This article examines the adequacy of the “rules of thumb” conventional cutoff criteria and several new alternatives for various fit indexes used to evaluate model fit in practice. Using a 2‐index presentation strategy, which includes using the maximum likelihood (ML)‐based standardized root mean squared residual (SRMR) and supplementing it with either Tucker‐Lewis Index (TLI), Bollen's (1989) Fit Index (BL89), Relative Noncentrality Index (RNI), Comparative Fit Index (CFI), Gamma Hat, McDonald's Centrality Index (Mc), or root mean squared error of approximation (RMSEA), various combinations of cutoff values from selected ranges of cutoff criteria for the ML‐based SRMR and a given supplemental fit index were used to calculate rejection rates for various types of true‐population and misspecified models; that is, models with misspecified factor covariance(s) and models with misspecified factor loading(s). The results suggest that, for the ML method, a cutoff value close to .95 for TLI, BL89, CFI, RNI, and G...

Cutoff criteria for fit indexes in covariance structure analysis : Conventional criteria versus new alternatives

The history of the development of statistical hypothesis testing in time series analysis is reviewed briefly and it is pointed out that the hypothesis testing procedure is not adequately defined as the procedure for statistical model identification. The classical maximum likelihood estimation procedure is reviewed and a new estimate minimum information theoretical criterion (AIC) estimate (MAICE) which is designed for the purpose of statistical identification is introduced. When there are several competing models the MAICE is defined by the model and the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters which give the minimum of AIC defined by AIC = (-2)log-(maximum likelihood) + 2(number of independently adjusted parameters within the model). MAICE provides a versatile procedure for statistical model identification which is free from the ambiguities inherent in the application of conventional hypothesis testing procedure. The practical utility of MAICE in time series analysis is demonstrated with some numerical examples.

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A new look at the statistical model identification

The second edition of this acclaimed graduate text provides a unified treatment of two methods used in contemporary econometric research, cross section and data panel methods. By focusing on assumptions that can be given behavioral content, the book maintains an appropriate level of rigor while emphasizing intuitive thinking. The analysis covers both linear and nonlinear models, including models with dynamics and/or individual heterogeneity. In addition to general estimation frameworks (particular methods of moments and maximum likelihood), specific linear and nonlinear methods are covered in detail, including probit and logit models and their multivariate, Tobit models, models for count data, censored and missing data schemes, causal (or treatment) effects, and duration analysis. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data was the first graduate econometrics text to focus on microeconomic data structures, allowing assumptions to be separated into population and sampling assumptions. This second edition has been substantially updated and revised. Improvements include a broader class of models for missing data problems; more detailed treatment of cluster problems, an important topic for empirical researchers; expanded discussion of "generalized instrumental variables" (GIV) estimation; new coverage (based on the author's own recent research) of inverse probability weighting; a more complete framework for estimating treatment effects with panel data, and a firmly established link between econometric approaches to nonlinear panel data and the "generalized estimating equation" literature popular in statistics and other fields. New attention is given to explaining when particular econometric methods can be applied; the goal is not only to tell readers what does work, but why certain "obvious" procedures do not. The numerous included exercises, both theoretical and computer-based, allow the reader to extend methods covered in the text and discover new insights.

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Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data

This paper presents specification tests that are applicable after estimating a dynamic model from panel data by the generalized method of moments (GMM), and studies the practical performance of these procedures using both generated and real data. Our GMM estimator optimally exploits all the linear moment restrictions that follow from the assumption of no serial correlation in the errors, in an equation which contains individual effects, lagged dependent variables and no strictly exogenous variables. We propose a test of serial correlation based on the GMM residuals and compare this with Sargan tests of over-identifying restrictions and Hausman specification tests.

http://people.stern.nyu.edu/wgreene/Econometrics/Arellano-Bond.pdf

Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations.

CHAPTER 1: Introduction to Design CHAPTER 2: Principles of Estimation and Inference: Means and Variance CHAPTER 3: Design and Analysis of Single-Factor Experiments: Completely Randomized Design CHAPTER 4: Single-Factor Experiments Having Repeated Measures on the Same Element CHAPTER 5: Design and Analysis of Factorial Experiments: Completely-Randomized Design CHAPTER 6: Factorial Experiments: Computational Procedures and Numerical Example CHAPTER 7: Multifactor Experiments Having Repeated Measures on the Same Element CHAPTER 8: Factorial Experiments in which Some of the Interactions are Confounded CHAPTER 9: Latin Squares and Related Designs CHAPTER 10: Analysis of Covariance

Statistical Principles in Experimental Design

: A random vector X is said to have elliptically contoured distribution if it has the distribution of micron + AY, where micron is a constant matrix, and the random vector Y has a spherical distributed; that is, Y is distributed as QY for every orthogonal matrix Q This paper surveys recent work on distribution theory and statistical inference for elliptically contoured distributions It emphasizes the contributions of the authors and of the students and associates of the second author; it gives a picture of this area of multivariate analysis that is particularly active in the People's Republic of China Included are classifications of elliptically contoured and related distributions, distributions of quadratic forms, estimation of parameters, testing hypotheses, and applications Since the normal distribution is in the class, the properties of elliptically contoured distributions are similar to those of the normal distribution

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Theory and Applications of Elliptically Contoured and Related Distributions

Multivariate analysis and its applications

In this paper the observations are considered to be normally distributed with constant variance and means consisting of linear combinations of certain trigonometric functions. The likelihood ratio criterion for testing the independence of the observations against the alternatives of circular serial correlation of a given lag is found to be a function of the circular serial correlation coefficient for residuals from the fitted Fourier series (Section 4). The exact distribution (Section 5), the moments (Section 6), and approximate distributions (Section 7) are given for the cases of greatest interest. From these results significance levels have been found (Section 3). The use of these levels is indicated (Section 2), and an example of their use is given (Section 3).

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Distribution of the Circular Serial Correlation Coefficient for Residuals from a Fitted Fourier Series

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Some inequalities on characteristic roots of matrices

Comparisons of estimators are made on the basis of their mean squared errors and their concentrations of probability computed by means of asymptotic expansions of their distributions when the disturbance variance tends to zero and alternatively when the sample size increases indefinitely. The estimators include k-class estimators (limited information maximum likelihood, two-stage least squares, and ordinary least squares) and linear combinations of them as well as modifications of the limited information maximum likelihood estimator and several Bayes' estimators. Many inequalities between the asymptotic mean squared errors and concentrations of probability are given. Among medianunbiasedestimators, the limited information maximum likelihood estimator dominates the median-unbiased fixed k-class estimator.

T. W. Anderson

Papers

Theory and Applications of Elliptically Contoured and Related Distributions

Multivariate analysis and its applications

Distribution of the Circular Serial Correlation Coefficient for Residuals from a Fitted Fourier Series

Some inequalities on characteristic roots of matrices

Comparing Single-Equation Estimators in a Simultaneous Equation System