•Journal•ISSN: 1878-0067
Epidemics
Elsevier BV
About: Epidemics is an academic journal published by Elsevier BV. The journal publishes majorly in the area(s): Population & Medicine. It has an ISSN identifier of 1878-0067. It is also open access. Over the lifetime, 599 publications have been published receiving 15303 citations.
Papers
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TL;DR: It is shown that accurate inference of current transmissibility, and the uncertainty associated with this estimate, requires: up-to-date observations of the serial interval to be included, and cases arising from local transmission to be distinguished from those imported from elsewhere.
381 citations
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TL;DR: In this paper, a 2-parameter generalized growth model was proposed to characterize the ascending phase of an outbreak and capture epidemic profiles ranging from sub-exponential to exponential growth.
253 citations
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TL;DR: This synthetic forecasting challenge inspired by the West African Ebola crisis in 2014-2015 is presented and recommended as key elements to improve coordination and inspire collaboration between modeling groups ahead of the next pandemic threat, and to assess model forecasting accuracy for a variety of known and hypothetical pathogens.
192 citations
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TL;DR: Challenges in modelling changes in behaviour relating to disease dynamics are presented, specifically: how to incorporate behavioural changes in models of infectious disease dynamics, how to inform measurement of relevant behaviour to parameterise such models, and how to determine the impact of behavioural changes on observed disease dynamics.
187 citations
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TL;DR: Network models can be thought of as a unifying framework within which metapopulation models and individual-based models are contained and will become more important as geolocated data become the norm for infectious disease.
180 citations