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A century of tree line changes in sub-Arctic Sweden shows local and regional variability and only a minor influence of 20th century climate warming

TL;DR: In this article, the authors used repeat photography, dendrochronological analysis, field observations along elevational transects and historical documents to study tree line dynamics in a sub-Arctic model area at different temporal and spatial scales.
Abstract: Aim Models project that climate warming will cause the tree line to move to higher elevations in alpine areas and more northerly latitudes in Arctic environments. We aimed to document changes or stability of the tree line in a sub-Arctic model area at different temporal and spatial scales, and particularly to clarify the ambiguity that currently exists about tree line dynamics and their causes. Location The study was conducted in the Tornetrask area in northern Sweden where climate warmed by 2.5 degrees C between 1913 and 2006. Mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii) sets the alpine tree line. Methods We used repeat photography, dendrochronological analysis, field observations along elevational transects and historical documents to study tree line dynamics. Results Since 1912, only four out of eight tree line sites had advanced: on average the tree line had shifted 24 m upslope (+0.2 m year-1 assuming linear shifts). Maximum tree line advance was +145 m (+1.5 m year-1 in elevation and +2.7 m year-1 in actual distance), whereas maximum retreat was 120 m downslope. Counter-intuitively, tree line advance was most pronounced during the cooler late 1960s and 1970s. Tree establishment and tree line advance were significantly correlated with periods of low reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) population numbers. A decreased anthropozoogenic impact since the early 20th century was found to be the main factor shaping the current tree line ecotone and its dynamics. In addition, episodic disturbances by moth outbreaks and geomorphological processes resulted in descent and long-term stability of the tree line position, respectively. Main conclusions In contrast to what is generally stated in the literature, this study shows that in a period of climate warming, disturbance may not only determine when tree line advance will occur but if tree line advance will occur at all. In the case of non-climatic climax tree lines, such as those in our study area, both climate-driven model projections of future tree line positions and the use of the tree line position for bioclimatic monitoring should be used with caution.

Summary (1 min read)

A century of tree line changes in sub-Arctic Sweden shows local and regional

  • Twentieth century tree line changes in Swedish sub-Arctic Abstract 1 Models project that climate warming will cause the treeline to move to higher 2 elevations in alpine areas and more northerly latitudes in Arctic environments, also known as Running head.
  • The lack of 446 recent tree (>2 m) establishment and the browsing scars documented in the tree rings 447 indicated that, in addition to moth herbivory, reindeer browsing is still a controlling 448 factor at these sites (Fig. 5, Table 4).

Tables

  • Previous field studies on observed treeline shifts and their presumed causes in the Torneträsk area of sub-Arctic Sweden.
  • Browsing damage was classified visually and for five sites also by dendrochronological analysis (the values listed in brackets).
  • So as not to bias the results, Mount Nuolja (site S3), for which the two treeline sites were not randomly selected, was not included in the calculation of the mean elevational shift of the treeline in the Torneträsk area.
  • Pearson correlation coefficients and R2-values (the proportion of explained variance in documented treeline shifts) obtained by forward selection of the different variables are listed at the bottom of the table.

Figure legends

  • The Torneträsk study area in sub-Arctic Sweden.
  • The locations of the historical transects and photo points that have been revisited to study changes in the tree line ecotone are indicated.
  • The statistically-determined 30%-tree cover isoline is plotted in yellow.
  • Upper photo on the left: E. Persson, bottom left: B. Mesch; upper and bottom right: R. Van Bogaert.
  • Fig. 8. Tree (>2 m) establishment at the Torneträsk tree line versus summer (June- August) temperature and reindeer population numbers for the period 1800-2000.

Figures

  • Historical transects and photo points that have been revisited to study changes in the tree line ecotone are indicated.
  • The statistically-determined 30% tree-cover isoline is plotted in yellow.
  • Upper photo: E. Persson, lower photo: S. Johnsson.
  • Upper photo on the left: E. Persson, bottom left: B. Mesch; upper and bottom right: R. Van Bogaert. relation to disturbance (b) and summer temperature (c) for the period 1964-2006.
  • August) temperature and reindeer population numbers for the period 1800-2000.

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A century of tree line changes in sub-Arctic Sweden shows local and regional variability and only a
minor influence of 20th century climate warming
Van Bogaert, R.; Haneca, K.; Hoogesteger, J.; Jonasson, C.; De Dapper, M.; Callaghan, T.V.
In: Journal of Biogeography, 38 (5), 907-921, 2011.
doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02453.x
To refer to or to cite this work, please use the citation to the published version:
Van Bogaert, R.; Haneca, K.; Hoogesteger, J.; Jonasson, C.; De Dapper, M.; Callaghan, T.V.
(2011). A century of tree line changes in sub-Arctic Sweden shows local and regional
variability and only a minor influence of 20th century climate warming. Journal of
Biogeography 38 (5), 907-921. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02453.x

1
A century of tree line changes in sub-Arctic Sweden shows local and regional
variability and only a minor influence of 20
th
century climate warming
Rik Van Bogaert
1,2*
, Kristof Haneca
3
, Jan Hoogesteger
4
, Christer Jonasson
5,6
, Morgan
De Dapper
2
and Terry V Callaghan
5,7
1
Flanders Research Foundation (FWO); Egmontstraat 5, B-1000 Brussels, Belgium
2
Department of Geography, Ghent University, Krijgslaan 281 S8, B-9000 Ghent, Belgium
3
Flemish Heritage Institute, Koning Albert II-laan 19 bus 5, B-1210 Brussels, Belgium,
formerly Laboratory of Wood Technology, Ghent University Coupure Links 653, 9000
Ghent, Belgium
4
Department of Forest Sciences, University of Helsinki, PO Box 27, FI-00014 Helsinki,
Finland
5
Abisko Scientific Research Station, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, SE-98107
Abisko, Sweden
6
Department of Physical Geography, Uppsala University, S-75122 Uppsala, Sweden
7
Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Western Bank, Sheffield
S10 2TN, UK
*Corresponding author: Address: Yzerhand 85, B-9120 Beveren, Belgium.
rikvanbogaert@gmail.com
Running head: Twentieth century tree line changes in Swedish sub-Arctic

2
Abstract 1
Models project that climate warming will cause the treeline to move to higher 2
elevations in alpine areas and more northerly latitudes in Arctic environments. We 3
aimed to document changes or stability of the treeline in a sub-Arctic model area at 4
different temporal and spatial scales, and particularly to clarify the ambiguity that 5
currently exists about treeline dynamics and their causes. The study was conducted in 6
the Torneträsk area in northern Sweden where climate warmed by 2.5 ˚C between 7
1913 and 2006. Mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii) sets the alpine 8
treeline. We used repeat photography, dendrochronological analysis, field 9
observations along elevational transects and historical documents to study treeline 10
dynamics. Since 1912, only four out of eight treeline sites had advanced: on average 11
the treeline had shifted 24 m upslope (+0.2 m year
-1
assuming linear shifts). 12
Maximum treeline advance was +145 m (+1.5 m year
-1
in elevation and +2.7 m year
-1
13
in actual distance), whereas maximum retreat was 120 m downslope. Counter-14
intuitively, treeline advance was most pronounced during the cooler late 1960s and 15
1970s. Tree establishment and treeline advance were significantly correlated with 16
periods of low reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) population numbers. A decreased 17
anthropozoogenic impact since the early 20
th
century was found to be the main factor 18
shaping the current treeline ecotone and its dynamics. In addition, episodic 19
disturbances by moth outbreaks and geomorphological processes resulted in descent 20
and long-term stability of the treeline position, respectively. In contrast to what is 21
generally stated in the literature, this study shows that in a period of climate warming, 22
disturbance may not only determine when treeline advance will occur but if treeline 23
advance will occur at all. In the case of non-climatic climax treelines, such as those in 24
our study area, both climate-driven model projections of future treeline positions and 25

3
the use of the treeline position for bioclimatic monitoring should be used with caution.26
27
28
Key words: climate warming, dendrochronology, herbivory, human impact, mountain 29
birch, reindeer, sub-Arctic, Sweden, tree line, tree line causes 30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46

4
Introduction 47
Mean annual temperatures have risen globally over the past century, with the most
48
pronounced and rapid changes at high elevations and latitudes (ACIA, 2005). As the
49
location of elevational and polar treelines is mainly caused by heat deficiency, in the
50
Northern Hemisphere climate warming is expected to cause treelines to advance to
51
higher elevations and more northerly latitudes (Harsch et al., 2009). Indeed, modern
52
evidence for such relocations exists and these have been explicitly or implicitly
53
related to recent climate warming (Shiyatov et al., 2007; Kullman and Öberg, 2009).
54
However, in many circumpolar and high-elevational areas the position of the treeline
55
has not changed (Masek, 2001; Holtmeier et al., 2003; Payette, 2007; Van Bogaert et
56
al., 2007) or has even retreated (Vlassova, 2002; Dalen and Hofgaard, 2005; Kullman,
57
2005; Cherosov et al., 2010).
58
Treeline heterogeneity increases from global to regional, to landscape and to local
59
scales of analysis (Callaghan et al., 2002). Moreover, the factors controlling the
60
position and structure of the treeline are highly scale-dependent and vary from place
61
to place (Sveinbjörnsson et al., 2002). Individual trees and the forest system may
62
respond differently to change; warming may increase tree growth, while at the same
63
time seedling survival may be reduced because of water stress brought about by
64
greater evapotranspiration and drying of the uppermost soil. Furthermore, the time-
65
scale of a study influences outcomes because it determines the processes and
66
responses that can be studied. There are short-term responses (defined as a year or
67
less and reflected in individual tree growth), medium-term responses (some years to a
68
few decades and reflected in changing survival rates of seedlings and altered tree
69
physiognomy) and long-term responses (several decades to centuries and reflected in
70
a general treeline advance or retreat) (Holtmeier and Broll, 2005).
71

Citations
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Dissertation
01 Jan 2014
TL;DR: In this article, climate change and forest biodiversity in the Eastern United States: Insights from inventory data, using inventory data from the National Inventory of Natural Resources (NRNR).
Abstract: Climate Change and Forest Biodiversity in the Eastern United States: Insights from Inventory Data

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Cites background from "A century of tree line changes in s..."

  • ...…2003; Parmesan, 2006; Chen et al., 2011), but only elevation responses are thus far readily apparent in data (Beckage et al., 2008; Holzinger et al., 2008; Kelly & Goulden, 2008; le Roux & McGeoch, 2008; Lenoir et al., 2008; Bergamini et al., 2009; Crimmins et al., 2011; Van Bogaert et al., 2011)....

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DOI
08 Nov 2021
TL;DR: In this article, the authors conducted an open-air warming experiment with Subarctic field layer vegetation in North Finland to explore the effects of warming (+3°C) and reduced insect herbivory (67% reduction in leaf damage using an insecticide) on soil C and N dynamics.
Abstract: Warming will likely stimulate Arctic primary production, but also soil C and N mineralization, and it remains uncertain whether the Arctic will become a sink or a source for CO2. Increasing insect herbivory may also dampen the positive response of plant production and soil C input to warming. We conducted an open-air warming experiment with Subarctic field layer vegetation in North Finland to explore the effects of warming (+3°C) and reduced insect herbivory (67% reduction in leaf damage using an insecticide) on soil C and N dynamics. We found that plant root growth, soil C and N concentrations, microbial biomass C, microbial activity, and soil NH4+ availability were increased by both warming and reduced herbivory when applied alone, but not when combined. Soil NO3- availability increased by warming only and in-situ soil respiration by reduced herbivory only. Our results suggest that increasing C input from vegetation under climate warming increases soil C concentration, but also stimulates soil C turnover. On the other hand, it appears that insect herbivores can significantly reduce plant growth. If their abundance increases with warming as predicted, they may curtail the positive effect of warming on soil C concentration. Moreover, our results suggest that temperature and herbivory effects on root growth and soil variables interact strongly, which probably arises from a combination of N demand increasing under lower herbivory and soil mineral N supply increasing under higher temperature. This may further complicate the effects of rising temperatures on Subarctic soil C dynamics.

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Dissertation
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TL;DR: In this article, the authors investigated how productive sub-arctic plant species in Northern Sweden interact with soil carbon by using "space-for-time" transitions from forests (Betula pubescens), through intermediate shrub vegetation, to tundra heath (Empetrum nigrum) to test how ECM fungi, winter snow accumulation, defoliation events and litter input influence soil carbon cycling.
Abstract: Rapid climate change in the Arctic and Sub-Arctic is causing vegetation change across large areas of tundra. Shrubs and trees are undergoing range expansions as part of an over-all trend of ‘greening’ of the tundra. This is of importance because northern peatlands contain around half of total soil carbon (C) and there is a potential for productive vegetation to interact with this C in a number of ways: (1) Ectomycorrhizal fungi (ECM) in symbiosis with trees and shrubs could potentially stimulate decomposition through extracellular enzyme production whilst extracting nitrogen (N) for their hosts; (2) deep snow, trapped by tall vegetation insulates the soil, resulting in higher winter-time microbial activity and has potential to influence growing season microbial activity; (3) the biochemistry of litter and decomposition environment associated with more productive vegetation could result in accelerated mass loss of litter and stimulate decomposition of older soil C. This thesis investigates how productive sub-arctic plant species in Northern Sweden interact with soil C by using ‘space-for-time’ transitions from forests (Betula pubescens), through intermediate shrub vegetation (Betula, Salix), to tundra heath (Empetrum nigrum). This was to test how ECM fungi, winter snow accumulation, defoliation events and litter input influence C cycling. C stocks, respiration rates and ECM growth rates were measured across these ecotones. It was found that birch forests and shrub stands had significantly lower soil C storage and higher respiration rates than adjacent heaths. This is contrary to the predictions of earth system models. Higher ECM growth rates at plots with low C storage and high cycling rates implied that they had an important role in the stimulation of C decomposition. To test whether snow cover in forests over winter had an important effect on C cycling, soils were transplanted between forest and heath (different snow cover), and respiration rates were measured over summer. It was found that deep snow cover over winter increases microbial activity in summer due to a warmer, more stable winter environment; this is hypothesised to be due to the environmental selection of a more active assemblage of decomposing microbes. A defoliation event of part of the birch forest by caterpillars allowed for a natural ‘experiment’. Trees with different degrees of defoliation were compared in their influence over soil C cycling processes. Defoliated plots shifted to slower-cycling states through a shift in the ECM community. This further implied that ECM fungi have an important role to play in rapid cycling of C in forests. A decomposition experiment using the litter of significant plant species in forest, shrub and heath communities was carried out by transplanting them between these key environments. This work showed that rapid decomposition of litter in the forest is driven by an interaction between carbohydrate-rich litter input and an effective decomposer community. This work addresses the relationship between…

1 citations


Cites background from "A century of tree line changes in s..."

  • ...Conversely, herbivory by reindeer can stabilise the treeline through direct shoot mortality (Van Bogaert et al., 2011), as can herbivory by other species such caterpillars of lepidopteran moths (Van Bogaert et al., 2011; Bjerke et al., 2014)....

    [...]

Posted ContentDOI
15 Jan 2023-bioRxiv
TL;DR: This article used an age-height model combined with tree height from aerial lidar to predict the age structure of 38,652 white spruce trees across 250 ha of Arctic treeline in the central Brooks Range, Alaska, USA.
Abstract: As a temperature-delineated boundary, the Arctic treeline is predicted to shift northward in response to warming. However, the evidence for northward movement is mixed, with some sections of the treeline advancing while others remain stationary or even retreat. To identify the drivers of this variation, we need a landscape-level understanding of the interactions occurring between climate, tree growth, and population regeneration. In this study, we assessed regeneration alongside annual tree growth and climate during the 20th century. We used an ageheight model combined with tree height from aerial lidar to predict the age structure of 38,652 white spruce trees across 250 ha of Arctic treeline in the central Brooks Range, Alaska, USA. We then used age structure analysis to interpret the trends in regeneration and tree-ring analysis to interpret changes in annual tree growth. The climate became significantly warmer and drier circa 1975, coinciding with divergent responses of regeneration and tree growth. After 1975, regeneration of saplings (trees ≤ 2m tall) decreased compared to previous decades whereas annual growth in mature trees (trees >2m tall) increased by 54% (p<0.0001, Wilcoxon test). Tree-ring width was positively correlated with May-August temperature (p<0.01, Pearson coefficient) during the 20th century. However, after circa 1950, the positive correlation between temperature and growth weakened (i.e., temperature divergence) while the positive correlation with July precipitation strengthened (p<0.01, Pearson coefficient), suggesting that continued drying may limit future growth at this section of Arctic treeline. We conclude that while warmer temperatures appear to benefit annual growth in mature trees, the warmer and drier environmental conditions in spring and summer inhibit regeneration and therefore may be inhibiting the northward advance at this Arctic treeline site. Researchers should consider the interactions between temperature, water availability, and tree age when examining the future of treeline and boreal forest in a changing climate.
References
More filters
Book
01 Jan 2005
TL;DR: The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA) as mentioned in this paper is an assessment of the effects of climate change on the Arctic environment and its impacts on the local communities and their livelihoods.
Abstract: 1. An introduction to the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment 2. Arctic climate: past and present 3. The changing Arctic: indigenous perspectives 4. Future climate change: modeling and scenarios for the Arctic 5. Ozone and ultraviolet radiation 6. Cryosphere and hydrology 7. Arctic tundra and polar fesert ecosystems 8. Freshwater ecosystems and Fisheries 9. Marine Systems 10. Principles of conserving the Arctic's Biodiversity 11. Management and conservation of wildlife in a changing Arctic environment 12. Hunting, herding, fishing, and gathering: indigenous peoples and renewable resource use in the Arctic 13. Fisheries and aquaculture 14. Forests, land management, and agriculture 15. Human health 16. Infrastructure: buildings, support systems, and industrial facilities 17. Climate change in the context of multiple stressors and resilience 18. Summary and synthesis of the ACIA Appendix A. Chapter authors Appendix B. Biographies Appendix C. Reviewers Appendix D. Species names Appendix E. Acronyms Appendix F. Glossary.

1,775 citations

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TL;DR: Diffuse treelines may be more responsive to warming because they are more strongly growth limited, whereas other treeline forms may be subject to additional constraints.
Abstract: Treelines are temperature sensitive transition zones that are expected to respond to climate warming by advancing beyond their current position. Response to climate warming over the last century, however, has been mixed, with some treelines showing evidence of recruitment at higher altitudes and/or latitudes (advance) whereas others reveal no marked change in the upper limit of tree establishment. To explore this variation, we analysed a global dataset of 166 sites for which treeline dynamics had been recorded since 1900 AD. Advance was recorded at 52% of sites with only 1% reporting treeline recession. Treelines that experienced strong winter warming were more likely to have advanced, and treelines with a diffuse form were more likely to have advanced than those with an abrupt or krummholz form. Diffuse treelines may be more responsive to warming because they are more strongly growth limited, whereas other treeline forms may be subject to additional constraints.

1,003 citations


"A century of tree line changes in s..." refers background in this paper

  • ...In contrast to Harsch et al. (2009) who concluded that the role of disturbance during recent climate warming is restricted to determining when tree line advance will occur, this study shows that disturbance and its after-effects may equally well determine ı́f tree line advance will occur at all....

    [...]

  • ...As the location of elevational and polar tree lines is mainly caused by heat deficiency, in the Northern Hemisphere climate warming is expected to cause tree lines to advance to higher elevations and more northerly latitudes (Harsch et al., 2009)....

    [...]

  • ...…widely held expectations of vegetation responses to warming, i.e. that Arctic tree lines will move northwards and elevational tree lines upslope (Harsch et al., 2009), this study documented highly varying tree line dynamics for the Torneträsk area in sub-Arctic Sweden during a period of…...

    [...]

  • ...A global study by Harsch et al. (2009) showed that only 52% of all 166 global tree line sites had advanced over the past 100 years despite documented amplified climate warming at high-elevation areas and northern latitudes (ACIA, 2005)....

    [...]

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The sensitivity and response of northern hemisphere altitudinal and polar treelines to environmental change are increasingly discussed in terms of climate change, often forgetting that climate is only one aspect of environmental variation as mentioned in this paper.
Abstract: The sensitivity and response of northern hemisphere altitudinal and polar treelines to environmental change are increasingly discussed in terms of climate change, often forgetting that climate is only one aspect of environmental variation. As treeline heterogeneity increases from global to regional and smaller scales, assessment of treeline sensitivity at the landscape and local scales requires a more complex approach than at the global scale. The time scale (short-, medium-, long-term) also plays an important role when considering treeline sensitivity. The sensitivity of the treeline to a changing environment varies among different types of treeline. Treelines controlled mainly by orographic influences are not very susceptible to the effects of warming climates. Greatest sensitivity can be expected in anthropogenic treelines after the cessation of human activity. However, tree invasion into former forested areas above the anthropogenic forest limit is controlled by site conditions, and in particular, by microclimates and soils. Apart from changes in tree physiognomy, the spontaneous advance of young growth of forest-forming tree species into present treeless areas within the treeline ecotone and beyond the tree limit is considered to be the best indicator of treeline sensitivity to environmental change. The sensitivity of climatic treelines to climate warming varies both in the local and regional topographical conditions. Furthermore, treeline history and its after-effects also play an important role. The sensitivity of treelines to changes in given factors (e.g. winter snow pack, soil moisture, temperature, evaporation, etc.) may vary among areas with differing climatic characteristics. In general, forest will not advance in a closed front but will follow sites that became more favourable to tree establishment under the changed climatic conditions.

518 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors examined recent tree line dynamics at six topographically different, but climatically similar, sites in south-west Yukon, Canada and found that tree line elevation and stand density increased significantly during the early to mid 20th century.
Abstract: Summary 1 Boundaries between forest and tundra ecosystems, tree lines, are expected to advance in altitude and latitude in response to climate warming. However, varied responses to 20th century warming suggest that in addition to temperature, tree line dynamics are mediated by species-specific traits and environmental conditions at landscape and local scales. 2 We examined recent tree line dynamics at six topographically different, but climatically similar, sites in south-west Yukon, Canada. Dendroecological techniques were used to reconstruct changes in density of the dominant tree species, white spruce (Picea glauca), and to construct static age distributions of willow (Salix spp.), one of two dominant shrub genera. Data were analysed to identify periods and rates of establishment and mortality and to relate these to past climate. 3 Tree line elevation and stand density increased significantly during the early to mid 20th century. However, this change was not uniform across sites. Spruce advanced rapidly on south-facing slopes and tree line rose 65–85 m in elevation. Tree line did not advance on north-facing slopes, but stand density increased 40–65%. Differences observed between aspects were due primarily to the differential presence of permafrost. Additional variability among sites was related to slope and vegetation type. Results were less conclusive for willow, but evidence for an advance was found at two sites. 4 Increases in stand density were strongly correlated with summer temperatures. The period of rapid change coincided with a 30-year period of above average temperatures, beginning in 1920. The highest correlations were obtained using a forward average of 30–50 years, supporting the hypothesis that tree line dynamics are controlled more by conditions influencing recruitment than by establishment alone. 5 The changes observed at several sites are suggestive of a threshold response and challenge the notion that tree lines respond gradually to climate warming. Overall, the results provide further evidence to support the idea that the pattern and timing of change is contingent on local, landscape, and regional-scale factors, as well as species’ biology.

334 citations


"A century of tree line changes in s..." refers result in this paper

  • ...In contrast to other studies (Danby & Hik, 2007; Kullman & Öberg, 2009), slope aspect and inclination were not correlated with elevational shifts of the tree line ecotone....

    [...]