Showing papers in "Technological Forecasting and Social Change in 1972"

TL;DR: The key feature of the approach is that it allows one to work with data of any level—from subjective estimates to highly precise physical measurements—and the computer has the character of logical projections of basic hypothesis rather than dogmatic imperatives which is the nature of much of present social, economic, technological, and ecological modelling.

TL;DR: These areas of use are found to be (1) searching out goals and objectives, (2) campus and curriculum planning, and (3) development of evaluation criteria.

TL;DR: A review of present research suggests that significant alterations in democratic forms of government are possible in coming decades due to new communications technologies as discussed by the authors, and that increasing citizen participation in planning is desirable due to the growth of planning in a democratic society, the need to restore a psychological balance between available information and decision-making opportunities, and the potential for improving the responsiveness of government to the public at large.

TL;DR: Although the data are insufficient to provide conclusive evidence, the results suggest that information processing technology and applications are advancing more rapidly than predicted by the forecasts.

TL;DR: In this article, a perspective tree is used to interrelate sets of social, economic, political, and technological forecasts that pose threats and present oppurtunities for strategic consideration.

TL;DR: In this paper, a perspective tree is used to interrelate sets of social, economic, political, and technological forecasts that pose threats and present opportunities for strategic consideration, and the use of objective trees in structuring program options for selected strategies.

TL;DR: Long range planning is considered in its relation to four alternative futures for the United States surprise-free, internal reconstruction or reform (maximum planning), a new society (minimum planning), and authoritarianism.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examine some of the difficulties facing technological forecasters today and propose a simplification of the study of technological forecasting methods and their application and request comment and suggestions from interested readers to help achieve the stated objectives.

TL;DR: The Bell Canada Delphi study as mentioned in this paper showed that the computer communications revolution will have an impact on every aspect of our lives and that it is very important for leaders in all sectors of the economy to be aware of the implications of these changes and to begin thinking about how we can implement these developments in an orderly and effective manner.

TL;DR: In this paper, Turoff uses a fictional format to focus on an issue of mounting significance for long range planners, which is the negative scenario analysis, the process of extrapolating certain trends and situations to their extreme, but often logical, conclusions.