Showing papers by "Simon French published in 2000"

Statistical Decision Theory

Abstract: Decision-theoretic ideas can structure the process of inference together with the decision-making that inference supports. Statistical decision theory is the sub-discipline of statistics which explores and develops this structure. Typically, discusion of decision theory within one discipline does not recognise that other disciplines may have considered the same or similar problems. This text, Volume 9 in the prestigious Kendall's Library of Statistics, provides an overview of the main ideas and concepts of statistical decision theory and sets it within the broader concept of decision theory, decision analysis and decision support as they are practised in many disciplines beyond statistics - including artificial intelligence, economics, operational research, philosophy and psychology.

Rodos: Decision Support for Nuclear Emergencies

Abstract: In the thirteen years that have elapsed since the Chernobyl accident, many studies and developments have been made with the aim of improving our response to any future accident. One project has been the development of a decision support system to aid emergency management. rodos, a Real time online Decision support system for nuclear emergency management, has been built by a consortium of many institutes across Europe and the cis. As it approaches (standby!) operational use, we face the task of tailoring the output to meet the specific needs of users and simultaneously opening up their minds to full potential of a modern decision support system (dss). This paper reports a number of investigations into the decision support needs of the competent national safety authorities and reflects on the implications of rodos for the emergency management process.