Journal ArticleDOI
A climate stress-test of the financial system
Stefano Battiston,Antoine Mandel,Antoine Mandel,Irene Monasterolo,Franziska Schütze,Gabriele Visentin +5 more
Reads0
Chats0
TLDR
This article developed a network-based climate stress-test methodology and applied it to large Euro Area banks in a "green" and a "brown" scenario, finding that direct and indirect exposures to climate-policy-relevant sectors represent a large portion of investors' equity portfolios, especially for investment and pension funds.Abstract:
The urgency of estimating the impact of climate risks on the financial system is increasingly recognized among scholars and practitioners. By adopting a network approach to financial dependencies, we look at how climate policy risk might propagate through the financial system. We develop a network-based climate stress-test methodology and apply it to large Euro Area banks in a ‘green’ and a ‘brown’ scenario. We find that direct and indirect exposures to climate-policy-relevant sectors represent a large portion of investors’ equity portfolios, especially for investment and pension funds. Additionally, the portion of banks’ loan portfolios exposed to these sectors is comparable to banks’ capital. Our results suggest that climate policy timing matters. An early and stable policy framework would allow for smooth asset value adjustments and lead to potential net winners and losers. In contrast, a late and abrupt policy framework could have adverse systemic consequences.read more
Citations
More filters
Posted Content
Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning
David Rolnick,Priya L. Donti,Lynn H. Kaack,K. Kochanski,Alexandre Lacoste,Kris Sankaran,Andrew S. Ross,Nikola Milojevic-Dupont,Natasha Jaques,Anna Waldman-Brown,Alexandra Luccioni,Tegan Maharaj,Evan D. Sherwin,S. Karthik Mukkavilli,Konrad P. Kording,Carla P. Gomes,Andrew Y. Ng,Demis Hassabis,John Platt,Felix Creutzig,Jennifer Chayes,Yoshua Bengio +21 more
TL;DR: From smart grids to disaster management, high impact problems where existing gaps can be filled by ML are identified, in collaboration with other fields, to join the global effort against climate change.
Journal ArticleDOI
Climate change challenges for central banks and financial regulators
Emanuele Campiglio,Emanuele Campiglio,Yannis Dafermos,Pierre Monnin,Josh Ryan-Collins,Guido Schotten,Misa Tanaka +6 more
TL;DR: The academic and policy debate regarding the role of central banks and financial regulators in addressing climate-related financial risks has rapidly expanded in recent years as mentioned in this paper, where the key controversies and potential research and policy avenues for the future are discussed.
Strengthening and Implementing the Global Response
Heleen de Coninck,Aromar Revi,Mustafa H.M. Babiker,Paolo Bertoldi,Marcos Silveira Buckeridge,A. Cartwright,W. Dong,James D. Ford,Sabine Fuss,Jean Charles Hourcade,Debora Ley,Reinhard Mechler,Peter Newman,A. Revokatova,Seth Schultz,Linda Steg,T. Sugiyama +16 more
TL;DR: The feasibility of mitigation and adaptation options, and the enabling conditions for strengthening and implementing the systemic changes, are assessed in this article, where the authors consider the global response to warming of 1.5oC comprises transitions in land and ecosystem, energy, urban and infrastructure, and industrial systems.
Journal ArticleDOI
Macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets
Jean-Francois Mercure,Jean-Francois Mercure,Hector Pollitt,Jorge E. Viñuales,Neil R. Edwards,Neil R. Edwards,Phil Holden,Unnada Chewpreecha,Pablo Salas,Ida Sognnaes,Aileen Lam,Aileen Lam,Florian Knobloch,Florian Knobloch +13 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors use an integrated global economy-environment simulation model to study the macroeconomic impact of stranded fossil fuel assets (SFFA), and they find that part of the SFFA would occur as a result of an already ongoing technological trajectory, irrespective of whether or not new climate policies are adopted.
Journal ArticleDOI
Climate change, financial stability and monetary policy
TL;DR: In this article, the effects of climate change on financial stability and the financial and global warming implications of a green QE program were analyzed using a stock-flow-fund ecological macroeconomic model.
References
More filters
Journal ArticleDOI
Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2 °C
Malte Meinshausen,Nicolai Meinshausen,William Hare,Sarah C. B. Raper,Katja Frieler,Reto Knutti,David J. Frame,Myles R. Allen +7 more
TL;DR: A comprehensive probabilistic analysis aimed at quantifying GHG emission budgets for the 2000–50 period that would limit warming throughout the twenty-first century to below 2 °C, based on a combination of published distributions of climate system properties and observational constraints is provided.
Journal ArticleDOI
The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C
Christophe McGlade,Paul Ekins +1 more
TL;DR: It is shown that development of resources in the Arctic and any increase in unconventional oil production are incommensurate with efforts to limit average global warming to 2 °C, and policy makers’ instincts to exploit rapidly and completely their territorial fossil fuels are inconsistent with this temperature limit.
Journal ArticleDOI
Systemic Risk in Financial Systems
Larry Eisenberg,Thomas H. Noe +1 more
TL;DR: An algorithm is developed that both clears the financial system in a computationally efficient fashion and provides information on the systemic risk faced by the individual system firms and produces qualitative comparative statics for financial systems.
Journal ArticleDOI
Systemic risk in banking ecosystems
Andrew Haldane,Robert M. May +1 more
TL;DR: Drawing analogies with the dynamics of ecological food webs and with networks within which infectious diseases spread, the interplay between complexity and stability in deliberately simplified models of financial networks is explored.
Journal ArticleDOI
The Asset Pricing Implications of Government Economic Policy Uncertainty
TL;DR: It is found that EPU positively forecasts log excess market returns and innovations in EPU earn a significant negative risk premium in the Fama-French 25 size-momentum portfolios.
Related Papers (5)
‘Climate value at risk’ of global financial assets
The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2 °C
Christophe McGlade,Paul Ekins +1 more