A survey of ELF and VLF research on lightning-ionosphere interactions and causative discharges
Summary (4 min read)
1 Introduction
- In 2015, there were reports that those suspected of terrorism and other criminal activity were being targeted and killed by Egyptian police during security raids.
- While these approaches have helped to reduce the measurement problems caused by the weaknesses present in their information sources, those weaknesses remain.
- Over the years, as the authors have discussed existing human rights data with human rights advocates and researchers in human rights non-governmental organisations (HROs) around the world, they have heard time after time about the problems that come with relying on public reports for the purposes of measurement.
- This means that many known human rights violations go unreported.
2 What do existing measures of civil and political rights
- According to Goldstein (1986), anyone that attempts to generate quantitative data on human rights will face challenges associated with definitions, data reliability, and data interpretation.
- With regard to definitions, most projects have decided to hew closely to the definitions of various rights found in international human rights treaties, often aided by the various treaty bodies overseeing those documents, and on this front, HRMI is no exception.
2.1 Existing measures of civil and political rights
- There are several existing measures of respect for civil and political rights, often particularly focusing on the subset of those rights known as “physical integrity rights.”.
- Each of these datasets depends on content analyses of annual reports from the US State Department, Amnesty International, and, in the case of PTS, Human Rights Watch.
- Two more recent projects have produced quantitative scales that focus specifically on torture and are also grounded in international law.
- The political participation scale is created in a similar manner, except the components are aggregated by taking their average instead of using a measurement model.
- The survey the authors administer explicitly defines the rights under analysis with references to relevant international treaties and conventions, including the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights , the Convention against Torture (CAT), 4 Hathaway relies on the Convention Against Torture (CAT) and several regional treaties for her definition of torture.
2.2 Problems of information
- The problem of obtaining reliable, unbiased, and comprehensive information is perhaps the most serious impediment to the collection of quantitative civil and political rights data.
- This focus on maintaining the effectiveness and credibility of the organisation means that HROs are unlikely to report on events that did not happen; however, it also means that many abuses go unreported (Hill, Moore, and Mukherjee 2013).
- As such, some have suggested that regression analyses utilising these potentially biased data should use some statistical method for accounting for that bias (e.g. Bagozzi, et al., 2015; Conrad, Hill, and Moore, 2014).
- The Varieties of Democracy Project (V-Dem) has attempted to sidestep these problems of information by turning to another source of information: experts on the countries being discussed (Coppedge et al., 2017).
2.3 Problems of interpretation
- Given the many problems of information laid out above, it is unsurprising that the interpretation of the limited information to which previous projects have had access has also faced huge hurdles.
- While these dimensions of abuse have long been recognised, every previous project aimed at collecting cross-nationally comparable civil and political rights data has failed to fully capture at least one of these dimensions.
- Similar to PTS, Fariss (2014) produces a single score for all physical integrity rights, and in a method similar to CIRI, V-Dem provides very little information on range (Coppedge et al., 2017).
- In their efforts to do this, the authors particularly intend to (1) use better sources of information than were previously available, (2) provide transparent indicators of uncertainty, and (3) measure the full dimensionality of civil and political rights abuse.
3 HRMI’s approach to civil and political rights
- Further, the authors seek to create measures for every country in the world in a way that ensures cross-national comparability, while remaining transparent in the means by which those measures are created.
- As described above, the authors particularly wanted to improve on 1. the quality of information, 2. the transparency of uncertainty, and 3.
- The authors have attempted to answer these challenges by 1. directly collecting information from human rights researchers and practitioners that are gathering information and monitoring human rights issues in each country, 2. using statistical methods that allow us to accurately and honestly report their uncertainty with regard to the intensity of abuse, and 3.
- The authors describe their pilot approach to collecting civil and political rights data, beginning with a discussion of the pilot version of the HRMI Civil and Political Rights expert survey, followed with a more detailed description of the model used to obtain the intensity score for each right measured.
4 The pilot HRMI civil and political rights expert survey
- In order to directly collect information on civil and political rights performance in countries around the world.
- Torture and ill-treatment may be committed for any specific purpose, including (but not limited to) attempts to obtain information or confessions, punishment for suspected or committed acts, intimidation, coercion, and discrimination.
- Those engaged in or suspected of non-violent political activity (e.g. protesters, journalists, activists).
- Beyond each of the sections focused on a particular right, the authors also include sections focused on asking their respondents to score the intensity of three hypothetical countries on their respect for the rights under consideration.
4.1 Selection of pilot countries and expert survey respondents
- A significant benefit of their approach to measuring civil and political rights is the ability to avoid some of the biases that exist in the public documentation of abuses of these rights, by collecting information directly from experts on the human rights situation in each country being studied.
- In the pilot study, the authors focused primarily on human rights practitioners who are directly monitoring the civil and political rights situation in each country.
- As such, the authors do not intend to rely on academics as respondents in most cases, as they are rarely involved in the collection of primary information and tend to rely more heavily on secondary sources.
- Thirteen countries were nominated, and the authors selected all 13 for inclusion in the pilot, as together they provided significant diversity in government type, country size, level of development, geographic location, and many other factors.
- By the end of the process, the authors had identified between 17 and 43 potential survey respondents per country, each of whom was sent a single-use survey link, to ensure that the survey link was not shared with unintended respondents.
4.2 Producing intensity scores: model description
- The simplest way to combine expert survey responses on the intensity question into a single score for each country would be to report the average of the survey responses for a given country.
- This allows for the fact that survey respondents may respond differently to the same objective conditions.
- Respondents with βs closer to 0 place countries with different human rights performances relatively close together on the scale, while those with more positive βs place countries with different performances relatively far apart on the scale.
- These “anchoring vignettes” combined with the Bayesian factor model described above, allow us to correct for any potential differences in how experts view the underlying scales in their survey.
- The resulting re-scaled distributions have means that ranged from approximately 2.7 up to around 10.1, with standard deviations ranging from 0.03 to 1.44.
5.1 HRMI pilot civil and political rights indicators
- In Figure 1 and Figure 2, mean scores for each country are presented as dots.
- There is only a 0.03 probability that Angola has better practices on the right to be free 26 from torture than does Australia; similarly, the probability that Fiji, New Zealand, and United Kingdom have worse torture practices than Angola are all practically indistinguishable from 0.
- As mentioned above, their survey did not only collect information from their expert respondents on the intensity of the state’s respect for these rights.
- In particular, their respondents stated that those especially vulnerable to torture and ill-treatment by government agents in Australia included: Detained asylum seekers, refugees, and immigrants, including children, and especially those held in offshore facilities on Manus Island and Nauru.
5.2 Comparison with V-Dem
- As noted above, the V-Dem project contains several indicators of civil and political rights and employs a methodology similar to ours.
- Even in that case, it would appear that VDem uses a slightly more constrained definition than the authors do, as they limit torture to acts committed with the aim to “extract information or intimidate victims, who are in a state of incarceration” (Coppedge et al., 2017, 221), whereas they allow for torture to be for “any specific purpose.”.
- Nevertheless, even in the presence of this differences in definition, the authors find that their measures in comparable thematic areas correlate highly and positively.
- While both definitions would appear to focus purely on extra-legal killings, it is possible that, particularly in the case of Saudi Arabia, respondents to the V-Dem survey considered Saudi Arabia’s use of the legalised death penalty against political opponents as something that should lower Saudi Arabia’s score on political killings.
- Still, while interesting, more study would be needed to determine why the difference exists.
6 Conclusion
- The HRMI civil and political rights pilot has demonstrated the benefits of collecting information on the full scope, intensity, and range of government respect for civil and political rights directly from human rights experts in countries around the world.
- Further, the statistical methods the authors use to convert this information into quantitative metrics allow us to be honest about uncertainty, and permit sensible cross-country comparisons.
- This work represents a significant advance over existing human rights data projects and the authors plan to extend coverage to a wider sample of countries as soon as possible.
- To accomplish these goals, the authors will continue to need help.
Did you find this useful? Give us your feedback
Citations
359 citations
Cites background from "A survey of ELF and VLF research on..."
...The electric field from the EMP is thought to produce heating of the free electrons, enhancing the collision induced excitations, ionization and the optical light emissions [433]....
[...]
147 citations
Cites background from "A survey of ELF and VLF research on..."
...The experimental and theoretical findings related to TLEs have been summarized in several extensive review articles (Boeck et al. 1998; Rodger 1999; Inan 2002; Inan et al. 2010; Lyons et al. 2003; Pasko 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010; Raizer et al. 2010; Neubert et al. 2008; Roussel-Dupre et al. 2008; Mishin and Milikh 2008; Ebert and Sentman 2008; Ebert et al. 2010; Siingh et al. 2008)....
[...]
...The summary of important historical facts and processes related to research on interaction of lightning induced electromagnetic pulses (EMPs) with the lower ionosphere have been given in recent review by Inan et al. (2010)....
[...]
...…and theoretical findings related to TLEs have been summarized in several extensive review articles (Boeck et al. 1998; Rodger 1999; Inan 2002; Inan et al. 2010; Lyons et al. 2003; Pasko 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010; Raizer et al. 2010; Neubert et al. 2008; Roussel-Dupre et al. 2008; Mishin and…...
[...]
141 citations
95 citations
Cites background from "A survey of ELF and VLF research on..."
...Thus, both of these TGFs, and particularly TGF2, radiate intensely enough to create elves, which are high-altitude (about 90 km) optical emissions generated by nonlinear processes excited by a strong lightning-generated electromagnetic pulse in the ionosphere [Inan et al., 2010]....
[...]
89 citations
References
1,715 citations
"A survey of ELF and VLF research on..." refers background or methods in this paper
...Lev‐Tov et al. [1995] used the model of Poulsen et al. [1993b] to compare simulations with observed LEP events, and from comparisons extracted information about the altitude profiles of both the ambient electron density and the disturbed ionosphere....
[...]
...Click Here for Full Article...
[...]
...M components, which are intensifications in continuing current on time scales of a fraction of a millisecond to many milliseconds [Rakov and Uman, 2003, p. 176], have been shown theoretically to potentially play a role in the initiation of sprites and sprite halos [Yashunin et al., 2007]....
[...]
...…man‐made, ground‐based VLF transmitters, which typically operate from as low as 12 kHz (Russian alpha transmitters) to as high as 40.75 kHz (the NAU transmitter in Puerto Rico); and lightning, whose radio energy spans up to 10 GHz, but peaks in the 5–10 kHz range [Rakov and Uman, 2003, p. 6]....
[...]
...Fortunately, lightning is a very powerful radiator of electromagnetic energy from VLF and LF [Rakov and Uman 2003, p. 6] all the way down to the Schumann resonance band of a few Hz [Besser, 2007], and it has been well known for decades that electromagnetic waves at these low frequencies can travel…...
[...]
1,117 citations
783 citations
"A survey of ELF and VLF research on..." refers background in this paper
...The event at right, an LEP event on the same day at 0642:01 UT, shows how the HAIL array is used to measure the latitudinal extent of the precipitation region, as the NAU‐LV and NAA‐WA paths are unaffected....
[...]
463 citations
"A survey of ELF and VLF research on..." refers background in this paper
...[40] An obvious and important open scientific question after sprites were first discovered [Franz et al., 1990] concerned the characteristics of the lightning capable of producing such a spectacular phenomenon, or indeedwhether they were even connected with individual lightning strokes....
[...]
...Finally, section 7 discusses the relationship between VLF measurements and gamma ray events, in particular the recently discovered terrestrial gamma ray flashes (TGFs)....
[...]
...These events were analyzed in more detail by Voss et al. [1998], who found that these LEP events were caused by ducted whistlers, and calculated that a single LEP burst of 10−3 erg s−1 cm−2 depleted ∼0.001% of the particles in the affected flux tube....
[...]
...[26] The discovery of sprites in 1989 [Franz et al., 1990] and elves in 1991 [Boeck et al., 1992] created a surge of interest in the direct lightning‐ionosphere interaction....
[...]
Related Papers (5)
Frequently Asked Questions (8)
Q2. How did Blake et al. find enhancements of drift loss cone electron fluxes?
Using the SAMPEX satellite, Blake et al. [2001] found enhancements of drift loss cone electron fluxes in the range 150 keV to 1 MeV directly associated with thunderstorms.
Q3. What did Burgess and Inan estimate that whistlers contribute to radiation belt losses?
They went on to estimate that ducted whistlers contribute as much as plasmaspheric hiss to radiation belt losses, assuming every ducted whistler causes precipitation. [16]
Q4. What is the history of the use of subionospheric VLF probing?
In this review paper, the authors have presented a brief history of the use of subionospheric VLF probing as a technique for studying the lower ionosphere, and in particular the effects of lightning on the ionosphere and, indirectly, in the magnetosphere.
Q5. How is the absolute amplitude of the received signal measured?
In other words, the absolute amplitude of the received signal is linearly proportional, albeit in a complicated way due to propagation effects, to the absolute amplitude of the source.
Q6. What was the first direct connection between sudden changes in the amplitude and phase of the V?
The first direct connection between sudden changes in the VLF transmitter amplitude and phase and lightning‐induced whistlers was made byHelliwell et al. [1973], who postulated cyclotron resonance between the electrons and the whistler wave as the mechanism for electron precipitation.
Q7. What did they do to account for the evolution of the electron energy distribution due to the EMP?
That paper also predicted that the EMP‐ionosphere interaction would lead to “airglow.” Taranenko et al. [1992, 1993a, 1993b] used a 1‐D fully kinetic model to account for the evolving electron energy distribution due to EMP heating of electrons, and furthermore calculated optical emissions due to the EMP.
Q8. How did Huang and Wright measure the charge moment changes in spriteproducing lightning?
however, these early measurements of charge moment changes in sprite‐producing lightning showed conclusively that the charge moment changes in sprite‐associated lightning strokes are generally large enough to generate sprites according to quantitative model predictions.