Bio: Mladen Živčić is an academic researcher from Slovenian Environment Agency. The author has contributed to research in topics: Seismic hazard & Geology. The author has an hindex of 12, co-authored 43 publications receiving 778 citations. Previous affiliations of Mladen Živčić include Environment Agency & Jožef Stefan Institute.

The SHARE European Earthquake Catalogue (SHEEC) 1000–1899

Abstract: In the frame of the European Commission project “Seismic Hazard Harmonization in Europe” (SHARE), aiming at harmonizing seismic hazard at a European scale, the compilation of a homogeneous, European parametric earthquake catalogue was planned. The goal was to be achieved by considering the most updated historical dataset and assessing homogenous magnitudes, with support from several institutions. This paper describes the SHARE European Earthquake Catalogue (SHEEC), which covers the time window 1000–1899. It strongly relies on the experience of the European Commission project “Network of Research Infrastructures for European Seismology” (NERIES), a module of which was dedicated to create the European “Archive of Historical Earthquake Data” (AHEAD) and to establish methodologies to homogenously derive earthquake parameters from macroseismic data. AHEAD has supplied the final earthquake list, obtained after sorting duplications out and eliminating many fake events; in addition, it supplied the most updated historical dataset. Macroseismic data points (MDPs) provided by AHEAD have been processed with updated, repeatable procedures, regionally calibrated against a set of recent, instrumental earthquakes, to obtain earthquake parameters. From the same data, a set of epicentral intensity-to-magnitude relations has been derived, with the aim of providing another set of homogeneous Mw estimates. Then, a strategy focussed on maximizing the homogeneity of the final epicentral location and Mw, has been adopted. Special care has been devoted also to supply location and Mw uncertainty. The paper focuses on the procedure adopted for the compilation of SHEEC and briefly comments on the achieved results.

The AlpArray Seismic Network: A Large-Scale European Experiment to Image the Alpine Orogen

Abstract: The AlpArray programme is a multinational, European consortium to advance our understanding of orogenesis and its relationship to mantle dynamics, plate reorganizations, surface processes and seismic hazard in the Alps-Apennines-Carpathians-Dinarides orogenic system. The AlpArray Seismic Network has been deployed with contributions from 36 institutions from 11 countries to map physical properties of the lithosphere and asthenosphere in 3D and thus to obtain new, high-resolution geophysical images of structures from the surface down to the base of the mantle transition zone. With over 600 broadband stations operated for 2 years, this seismic experiment is one of the largest simultaneously operated seismological networks in the academic domain, employing hexagonal coverage with station spacing at less than 52 km. This dense and regularly spaced experiment is made possible by the coordinated coeval deployment of temporary stations from numerous national pools, including ocean-bottom seismometers, which were funded by different national agencies. They combine with permanent networks, which also required the cooperation of many different operators. Together these stations ultimately fill coverage gaps. Following a short overview of previous large-scale seismological experiments in the Alpine region, we here present the goals, construction, deployment, characteristics and data management of the AlpArray Seismic Network, which will provide data that is expected to be unprecedented in quality to image the complex Alpine mountains at depth.

The Seismotectonic Characteristics of Slovenia

Abstract: Slovenia with its neighbouring areas lies at the junction of the Alps, the Dinarides and the Pannonian basin. These belong to the three plates: Europe, Adria and Tisza. On the Slovenian territory itself converge the External Dinarides NW-SE oriented right lateral strike-slip faults, the Transdanubian Range NE-SW oriented left lateral strike-slip faults, and the Southern Alps E-W oriented thrusts. The direction of the principal stress σ1, (azimuth = 6°, dip = 8°) is determined under the assumption of uniform stress throughout the region. Dip of the least principal stress σ3 of 5° is consistent with the regional strike-slip regime. Listed structures form a pure shear structural mechanism on a regional scale.

The 2013 European Seismic Hazard Model: key components and results

Abstract: The 2013 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM13) results from a community-based probabilistic seismic hazard assessment supported by the EU-FP7 project “Seismic Hazard Harmonization in Europe” (SHARE, 2009–2013). The ESHM13 is a consistent seismic hazard model for Europe and Turkey which overcomes the limitation of national borders and includes a through quantification of the uncertainties. It is the first completed regional effort contributing to the “Global Earthquake Model” initiative. It might serve as a reference model for various applications, from earthquake preparedness to earthquake risk mitigation strategies, including the update of the European seismic regulations for building design (Eurocode 8), and thus it is useful for future safety assessment and improvement of private and public buildings. Although its results constitute a reference for Europe, they do not replace the existing national design regulations that are in place for seismic design and construction of buildings. The ESHM13 represents a significant improvement compared to previous efforts as it is based on (1) the compilation of updated and harmonised versions of the databases required for probabilistic seismic hazard assessment, (2) the adoption of standard procedures and robust methods, especially for expert elicitation and consensus building among hundreds of European experts, (3) the multi-disciplinary input from all branches of earthquake science and engineering, (4) the direct involvement of the CEN/TC250/SC8 committee in defining output specifications relevant for Eurocode 8 and (5) the accounting for epistemic uncertainties of model components and hazard results. Furthermore, enormous effort was devoted to transparently document and ensure open availability of all data, results and methods through the European Facility for Earthquake Hazard and Risk ( www.efehr.org ).

Seismic wave propagation in laterally heterogeneous anelastic media: Theory and applications to seismic zonation

Abstract: Publisher Summary The ability to estimate accurately seismic hazard at very low probability of exceedance may be important in protecting special objects in the built environment against rare earthquakes. The deterministic approach, based upon the assumption that several earthquakes can occur within a predefined seismic zone, represents a conservative definition of seismic hazard for preevent localized planning for disaster mitigation, over a broad range of periods. Computation of realistic synthetic seismograms, using methods that take into account source, propagation, and site effects, and utilizing the huge amount of available geological, geophysical, and geotechnical data provides a powerful and economically valid scientific tool for seismic zonation and microzanation. First-order zonations can be made at regional scale, considering average structural models and a set of sources with damaging potential distributed within the identified seismogenic areas. Seismic microzonations of urban areas can be performed even more accurately when the required geotechnical data are available, so that local site effects can be effectively modeled.

Lithospheric structure of the Pannonian basin derived from seismic, gravity and geothermal data

Abstract: Abstract The structure of the Pannonian basin is the result of distinct modes of Mid-Late Miocene extension exerting a profound effect on the lithospheric configuration, which continues even today. As the first manifestation of extensional collapse, large magnitude, metamorphic core complex style extension took place at the beginning of the Mid-Miocene in certain parts of the basin. Extrapolation of the present-day high heat flow in the basin, corrected for the blanketing effect of the basin fill, indicates a hot and thin lithosphere at the onset of extension. This initial condition, combined with the relatively thick crust inherited from earlier Alpine compressional episodes, appears to be responsible for the core complex type extension at the beginning of the syn-rift period. This type of extension is well documented in the northwestern Pannonian basin. Newly obtained deep reflection seismic and fission-track data integrated with well data from the southeastern part of the basin suggests that it developed in a similar fashion. Shortly after the initial period, the style of syn-rift extension changed to a wide-rift style, covering an area of much larger geographic extent. The associated normal faults revealed by industry reflection seismic data tend to dominate within the upper crust, obscuring pre-existing structures. However, several deep seismic profiles, constrained by gravity and geothermal modeling, image the entire lithosphere beneath the basin. It is the Mid-Miocene synrift extension which is still reflected in the structure of the Pannonian lithosphere, on the scale of the whole basin system. The gradually diminishing extension during the Late Miocene/Pliocene could not advance to the localization of extension into narrow rift zones in the Pannonian region, except some deep subbasins such as the Makó/Békés and Danube basins. These basins are underlain coincidently by anomalously thin crust (22–25 km) and lithosphere (45–60 km). Significant departures (up to 130 mW m−2) from the average present-day surface heat flow (c. 90 mW m−2) and intensive Pliocene alkaline magmatism are also regarded as evidence for the initiation of two newly defined narrow rift zones (Tisza and Duna) in the Pannonian basin system. However, both of these narrow rifts failed since the final docking of the Eastern Carpathians onto the European foreland excluded any further extension of the back-arc region.

A deterministic seismic hazard map of India and adjacent areas.

Abstract: A seismic hazard map of the territory of India and adjacent areas has been prepared using a deterministic approach based on the computation of synthetic seismograms complete with all main phases. The input data set consists of structural models, seismogenic zones, focal mechanisms and earthquake catalogues. There are few probabilistic hazard maps available for the Indian subcontinent, however, this is the first study aimed at producing a deterministic seismic hazard map for the Indian region using realistic strong ground motion modelling with the knowledge of the physical process of earthquake generation, the level of seismicity and wave propagation in anelastic media. Synthetic seismograms at a frequency of 1 Hz have been generated at a regular grid of 0.2° x 0.2° by the modal summation technique. The seismic hazard, expressed in terms of maximum displacement (D m a x ), maximum velocity (V m a x ), and design ground acceleration (DGA), has been extracted from the synthetic signals and mapped on a regular grid over the studied territory. The estimated values of the peak ground acceleration are compared with the observed data available for the Himalayan region and are found to be in agreement. Many parts of the Himalayan region have DGA values exceeding 0.6 g. The epicentral areas of the great Assam earthquakes of 1897 and 1950 in northeast India represent the maximum hazard with DGA values reaching 1.2-1.3 g. The peak velocity and displacement in the same region is estimated as 120-177 cm s - 1 and 60-90 cm, respectively.