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Journal ArticleDOI

A conflict between selecting and evaluating information in an inferential task

P. C. Wason, +1 more
- 01 Nov 1970 - 
- Vol. 61, Iss: 4, pp 509-515
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TLDR
In this paper, an inferential task was investigated in which the subjects had to select which of four cards they needed to inspect in order to determine whether a rule was true or false.
Abstract
An inferential task was investigated in which the subjects had to select which of four cards they needed to inspect in order to determine whether a rule was true or false In one condition crucial information was concealed on the other side of the cards, and in another condition it was on the same side of the cards, but covered by a mask A previous experiment suggested that subjects sometimes confused the notion of ‘the other side of the card’ But no difference was found between these two conditions Only two out of the 36 subjects initially made the correct selection An attempt was made subsequently to enable the subjects to correct their errors by asking them to evaluate the cards in relation to the rule When a conflict occurred between the selection of the cards and their evaluation, some insight was gained In other cases these two processes passed one another by, in spite of the fact that this involved self-contradiction

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From Utterance to Text: The Bias of Language in Speech and Writing

TL;DR: Olson as mentioned in this paper argues that these conflicts are rooted in differing assumptions about the relation of meaning to language: whether meaning is extrinsic to language or intrinsic, a relation he calls "text." On both the individual and cultural levels there has been development from language as utterance to language as text.
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Can human irrationality be experimentally demonstrated

TL;DR: In this paper, the presence of fallacies in reasoning is evaluated by referring to normative criteria which ultimately derive their own credentials from a systematisation of the intuitions that agree with them.
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A rational analysis of the selection task as optimal data selection.

TL;DR: The experimental data is reassessed in the light of a Bayesian model of optimal data selection in inductive hypothesis testing that suggests that reasoning in hypothesis-testing tasks may be rational rather than subject to systematic bias.
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On the study of statistical intuitions.

TL;DR: A negative analysis of non-regressive prediction is outlined and a positive analysis of judgmental error in terms of heuristics may be supplemented by a negative analysis, which seeks to explain why the correct rule is not intuitively compelling.
Journal ArticleDOI

Thinking through uncertainty: Nonconsequential reasoning and choice ☆

TL;DR: When thinking under uncertainty, people often do not consider appropriately each of the relevant branches of a decision tree, as required by consequentialism, and sometimes violate Savage's sure-thing principle.