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Showing papers by "Stephen S Lim published in 2012"


Journal ArticleDOI
Rafael Lozano1, Mohsen Naghavi1, Kyle J Foreman2, Stephen S Lim1  +192 moreInstitutions (95)
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2010 aimed to estimate annual deaths for the world and 21 regions between 1980 and 2010 for 235 causes, with uncertainty intervals (UIs), separately by age and sex, using the Cause of Death Ensemble model.

11,809 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Stephen S Lim1, Theo Vos, Abraham D. Flaxman1, Goodarz Danaei2  +207 moreInstitutions (92)
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs; sum of years lived with disability [YLD] and years of life lost [YLL]) attributable to the independent effects of 67 risk factors and clusters of risk factors for 21 regions in 1990 and 2010.

9,324 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Theo Vos, Abraham D. Flaxman1, Mohsen Naghavi1, Rafael Lozano1  +360 moreInstitutions (143)
TL;DR: Prevalence and severity of health loss were weakly correlated and age-specific prevalence of YLDs increased with age in all regions and has decreased slightly from 1990 to 2010, but population growth and ageing have increased YLD numbers and crude rates over the past two decades.

7,021 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Christopher J L Murray1, Theo Vos2, Rafael Lozano1, Mohsen Naghavi1  +366 moreInstitutions (141)
TL;DR: The results for 1990 and 2010 supersede all previously published Global Burden of Disease results and highlight the importance of understanding local burden of disease and setting goals and targets for the post-2015 agenda taking such patterns into account.

6,861 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The findings show that the malaria mortality burden is larger than previously estimated, especially in adults, and there has been a rapid decrease in malaria mortality in Africa because of the scaling up of control activities supported by international donors.

1,440 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Joshua A. Salomon1, Theo Vos, Daniel R Hogan1, Michael L. Gagnon1, Mohsen Naghavi2, Ali Mokdad2, Nazma Begum3, Razibuzzaman Shah1, Muhammad Karyana, Soewarta Kosen, Mario Reyna Farje, Gilberto Moncada, Arup Dutta, Sunil Sazawal, Andrew Dyer4, Jason F. S. Seiler4, Victor Aboyans, Lesley Baker2, Amanda J Baxter5, Emelia J. Benjamin6, Kavi Bhalla1, Aref A. Bin Abdulhak, Fiona M. Blyth, Rupert R A Bourne, Tasanee Braithwaite7, Peter Brooks, Traolach S. Brugha8, Claire Bryan-Hancock, Rachelle Buchbinder, Peter Burney9, Bianca Calabria10, Honglei Chen11, Sumeet S. Chugh12, Rebecca Cooley2, Michael H. Criqui13, Marita Cross5, Kaustubh Dabhadkar, Nabila Dahodwala14, Adrian Davis15, Louisa Degenhardt16, Cesar Diaz-Torne17, E. Ray Dorsey3, Tim Driscoll, Karen Edmond18, Alexis Elbaz19, Majid Ezzati20, Valery L. Feigin21, Cleusa P. Ferri22, Abraham D. Flaxman2, Louise Flood8, Marlene Fransen, Kana Fuse, Belinda J. Gabbe23, Richard F. Gillum24, Juanita A. Haagsma25, James Harrison8, Rasmus Havmoeller16, Roderick J. Hay26, Abdullah Hel-Baqui, Hans W. Hoek27, Howard J. Hoffman28, Emily Hogeland29, Damian G Hoy5, Deborah Jarvis2, Ganesan Karthikeyan1, Lisa M. Knowlton30, Tim Lathlean8, Janet L Leasher31, Stephen S Lim2, Steven E. Lipshultz32, Alan D. Lopez, Rafael Lozano2, Ronan A Lyons33, Reza Malekzadeh, Wagner Marcenes, Lyn March6, David J. Margolis14, Neil McGill, John J. McGrath34, George A. Mensah35, Ana-Claire Meyer, Catherine Michaud36, Andrew E. Moran, Rintaro Mori37, Michele E. Murdoch38, Luigi Naldi39, Charles R. Newton12, Rosana E. Norman, Saad B. Omer40, Richard H. Osborne, Neil Pearce18, Fernando Perez-Ruiz, Norberto Perico41, Konrad Pesudovs8, David Phillips42, Farshad Pourmalek43, Martin Prince, Jürgen Rehm, G. Remuzzi41, Kathryn Richardson, Robin Room44, Sukanta Saha45, Uchechukwu Sampson, Lidia Sanchez-Riera46, Maria Segui-Gomez47, Saeid Shahraz48, Kenji Shibuya, David Singh49, Karen Sliwa50, Emma Smith50, Isabelle Soerjomataram51, Timothy J. Steiner, Wilma A. Stolk, Lars Jacob Stovner, Christopher R. Sudfeld1, Hugh R. Taylor, Imad M. Tleyjeh4, Marieke J. van der Werf52, Wendy L. Watson53, David J. Weatherall12, Robert G. Weintraub, Marc G. Weisskopf1, Harvey Whiteford, James D. Wilkinson32, Anthony D. Woolf52, Zhi-Jie Zheng54, Christopher J L Murray2 
Harvard University1, University of Queensland2, Johns Hopkins University3, ICF International4, Centre for Mental Health5, Boston University6, University of Sydney7, University of Melbourne8, Imperial College London9, University of New South Wales10, University of California, San Diego11, Emory University12, University of Pennsylvania13, Autonomous University of Barcelona14, University of London15, National Institutes of Health16, French Institute of Health and Medical Research17, Medical Research Council18, Auckland University of Technology19, Federal University of São Paulo20, National Institute of Population and Social Security Research21, Howard University22, Flinders University23, Erasmus University Rotterdam24, King's College London25, Karolinska Institutet26, University of California, San Francisco27, All India Institute of Medical Sciences28, Nova Southeastern University29, University of Miami30, Swansea University31, Tehran University of Medical Sciences32, Queen Mary University of London33, Allen Institute for Brain Science34, University of Cape Town35, Columbia University36, Watford General Hospital37, Centro Studi GISED38, University of Oxford39, Deakin University40, University of British Columbia41, University of Toronto42, Box Hill Hospital43, Vanderbilt University44, University of Washington45, Brandeis University46, University of Tokyo47, The Queen's Medical Center48, Norwegian University of Science and Technology49, China Medical Board50, University of Cambridge51, Royal Cornwall Hospital52, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center53, Shanghai Jiao Tong University54
TL;DR: In this paper, a comprehensive re-estimation of disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 through a large-scale empirical investigation in which judgments about health losses associated with many causes of disease and injury were elicited from the general public in diverse communities through a new, standardised approach.

1,130 citations



Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The World Bank Group welcomes the publication of the new Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2010, an indispensable resource for public health and development leaders to ensure that their investments yield the greatest possible health benefits, and to help end poverty and boost prosperity.

189 citations


Joshua A. Salomon, Theo Vos, Daniel R Hogan, Michael L. Gagnon, Mohsen Naghavi, Ali H. Mokdad, Nazma Begum, Ravi V. Shah, Muhammad Karyana, Soewarta Kosen, M.R. Farje, G. Moncada, Arup Dutta, Sunil Sazawal, Anthony Dyer, Jason F. S. Seiler, Victor Aboyans, L. Baker, Amanda J Baxter, Emelia J. Benjamin, Kavi Bhalla, Aref A. Bin Abdulhak, Fiona M. Blyth, Rupert R A Bourne, Tasanee Braithwaite, Peter Brooks, Traolach S. Brugha, Claire Bryan-Hancock, Rachelle Buchbinder, Peter Burney, Bianca Calabria, Honglei Chen, Sumeet S. Chugh, R. Cooley, Michael H. Criqui, Marita Cross, Kaustubh Dabhadkar, Nabila Dahodwala, Adrian Davis, Louisa Degenhardt, Cesar Diaz-Torne, E. R. Dorsey, Tim Driscoll, Karen Edmond, Alexis Elbaz, Majid Ezzati, Valery L. Feigin, Cleusa P. Ferri, Abraham D. Flaxman, Louise Flood, Marlene Fransen, K. Fuse, Belinda J. Gabbe, Richard F. Gillum, Juanita A. Haagsma, James Harrison, Rasmus Havmoeller, Roderick J. Hay, A. Hel-Baqui, Hans W. Hoek, Howard J. Hoffman, E. Hogeland, Damian G Hoy, Deborah Jarvis, Ganesan Karthikeyan, Lisa M. Knowlton, Tim Lathlean, Janet L Leasher, Stephen S Lim, Steven E. Lipshultz, Alan D. Lopez, Rafael Lozano, Ronan A Lyons, Reza Malekzadeh, Wagner Marcenes, Lyn March, David J. Margolis, Neil McGill, John J. McGrath, George A. Mensah, A.C. Meyer, Catherine Michaud, Andrew E. Moran, Rintaro Mori, M. E. Murdoch, Luigi Naldi, Charles R. Newton, Rosana E. Norman, Saad B. Omer, Richard H. Osborne, Neil Pearce, Fernando Perez-Ruiz, Norberto Perico, Konrad Pesudovs, David Phillips, Farshad Pourmalek, Martin Prince, Jürgen Rehm, G. Remuzzi, Kathryn Richardson, Robin Room, Sukanta Saha, Uchechukwu Sampson, Lidia Sanchez-Riera, Maria Segui-Gomez, Saeid Shahraz, Kenji Shibuya, Deo Singh, Karen Sliwa, Emma Smith, Isabelle Soerjomataram, Timothy J. Steiner, Wilma A. Stolk, Lars Jacob Stovner, Christopher R. Sudfeld, Hugh R. Taylor, Imad M. Tleyjeh, M.J. Van Der Werf, W.L. Watson, David J. Weatherall, Robert G. Weintraub, Marc G. Weisskopf, Harvey Whiteford, James D. Wilkinson, Anthony D. Woolf, Zhi Jie Zheng, Christopher J L Murray 
01 Jan 2012
TL;DR: This study represents the most extensive empirical effort as yet to measure disability weights and reports strong evidence of highly consistent results.
Abstract: NOTE: This article is free to read on the journal website provided you register (which is free). BACKGROUND Measurement of the global burden of disease with disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) requires disability weights that quantify health losses for all non-fatal consequences of disease and injury. There has been extensive debate about a range of conceptual and methodological issues concerning the definition and measurement of these weights. Our primary objective was a comprehensive re-estimation of disability weights for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 through a large-scale empirical investigation in which judgments about health losses associated with many causes of disease and injury were elicited from the general public in diverse communities through a new, standardised approach. METHODS We surveyed respondents in two ways: household surveys of adults aged 18 years or older (face-to-face interviews in Bangladesh, Indonesia, Peru, and Tanzania; telephone interviews in the USA) between Oct 28, 2009, and June 23, 2010; and an open-access web-based survey between July 26, 2010, and May 16, 2011. The surveys used paired comparison questions, in which respondents considered two hypothetical individuals with different, randomly selected health states and indicated which person they regarded as healthier. The web survey added questions about population health equivalence, which compared the overall health benefits of different life-saving or disease-prevention programmes. We analysed paired comparison responses with probit regression analysis on all 220 unique states in the study. We used results from the population health equivalence responses to anchor the results from the paired comparisons on the disability weight scale from 0 (implying no loss of health) to 1 (implying a health loss equivalent to death). Additionally, we compared new disability weights with those used in WHO's most recent update of the Global Burden of Disease Study for 2004. FINDINGS 13,902 individuals participated in household surveys and 16,328 in the web survey. Analysis of paired comparison responses indicated a high degree of consistency across surveys: correlations between individual survey results and results from analysis of the pooled dataset were 0·9 or higher in all surveys except in Bangladesh (r=0·75). Most of the 220 disability weights were located on the mild end of the severity scale, with 58 (26%) having weights below 0·05. Five (11%) states had weights below 0·01, such as mild anaemia, mild hearing or vision loss, and secondary infertility. The health states with the highest disability weights were acute schizophrenia (0·76) and severe multiple sclerosis (0·71). We identified a broad pattern of agreement between the old and new weights (r=0·70), particularly in the moderate-to-severe range. However, in the mild range below 0·2, many states had significantly lower weights in our study than previously. INTERPRETATION This study represents the most extensive empirical effort as yet to measure disability weights. By contrast with the popular hypothesis that disability assessments vary widely across samples with different cultural environments, we have reported strong evidence of highly consistent results.

148 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
23 Jul 2012-PLOS ONE
TL;DR: There is huge potential for improving efficiency in cardiovascular disease prevention in Australia and a tougher approach from Government to mandating limits on salt in processed foods and reducing excessive statin prices, and a shift away from lifestyle counselling to more efficient absolute risk-based prescription of preventive drugs, could cut health care costs while improving population health.
Abstract: Background Despite many decades of declining mortality rates in the Western world, cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of death worldwide. In this research we evaluate the optimal mix of lifestyle, pharmaceutical and population-wide interventions for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease.

100 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
02 Mar 2012-BMJ
TL;DR: In this paper, the relative costs and health effects of interventions to combat cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and tobacco related disease in order to guide the allocation of resources in developing countries were determined.
Abstract: Objective To determine the relative costs and health effects of interventions to combat cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and tobacco related disease in order to guide the allocation of resources in developing countries. Design Cost effectiveness analysis of 123 single or combined prevention and treatment strategies for cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and smoking by means of a lifetime population model. Setting Two World Health Organization sub-regions of the world: countries in sub-Saharan Africa with very high adult and high child mortality (AfrE) and countries in South East Asia with high adult and high child mortality (SearD). Data sources Demographic and epidemiological data were taken from the WHO databases of mortality and global burden of disease. Estimates of intervention coverage, effectiveness, and resource needs were drawn from clinical trials, observational studies, and treatment guidelines. Unit costs were taken from the WHO-CHOICE (Choosing Interventions that are Cost-Effective) price database. Main outcome measures Cost per disability adjusted life year (DALY) averted, expressed in international dollars ($Int) for the year 2005. Results Most of the interventions studied were considered highly cost effective, meaning they generate one healthy year of life at a cost of 25% chance of experiencing a cardiovascular event over the next decade, either alone or together with specific multidrug regimens for the secondary prevention of post-acute ischaemic heart disease and stroke ( Conclusion This comparative economic assessment has identified a set of population-wide and individual strategies for prevention and control of cardiovascular disease that are inexpensive and cost effective in low resource settings.

Journal Article
01 Jan 2012-BMJ
TL;DR: A set of population-wide and individual strategies for prevention and control of cardiovascular disease that are inexpensive and cost effective in low resource settings are identified.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the age association of cardiovascular disease may be in part because its metabolic risk factors tend to rise with age, and few studies have analyzed age associations of multiple metabolic risks factors.
Abstract: Background—The age association of cardiovascular disease may be in part because its metabolic risk factors tend to rise with age. Few studies have analyzed age associations of multiple metabolic ri...

01 Mar 2012
TL;DR: In this article, D Chisholm et al. examined which interventions should be given priority for action and investment in non-communicable diseases, with resources tight, and concluded that NCDs should be prioritized.
Abstract: Last year’s UN high level meeting sought to galvanise the international community into scaling up its response to the escalating global burden of non-communicable diseases. With resources tight, D Chisholm and colleagues examine which interventions should be given priority for action and investment

Journal ArticleDOI
02 Mar 2012-BMJ
TL;DR: With resources tight, D Chisholm and colleagues examine which interventions should be given priority for action and investment in the response to the escalating global burden of non-communicable diseases.
Abstract: Last year’s UN high level meeting sought to galvanise the international community into scaling up its response to the escalating global burden of non-communicable diseases. With resources tight, D Chisholm and colleagues examine which interventions should be given priority for action and investment

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: CBT and generic fluoxetine are cost-effective treatment options for both episodic and maintenance treatment of major depression in Thailand and has the greatest potential of health gain.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Among men, education correlated with diagnosis and treatment odds, and those for both risk factors combined were below 15% and did not differ by sex, urbanicity, age, or marital status.
Abstract: The prevalence, diagnosis, treatment, and control of hypercholesterolemia and/or hypertension were estimated for Thailand using data from a recent, nationally representative health examination survey. Multivariate logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with diagnosis, treatment, and control. In all, 14% of men and 17% of women had hypercholesterolemia, 23% and 21% had hypertension, and 5% and 6%, respectively, had both. A large proportion of individuals with these risk factors is neither diagnosed nor treated, let alone adequately controlled; 30% of people with hypertension had been diagnosed and 24% treated, and 9% had their blood pressure controlled. The figures for hypercholesterolemia were 13%, 9%, and 6%, respectively. Those for both risk factors combined were below 15% and did not differ by sex, urbanicity, age, or marital status. Among men, education correlated with diagnosis and treatment odds. There is great scope for improved prevention of cardiovascular disease in Thailand.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The investigators noted a relative increase of 51·3% in the age-standardised rate of hospital admissions for infectious diseases from 1989–93 to 2004–08, with the greatest increase noted in the indigenous Māori and Pacifi c peoples.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A significant positive association between families' health risk level and their use of health care services is found, with the model providing more services to those with greater need.