Naval Postgraduate School

About: Naval Postgraduate School is a education organization based out in Monterey, California, United States. It is known for research contribution in the topics: Tropical cyclone & Boundary layer. The organization has 5246 authors who have published 11614 publications receiving 298300 citations. The organization is also known as: NPS & U.S. Naval Postgraduate School.

Rethinking the partisan effects of higher turnout: So what's the question?

Abstract: Controversy persists over the link between turnout and the likelihood of success of Democratic candidates (e.g., DeNardo, 1980, 1986; Zimmer, 1985; Tucker and Vedlitz, 1986; Piven and Cloward, 1988; Texeira, 1992; Radcliff, 1994, 1995; Erikson, 1995a, b). We argue that the authors in this debate have largely been talking past one another because of a failure to distinguish three quite different questions. The first question is: “Are low turnout voters more likely to vote Democratic than high turnout voters?” The second question is: “Should we expect that elections in which turnout is higher are ones in which we can expect Democrats to have done better?” The third question is the counterfactual: “If turnout were to have increased in some given election, would Democrats have done better?” We show the logical independence of the first two questions from one another and from the third, and argue that previous researchers have failed to recognize this logical independence – sometimes thinking they were answering question three when in fact they were answering either question one or question two. Reviewing previous research, we find that the answer to the first question once was YES but, for more recent elections at the presidential level, now appears to be NO, while, for congressional and legislative elections, the answer to the second question appears generally to be NO. However, the third question is essentially unanswerable absent an explicit model of why and how turnout can be expected to increase, and/or analyses of individual level panel data. Thus, the cross-sectional and pooled data analyses of previous research are of almost no value in addressing this third question.

Rising Closures Of Hospital Trauma Centers Disproportionately Burden Vulnerable Populations

Abstract: Closures of hospital trauma centers have accelerated since 2001. These closures may disproportionately affect disadvantaged communities. We evaluate how driving time between ZIP code areas and the nearest trauma centers—a proxy for access, given the time-sensitive nature of trauma care—changed nationwide during 2001–07. By 2007, sixty-nine million Americans (24 percent of the population) had to travel farther to the nearest trauma center than they did in 2001, and almost sixteen million people had to travel an additional thirty minutes or more. Communities with disproportionately high numbers of African American residents, uninsured people, and people living in poverty, as well as people living in rural areas, were more likely than others to be thus affected. Because mortality from traumatic injuries has also worsened for these vulnerable populations, policy makers should learn more about the possible connections—and consider such measures as paying trauma centers serving these communities higher amounts ...

Incidence of physician-diagnosed osteoarthritis among active duty United States military service members.

Abstract: Objective. To examine the incidence of osteoarthritis and the influence of demographic and occupational factors associated with this condition among active duty US service members between 1999 and 2008. Methods. To determine the total number of incident cases of osteoarthritis, the Defense Medical Surveillance System (DMSS) was queried by sex, race, age, branch of military service, and rank using code 715 of the International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification. Multivariable Poisson regression analysis was used to estimate incidence rates, rate ratios, and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for osteoarthritis per 1,000 person-years. Results. A total of 108,266 incident cases of osteoarthritis were documented in the DMSS within a population that experienced 13,768,885 person-years at risk of disease during the study period. The overall unadjusted incidence rate among all active duty US service members during the study period was 7.86 cases per 1,000 person-years. Significant demographic and occupational risk factors for osteoarthritis included sex, age, race, branch of service, and rank (P 40 years experienced an adjusted incidence rate for osteoarthritis that was 19 times higher than that for those ages <20 years (rate ratio 18.61 [95% CI 17.57– 19.57]). Black service members experienced significantly higher incidence rates of osteoarthritis than those in the white and “other” race categories. Conclusion. Rates of osteoarthritis were significantly higher in military populations than in comparable age groups in the general population.

The politics of anti-corruption reform in Africa*

Abstract: Previous research on anti-corruption reform in Africa falls into two camps. The first explores ‘best practices’ and policy approaches to controlling corruption, while the second focuses on the politics of anti-corruption ‘reform’, arguing that official anti-corruption campaigns aim to mollify donors while using corruption charges instrumentally to undermine rivals and shore up personal loyalty to the president, and thus have no chance of controlling corruption. This paper suggests that, while the neopatrimonial context is a very significant limiting factor in anti-corruption reform, limited progress is possible. Examining the motivations and effects, intended and unintended, of anti-corruption reforms in Kenya and Nigeria, it finds that while the Kenya Anti-Corruption Commission has indeed been politically marginalised and largely ineffectual, the more autonomous and activist, but politically instrumentalised, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission in Nigeria has had a measure of success. The analysis suggests that this is explained by the EFCC's independent prosecutorial powers and the institutionalisation strategies of its chairman.