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Natalia Hoyos

Bio: Natalia Hoyos is an academic researcher from Universidad del Norte, Colombia. The author has contributed to research in topics: Continental margin & Fluvial. The author has an hindex of 13, co-authored 29 publications receiving 1373 citations. Previous affiliations of Natalia Hoyos include Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute & University of Florida.

Papers
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The first ever Global Rainfall Erosivity Database was used to develop a global erosivity map at 30 arc-seconds based on a Gaussian Process Regression(GPR), where the tropical climate zone has the highest mean rainfall erosivities followed by the temperate whereas the lowest mean was estimated in the cold climate zone.
Abstract: The exposure of the Earth’s surface to the energetic input of rainfall is one of the key factors controlling water erosion. While water erosion is identified as the most serious cause of soil degradation globally, global patterns of rainfall erosivity remain poorly quantified and estimates have large uncertainties. This hampers the implementation of effective soil degradation mitigation and restoration strategies. Quantifying rainfall erosivity is challenging as it requires high temporal resolution(<30 min) and high fidelity rainfall recordings. We present the results of an extensive global data collection effort whereby we estimated rainfall erosivity for 3,625 stations covering 63 countries. This first ever Global Rainfall Erosivity Database was used to develop a global erosivity map at 30 arc-seconds(~1 km) based on a Gaussian Process Regression(GPR). Globally, the mean rainfall erosivity was estimated to be 2,190 MJ mm ha−1 h−1 yr−1, with the highest values in South America and the Caribbean countries, Central east Africa and South east Asia. The lowest values are mainly found in Canada, the Russian Federation, Northern Europe, Northern Africa and the Middle East. The tropical climate zone has the highest mean rainfall erosivity followed by the temperate whereas the lowest mean was estimated in the cold climate zone.

344 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the Isthmus of Panama is shown to have been an uninterrupted chain above sea level from late Eocene until at least late Miocene times using geochemical and thermochronological data.
Abstract: The rise of the Isthmus of Panama, linked to a number of climatic, paleoceanographic, and biological events, has been studied mostly from indirect, often distal, geochemical and biotic evidence. We have upgraded existing geologic mapping in central Panama with more than 2000 field stations, over 40 petrographic analyses, and more than 30 new geochronological and thermochronological analyses. This data set suggests that the isthmus was an uninterrupted chain above sea level from late Eocene until at least late Miocene times. The basement complex of central Panama is a folded-faulted, ∼3-km-thick arc sequence, intruded by granitoid bodies and onlapped by mildly deformed upper Eocene and Oligocene strata. Six U/Pb zircon ages in the granitoids–along with published geochronological data—reveal intense late Paleocene to middle Eocene magmatism (58–39 Ma), a temporary cessation of magmatic activity between 38 and 27 Ma, and renewed magmatism between 25 and 15 Ma in a position ∼75 km south of the former magmatic axis. Thermochronological analyses in zircon (eight U-Th/He ages), and in apatite crystals (four U-Th/He ages and nine fission-track ages) obtained from a subset of 58–54 Ma granitoid bodies record a concordant Lutetian-age (47–42 Ma) cooling from ∼200 °C to ∼70 °C in ∼5 m.y., and cooling below ∼40 °C between 12 and 9 Ma. Cooling is linked to exhumation by an angular unconformity that separates the deformed basement complex below from mildly deformed, upper Eocene to Oligocene terrestrial to shallow-marine strata above. Exhumation and erosion of the basement complex are independently confirmed by lower Miocene strata that have a detrital zircon signature that closely follows the central Panama basement complex age distribution. These results greatly restrict the width and depth of the strait separating southern Central America from South America, and challenge the widely accepted notion that the Central American Seaway closed in late Pliocene time, when the ice age began.

314 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, geochronological and geochemical data from the Isthmus of Panama were used to reconstruct the closure of the Central American seaway at 15 Ma, suggesting that by the time of northern hemisphere glaciation, deep-water circulation had long been severed.
Abstract: Closure of the Central American seaway was a local tectonic event with potentially global biotic and environmental repercussions. We report geochronological (six U/Pb LA-ICP-MS zircon ages) and geochemical (19 XRF and ICP-MS analyses) data from the Isthmus of Panama that allow definition of a distinctive succession of plateau sequences to subduction-related protoarc to arc volcaniclastic rocks intruded by Late Cretaceous to middle Eocene intermediate plutonic rocks (67.6 ± 1.4 Ma to 41.1 ± 0.7 Ma). Paleomagnetic analyses (24 sites, 192 cores) in this same belt reveal large counterclockwise vertical-axis rotations (70.9° ± 6.7°), and moderate clockwise rotations (between 40° ± 4.1° and 56.2° ± 11.1°) on either side of an east-west trending fault at the apex of the Isthmus (Rio Gatun Fault), consistent with Isthmus curvature. An Oligocene-Miocene arc crosscuts the older, deformed and segmented arc sequences, and shows no significant vertical-axis rotation or deformation. There are three main stages of deformation: 1) left-lateral, strike-slip offset of the arc (∼100 km), and counterclockwise vertical-axis rotation of western arc segments between 38 and 28 Ma; 2) clockwise rotation of central arc segments between 28 and 25 Ma; and 3) orocline tightening after 25 Ma. When this reconstruction is placed in a global plate tectonic framework, and published exhumation data is added, the Central American seaway disappears at 15 Ma, suggesting that by the time of northern hemisphere glaciation, deep-water circulation had long been severed in Central America.

178 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
30 Sep 2005-Catena
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors used the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) in a GIS environment to assess the erosion potential of a 58 km2 watershed in the coffee growing region of the Colombian Andes.
Abstract: Soil erosion potential of a 58 km2 watershed in the coffee growing region of the Colombian Andes was assessed using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) in a GIS environment. The RUSLE factors were developed from local rainfall, topographic, soil and land use data. Seasonal erosivity factors (R) were calculated for six pluviographic stations (1987–1997) located within 22 km of the basin. Two regression models, one for the wet and one for the dry seasons, were created and used to estimate seasonal erosivity for 10 additional stations with pluviometric data. Erosivity was on average higher in the wet seasons (4686 MJ mm ha− 1 h− 1 season− 1) than the dry ones (2599 MJ mm ha− 1 h− 1 season− 1). Seasonal erosivity surfaces were generated using the local polynomial interpolation method, and showed increases from west to east in accordance with regional elevation. Soil erodibility was calculated from field measurements of water stable aggregates (> 2 mm) and infiltration, which were influenced by land use. Three erodibility scenarios were considered (high, average and low) to represent the variability in infiltration measurements within each land use. The topographic and land cover factors were developed from existing contour and land use data. Model results indicated that in the dry seasons, and under the average erodibility scenario, 534 ha (11%) of the basin's rural area were within the extreme erosion potential category (above 3.5 t ha− 1 season− 1). During the wet seasons, this area increased to 1348 ha (28%). In general, areas under forest and shrub had low erosion potential values, while those under coffee and pasture varied according to topography. Modeling of probable land use change scenarios indicated that the erosion potential of the basin would decrease as a result of coffee conversion to pasture.

124 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed the spatial patterns of effects on the population, measured as the number of affected persons in each municipality normalized to the total municipal population for 2011, using global (Moran's I index) and local (LISA) spatial autocorrelation indicators, and multiple regression analyses (OLS and ML spatial error model).

119 citations


Cited by
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: An unprecedentedly high resolution global potential soil erosion model is presented, using a combination of remote sensing, GIS modelling and census data, that indicates a potential overall increase in global soil erosion driven by cropland expansion.
Abstract: Human activity and related land use change are the primary cause of accelerated soil erosion, which has substantial implications for nutrient and carbon cycling, land productivity and in turn, worldwide socio-economic conditions. Here we present an unprecedentedly high resolution (250 × 250 m) global potential soil erosion model, using a combination of remote sensing, GIS modelling and census data. We challenge the previous annual soil erosion reference values as our estimate, of 35.9 Pg yr−1 of soil eroded in 2012, is at least two times lower. Moreover, we estimate the spatial and temporal effects of land use change between 2001 and 2012 and the potential offset of the global application of conservation practices. Our findings indicate a potential overall increase in global soil erosion driven by cropland expansion. The greatest increases are predicted to occur in Sub-Saharan Africa, South America and Southeast Asia. The least developed economies have been found to experience the highest estimates of soil erosion rates.

1,311 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: An exhaustive review and reanalysis of geological, paleontological, and molecular records converge upon a cohesive narrative of gradually emerging land and constricting seaways, with formation of the Isthmus of Panama sensu stricto around 2.8 Ma.
Abstract: The formation of the Isthmus of Panama stands as one of the greatest natural events of the Cenozoic, driving profound biotic transformations on land and in the oceans. Some recent studies suggest that the Isthmus formed many millions of years earlier than the widely recognized age of approximately 3 million years ago (Ma), a result that if true would revolutionize our understanding of environmental, ecological, and evolutionary change across the Americas. To bring clarity to the question of when the Isthmus of Panama formed, we provide an exhaustive review and reanalysis of geological, paleontological, and molecular records. These independent lines of evidence converge upon a cohesive narrative of gradually emerging land and constricting seaways, with formation of the Isthmus of Panama sensu stricto around 2.8 Ma. The evidence used to support an older isthmus is inconclusive, and we caution against the uncritical acceptance of an isthmus before the Pliocene.

595 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The latest projections of climate and land use change are used to assess potential global soil erosion rates by water to address policy questions and provide insight into the potential mitigating effects attributable to conservation agriculture and the need for more effective policy instruments for soil protection.
Abstract: Soil erosion is a major global soil degradation threat to land, freshwater, and oceans. Wind and water are the major drivers, with water erosion over land being the focus of this work; excluding gullying and river bank erosion. Improving knowledge of the probable future rates of soil erosion, accelerated by human activity, is important both for policy makers engaged in land use decision-making and for earth-system modelers seeking to reduce uncertainty on global predictions. Here we predict future rates of erosion by modeling change in potential global soil erosion by water using three alternative (2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway and Representative Concentration Pathway (SSP-RCP) scenarios. Global predictions rely on a high spatial resolution Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)-based semiempirical modeling approach (GloSEM). The baseline model (2015) predicts global potential soil erosion rates of [Formula: see text] Pg yr-1, with current conservation agriculture (CA) practices estimated to reduce this by ∼5%. Our future scenarios suggest that socioeconomic developments impacting land use will either decrease (SSP1-RCP2.6-10%) or increase (SSP2-RCP4.5 +2%, SSP5-RCP8.5 +10%) water erosion by 2070. Climate projections, for all global dynamics scenarios, indicate a trend, moving toward a more vigorous hydrological cycle, which could increase global water erosion (+30 to +66%). Accepting some degrees of uncertainty, our findings provide insights into how possible future socioeconomic development will affect soil erosion by water using a globally consistent approach. This preliminary evidence seeks to inform efforts such as those of the United Nations to assess global soil erosion and inform decision makers developing national strategies for soil conservation.

492 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
10 Apr 2015-Science
TL;DR: It is contended that a uniquely Panamanian Eocene detrital zircon fingerprint is pronounced in middle Miocene fluvial and shallow marine strata cropping out in the northern Andes but is absent in underlying lower Miocene and Oligocene strata; the Central American Seaway had vanished by that time.
Abstract: Uranium-lead geochronology in detrital zircons and provenance analyses in eight boreholes and two surface stratigraphic sections in the northern Andes provide insight into the time of closure of the Central American Seaway. The timing of this closure has been correlated with Plio-Pleistocene global oceanographic, atmospheric, and biotic events. We found that a uniquely Panamanian Eocene detrital zircon fingerprint is pronounced in middle Miocene fluvial and shallow marine strata cropping out in the northern Andes but is absent in underlying lower Miocene and Oligocene strata. We contend that this fingerprint demonstrates a fluvial connection, and therefore the absence of an intervening seaway, between the Panama arc and South America in middle Miocene times; the Central American Seaway had vanished by that time.

489 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, an increase in frequency of La Nina events was predicted due to faster land warming relative to the ocean, and a greater chance of them occurring following extreme El Nino events.
Abstract: Extreme La Nina events occur when cold sea surface temperatures across the central Pacific Ocean create a strong temperature gradient to the Maritime continent in the west. This work projects an increase in frequency of La Nina events due to faster land warming relative to the ocean, and a greater chance of them occurring following extreme El Nino events. The El Nino/Southern Oscillation is Earth’s most prominent source of interannual climate variability, alternating irregularly between El Nino and La Nina, and resulting in global disruption of weather patterns, ecosystems, fisheries and agriculture1,2,3,4,5. The 1998–1999 extreme La Nina event that followed the 1997–1998 extreme El Nino event6 switched extreme El Nino-induced severe droughts to devastating floods in western Pacific countries, and vice versa in the southwestern United States4,7. During extreme La Nina events, cold sea surface conditions develop in the central Pacific8,9, creating an enhanced temperature gradient from the Maritime continent to the central Pacific. Recent studies have revealed robust changes in El Nino characteristics in response to simulated future greenhouse warming10,11,12, but how La Nina will change remains unclear. Here we present climate modelling evidence, from simulations conducted for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (ref. 13), for a near doubling in the frequency of future extreme La Nina events, from one in every 23 years to one in every 13 years. This occurs because projected faster mean warming of the Maritime continent than the central Pacific, enhanced upper ocean vertical temperature gradients, and increased frequency of extreme El Nino events are conducive to development of the extreme La Nina events. Approximately 75% of the increase occurs in years following extreme El Nino events, thus projecting more frequent swings between opposite extremes from one year to the next.

467 citations