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A Nonstationary Standardized Precipitation Index incorporating climate indices as covariates

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TLDR
In this article, a nonstationary Gamma distribution with climate indices as covariates was developed for fitting precipitation data and then used for calculating a Nonstationary Standardized Precipitation Index (NSPI).
Abstract
Many drought indices were proposed to describe drought characteristics, but only few had considered environmental changes. In an attempt to incorporate climate change into meteorological drought index, a nonstationary Gamma distribution with climate indices as covariates was developed for fitting precipitation data and then used for calculating a Nonstationary Standardized Precipitation Index (NSPI) in this study. The performances of the NSPI were compared with those of the traditional Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), showing that the NSPI capable of taking climate variations into account is more robust than the traditional SPI. Focusing on the Luanhe River basin, historical drought events were described and assessed based on the NSPI and traditional SPI. Moreover, drought characteristics, including drought frequency, peak, duration, and magnitude, were calculated by using the two indices. The results in this study indicated that NSPI using climate indices as covariates could capture drought characteristics in the Luanhe River basin, and this new drought index provides a new concept for constructing the drought index that can effectively adapt to a changing environment.

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Non-stationary and copula-based approach to assess the drought characteristics encompassing climate indices over the Himalayan states in India

TL;DR: In this paper, a non-stationary gamma distribution with climate indices in its location parameter as a covariate is proposed to incorporate the environmental changes in the present scenario of climate change.
Journal ArticleDOI

Combined use of relative drought indices to analyze climate change impact on meteorological and hydrological droughts in a Mediterranean basin

TL;DR: In this paper, the impact of climate change on meteorological and hydrological droughts, considering shifts in precipitation and temperature, adapted to a Mediterranean basin, is analyzed.
Journal ArticleDOI

The nonstationary impact of local temperature changes and ENSO on extreme precipitation at the global scale

TL;DR: In this article, nonstationary generalized extreme value distributions were used to model extreme precipitation over global land for the period 1979-2015, with ENSO indicator and temperature as covariates.
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A Non-stationary Standardized Streamflow Index for hydrological drought using climate and human-induced indices as covariates.

TL;DR: The presented NSSI enables hydrological droughts to be better characterized in a non-stationary context, thus providing valuable references for the improvement of drought index and the drought related policy-making.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

A new look at the statistical model identification

TL;DR: In this article, a new estimate minimum information theoretical criterion estimate (MAICE) is introduced for the purpose of statistical identification, which is free from the ambiguities inherent in the application of conventional hypothesis testing procedure.
Journal ArticleDOI

Estimating the Dimension of a Model

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of selecting one of a number of models of different dimensions is treated by finding its Bayes solution, and evaluating the leading terms of its asymptotic expansion.

Estimating the dimension of a model

TL;DR: In this paper, the problem of selecting one of a number of models of different dimensions is treated by finding its Bayes solution, and evaluating the leading terms of its asymptotic expansion.

The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales

TL;DR: The definition of drought has continually been a stumbling block for drought monitoring and analysis as mentioned in this paper, mainly related to the time period over which deficits accumulate and to the connection of the deficit in precipitation to deficits in usable water sources and the impacts that ensue.
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