A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidemic in Italy
Citations
948 citations
Cites background from "A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidem..."
...Early attempts to model the spread of COVID19 in Italy (25, 26) aired concern regarding the Italian national health system’s capacity to respond to the needs of patients (27), even considering aggregate isolation measures....
[...]
420 citations
324 citations
303 citations
229 citations
References
22,622 citations
"A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidem..." refers background in this paper
...Starting from December 18, 2019, an exponentially growing number of patients in mainland China were admitted to hospitals with a diagnosis of COVID-19, prompting Chinese authorities to introduce radical measures to contain the outbreak [3]....
[...]
14,343 citations
"A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidem..." refers background or methods in this paper
...Our simulation results, achieved by combining the model with the available data about the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, suggest the urgent need – and the effectiveness – of strong social-distancing measures, in line with [2, 24, 26]....
[...]
...In late December 2019, a novel strand of Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) causing a severe, potentially fatal respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) was identified in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China [1, 2]....
[...]
8,238 citations
7,769 citations
"A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidem..." refers background in this paper
...Predictive mathematical models have been formulated over the years [16, 17, 18, 19], including the SIR model, a simple and widely-used deterministic model for human-to-human transmission that describes the flow of individuals through three mutually exclusive stages of infection: Susceptible (S), Infected (I) and Recovered (R) [20]....
[...]
6,229 citations
"A SIDARTHE Model of COVID-19 Epidem..." refers methods in this paper
...Concerning diagnostic tests for COVID-19, currently, standard molecular methods to detect the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in respiratory samples are aspecific real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RTPCR), which target RNA dependent RNA polymerase and E genes [31]....
[...]