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Showing papers by "Saint Louis University published in 2020"


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Evidence that an initial invasive strategy, as compared with an initial conservative strategy, reduced the risk of ischemic cardiovascular events or death from any cause over a median of 3.2 years is not found.
Abstract: Background Among patients with stable coronary disease and moderate or severe ischemia, whether clinical outcomes are better in those who receive an invasive intervention plus medical ther...

1,324 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The relationship of the COVID-19 pandemic to anticipatory grief, disenfranchised grief, and complicated grief for individuals, families, and their providers is described and resources for healthcare providers are provided.

420 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is indicated that multimodal data fusion using low-cost UAV within a DNN framework can provide a relatively accurate and robust estimation of crop yield, and deliver valuable insight for high-throughput phenotyping and crop field management with high spatial precision.

362 citations



Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Use of iteratively pruned deep learning model ensembles for detecting pulmonary manifestations of COVID-19 with chest X-rays and the combined use of modality-specific knowledge transfer, iterative model pruning, and ensemble learning resulted in improved predictions.
Abstract: We demonstrate use of iteratively pruned deep learning model ensembles for detecting pulmonary manifestations of COVID-19 with chest X-rays This disease is caused by the novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus, also known as the novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) A custom convolutional neural network and a selection of ImageNet pretrained models are trained and evaluated at patient-level on publicly available CXR collections to learn modality-specific feature representations The learned knowledge is transferred and fine-tuned to improve performance and generalization in the related task of classifying CXRs as normal, showing bacterial pneumonia, or COVID-19-viral abnormalities The best performing models are iteratively pruned to reduce complexity and improve memory efficiency The predictions of the best-performing pruned models are combined through different ensemble strategies to improve classification performance Empirical evaluations demonstrate that the weighted average of the best-performing pruned models significantly improves performance resulting in an accuracy of 9901% and area under the curve of 09972 in detecting COVID-19 findings on CXRs The combined use of modality-specific knowledge transfer, iterative model pruning, and ensemble learning resulted in improved predictions We expect that this model can be quickly adopted for COVID-19 screening using chest radiographs

269 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This study highlights the array of cutaneous manifestations associated with COVID-19, finding that many morphologies were non-specific, while others may provide insight into potential immune or inflammatory pathways in CO VID-19 pathophysiology.
Abstract: Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has associated cutaneous manifestations. Objective To characterize the diversity of cutaneous manifestations of COVID-19 and facilitate understanding of the underlying pathophysiology. Methods Case series from an international registry from the American Academy of Dermatology and International League of Dermatological Societies. Results The registry collected 716 cases of new-onset dermatologic symptoms in patients with confirmed/suspected COVID-19. Of the 171 patients in the registry with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, the most common morphologies were morbilliform (22%), pernio-like (18%), urticarial (16%), macular erythema (13%), vesicular (11%), papulosquamous (9.9%), and retiform purpura (6.4%). Pernio-like lesions were common in patients with mild disease, whereas retiform purpura presented exclusively in ill, hospitalized patients. Limitations We cannot estimate incidence or prevalence. Confirmation bias is possible. Conclusions This study highlights the array of cutaneous manifestations associated with COVID-19. Many morphologies were nonspecific, whereas others may provide insight into potential immune or inflammatory pathways in COVID-19 pathophysiology.

265 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The findings appear to support the use of dupilumab for the treatment of adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis.
Abstract: Importance Adolescents with atopic dermatitis (AD) have high disease burden negatively affecting quality of life, with limited treatment options. The efficacy and safety of dupilumab, a monoclonal antibody, approved for treatment in adolescent patients with inadequately controlled AD, remain unknown in this patient population. Objective To assess the efficacy and safety of dupilumab monotherapy in adolescents with moderate to severe inadequately controlled AD. Design, Setting, and Participants A randomized, double-blind, parallel-group, phase 3 clinical trial was conducted at 45 US and Canadian centers between March 21, 2017, and June 5, 2018. A total of 251 adolescents with moderate to severe AD inadequately controlled by topical medications or for whom topical therapy was inadvisable were included. Interventions Patients were randomized (1:1:1; interactive-response system; stratified by severity and body weight) to 16-week treatment with dupilumab, 200 mg (n = 43; baseline weight Main Outcomes and Measures Proportion of patients with 75% or more improvement from baseline in Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI-75) (scores range from 0 to 72, with higher scores indicating greater severity) and Investigator’s Global Assessment (IGA) 0 or 1 on a 5-point scale (scores range from 0 to 4, with higher scores indicating greater severity) at week 16. Results A total of 251 patients were randomized (mean [SD] age, 14.5 [1.7] years; 148 [59.0%] male). Of 250 patients with data available on concurrent allergic conditions, most had comorbid type 2 diseases (asthma, 134 [53.6%]; food allergies, 60.8%; allergic rhinitis, 65.6%). A total of 240 patients (95.6%) completed the study. Dupilumab achieved both coprimary end points at week 16. The proportion of patients with EASI-75 improvement from baseline increased (every 2 weeks, 41.5%; every 4 weeks, 38.1%; placebo, 8.2%) with differences vs placebo of 33.2% (95% CI, 21.1%-45.4%) for every 2 weeks and 29.9% (95% CI, 17.9%-41.8%) for every 4 weeks (P Conclusions and Relevance In this study, dupilumab significantly improved AD signs, symptoms, and quality of life in adolescents with moderate to severe AD, with an acceptable safety profile. Placebo-corrected efficacy and safety of dupilumab were similar in adolescents and adults. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier:NCT03054428

254 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Jean Bousquet1, Holger J. Schünemann2, Akdis Togias3, Claus Bachert4, Martina Erhola3, Peter Hellings5, Ludger Klimek, Oliver Pfaar6, Dana Wallace7, Ignacio J. Ansotegui, Ioana Agache8, Anna Bedbrook, Karl-Christian Bergmann9, Mike Bewick, Philippe Bonniaud, Sinthia Bosnic-Anticevich10, Isabelle Bosse, Jacques Bouchard11, Louis-Philippe Boulet11, Jan Brozek2, Guy Brusselle4, Moises A. Calderon3, Walter Canonica12, Luis Caraballo13, V. Cardona, Thomas B. Casale14, Lorenzo Cecchi, Derek K. Chu2, Elísio Costa15, Alvaro A. Cruz16, Wienczyslawa Czarlewski, Gennaro D'Amato17, Philippe Devillier3, Philippe Devillier18, Mark S. Dykewicz19, Motohiro Ebisawa, Jean-Louis Fauquert, Wytske Fokkens5, João Fonseca15, Jean-François Fontaine, Bilun Gemicioglu20, Roy Gerth van Wijk21, Tari Haahtela22, Susanne Halken23, Despo Ierodiakonou24, Tomohisa Iinuma25, J. C. Ivancevich, Marek Jutel26, Igor Kaidashev27, Musa Khaitov, Omer Kalayci28, Jorg Kleine Tebbe, Marek L. Kowalski29, Piotr Kuna29, Violeta Kvedariene30, Stefania La Grutta31, Désirée Larenas-Linnemann, Susanne Lau9, Daniel Laune, Lan Le, Philipp Lieberman32, Karin C. Lødrup Carlsen33, Olga Lourenço34, Gert Marien, Pedro Carreiro-Martins7, Erik Melén35, Enrica Menditto17, H. Neffen, Gregoire Mercier, Ralph Mosgues36, Joaquim Mullol37, Antonella Muraro, Leyla Namazova38, Ettore Novellino17, Robyn E O'Hehir39, Yoshitaka Okamoto25, Ken Ohta, Hae-Sim Park40, Petr Panzner41, Giovanni Passalacqua42, Nhan Pham-Thi43, David Price, Graham Roberts44, Nicolas Roche, Christine Rolland, Nelson Rosario, Dermot Ryan45, Bolesław Samoliński46, Mario Sánchez-Borges, Glenis Scadding47, Mohamed H. Shamji48, Aziz Sheikh45, Ana-Maria Todo Bom49, Sanna Toppila-Salmi22, Ioana Tsiligianni24, Marylin Valentin-Rostan, Arunas Valiulis30, Erkka Valovirta50, M. T. Ventura51, Samantha Walker, Susan Waserman2, Arzu Yorgancioglu52, Torsten Zuberbier9 
TL;DR: Next-generation guidelines for the pharmacologic treatment of allergic rhinitis were developed by using existing GRADE-based guidelines forThe disease, real-world evidence provided by mobile technology, and additive studies (allergen chamber studies) to refine the MACVIA algorithm.
Abstract: The selection of pharmacotherapy for patients with allergic rhinitis aims to control the disease and depends on many factors. Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) guidelines have considerably improved the treatment of allergic rhinitis. However, there is an increasing trend toward use of real-world evidence to inform clinical practice, especially because randomized controlled trials are often limited with regard to the applicability of results. The Contre les Maladies Chroniques pour un Vieillissement Actif (MACVIA) algorithm has proposed an allergic rhinitis treatment by a consensus group. This simple algorithm can be used to step up or step down allergic rhinitis treatment. Next-generation guidelines for the pharmacologic treatment of allergic rhinitis were developed by using existing GRADE-based guidelines for the disease, real-world evidence provided by mobile technology, and additive studies (allergen chamber studies) to refine the MACVIA algorithm.

237 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The TDP-43 helical region serves as a short but uniquely tunable module where application of biophysical principles can precisely control assembly and function in cellular and synthetic biology applications of LLPS.
Abstract: Liquid-liquid phase separation (LLPS) is involved in the formation of membraneless organelles (MLOs) associated with RNA processing. The RNA-binding protein TDP-43 is present in several MLOs, undergoes LLPS, and has been linked to the pathogenesis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). While some ALS-associated mutations in TDP-43 disrupt self-interaction and function, here we show that designed single mutations can enhance TDP-43 assembly and function via modulating helical structure. Using molecular simulation and NMR spectroscopy, we observe large structural changes upon dimerization of TDP-43. Two conserved glycine residues (G335 and G338) are potent inhibitors of helical extension and helix-helix interaction, which are removed in part by variants at these positions, including the ALS-associated G335D. Substitution to helix-enhancing alanine at either of these positions dramatically enhances phase separation in vitro and decreases fluidity of phase-separated TDP-43 reporter compartments in cells. Furthermore, G335A increases TDP-43 splicing function in a minigene assay. Therefore, the TDP-43 helical region serves as a short but uniquely tunable module where application of biophysical principles can precisely control assembly and function in cellular and synthetic biology applications of LLPS.

204 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The findings emphasize the urgent need to ensure adequate environmental cleaning, strengthen infection prevention training, and improve infection prevention among HCWs during the outbreak of COVID-19.

203 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: HCPs experience high levels of psychological burden during the COVID-19 pandemic and Hospitals, ICU directors, and ICU staff must devise strategies to overcome the modifiable determinants of adverse mental illness symptoms.
Abstract: Rationale: Frontline healthcare providers (HCPs) during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic are at high risk of mental morbidity.Objectives: To assess the prevalence of symptoms of anxiety, depression, and peritraumatic dissociation in HCPs.Methods: This was a cross-sectional study in 21 ICUs in France between April 20, 2020, and May 21, 2020. The Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and the Peritraumatic Dissociative Experience Questionnaire were used. Factors independently associated with reported symptoms of mental health disorders were identified.Measurements and Main Results: The response rate was 67%, with 1,058 respondents (median age 33 yr; 71% women; 68% nursing staff). The prevalence of symptoms of anxiety, depression, and peritraumatic dissociation was 50.4%, 30.4%, and 32%, respectively, with the highest rates in nurses. By multivariable analysis, male sex was independently associated with lower prevalence of symptoms of anxiety, depression, and peritraumatic dissociation (odds ratio of 0.58 [95% confidence interval, 0.42-0.79], 0.57 [95% confidence interval, 0.39-0.82], and 0.49 [95% confidence interval, 0.34-0.72], respectively). HCPs working in non-university-affiliated hospitals and nursing assistants were at high risk of symptoms of anxiety and peritraumatic dissociation. Importantly, we identified the following six modifiable determinants of symptoms of mental health disorders: fear of being infected, inability to rest, inability to care for family, struggling with difficult emotions, regret about the restrictions in visitation policies, and witnessing hasty end-of-life decisions.Conclusions: HCPs experience high levels of psychological burden during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hospitals, ICU directors, and ICU staff must devise strategies to overcome the modifiable determinants of adverse mental illness symptoms.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is shown that the RNA-binding protein ZFP36/TTP (ZFP36 ring finger protein) plays a crucial role in regulating ferroptosis in hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) and is identified as a potential target for the treatment of liver fibrosis.
Abstract: Ferroptosis is a recently discovered form of programmed cell death, but its regulatory mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here, we show that the RNA-binding protein ZFP36/TTP (ZFP36 ring finger p...

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: For example, this article found that counties more likely to be affected by climate change pay more in underwriting fees and initial yields to issue long-term municipal bonds compared to counties that are not.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a review of water quality remote sensing systems and their limitations is presented, and the authors conclude that anomaly detection utilizing multi-sensor data fusion and virtual constellation in cloud computing is the most promising means for predicting impending water pollution outbreaks such as algal blooms.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Dupilumab+TCS is efficacious and well tolerated in children with severe AD, significantly improving signs, symptoms, and QoL.
Abstract: Background Children with severe atopic dermatitis (AD) have limited treatment options Objective We report efficacy and safety of dupilumab + topical corticosteroids (TCS) in children aged 6–11 years with severe AD inadequately controlled with topical therapies Methods In this double-blind, 16-week, phase 3 trial (NCT03345914), 367 patients were randomized 1:1:1 to 300mg dupilumab every 4 weeks (300mg-q4w), a weight-based regimen of dupilumab every 2 weeks (100mg-q2w, baseline weight <30kg; 200mg-q2w, ≥30kg), or placebo; with concomitant medium-potency TCS Results Both the q4w and q2w dupilumab+TCS regimens resulted in clinically meaningful and statistically significant improvement in signs, symptoms, and quality of life (QoL) versus placebo+TCS in all prespecified endpoints For q4w/q2w/placebo, 328%/295%/114% of patients achieved Investigator’s Global Assessment scores of 0/1; 697%/672%/268% achieved ≥75% improvement in Eczema Area and Severity Index scores; and 508%/583%/123% achieved ≥4-point reduction in worst itch score Response to therapy was weight-dependent: optimal dupilumab doses for efficacy and safety were 300mg-q4w in children <30kg and 200mg-q2w in children ≥30kg Conjunctivitis and injection-site reactions were more common with dupilumab+TCS than placebo+TCS Limitations Short-term 16-week treatment period; severe AD only Conclusion Dupilumab+TCS is efficacious and well tolerated in children with severe AD, significantly improving signs, symptoms, and QoL

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Clinical and pathologic findings of pernio-like lesions in confirmed or suspected CO VID-19 cases may suggest COVID-19 infection and should prompt confirmatory testing.
Abstract: Background Increasing evidence suggests pernio-like lesions are cutaneous manifestations of coronavirus infectious disease 2019 (COVID-19). Objective To describe clinical and pathologic findings of pernio-like lesions in patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19. Methods An international dermatology registry was circulated to health care providers worldwide through the American Academy of Dermatology, International League of Dermatologic Societies, and other organizations. Results We documented 505 patients with dermatologic manifestations associated with COVID-19, including 318 (63%) with pernio-like lesions. Patients with pernio-like lesions were generally young and healthy, with relatively mild COVID-19. Of 318 patients with confirmed or suspected COVID-19 by providers, 23 (7%) were laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 positive, and 20 others (6%) were close contacts of patients with confirmed COVID-19. Given current testing criteria, many patients lacked COVID-19 testing access. For 55% of patients, pernio-like lesions were their only symptom. In patients with other COVID-19 symptoms, pernio-like lesions typically appeared after other symptoms. Pernio-like lesions lasted a median of 14 days (interquartile range, 10-21 days). Limitations A case series cannot estimate population-level incidence or prevalence. In addition, there may be confirmation bias in reporting. We cannot exclude an epiphenomenon. Conclusions Pernio-like skin changes of the feet and hands, without another explanation, may suggest COVID-19 infection and should prompt confirmatory testing.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is necessary to further strengthen the monitoring of wild mammals to ensure that 2019-nCoV will not cause diseases like Global Outbreak of 2003 SARS.
Abstract: As of today, the intermediate host of 2019-nCoV has not been determined Considering that intermediate hosts are generally mammals [5], they are likely the living mammals sold in the South China seafood market Therefore, strengthening the monitoring of wild mammals is an urgent measure to prevent similar viruses from infecting humans in the future More than 1,000 confirmed cases have been reported in China The number of provinces and cities in China as well as other Downloaded from https://academic oup com/cid/advance-article-abstract/doi/10 1093/cid/ciaa112/5721420 by World Health Organization user on 06 February 2020 countries with confirmed cases are steadily increasing It is necessary to further strengthen the monitoring to ensure that it will not cause diseases like Global Outbreak of 2003 SARS

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A strong recommendation for the use of long-acting β2-agonist (LABA)/long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) combination therapy over LABA or LAMA monotherapy in patients with COPD and dyspnea or exercise intolerance is made.
Abstract: Background: This document provides clinical recommendations for the pharmacologic treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). It represents a collaborative effort on the part of a panel of expert COPD clinicians and researchers along with a team of methodologists under the guidance of the American Thoracic Society.Methods: Comprehensive evidence syntheses were performed on all relevant studies that addressed the clinical questions and critical patient-centered outcomes agreed upon by the panel of experts. The evidence was appraised, rated, and graded, and recommendations were formulated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach.Results: After weighing the quality of evidence and balancing the desirable and undesirable effects, the guideline panel made the following recommendations: 1) a strong recommendation for the use of long-acting β2-agonist (LABA)/long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) combination therapy over LABA or LAMA monotherapy in patients with COPD and dyspnea or exercise intolerance; 2) a conditional recommendation for the use of triple therapy with inhaled corticosteroids (ICS)/LABA/LAMA over dual therapy with LABA/LAMA in patients with COPD and dyspnea or exercise intolerance who have experienced one or more exacerbations in the past year; 3) a conditional recommendation for ICS withdrawal for patients with COPD receiving triple therapy (ICS/LABA/LAMA) if the patient has had no exacerbations in the past year; 4) no recommendation for or against ICS as an additive therapy to long-acting bronchodilators in patients with COPD and blood eosinophilia, except for those patients with a history of one or more exacerbations in the past year requiring antibiotics or oral steroids or hospitalization, for whom ICS is conditionally recommended as an additive therapy; 5) a conditional recommendation against the use of maintenance oral corticosteroids in patients with COPD and a history of severe and frequent exacerbations; and 6) a conditional recommendation for opioid-based therapy in patients with COPD who experience advanced refractory dyspnea despite otherwise optimal therapy.Conclusions: The task force made recommendations regarding the pharmacologic treatment of COPD based on currently available evidence. Additional research in populations that are underrepresented in clinical trials is needed, including studies in patients with COPD 80 years of age and older, those with multiple chronic health conditions, and those with a codiagnosis of COPD and asthma.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: This guideline will provide an evidence-based practical approach to the diagnosis and management of CP for the general gastroenterologist.

Repository
Fotios Petropoulos, Daniele Apiletti1, Vassilios Assimakopoulos2, Mohamed Zied Babai3, Devon K. Barrow4, Souhaib Ben Taieb5, Christoph Bergmeir6, Ricardo J. Bessa, Jakub Bijak7, John E. Boylan8, Jethro Browell9, Claudio Carnevale10, Jennifer L. Castle11, Pasquale Cirillo12, Michael P. Clements13, Clara Cordeiro14, Clara Cordeiro15, Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira16, Shari De Baets17, Alexander Dokumentov, Joanne Ellison7, Piotr Fiszeder18, Philip Hans Franses19, David T. Frazier6, Michael Gilliland20, M. Sinan Gönül, Paul Goodwin21, Luigi Grossi22, Yael Grushka-Cockayne23, Mariangela Guidolin22, Massimo Guidolin24, Ulrich Gunter25, Xiaojia Guo26, Renato Guseo22, Nigel Harvey27, David F. Hendry11, Ross Hollyman21, Tim Januschowski28, Jooyoung Jeon29, Victor Richmond R. Jose30, Yanfei Kang31, Anne B. Koehler32, Stephan Kolassa8, Nikolaos Kourentzes33, Nikolaos Kourentzes8, Sonia Leva, Feng Li34, Konstantia Litsiou35, Spyros Makridakis36, Gael M. Martin6, Andrew B. Martinez37, Andrew B. Martinez38, Sheik Meeran, Theodore Modis, Konstantinos Nikolopoulos39, Dilek Önkal, Alessia Paccagnini40, Alessia Paccagnini41, Anastasios Panagiotelis42, Ioannis P. Panapakidis43, Jose M. Pavía44, Manuela Pedio24, Manuela Pedio45, Diego J. Pedregal46, Pierre Pinson47, Patrícia Ramos48, David E. Rapach49, J. James Reade13, Bahman Rostami-Tabar50, Michał Rubaszek51, Georgios Sermpinis9, Han Lin Shang52, Evangelos Spiliotis2, Aris A. Syntetos50, Priyanga Dilini Talagala53, Thiyanga S. Talagala54, Len Tashman55, Dimitrios D. Thomakos56, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir57, Ezio Todini58, Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas46, Xiaoqian Wang31, Robert L. Winkler59, Alisa Yusupova8, Florian Ziel60 
Polytechnic University of Turin1, National Technical University of Athens2, KEDGE Business School3, University of Birmingham4, University of Mons5, Monash University6, University of Southampton7, Lancaster University8, University of Glasgow9, University of Brescia10, University of Oxford11, Zürcher Fachhochschule12, University of Reading13, University of Lisbon14, University of the Algarve15, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio de Janeiro16, Ghent University17, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń18, Erasmus University Rotterdam19, SAS Institute20, University of Bath21, University of Padua22, University of Virginia23, Bocconi University24, MODUL University Vienna25, University of Maryland, College Park26, University College London27, Amazon.com28, KAIST29, Georgetown University30, Beihang University31, Miami University32, University of Skövde33, Central University of Finance and Economics34, Manchester Metropolitan University35, University of Nicosia36, George Washington University37, United States Department of the Treasury38, Durham University39, Australian National University40, University College Dublin41, University of Sydney42, University of Thessaly43, University of Valencia44, University of Bristol45, University of Castilla–La Mancha46, Technical University of Denmark47, Polytechnic Institute of Porto48, Saint Louis University49, Cardiff University50, Warsaw School of Economics51, Macquarie University52, University of Moratuwa53, University of Sri Jayewardenepura54, International Institute of Minnesota55, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens56, Norwegian Computing Center57, University of Bologna58, Duke University59, University of Duisburg-Essen60
TL;DR: A non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting, offering a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts.
Abstract: Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts. We do not claim that this review is an exhaustive list of methods and applications. However, we wish that our encyclopedic presentation will offer a point of reference for the rich work that has been undertaken over the last decades, with some key insights for the future of forecasting theory and practice. Given its encyclopedic nature, the intended mode of reading is non-linear. We offer cross-references to allow the readers to navigate through the various topics. We complement the theoretical concepts and applications covered by large lists of free or open-source software implementations and publicly-available databases.

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TL;DR: This set of recommendations is designed to assist the pediatrician in caring for children with Williams syndrome who were diagnosed by using clinical features and with chromosome 7 microdeletion confirmed by fluorescence in situ hybridization, chromosome microarray, or multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification.
Abstract: This set of recommendations is designed to assist the pediatrician in caring for children with Williams syndrome (WS) who were diagnosed by using clinical features and with chromosome 7 microdeletion confirmed by fluorescence in situ hybridization, chromosome microarray, or multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification. The recommendations in this report reflect review of the current literature, including previously peer-reviewed and published management suggestions for WS, as well as the consensus of physicians and psychologists with expertise in the care of individuals with WS. These general recommendations for the syndrome do not replace individualized medical assessment and treatment.

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TL;DR: The government recognizes that social factors cause racial inequalities in access to resources and opportunities that result in racial health disparities, but this recognition fails to acknowledge the root cause of these racial inequalities: structural racism.
Abstract: The government recognizes that social factors cause racial inequalities in access to resources and opportunities that result in racial health disparities. However, this recognition fails to acknowledge the root cause of these racial inequalities: structural racism. As a result, racial health disparities persist.

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TL;DR: The results indicated that the presence of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in epithelial cells promotes IL-6 trans-signaling by activation of the AT1 axis to initiate coordination of a hyper-inflammatory response.
Abstract: Cytokine storm is suggested as one of the major pathological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 infection, although the mechanism for initiation of a hyper-inflammatory response, and multi-organ damage from viral infection is poorly understood. In this virus-cell interaction study, we observed that SARS-CoV-2 infection or viral spike protein expression alone inhibited angiotensin converting enzyme-2 (ACE2) receptor protein expression. The spike protein promoted an angiotensin II type 1 receptor (AT1) mediated signaling cascade, induced the transcriptional regulatory molecules NF-κB and AP-1/c-Fos via MAPK activation, and increased IL-6 release. SARS-CoV-2 infected patient sera contained elevated levels of IL-6 and soluble IL-6R. Up-regulated AT1 receptor signaling also influenced the release of extracellular soluble IL-6R by the induction of the ADAM-17 protease. Use of the AT1 receptor antagonist, Candesartan cilexetil, resulted in down-regulation of IL-6/soluble IL-6R release in spike expressing cells. Phosphorylation of STAT3 at the Tyr705 residue plays an important role as a transcriptional inducer for SOCS3 and MCP-1 expression. Further study indicated that inhibition of STAT3 Tyr705 phosphorylation in SARS-CoV-2 infected and viral spike protein expressing epithelial cells did not induce SOCS3 and MCP-1 expression. Introduction of culture supernatant from SARS-CoV-2 spike expressing cells on a model human liver endothelial Cell line (TMNK-1), where transmembrane IL-6R is poorly expressed, resulted in the induction of STAT3 Tyr705 phosphorylation as well as MCP-1 expression. In conclusion, our results indicated that the presence of SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in epithelial cells promotes IL-6 trans-signaling by activation of the AT1 axis to initiate coordination of a hyper-inflammatory response.

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TL;DR: Understanding the unique phenotypic and functional characteristics of exhausted and senescent T cells should facilitate rethinking the unresponsiveness to current immunotherapies in clinical patients and lead to further development of novel and effective strategies that target different types of dysfunctional T cells to enhance cancer immunotherapy.
Abstract: The failure of a massive influx of tumor-infiltrating T lymphocytes to eradicate tumor cells in the tumor microenvironment is mainly due to the dysfunction of T cells hyporesponsive to tumors. T-cell exhaustion and senescence induced by malignant tumors are two important dysfunctional states that coexist in cancer patients, hindering effective antitumor immunity and immunotherapy and sustaining the suppressive tumor microenvironment. Although exhausted and senescent T cells share a similar dysfunctional role in antitumor immunity, they are distinctly different in terms of generation, development, and metabolic and molecular regulation during tumor progression. Here, we discuss the unique phenotypic and functional characteristics of these two types of dysfunctional T cells and their roles in tumor development and progression. In addition, we further discuss the potential molecular and metabolic signaling pathways responsible for the control of T-cell exhaustion and senescence in the suppressive tumor microenvironment. Understanding these critical and fundamental features should facilitate rethinking the unresponsiveness to current immunotherapies in clinical patients and lead to further development of novel and effective strategies that target different types of dysfunctional T cells to enhance cancer immunotherapy.

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TL;DR: The findings of this study may help in the planning and implementation of strategies at the country level to help ease this emerging burden on the world's economy, healthcare, and globalization.

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TL;DR: A focus on the available knowledge about the NLRP3 inflammasome role in disorders with a high impact on public health and the balance between the activation of the harmful and beneficial inflammaome so that new therapies can be created for patients with these diseases is provided.
Abstract: Inflammation is a protective reaction activated in response to detrimental stimuli, such as dead cells, irritants or pathogens, by the evolutionarily conserved immune system and is regulated by the host. The inflammasomes are recognized as innate immune system sensors and receptors that manage the activation of caspase-1 and stimulate inflammation response. They have been associated with several inflammatory disorders. The NLRP3 inflammasome is the most well characterized. It is so called because NLRP3 belongs to the family of nucleotide-binding and oligomerization domain-like receptors (NLRs). Recent evidence has greatly improved our understanding of the mechanisms by which the NLRP3 inflammasome is activated. Additionally, increasing data in animal models, supported by human studies, strongly implicate the involvement of the inflammasome in the initiation or progression of disorders with a high impact on public health, such as metabolic pathologies (obesity, type 2 diabetes, atherosclerosis), cardiovascular diseases (ischemic and non-ischemic heart disease), inflammatory issues (liver diseases, inflammatory bowel diseases, gut microbiome, rheumatoid arthritis) and neurologic disorders (Parkinson’s disease, Alzheimer’s disease, multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis and other neurological disorders), compared to other molecular platforms. This review will provide a focus on the available knowledge about the NLRP3 inflammasome role in these pathologies and describe the balance between the activation of the harmful and beneficial inflammasome so that new therapies can be created for patients with these diseases.

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TL;DR: The development of ventilator triage policies in North American hospitals associated with members of the Association of Bioethics Program Directors has substantial heterogeneity, and many omit guidance on fair implementation.
Abstract: BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has or threatens to overwhelm health care systems. Many institutions are developing ventilator triage policies. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the development of ventilator triage policies and compare policy content. DESIGN: Survey and mixed-methods content analysis. SETTING: North American hospitals associated with members of the Association of Bioethics Program Directors. PARTICIPANTS: Program directors. MEASUREMENTS: Characteristics of institutions and policies, including triage criteria and triage committee membership. RESULTS: Sixty-seven program directors responded (response rate, 91.8%); 36 (53.7%) hospitals did not yet have a policy, and 7 (10.4%) hospitals' policies could not be shared. The 29 institutions providing policies were relatively evenly distributed among the 4 U.S. geographic regions (range, 5 to 9 policies per region). Among the 26 unique policies analyzed, 3 (11.3%) were produced by state health departments. The most frequently cited triage criteria were benefit (25 policies [96.2%]), need (14 [53.8%]), age (13 [50.0%]), conservation of resources (10 [38.5%]), and lottery (9 [34.6%]). Twenty-one (80.8%) policies use scoring systems, and 20 of these (95.2%) use a version of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score. Among the policies that specify the triage team's composition (23 [88.5%]), all require or recommend a physician member, 20 (87.0%) a nurse, 16 (69.6%) an ethicist, 8 (34.8%) a chaplain, and 8 (34.8%) a respiratory therapist. Thirteen (50.0% of all policies) require or recommend that those making triage decisions not be involved in direct patient care, but only 2 (7.7%) require that their decisions be blinded to ethically irrelevant considerations. LIMITATION: The results may not be generalizable to institutions without academic bioethics programs. CONCLUSION: Over one half of respondents did not have ventilator triage policies. Policies have substantial heterogeneity, and many omit guidance on fair implementation. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: None.

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TL;DR: APL in COVID-19 patients are mainly directed against β2GPI but display an epitope specificity different from antibodies in antiphospholipid syndrome, which shows a low prevalence and is not associated with major thrombotic events.
Abstract: Background Critically ill patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have a profound hypercoagulable state and often develop coagulopathy which leads to organ failure and death. Because of a prolonged activated partial-thromboplastin time (aPTT), a relationship with anti-phospholipid antibodies (aPLs) has been proposed, but results are controversial. Functional assays for aPL (i.e., lupus anticoagulant) can be influenced by concomitant anticoagulation and/or high levels of C reactive protein. The presence of anti-cardiolipin (aCL), anti-beta2-glycoprotein I (anti-β2GPI), and anti-phosphatidylserine/prothrombin (aPS/PT) antibodies was not investigated systematically. Epitope specificity of anti-β2GPI antibodies was not reported. Objective To evaluate the prevalence and the clinical association of aPL in a large cohort of COVID-19 patients, and to characterize the epitope specificity of anti-β2GPI antibodies. Methods ELISA and chemiluminescence assays were used to test 122 sera of patients suffering from severe COVID-19. Of them, 16 displayed major thrombotic events. Results Anti-β2GPI IgG/IgA/IgM was the most frequent in 15.6/6.6/9.0% of patients, while aCL IgG/IgM was detected in 5.7/6.6% by ELISA. Comparable values were found by chemiluminescence. aPS/PT IgG/IgM were detectable in 2.5 and 9.8% by ELISA. No association between thrombosis and aPL was found. Reactivity against domain 1 and 4-5 of β2GPI was limited to 3/58 (5.2%) tested sera for each domain and did not correlate with aCL/anti-β2GPI nor with thrombosis. Conclusions aPL show a low prevalence in COVID-19 patients and are not associated with major thrombotic events. aPL in COVID-19 patients are mainly directed against β2GPI but display an epitope specificity different from antibodies in antiphospholipid syndrome.

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TL;DR: Increases in binding antibodies with RI were more frequent than increased neutralizing antibodies and virus shedding, and more frequent in younger compared to older adults, explaining in part a susceptibility to reinfection with HCoV.
Abstract: Human coronaviruses (HCoV) are common causes of respiratory illnesses (RI) despite preexisting humoral immunity. Sera were obtained near the onset of RI and 3 to 4 weeks later as part of a prospective study of 200 subjects evaluated for RI from 2009 to 2013. Antibodies against common HCoV strains were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and neutralization assay comparing older adults with cardiopulmonary diseases (99 subjects) to younger, healthy adults (101 subjects). Virus shedding was detected in respiratory secretions by polymerase chain reaction. Of 43 HCoV-associated illnesses, 15 (35%) occurred in 14 older adults (aged ≥60 years) and 28 (65%) in 28 younger adults (aged 21-40 years). Binding and neutralizing antibodies were higher in older adults. Only 16 (35.7%) of RI with increases in binding antibodies also had increases in neutralizing antibodies to HCoV. Increases in binding antibodies with RI were more frequent than increased neutralizing antibodies and virus shedding, and more frequent in younger compared to older adults. Functional neutralizing antibodies were not stimulated as often as binding antibodies, explaining in part a susceptibility to reinfection with HCoV. Monitoring binding antibodies may be more sensitive for the serologic detection of HCoV infections.