University of Victoria

About: University of Victoria is a education organization based out in Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. It is known for research contribution in the topics: Population & Galaxy. The organization has 14994 authors who have published 41051 publications receiving 1447972 citations. The organization is also known as: Victoria College.

Grey system theory-based models in time series prediction

Abstract: Being able to forecast time series accurately has been quite a popular subject for researchers both in the past and at present. However, the lack of ability of conventional analysis methods to forecast time series that are not smooth leads the scientists and researchers to resort to various forecasting models that have different mathematical backgrounds, such as artificial neural networks, fuzzy predictors, evolutionary and genetic algorithms. In this paper, the accuracies of different grey models such as GM(1,1), Grey Verhulst model, modified grey models using Fourier Series is investigated. Highly noisy data, the United States dollar to Euro parity between the dates 01.01.2005 and 30.12.2007, are used to compare the performances of the different models. The simulation results show that modified grey models have higher performances not only on model fitting but also on forecasting. Among these grey models, the modified GM(1,1) using Fourier series in time is the best in model fitting and forecasting.

The T2K Experiment

Abstract: The T2K experiment is a long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment Its main goal is to measure the last unknown lepton sector mixing angle {\theta}_{13} by observing { u}_e appearance in a { u}_{\mu} beam It also aims to make a precision measurement of the known oscillation parameters, {\Delta}m^{2}_{23} and sin^{2} 2{\theta}_{23}, via { u}_{\mu} disappearance studies Other goals of the experiment include various neutrino cross section measurements and sterile neutrino searches The experiment uses an intense proton beam generated by the J-PARC accelerator in Tokai, Japan, and is composed of a neutrino beamline, a near detector complex (ND280), and a far detector (Super-Kamiokande) located 295 km away from J-PARC This paper provides a comprehensive review of the instrumentation aspect of the T2K experiment and a summary of the vital information for each subsystem

Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires

Abstract: [1] The area burned by forest fires in Canada has increased over the past four decades, at the same time as summer season temperatures have warmed. Here we use output from a coupled climate model to demonstrate that human emissions of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosol have made a detectable contribution to this warming. We further show that human-induced climate change has had a detectable influence on the area burned by forest fire in Canada over recent decades. This increase in area burned is likely to have important implications for terrestrial emissions of carbon dioxide and for forest ecosystems.