Showing papers by "Simon French published in 1991"
TL;DR: A framework for sensitivity analysis in multi-objective decision-making within a Bayesian context, allowing for simultaneous variation in all the data, benefiting from the recent advances in optimisation theory and the advent of cheap computer power is introduced.
201 citations
01 Jan 1991
TL;DR: The concern in this paper is to indicate some of the issues which arise in eliciting and combining expert judgements of the likelihood of particular events or uncertain quantities.
Abstract: Risk assessments must often appeal to expert assessments of failure probabilities. Our concern in this paper is to indicate some of the issues which arise in eliciting and combining expert judgements of the likelihood of particular events or uncertain quantities. We also describe some recent work in the area. In focusing on the mathematical issues, we ignore many others relating, in particular, to the tension between accountability and confidentiality within the management of the risk assessment process.
7 citations
6 citations
2 citations