Piero Manfredi

TL;DR: This report reviews the developmental arc of theoretical epidemiology with emphasis on vaccination, as it led from classical models assuming homogeneously mixing populations and ignoring human behavior, to recent models that account for behavioral feedback and/or population spatial/social structure.

TL;DR: Modeling the interplay between human behavior and the spread of infectious diseases and the impact of environmental factors on human behavior is studied.

TL;DR: Using an SIR model with information dependent vaccination, it is shown that rational exemption might make elimination of the disease an unfeasible task even if coverages as high as 100% are actually reached during epochs of high social alarm.

TL;DR: This study provides a numerical approach for the generation of human mixing patterns that can be used to improve the accuracy of mathematical models in the absence of specific experimental data.

TL;DR: This IBM, which is based on country-specific demographic data, could be suitable for the real-time evaluation of measures to be undertaken in the event of the emergence of a new pandemic influenza virus.