scispace - formally typeset
Search or ask a question

Showing papers by "Max Planck Society published in 2015"


Journal ArticleDOI
Adam Auton1, Gonçalo R. Abecasis2, David Altshuler3, Richard Durbin4  +514 moreInstitutions (90)
01 Oct 2015-Nature
TL;DR: The 1000 Genomes Project set out to provide a comprehensive description of common human genetic variation by applying whole-genome sequencing to a diverse set of individuals from multiple populations, and has reconstructed the genomes of 2,504 individuals from 26 populations using a combination of low-coverage whole-generation sequencing, deep exome sequencing, and dense microarray genotyping.
Abstract: The 1000 Genomes Project set out to provide a comprehensive description of common human genetic variation by applying whole-genome sequencing to a diverse set of individuals from multiple populations. Here we report completion of the project, having reconstructed the genomes of 2,504 individuals from 26 populations using a combination of low-coverage whole-genome sequencing, deep exome sequencing, and dense microarray genotyping. We characterized a broad spectrum of genetic variation, in total over 88 million variants (84.7 million single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), 3.6 million short insertions/deletions (indels), and 60,000 structural variants), all phased onto high-quality haplotypes. This resource includes >99% of SNP variants with a frequency of >1% for a variety of ancestries. We describe the distribution of genetic variation across the global sample, and discuss the implications for common disease studies.

12,661 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
28 Aug 2015-Science
TL;DR: A large-scale assessment suggests that experimental reproducibility in psychology leaves a lot to be desired, and correlational tests suggest that replication success was better predicted by the strength of original evidence than by characteristics of the original and replication teams.
Abstract: Reproducibility is a defining feature of science, but the extent to which it characterizes current research is unknown. We conducted replications of 100 experimental and correlational studies published in three psychology journals using high-powered designs and original materials when available. Replication effects were half the magnitude of original effects, representing a substantial decline. Ninety-seven percent of original studies had statistically significant results. Thirty-six percent of replications had statistically significant results; 47% of original effect sizes were in the 95% confidence interval of the replication effect size; 39% of effects were subjectively rated to have replicated the original result; and if no bias in original results is assumed, combining original and replication results left 68% with statistically significant effects. Correlational tests suggest that replication success was better predicted by the strength of original evidence than by characteristics of the original and replication teams.

5,532 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Genome-wide analysis suggests that several genes that increase the risk for sporadic Alzheimer's disease encode factors that regulate glial clearance of misfolded proteins and the inflammatory reaction.
Abstract: Increasing evidence suggests that Alzheimer's disease pathogenesis is not restricted to the neuronal compartment, but includes strong interactions with immunological mechanisms in the brain. Misfolded and aggregated proteins bind to pattern recognition receptors on microglia and astroglia, and trigger an innate immune response characterised by release of inflammatory mediators, which contribute to disease progression and severity. Genome-wide analysis suggests that several genes that increase the risk for sporadic Alzheimer's disease encode factors that regulate glial clearance of misfolded proteins and the inflammatory reaction. External factors, including systemic inflammation and obesity, are likely to interfere with immunological processes of the brain and further promote disease progression. Modulation of risk factors and targeting of these immune mechanisms could lead to future therapeutic or preventive strategies for Alzheimer's disease.

3,947 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
17 Sep 2015-Nature
TL;DR: It is found that emissions from residential energy use such as heating and cooking, prevalent in India and China, have the largest impact on premature mortality globally, being even more dominant if carbonaceous particles are assumed to be most toxic.
Abstract: Assessment of the global burden of disease is based on epidemiological cohort studies that connect premature mortality to a wide range of causes, including the long-term health impacts of ozone and fine particulate matter with a diameter smaller than 2.5 micrometres (PM2.5). It has proved difficult to quantify premature mortality related to air pollution, notably in regions where air quality is not monitored, and also because the toxicity of particles from various sources may vary. Here we use a global atmospheric chemistry model to investigate the link between premature mortality and seven emission source categories in urban and rural environments. In accord with the global burden of disease for 2010 (ref. 5), we calculate that outdoor air pollution, mostly by PM2.5, leads to 3.3 (95 per cent confidence interval 1.61-4.81) million premature deaths per year worldwide, predominantly in Asia. We primarily assume that all particles are equally toxic, but also include a sensitivity study that accounts for differential toxicity. We find that emissions from residential energy use such as heating and cooking, prevalent in India and China, have the largest impact on premature mortality globally, being even more dominant if carbonaceous particles are assumed to be most toxic. Whereas in much of the USA and in a few other countries emissions from traffic and power generation are important, in eastern USA, Europe, Russia and East Asia agricultural emissions make the largest relative contribution to PM2.5, with the estimate of overall health impact depending on assumptions regarding particle toxicity. Model projections based on a business-as-usual emission scenario indicate that the contribution of outdoor air pollution to premature mortality could double by 2050.

3,848 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The Virgo Consortium's EAGLE project as discussed by the authors is a suite of hydrodynamical simulations that follow the formation of galaxies and black holes in representative volumes, where thermal energy is injected into the gas, allowing winds to develop without predetermined speed or mass loading factors.
Abstract: We introduce the Virgo Consortium's EAGLE project, a suite of hydrodynamical simulations that follow the formation of galaxies and black holes in representative volumes. We discuss the limitations of such simulations in light of their finite resolution and poorly constrained subgrid physics, and how these affect their predictive power. One major improvement is our treatment of feedback from massive stars and AGN in which thermal energy is injected into the gas without the need to turn off cooling or hydrodynamical forces, allowing winds to develop without predetermined speed or mass loading factors. Because the feedback efficiencies cannot be predicted from first principles, we calibrate them to the z~0 galaxy stellar mass function and the amplitude of the galaxy-central black hole mass relation, also taking galaxy sizes into account. The observed galaxy mass function is reproduced to ≲0.2 dex over the full mass range, 108

2,828 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: An overview of the key aspects of graphene and related materials, ranging from fundamental research challenges to a variety of applications in a large number of sectors, highlighting the steps necessary to take GRMs from a state of raw potential to a point where they might revolutionize multiple industries are provided.
Abstract: We present the science and technology roadmap for graphene, related two-dimensional crystals, and hybrid systems, targeting an evolution in technology, that might lead to impacts and benefits reaching into most areas of society. This roadmap was developed within the framework of the European Graphene Flagship and outlines the main targets and research areas as best understood at the start of this ambitious project. We provide an overview of the key aspects of graphene and related materials (GRMs), ranging from fundamental research challenges to a variety of applications in a large number of sectors, highlighting the steps necessary to take GRMs from a state of raw potential to a point where they might revolutionize multiple industries. We also define an extensive list of acronyms in an effort to standardize the nomenclature in this emerging field.

2,560 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
02 Apr 2015-Nature
TL;DR: A terrestrial assemblage database of unprecedented geographic and taxonomic coverage is analysed to quantify local biodiversity responses to land use and related changes and shows that in the worst-affected habitats, pressures reduce within-sample species richness by an average of 76.5%, total abundance by 39.5% and rarefaction-based richness by 40.3%.
Abstract: Human activities, especially conversion and degradation of habitats, are causing global biodiversity declines. How local ecological assemblages are responding is less clear--a concern given their importance for many ecosystem functions and services. We analysed a terrestrial assemblage database of unprecedented geographic and taxonomic coverage to quantify local biodiversity responses to land use and related changes. Here we show that in the worst-affected habitats, these pressures reduce within-sample species richness by an average of 76.5%, total abundance by 39.5% and rarefaction-based richness by 40.3%. We estimate that, globally, these pressures have already slightly reduced average within-sample richness (by 13.6%), total abundance (10.7%) and rarefaction-based richness (8.1%), with changes showing marked spatial variation. Rapid further losses are predicted under a business-as-usual land-use scenario; within-sample richness is projected to fall by a further 3.4% globally by 2100, with losses concentrated in biodiverse but economically poor countries. Strong mitigation can deliver much more positive biodiversity changes (up to a 1.9% average increase) that are less strongly related to countries' socioeconomic status.

2,532 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The third generation of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS-III) took data from 2008 to 2014 using the original SDSS wide-field imager, the original and an upgraded multi-object fiber-fed optical spectrograph, a new near-infrared high-resolution spectrogram, and a novel optical interferometer.
Abstract: The third generation of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS-III) took data from 2008 to 2014 using the original SDSS wide-field imager, the original and an upgraded multi-object fiber-fed optical spectrograph, a new near-infrared high-resolution spectrograph, and a novel optical interferometer. All the data from SDSS-III are now made public. In particular, this paper describes Data Release 11 (DR11) including all data acquired through 2013 July, and Data Release 12 (DR12) adding data acquired through 2014 July (including all data included in previous data releases), marking the end of SDSS-III observing. Relative to our previous public release (DR10), DR12 adds one million new spectra of galaxies and quasars from the Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) over an additional 3000 sq. deg of sky, more than triples the number of H-band spectra of stars as part of the Apache Point Observatory (APO) Galactic Evolution Experiment (APOGEE), and includes repeated accurate radial velocity measurements of 5500 stars from the Multi-Object APO Radial Velocity Exoplanet Large-area Survey (MARVELS). The APOGEE outputs now include measured abundances of 15 different elements for each star. In total, SDSS-III added 2350 sq. deg of ugriz imaging; 155,520 spectra of 138,099 stars as part of the Sloan Exploration of Galactic Understanding and Evolution 2 (SEGUE-2) survey; 2,497,484 BOSS spectra of 1,372,737 galaxies, 294,512 quasars, and 247,216 stars over 9376 sq. deg; 618,080 APOGEE spectra of 156,593 stars; and 197,040 MARVELS spectra of 5,513 stars. Since its first light in 1998, SDSS has imaged over 1/3 of the Celestial sphere in five bands and obtained over five million astronomical spectra.

2,471 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
26 Oct 2015
TL;DR: The Skinned Multi-Person Linear model (SMPL) is a skinned vertex-based model that accurately represents a wide variety of body shapes in natural human poses that is compatible with existing graphics pipelines and iscompatible with existing rendering engines.
Abstract: We present a learned model of human body shape and pose-dependent shape variation that is more accurate than previous models and is compatible with existing graphics pipelines. Our Skinned Multi-Person Linear model (SMPL) is a skinned vertex-based model that accurately represents a wide variety of body shapes in natural human poses. The parameters of the model are learned from data including the rest pose template, blend weights, pose-dependent blend shapes, identity-dependent blend shapes, and a regressor from vertices to joint locations. Unlike previous models, the pose-dependent blend shapes are a linear function of the elements of the pose rotation matrices. This simple formulation enables training the entire model from a relatively large number of aligned 3D meshes of different people in different poses. We quantitatively evaluate variants of SMPL using linear or dual-quaternion blend skinning and show that both are more accurate than a Blend-SCAPE model trained on the same data. We also extend SMPL to realistically model dynamic soft-tissue deformations. Because it is based on blend skinning, SMPL is compatible with existing rendering engines and we make it available for research purposes.

2,429 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
27 Aug 2015-Cell
TL;DR: It is proposed that liquid-like compartments carry the trade-off between functionality and risk of aggregation and that aberrant phase transitions within liquid- like compartments lie at the heart of ALS and, presumably, other age-related diseases.

1,988 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Rolf Sander1
TL;DR: According to Henry's law, the equilibrium ratio between the abundances in the gas phase and in the aqueous phase is constant for a dilute solution as discussed by the authors, and a compilation of 17 350 values of Henry's Law constants for 4632 species, collected from 689 references is available at http://wwwhenrys-law.org
Abstract: Many atmospheric chemicals occur in the gas phase as well as in liquid cloud droplets and aerosol particles Therefore, it is necessary to understand the distribution between the phases According to Henry's law, the equilibrium ratio between the abundances in the gas phase and in the aqueous phase is constant for a dilute solution Henry's law constants of trace gases of potential importance in environmental chemistry have been collected and converted into a uniform format The compilation contains 17 350 values of Henry's law constants for 4632 species, collected from 689 references It is also available at http://wwwhenrys-laworg

Journal ArticleDOI
Pascal Fries1
07 Oct 2015-Neuron
TL;DR: Several rhythms and their interplay render neuronal communication effective, precise, and selective in neuronal groups.

Journal ArticleDOI
12 Feb 2015-Nature
TL;DR: The discovery of high-temperature superconductivity in the copper oxides in 1986 triggered a huge amount of innovative scientific inquiry but unresolved issues include the astonishing complexity of the phase diagram, the unprecedented prominence of various forms of collective fluctuations, and the simplicity and insensitivity to material details of the ‘normal’ state at elevated temperatures.
Abstract: The discovery of high-temperature superconductivity in the copper oxides in 1986 triggered a huge amount of innovative scientific inquiry. In the almost three decades since, much has been learned about the novel forms of quantum matter that are exhibited in these strongly correlated electron systems. A qualitative understanding of the nature of the superconducting state itself has been achieved. However, unresolved issues include the astonishing complexity of the phase diagram, the unprecedented prominence of various forms of collective fluctuations, and the simplicity and insensitivity to material details of the 'normal' state at elevated temperatures.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A circRNA brain expression atlas and evidence for important circRNA functions and values as biomarkers are provided and discovered and analyzed thousands of neuronal human and mouse circRNAs.

Journal ArticleDOI
03 Sep 2015-Nature
TL;DR: S sulfur hydride is investigated, and it is argued that the phase responsible for high-Tc superconductivity in this system is likely to be H3S, formed from H2S by decomposition under pressure, which raises hope for the prospects for achieving room-temperature super conductivity in other hydrogen-based materials.
Abstract: A superconductor is a material that can conduct electricity without resistance below a superconducting transition temperature, Tc. The highest Tc that has been achieved to date is in the copper oxide system: 133 kelvin at ambient pressure and 164 kelvin at high pressures. As the nature of superconductivity in these materials is still not fully understood (they are not conventional superconductors), the prospects for achieving still higher transition temperatures by this route are not clear. In contrast, the Bardeen-Cooper-Schrieffer theory of conventional superconductivity gives a guide for achieving high Tc with no theoretical upper bound--all that is needed is a favourable combination of high-frequency phonons, strong electron-phonon coupling, and a high density of states. These conditions can in principle be fulfilled for metallic hydrogen and covalent compounds dominated by hydrogen, as hydrogen atoms provide the necessary high-frequency phonon modes as well as the strong electron-phonon coupling. Numerous calculations support this idea and have predicted transition temperatures in the range 50-235 kelvin for many hydrides, but only a moderate Tc of 17 kelvin has been observed experimentally. Here we investigate sulfur hydride, where a Tc of 80 kelvin has been predicted. We find that this system transforms to a metal at a pressure of approximately 90 gigapascals. On cooling, we see signatures of superconductivity: a sharp drop of the resistivity to zero and a decrease of the transition temperature with magnetic field, with magnetic susceptibility measurements confirming a Tc of 203 kelvin. Moreover, a pronounced isotope shift of Tc in sulfur deuteride is suggestive of an electron-phonon mechanism of superconductivity that is consistent with the Bardeen-Cooper-Schrieffer scenario. We argue that the phase responsible for high-Tc superconductivity in this system is likely to be H3S, formed from H2S by decomposition under pressure. These findings raise hope for the prospects for achieving room-temperature superconductivity in other hydrogen-based materials.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: AntiSMASH as mentioned in this paper is a web server and stand-alone tool for the automatic genomic identification and analysis of biosynthetic gene clusters, available at http://antismash.org.
Abstract: Microbial secondary metabolism constitutes a rich source of antibiotics, chemotherapeutics, insecticides and other high-value chemicals. Genome mining of gene clusters that encode the biosynthetic pathways for these metabolites has become a key methodology for novel compound discovery. In 2011, we introduced antiSMASH, a web server and stand-alone tool for the automatic genomic identification and analysis of biosynthetic gene clusters, available at http://antismash.secondarymetabolites.org. Here, we present version 3.0 of antiSMASH, which has undergone major improvements. A full integration of the recently published ClusterFinder algorithm now allows using this probabilistic algorithm to detect putative gene clusters of unknown types. Also, a new dereplication variant of the ClusterBlast module now identifies similarities of identified clusters to any of 1172 clusters with known end products. At the enzyme level, active sites of key biosynthetic enzymes are now pinpointed through a curated pattern-matching procedure and Enzyme Commission numbers are assigned to functionally classify all enzyme-coding genes. Additionally, chemical structure prediction has been improved by incorporating polyketide reduction states. Finally, in order for users to be able to organize and analyze multiple antiSMASH outputs in a private setting, a new XML output module allows offline editing of antiSMASH annotations within the Geneious software.


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A bottom-up synthesis strategy for dispersible copper 1,4-benzenedicarboxylate MOF lamellae of micrometer lateral dimensions and nanometer thickness is presented and opens the door to ultrathin MOF-polymer composites for various applications.
Abstract: The research leading to these results has received funding (J.G., B.S.) from the European Research Council under the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP/2007-2013)/ERC Grant Agreement no. 335746, CrystEng-MOF-MMM. T.R. is grateful to TUDelft for funding. G.P. acknowledges the A. von Humboldt Foundation for a research grant. A.C., I.L. and F.X.L.i.X. thank Consolider-Ingenio 2010 (project MULTICAT) and the ‘Severo Ochoa’ programme for support. I.L. also thanks CSIC for a JAE doctoral grant.

Journal ArticleDOI
Georges Aad1, Brad Abbott2, Jalal Abdallah3, Ovsat Abdinov4  +5117 moreInstitutions (314)
TL;DR: A measurement of the Higgs boson mass is presented based on the combined data samples of the ATLAS and CMS experiments at the CERN LHC in the H→γγ and H→ZZ→4ℓ decay channels.
Abstract: A measurement of the Higgs boson mass is presented based on the combined data samples of the ATLAS and CMS experiments at the CERN LHC in the H→γγ and H→ZZ→4l decay channels. The results are obtained from a simultaneous fit to the reconstructed invariant mass peaks in the two channels and for the two experiments. The measured masses from the individual channels and the two experiments are found to be consistent among themselves. The combined measured mass of the Higgs boson is mH=125.09±0.21 (stat)±0.11 (syst) GeV.

Journal ArticleDOI
Julie George1, Jing Shan Lim2, Se Jin Jang3, Yupeng Cun1, Luka Ozretić, Gu Kong4, Frauke Leenders1, Xin Lu1, Lynnette Fernandez-Cuesta1, Graziella Bosco1, Christian Müller1, Ilona Dahmen1, Nadine Jahchan2, Kwon-Sik Park2, Dian Yang2, Anthony N. Karnezis5, Dedeepya Vaka2, Ángela Torres2, Maia Segura Wang, Jan O. Korbel, Roopika Menon6, Sung-Min Chun3, Deokhoon Kim3, Matthew D. Wilkerson7, Neil Hayes7, David Engelmann8, Brigitte M. Pützer8, Marc Bos1, Sebastian Michels6, Ignacija Vlasic, Danila Seidel1, Berit Pinther1, Philipp Schaub1, Christian Becker1, Janine Altmüller1, Jun Yokota9, Takashi Kohno, Reika Iwakawa, Koji Tsuta, Masayuki Noguchi10, Thomas Muley11, Hans Hoffmann11, Philipp A. Schnabel12, Iver Petersen13, Yuan Chen13, Alex Soltermann14, Verena Tischler14, Chang-Min Choi3, Yong-Hee Kim3, Pierre P. Massion15, Yong Zou15, Dragana Jovanovic16, Milica Kontic16, Gavin M. Wright17, Prudence A. Russell17, Benjamin Solomon17, Ina Koch, Michael Lindner, Lucia Anna Muscarella18, Annamaria la Torre18, John K. Field19, Marko Jakopović20, Jelena Knezevic, Esmeralda Castaños-Vélez21, Luca Roz, Ugo Pastorino, O.T. Brustugun22, Marius Lund-Iversen22, Erik Thunnissen23, Jens Köhler, Martin Schuler, Johan Botling24, Martin Sandelin24, Montserrat Sanchez-Cespedes, Helga B. Salvesen25, Viktor Achter1, Ulrich Lang1, Magdalena Bogus1, Peter M. Schneider1, Thomas Zander, Sascha Ansén6, Michael Hallek1, Jürgen Wolf6, Martin Vingron26, Yasushi Yatabe, William D. Travis27, Peter Nürnberg1, Christian Reinhardt, Sven Perner3, Lukas C. Heukamp, Reinhard Büttner, Stefan A. Haas26, Elisabeth Brambilla28, Martin Peifer1, Julien Sage2, Roman K. Thomas1 
06 Aug 2015-Nature
TL;DR: This first comprehensive study of somatic genome alterations in SCLC uncovers several key biological processes and identifies candidate therapeutic targets in this highly lethal form of cancer.
Abstract: We have sequenced the genomes of 110 small cell lung cancers (SCLC), one of the deadliest human cancers. In nearly all the tumours analysed we found bi-allelic inactivation of TP53 and RB1, sometimes by complex genomic rearrangements. Two tumours with wild-type RB1 had evidence of chromothripsis leading to overexpression of cyclin D1 (encoded by the CCND1 gene), revealing an alternative mechanism of Rb1 deregulation. Thus, loss of the tumour suppressors TP53 and RB1 is obligatory in SCLC. We discovered somatic genomic rearrangements of TP73 that create an oncogenic version of this gene, TP73Δex2/3. In rare cases, SCLC tumours exhibited kinase gene mutations, providing a possible therapeutic opportunity for individual patients. Finally, we observed inactivating mutations in NOTCH family genes in 25% of human SCLC. Accordingly, activation of Notch signalling in a pre-clinical SCLC mouse model strikingly reduced the number of tumours and extended the survival of the mutant mice. Furthermore, neuroendocrine gene expression was abrogated by Notch activity in SCLC cells. This first comprehensive study of somatic genome alterations in SCLC uncovers several key biological processes and identifies candidate therapeutic targets in this highly lethal form of cancer.

Journal ArticleDOI
21 Aug 2015-Science
TL;DR: This experiment experimentally observed this nonergodic evolution for interacting fermions in a one-dimensional quasirandom optical lattice and identified the MBL transition through the relaxation dynamics of an initially prepared charge density wave.
Abstract: Many-body localization (MBL), the disorder-induced localization of interacting particles, signals a breakdown of conventional thermodynamics because MBL systems do not thermalize and show nonergodic time evolution. We experimentally observed this nonergodic evolution for interacting fermions in a one-dimensional quasirandom optical lattice and identified the MBL transition through the relaxation dynamics of an initially prepared charge density wave. For sufficiently weak disorder, the time evolution appears ergodic and thermalizing, erasing all initial ordering, whereas above a critical disorder strength, a substantial portion of the initial ordering persists. The critical disorder value shows a distinctive dependence on the interaction strength, which is in agreement with numerical simulations. Our experiment paves the way to further detailed studies of MBL, such as in noncorrelated disorder or higher dimensions.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Understanding of the mechanisms of silencing is enhanced, making it possible to describe in molecular terms a continuum of direct interactions from miRNA target recognition to mRNA deadenylation, decapping and 5′-to-3′ degradation.
Abstract: MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are a conserved class of small non-coding RNAs that assemble with Argonaute proteins into miRNA-induced silencing complexes (miRISCs) to direct post-transcriptional silencing of complementary mRNA targets. Silencing is accomplished through a combination of translational repression and mRNA destabilization, with the latter contributing to most of the steady-state repression in animal cell cultures. Degradation of the mRNA target is initiated by deadenylation, which is followed by decapping and 5'-to-3' exonucleolytic decay. Recent work has enhanced our understanding of the mechanisms of silencing, making it possible to describe in molecular terms a continuum of direct interactions from miRNA target recognition to mRNA deadenylation, decapping and 5'-to-3' degradation. Furthermore, an intricate interplay between translational repression and mRNA degradation is emerging.

Book
21 Dec 2015
TL;DR: In this paper, the rethinking R package is installed in the R package and the authors describe a set of tools for golem engineering, including tools for statistical rethinking and tools for building a model.
Abstract: Preface to the Second Edition Preface Audience Teaching strategy How to use this book Installing the rethinking R package Acknowledgments Chapter 1. The Golem of Prague Statistical golems Statistical rethinking Tools for golem engineering Summary Chapter 2. Small Worlds and Large Worlds The garden of forking data Building a model Components of the model Making the model go Summary Practice Chapter 3. Sampling the Imaginary Sampling from a grid-appromate posterior Sampling to summarize Sampling to simulate prediction Summary Practice Chapter 4. Geocentric Models Why normal distributions are normal A language for describing models Gaussian model of height Linear prediction Curves from lines Summary Practice Chapter 5. The Many Variables & The Spurious Waffles Spurious association Masked relationship Categorical variables Summary Practice Chapter 6. The Haunted DAG & The Causal Terror Multicollinearity Post-treatment bias Collider bias Confronting confounding Summary Practice Chapter 7. Ulysses' Compass The problem with parameters Entropy and accuracy Golem Taming: Regularization Predicting predictive accuracy Model comparison Summary Practice Chapter 8. Conditional Manatees Building an interaction Symmetry of interactions Continuous interactions Summary Practice Chapter 9. Markov Chain Monte Carlo Good King Markov and His island kingdom Metropolis Algorithms Hamiltonian Monte Carlo Easy HMC: ulam Care and feeding of your Markov chain Summary Practice Chapter 10. Big Entropy and the Generalized Linear Model Mamum entropy Generalized linear models Mamum entropy priors Summary Chapter 11. God Spiked the Integers Binomial regression Poisson regression Multinomial and categorical models Summary Practice Chapter 12. Monsters and Mixtures Over-dispersed counts Zero-inflated outcomes Ordered categorical outcomes Ordered categorical predictors Summary Practice Chapter 13. Models With Memory Example: Multilevel tadpoles Varying effects and the underfitting/overfitting trade-off More than one type of cluster Divergent transitions and non-centered priors Multilevel posterior predictions Summary Practice Chapter 14. Adventures in Covariance Varying slopes by construction Advanced varying slopes Instruments and causal designs Social relations as correlated varying effects Continuous categories and the Gaussian process Summary Practice Chapter 15. Missing Data and Other Opportunities Measurement error Missing data Categorical errors and discrete absences Summary Practice Chapter 16. Generalized Linear Madness Geometric people Hidden minds and observed behavior Ordinary differential nut cracking Population dynamics Summary Practice Chapter 17. Horoscopes Endnotes

Journal ArticleDOI
11 Jun 2015-Nature
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors generated genome-wide data from 69 Europeans who lived between 8,000-3,000 years ago by enriching ancient DNA libraries for a target set of almost 400,000 polymorphisms.
Abstract: We generated genome-wide data from 69 Europeans who lived between 8,000-3,000 years ago by enriching ancient DNA libraries for a target set of almost 400,000 polymorphisms. Enrichment of these positions decreases the sequencing required for genome-wide ancient DNA analysis by a median of around 250-fold, allowing us to study an order of magnitude more individuals than previous studies and to obtain new insights about the past. We show that the populations of Western and Far Eastern Europe followed opposite trajectories between 8,000-5,000 years ago. At the beginning of the Neolithic period in Europe, ∼8,000-7,000 years ago, closely related groups of early farmers appeared in Germany, Hungary and Spain, different from indigenous hunter-gatherers, whereas Russia was inhabited by a distinctive population of hunter-gatherers with high affinity to a ∼24,000-year-old Siberian. By ∼6,000-5,000 years ago, farmers throughout much of Europe had more hunter-gatherer ancestry than their predecessors, but in Russia, the Yamnaya steppe herders of this time were descended not only from the preceding eastern European hunter-gatherers, but also from a population of Near Eastern ancestry. Western and Eastern Europe came into contact ∼4,500 years ago, as the Late Neolithic Corded Ware people from Germany traced ∼75% of their ancestry to the Yamnaya, documenting a massive migration into the heartland of Europe from its eastern periphery. This steppe ancestry persisted in all sampled central Europeans until at least ∼3,000 years ago, and is ubiquitous in present-day Europeans. These results provide support for a steppe origin of at least some of the Indo-European languages of Europe.

Journal ArticleDOI
Jennifer E. Huffman1, Eva Albrecht, Alexander Teumer2, Massimo Mangino3, Karen Kapur, Toby Johnson4, Z. Kutalik, Nicola Pirastu5, Giorgio Pistis6, Lorna M. Lopez1, Toomas Haller7, Perttu Salo8, Anuj Goel9, Man Li10, Toshiko Tanaka8, Abbas Dehghan11, Daniela Ruggiero, Giovanni Malerba12, Albert V. Smith13, Ilja M. Nolte, Laura Portas, Amanda Phipps-Green14, Lora Boteva1, Pau Navarro1, Åsa Johansson15, Andrew A. Hicks16, Ozren Polasek17, Tõnu Esko18, John F. Peden9, Sarah E. Harris1, Federico Murgia, Sarah H. Wild1, Albert Tenesa1, Adrienne Tin10, Evelin Mihailov7, Anne Grotevendt2, Gauti Kjartan Gislason, Josef Coresh10, Pio D'Adamo5, Sheila Ulivi, Peter Vollenweider19, Gérard Waeber19, Susan Campbell1, Ivana Kolcic17, Krista Fisher7, Margus Viigimaa, Jeffrey Metter8, Corrado Masciullo6, Elisabetta Trabetti12, Cristina Bombieri12, Rossella Sorice, Angela Doering, Eva Reischl, Konstantin Strauch20, Albert Hofman11, André G. Uitterlinden11, Melanie Waldenberger, H-Erich Wichmann20, Gail Davies1, Alan J. Gow1, Nicola Dalbeth21, Lisa K. Stamp14, Johannes H. Smit22, Mirna Kirin1, Ramaiah Nagaraja8, Matthias Nauck2, Claudia Schurmann2, Kathrin Budde2, Susan M. Farrington1, Evropi Theodoratou1, Antti Jula8, Veikko Salomaa8, Cinzia Sala6, Christian Hengstenberg23, Michel Burnier19, R Maegi7, Norman Klopp20, Stefan Kloiber24, Sabine Schipf25, Samuli Ripatti26, Stefano Cabras27, Nicole Soranzo28, Georg Homuth2, Teresa Nutile, Patricia B. Munroe4, Nicholas D. Hastie1, Harry Campbell1, Igor Rudan1, Claudia P. Cabrera29, Chris Haley1, Oscar H. Franco11, Tony R. Merriman14, Vilmundur Gudnason13, Mario Pirastu, Brenda W.J.H. Penninx11, Brenda W.J.H. Penninx30, Harold Snieder, Andres Metspalu7, Marina Ciullo, Peter P. Pramstaller16, Cornelia M. van Duijn11, Luigi Ferrucci8, Giovanni Gambaro31, Ian J. Deary1, Malcolm G. Dunlop1, James F. Wilson1, Paolo Gasparini5, Ulf Gyllensten15, Tim D. Spector3, Alan F. Wright1, Caroline Hayward1, Hugh Watkins9, Markus Perola8, Murielle Bochud32, W. H. Linda Kao10, Mark J. Caulfield4, Daniela Toniolo6, Henry Voelzke25, Christian Gieger, Anna Koettgen33, Veronique Vitart1 
26 Mar 2015-PLOS ONE
TL;DR: Interactions between body mass index (BMI) and common genetic variants affecting serum urate levels, genome-wide, and regression-type analyses in a non BMI-stratified overall sample suggested a role for N-glycan biosynthesis as a prominent urate-associated pathway in the lean stratum.
Abstract: We tested for interactions between body mass index (BMI) and common genetic variants affecting serum urate levels, genome-wide, in up to 42569 participants. Both stratified genome-wide association (GWAS) analyses, in lean, overweight and obese individuals, and regression-type analyses in a non BMI-stratified overall sample were performed. The former did not uncover any novel locus with a major main effect, but supported modulation of effects for some known and potentially new urate loci. The latter highlighted a SNP at RBFOX3 reaching genome-wide significant level (effect size 0.014, 95% CI 0.008-0.02, Pinter= 2.6 x 10-8). Two top loci in interaction term analyses, RBFOX3 and ERO1LB-EDARADD, also displayed suggestive differences in main effect size between the lean and obese strata. All top ranking loci for urate effect differences between BMI categories were novel and most had small magnitude but opposite direction effects between strata. They include the locus RBMS1-TANK (men, Pdifflean-overweight= 4.7 x 10-8), a region that has been associated with several obesity related traits, and TSPYL5 (men, Pdifflean-overweight= 9.1 x 10-8), regulating adipocytes-produced estradiol. The top-ranking known urate loci was ABCG2, the strongest known gout risk locus, with an effect halved in obese compared to lean men (Pdifflean-obese= 2 x 10-4). Finally, pathway analysis suggested a role for N-glycan biosynthesis as a prominent urate-associated pathway in the lean stratum. These results illustrate a potentially powerful way to monitor changes occurring in obesogenic environment.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A Bell test is reported that closes the most significant of loopholes that provide loopholes for a local realist explanation of quantum mechanics, using a well-optimized source of entangled photons, rapid setting generation, and highly efficient superconducting detectors.
Abstract: Local realism is the worldview in which physical properties of objects exist independently of measurement and where physical influences cannot travel faster than the speed of light. Bell's theorem states that this worldview is incompatible with the predictions of quantum mechanics, as is expressed in Bell's inequalities. Previous experiments convincingly supported the quantum predictions. Yet, every experiment requires assumptions that provide loopholes for a local realist explanation. Here, we report a Bell test that closes the most significant of these loopholes simultaneously. Using a well-optimized source of entangled photons, rapid setting generation, and highly efficient superconducting detectors, we observe a violation of a Bell inequality with high statistical significance. The purely statistical probability of our results to occur under local realism does not exceed 3.74×10^{-31}, corresponding to an 11.5 standard deviation effect.

Journal ArticleDOI
Peter A. R. Ade1, Nabila Aghanim2, Zeeshan Ahmed3, Randol W. Aikin4  +354 moreInstitutions (75)
TL;DR: Strong evidence for dust and no statistically significant evidence for tensor modes is found and various model variations and extensions are probe, including adding a synchrotron component in combination with lower frequency data, and find that these make little difference to the r constraint.
Abstract: We report the results of a joint analysis of data from BICEP2/Keck Array and Planck. BICEP2 and Keck Array have observed the same approximately 400 deg2 patch of sky centered on RA 0h, Dec. −57.5deg. The combined maps reach a depth of 57 nK deg in Stokes Q and U in a band centered at 150 GHz. Planck has observed the full sky in polarization at seven frequencies from 30 to 353 GHz, but much less deeply in any given region (1.2 μK deg in Q and U at 143 GHz). We detect 150×353 cross-correlation in B-modes at high significance. We fit the single- and cross-frequency power spectra at frequencies above 150 GHz to a lensed-ΛCDM model that includes dust and a possible contribution from inflationary gravitational waves (as parameterized by the tensor-to-scalar ratio r). We probe various model variations and extensions, including adding a synchrotron component in combination with lower frequency data, and find that these make little difference to the r constraint. Finally we present an alternative analysis which is similar to a map-based cleaning of the dust contribution, and show that this gives similar constraints. The final result is expressed as a likelihood curve for r, and yields an upper limit r0.05<0.12 at 95% confidence. Marginalizing over dust and r, lensing B-modes are detected at 7.0σ significance.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Model reduction aims to reduce the computational burden by generating reduced models that are faster and cheaper to simulate, yet accurately represent the original large-scale system behavior as mentioned in this paper. But model reduction of linear, nonparametric dynamical systems has reached a considerable level of maturity, as reflected by several survey papers and books.
Abstract: Numerical simulation of large-scale dynamical systems plays a fundamental role in studying a wide range of complex physical phenomena; however, the inherent large-scale nature of the models often leads to unmanageable demands on computational resources. Model reduction aims to reduce this computational burden by generating reduced models that are faster and cheaper to simulate, yet accurately represent the original large-scale system behavior. Model reduction of linear, nonparametric dynamical systems has reached a considerable level of maturity, as reflected by several survey papers and books. However, parametric model reduction has emerged only more recently as an important and vibrant research area, with several recent advances making a survey paper timely. Thus, this paper aims to provide a resource that draws together recent contributions in different communities to survey the state of the art in parametric model reduction methods. Parametric model reduction targets the broad class of problems for wh...

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Qualimap 2 represents a next step in the QC analysis of HTS data, along with comprehensive single-sample analysis of alignment data, and includes new modes that allow simultaneous processing and comparison of multiple samples.
Abstract: Motivation: Detection of random errors and systematic biases is a crucial step of a robust pipeline for processing high-throughput sequencing (HTS) data. Bioinformatics software tools capable of performing this task are available, either for general analysis of HTS data or targeted to a specific sequencing technology. However, most of the existing QC instruments only allow processing of one sample at a time. Results: Qualimap 2 represents a next step in the QC analysis of HTS data. Along with comprehensive single-sample analysis of alignment data, it includes new modes that allow simultaneous processing and comparison of multiple samples. As with the first version, the new features are available via both graphical and command line interface. Additionally, it includes a large number of improvements proposed by the user community. Availability and implementation: The implementation of the software along with documentation is freely available at http://www.qualimap.org. Contact: ed.gpm.nilreb-biipm@reyem Supplementary information: Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors provide an overview of the progress in probing dynamical equilibration and thermalization of closed quantum many-body systems driven out of equilibrium by quenches, ramps and periodic driving.
Abstract: How do closed quantum many-body systems driven out of equilibrium eventually achieve equilibration? And how do these systems thermalize, given that they comprise so many degrees of freedom? Progress in answering these—and related—questions has accelerated in recent years—a trend that can be partially attributed to success with experiments performing quantum simulations using ultracold atoms and trapped ions. Here we provide an overview of this progress, specifically in studies probing dynamical equilibration and thermalization of systems driven out of equilibrium by quenches, ramps and periodic driving. In doing so, we also address topics such as the eigenstate thermalization hypothesis, typicality, transport, many-body localization and universality near phase transitions, as well as future prospects for quantum simulation. Statistical mechanics is adept at describing the equilibria of quantum many-body systems. But drive these systems out of equilibrium, and the physics is far from clear. Recent advances have broken new ground in probing these equilibration processes.