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Susan C. Morpeth

Other affiliations: Durham University, Duke University
Bio: Susan C. Morpeth is an academic researcher from Middlemore Hospital. The author has contributed to research in topics: Randomized controlled trial & Hydroxychloroquine. The author has an hindex of 12, co-authored 26 publications receiving 1510 citations. Previous affiliations of Susan C. Morpeth include Durham University & Duke University.

Papers
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A minimum set of common outcome measures for studies of COVID-19, which includes a measure of viral burden, patient survival, and patient progression through the health-care system by use of the WHO Clinical Progression Scale are urged.
Abstract: Summary Clinical research is necessary for an effective response to an emerging infectious disease outbreak. However, research efforts are often hastily organised and done using various research tools, with the result that pooling data across studies is challenging. In response to the needs of the rapidly evolving COVID-19 outbreak, the Clinical Characterisation and Management Working Group of the WHO Research and Development Blueprint programme, the International Forum for Acute Care Trialists, and the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium have developed a minimum set of common outcome measures for studies of COVID-19. This set includes three elements: a measure of viral burden (quantitative PCR or cycle threshold), a measure of patient survival (mortality at hospital discharge or at 60 days), and a measure of patient progression through the health-care system by use of the WHO Clinical Progression Scale, which reflects patient trajectory and resource use over the course of clinical illness. We urge investigators to include these key data elements in ongoing and future studies to expedite the pooling of data during this immediate threat, and to hone a tool for future needs.

882 citations

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TL;DR: The clinical presentation of non-Typhi Salmonella bacteremia is nonspecific and, in the absence of blood culture, may be confused with other febrile illnesses, such as malaria.
Abstract: Invasive non-Typhi Salmonella is endemic to sub-Saharan Africa, where it is a leading cause of bloodstream infection. Some host risk factors have been established, but little is known about environmental reservoirs and predominant modes of transmission, so prevention strategies are underdeveloped. Although foodborne transmission from animals to humans predominates in high-income countries, it has been postulated that transmission between humans, both within and outside health care facilities, may be important in sub-Saharan Africa. Antimicrobial resistance to ampicillin, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, and chloramphenicol is common among non-Typhi Salmonella strains; therefore, wider use of alternative agents may be warranted for empirical therapy. Development of vaccines targeting the leading invasive non-Typhi Salmonella serotypes Typhimurium and Enteritidis is warranted. The clinical presentation of non-Typhi Salmonella bacteremia is nonspecific and, in the absence of blood culture, may be confused with other febrile illnesses, such as malaria. Much work remains to be done to understand and control invasive non-Typhi Salmonella disease in sub-Saharan Africa.

230 citations

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TL;DR: The ICE-PCS database offers a unique opportunity to evaluate the epidemiology, characteristics, and outcome of endocarditis due to non-HACEK gram-negative bacilli in a large, contemporary, and international cohort of well-characterized patients withendocarditis.
Abstract: Endocarditis caused by non-HACEK organisms (species other than Haemophilus species, Actinobacillus actinomycetemcomitans, Cardiobacterium hominis, Eikenella corrodens, and Kingella species) has lon...

211 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Efforts to provide free antiretroviral therapy and to promote social coping may enhance adherence and reduce rates of virologic failure and self-funded treatment was associated with incomplete adherence and virology failure.
Abstract: Access to antiretroviral therapy is rapidly expanding in sub-Saharan Africa. Identifying the predictors of incomplete adherence virologic failure and antiviral drug resistance is essential to achieving long-term success. A total of 150 subjects who had received antiretroviral therapy for at least 6 months completed a structured questionnaire and adherence assessment and plasma human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) RNA levels were measured. Virologic failure was defined as an HIV RNA level > 400 copies/mL; for patients with an HIV RNA level > 1000 copies/mL genotypic antiviral drug resistance testing was performed. Predictors were analyzed using bivariable and multivariable logistic regression models. A total of 23 (16%) of 150 subjects reported incomplete adherence. Sacrificing health care for other necessities (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 19.8; P < .01) and the proportion of months receiving self-funded treatment (AOR 23.5; P = .04) were associated with incomplete adherence. Virologic failure was identified in 48 (32%) of 150 subjects and was associated with incomplete adherence (AOR 3.6; P = .03) and the proportion of months receiving self-funded antiretroviral therapy (AOR 13.0; P = .02). Disclosure of HIV infection status to family members or others was protective against virologic failure (AOR 0.10; P = .04). Self-funded treatment was associated with incomplete adherence and virologic failure and disclosure of HIV infection status was protective against virologic failure. Efforts to provide free antiretroviral therapy and to promote social coping may enhance adherence and reduce rates of virologic failure. (authors)

208 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
Cathrine Axfors1, Cathrine Axfors2, Andreas M. Schmitt3, Andreas M. Schmitt4, Perrine Janiaud3, Janneke van’t Hooft5, Janneke van’t Hooft1, Sherief Abd-Elsalam6, Ehab F. Abdo7, Benjamin S. Abella8, Javed Akram9, Ravi K. Amaravadi8, Derek C. Angus10, Yaseen M. Arabi11, Shehnoor Azhar9, Lindsey R. Baden12, Arthur W. Baker13, Leila Belkhir14, Thomas Benfield15, Marvin A.H. Berrevoets, Cheng-Pin Chen16, Tsung-Chia Chen16, Shu-Hsing Cheng16, Chien-Yu Cheng16, Wei-Sheng Chung16, Yehuda Z. Cohen, Lisa N. Cowan, Olav Dalgard17, Olav Dalgard18, Fernando Val, Marcus V. G. Lacerda19, Gisely Cardoso de Melo, Lennie P. G. Derde20, Vincent Dubée, Anissa Elfakir, Anthony C. Gordon21, Carmen M. Hernández-Cárdenas, Thomas Hills22, Thomas Hills23, Andy I. M. Hoepelman20, Yi-Wen Huang16, Bruno Igau, Ronghua Jin24, Felipe Jurado-Camacho, Khalid S. Khan25, Peter G. Kremsner26, Benno Kreuels27, Benno Kreuels28, Cheng-Yu Kuo16, Thuy Le13, Yi-Chun Lin16, Wu-Pu Lin16, Tse-Hung Lin16, Magnus Nakrem Lyngbakken18, Magnus Nakrem Lyngbakken17, Colin McArthur22, Colin McArthur29, Colin McArthur23, Bryan J. McVerry10, Patricia Meza-Meneses, Wuelton Marcelo Monteiro, Susan C. Morpeth30, Ahmad Mourad13, Mark J. Mulligan, Srinivas Murthy31, Susanna Naggie13, Shanti Narayanasamy13, Alistair Nichol, Lewis A. Novack12, Sean M. O'Brien13, Nwora Lance Okeke13, Léna Perez, Rogelio Perez-Padilla, Laurent Perrin, Arantxa Remigio-Luna, Norma E. Rivera-Martinez, Frank W. Rockhold13, Sebastian Rodriguez-Llamazares, Robert Rolfe13, Rossana Rosa32, Helge Røsjø18, Helge Røsjø17, Vanderson de Souza Sampaio, Todd B. Seto33, Todd B. Seto34, Muhammad Shahzad9, Shaimaa Soliman35, Jason E. Stout13, Ireri Thirion-Romero, Andrea B. Troxel, Ting-Yu Tseng16, Nicholas A Turner13, Robert J. Ulrich, Stephen R. Walsh12, Steve Webb36, Steve Webb29, Jesper M. Weehuizen20, Maria Velinova, Hon-Lai Wong16, Rebekah Wrenn13, Fernando G. Zampieri, Wu Zhong, David Moher37, Steven N. Goodman1, John P. A. Ioannidis, Lars G. Hemkens1, Lars G. Hemkens3 
TL;DR: In this article, a rapid meta-analysis of ongoing, completed, or discontinued RCTs on hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine treatment for any COVID-19 patients was presented.
Abstract: Substantial COVID-19 research investment has been allocated to randomized clinical trials (RCTs) on hydroxychloroquine/chloroquine, which currently face recruitment challenges or early discontinuation. We aim to estimate the effects of hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine on survival in COVID-19 from all currently available RCT evidence, published and unpublished. We present a rapid meta-analysis of ongoing, completed, or discontinued RCTs on hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine treatment for any COVID-19 patients (protocol: https://osf.io/QESV4/ ). We systematically identified unpublished RCTs (ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, Cochrane COVID-registry up to June 11, 2020), and published RCTs (PubMed, medRxiv and bioRxiv up to October 16, 2020). All-cause mortality has been extracted (publications/preprints) or requested from investigators and combined in random-effects meta-analyses, calculating odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), separately for hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine. Prespecified subgroup analyses include patient setting, diagnostic confirmation, control type, and publication status. Sixty-three trials were potentially eligible. We included 14 unpublished trials (1308 patients) and 14 publications/preprints (9011 patients). Results for hydroxychloroquine are dominated by RECOVERY and WHO SOLIDARITY, two highly pragmatic trials, which employed relatively high doses and included 4716 and 1853 patients, respectively (67% of the total sample size). The combined OR on all-cause mortality for hydroxychloroquine is 1.11 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.20; I² = 0%; 26 trials; 10,012 patients) and for chloroquine 1.77 (95%CI: 0.15, 21.13, I² = 0%; 4 trials; 307 patients). We identified no subgroup effects. We found that treatment with hydroxychloroquine is associated with increased mortality in COVID-19 patients, and there is no benefit of chloroquine. Findings have unclear generalizability to outpatients, children, pregnant women, and people with comorbidities. Hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine have been investigated as a potential treatment for Covid-19 in several clinical trials. Here the authors report a meta-analysis of published and unpublished trials, and show that treatment with hydroxychloroquine for patients with Covid-19 was associated with increased mortality, and there was no benefit from chloroquine.

165 citations


Cited by
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TL;DR: ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 has an acceptable safety profile and has been found to be efficacious against symptomatic COVID-19 in this interim analysis of ongoing clinical trials.

3,741 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This document summarizes current knowledge about three-dimensional AIDS, congenital heart disease, cardiac device-related infective endocarditis, and cardiac implantable electronic device in the context of acquired immune deficiency syndrome.
Abstract: 3D : three-dimensional AIDS : acquired immune deficiency syndrome b.i.d. : bis in die (twice daily) BCNIE : blood culture-negative infective endocarditis CDRIE : cardiac device-related infective endocarditis CHD : congenital heart disease CIED : cardiac implantable electronic device

3,510 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: These remdesivir, hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir, and interferon regimens had little or no effect on hospitalized patients with Covid-19, as indicated by overall mortality, initiation of ventilation, and duration of hospital stay.
Abstract: Background World Health Organization expert groups recommended mortality trials of four repurposed antiviral drugs - remdesivir, hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir, and interferon beta-1a - in patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19). Methods We randomly assigned inpatients with Covid-19 equally between one of the trial drug regimens that was locally available and open control (up to five options, four active and the local standard of care). The intention-to-treat primary analyses examined in-hospital mortality in the four pairwise comparisons of each trial drug and its control (drug available but patient assigned to the same care without that drug). Rate ratios for death were calculated with stratification according to age and status regarding mechanical ventilation at trial entry. Results At 405 hospitals in 30 countries, 11,330 adults underwent randomization; 2750 were assigned to receive remdesivir, 954 to hydroxychloroquine, 1411 to lopinavir (without interferon), 2063 to interferon (including 651 to interferon plus lopinavir), and 4088 to no trial drug. Adherence was 94 to 96% midway through treatment, with 2 to 6% crossover. In total, 1253 deaths were reported (median day of death, day 8; interquartile range, 4 to 14). The Kaplan-Meier 28-day mortality was 11.8% (39.0% if the patient was already receiving ventilation at randomization and 9.5% otherwise). Death occurred in 301 of 2743 patients receiving remdesivir and in 303 of 2708 receiving its control (rate ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.81 to 1.11; P = 0.50), in 104 of 947 patients receiving hydroxychloroquine and in 84 of 906 receiving its control (rate ratio, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.89 to 1.59; P = 0.23), in 148 of 1399 patients receiving lopinavir and in 146 of 1372 receiving its control (rate ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.79 to 1.25; P = 0.97), and in 243 of 2050 patients receiving interferon and in 216 of 2050 receiving its control (rate ratio, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.39; P = 0.11). No drug definitely reduced mortality, overall or in any subgroup, or reduced initiation of ventilation or hospitalization duration. Conclusions These remdesivir, hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir, and interferon regimens had little or no effect on hospitalized patients with Covid-19, as indicated by overall mortality, initiation of ventilation, and duration of hospital stay. (Funded by the World Health Organization; ISRCTN Registry number, ISRCTN83971151; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04315948.).

2,001 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The recommendations provided in this document are intended to assist in the management of this uncommon but potentially deadly infection and must be used to support and not supplant decisions in individual patient management.
Abstract: Background— Infective endocarditis is a potentially lethal disease that has undergone major changes in both host and pathogen. The epidemiology of infective endocarditis has become more complex wit...

1,862 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The ESC Guidelines and Expert Consensus Documents summarize and evaluate all currently available evidence on a particular issue with the aim of assisting physicians in selecting the best management strategy for an individual patient suffering from a given condition, taking into account the impact on outcome, as well as the risk/benefit ratio of particular diagnostic or therapeutic means as mentioned in this paper.
Abstract: Guidelines and Expert Consensus Documents summarize and evaluate all currently available evidence on a particular issue with the aim of assisting physicians in selecting the best management strategy for an individual patient suffering from a given condition, taking into account the impact on outcome, as well as the risk/benefit ratio of particular diagnostic or therapeutic means. Guidelines are no substitutes for textbooks. The legal implications of medical guidelines have been discussed previously. A great number of Guidelines and Expert Consensus Documents have been issued in recent years by the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) as well as by other societies and organizations. Because of the impact on clinical practice, quality criteria for development of guidelines have been established in order to make all decisions transparent to the user. The recommendations for formulating and issuing ESC Guidelines and Expert Consensus Documents can be found on the ESC website (http://www.escardio.org/knowledge/guidelines/rules). In brief, experts in the field are selected and undertake a comprehensive review of the published evidence for management and/or prevention of a given condition. A critical evaluation of diagnostic and therapeutic procedures is performed including assessment of the risk/ benefit ratio. Estimates of expected health outcomes for larger societies are included, where data exist. The level of evidence and the strength of recommendation of particular treatment options are weighed and graded according to predefined scales, as outlined in Tables 1 and 2 . View this table: Table 1 Classes of recommendations View this table: Table 2 Levels of evidence The experts of the writing panels have provided disclosure statements of all relationships they may have which might be perceived as real or potential sources of conflicts of interest. These disclosure forms are kept on file at the European Heart House, headquarters of the ESC. Any changes in conflict of interest that arise during the writing period must be notified to …

1,658 citations