TL;DR: In this paper, the authors classify the literature on communication between informed experts and uninformed decision makers along four dimensions: strategic, technological, institutional, and cultural, and provide some insight into what constitutes a persuasive statement and under what conditions a decision maker will benefit from consulting an expert.
Abstract: This paper reviews literature on communication between informed experts and uninformed decision makers. The research provides some insight into what constitutes a persuasive statement and under what conditions a decision maker will benefit from consulting an expert. I classify the literature along four dimensions: strategic, technological, institutional, and cultural. To the extent that decision makers and experts have different preferences, communication creates strategic problems. Technological considerations describe the domain of uncertainty, the cost of acquiring information, and the cost of manipulating information. The institution determines who has responsibility for making decisions and the rules that govern communication. Cultural factors describe the way in which agents interpret language.
TL;DR: The Limits of Organization as discussed by the authors is a seminal work in the field of economic analysis and policy making, focusing on the role of organization in economic decision-making, and its effect on economic outcomes.
Abstract: (1975). The Limits of Organization. Journal of Economic Issues: Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 543-544.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors investigate the conventional wisdom that competition among interested parties attempting to influence a decision maker by providing verifiable information brings out all the relevant information, and they find that if the decision maker is strategically sophisticated and well informed about the relevant variables and about the preferences of the interested party or parties, competition may be unnecessary; while if the decide maker is unsophisticated or not well informed, competition is not generally sufficient.
Abstract: We investigate the conventional wisdom that competition among interested parties attempting to influence a decision maker by providing verifiable information brings out all the relevant information. We find that, if the decision maker is strategically sophisticated and well informed about the relevant variables and about the preferences of the interested party or parties, competition may be unnecessary; while if the decision maker is unsophisticated or not well informed, competition is not generally sufficient. However, if the interested parties' interests are sufficiently opposed, or if the decision maker is seeking to advance the parties' decision maker's need for prior knowledge about the relevant variables and for strategic sophistication. In other settings, only the combination of competition among information providers and a sophisticated skepticism is sufficient to allow defective decision making.
TL;DR: It is shown that the impact of competition on information revelation is ambiguous in general and a condition is identified that is necessary and sufficient for equilibrium outcomes to be no less informative than the collusive outcome, regardless of preferences.
Abstract: We study symmetric information games where a number of senders choose what information to communicate. We show that the impact of competition on information revelation is ambiguous in general. We identify a condition on the information environment (i.e., the set of signals available to each sender) that is necessary and sufficient for equilibrium outcomes to be no less informative than the collusive outcome, regardless of preferences. The same condition also provides an easy way to characterize the equilibrium set and governs whether introducing additional senders or decreasing the alignment of senders’ preferences necessarily increases the amount of information revealed.
175 citations
Cites background from "Advances in Economics and Econometr..."
...The strategic complexity of these settings, however, means that they stop short of full characterizations and consider a limited range of comparative statics (Sobel 2013)....
TL;DR: It is found that an expert with state-independent preferences can always make credible comparative statements that trade off the expert's incentive to exaggerate on each dimension.
Abstract: We consider the credibility, persuasiveness, and informativeness of multidimensional cheap talk by an expert to a decision maker. We find that an expert with state-independent preferences can always make credible comparative statements that trade off the expert's incentive to exaggerate on each dimension. Such communication benefits the expert -- cheap talk is "persuasive" -- if her preferences are quasiconvex. Communication benefits a decision maker by allowing for a more informed decision, but strategic interactions between multiple decision makers can reverse this gain. We apply these results to topics including media bias, advertising, product recommendations, voting, and auction disclosure.
TL;DR: In this paper, the information flows that arise among a set of agents with local knowledge and directed payoff interactions, which differ among pairs of agents, were studied for a game where, before making decisions, agents can invest in pairwise active communication (speaking) and pairwise passive communication (listening).
Abstract: We study the information flows that arise among a set of agents with local knowledge and directed payoff interactions, which differ among pairs of agents First, we study the equilibrium of a game where, before making decisions, agents can invest in pairwise active communication (speaking) and pairwise passive communication (listening) This leads to a full characterization of information and influence flows Second, we show that when the coordination motive dominates the adaptation motive, the influence of an agent on all his peers is approximately proportional to his eigenvector centrality Third, we use our results to explain organizational phenomena such as the emergence of work “cliques,” the adoption of human resources practices that foster communication (especially active communication), and the discrepancy between formal hierarchy and actual influence
82 citations
Additional excerpts
...However, their focus is on costless, nonverifiable information (cheap talk) when agents may have biases as in Crawford and Sobel (1982) (see Sobel 2013 for a survey)....
TL;DR: For instance, Grice was interested in Quine's logical approach to language, although he differed from Quine over certain specific specific questions, such as the viability of the distinction between analytic and synthetic statements.
Abstract: As Grice’s enthusiasm for ordinary language philosophy became increasingly qualified during the 1950s, his interest was growing in the rather different styles of philosophy of language then current in America. Recent improvements in communications had made possible an exchange of ideas across the Atlantic that would have been unthinkable before the war. W. V. O. Quine had made a considerable impression at Oxford during his time as Eastman Professor. Grice was interested in Quine’s logical approach to language, although he differed from him over certain specific questions, such as the viability of the distinction between analytic and synthetic statements. Quine, who was visiting England for a whole year, and who brought with him clothes, books and even provisions in the knowledge that rationing was still in force, travelled by ship.1 However, during the same decade the rapid proliferation of passenger air travel enabled movement of academics between Britain and America for even short stays and lecture tours. Grice himself made a number of such visits, and was impressed by the formal and theory-driven philosophy he encountered. Most of all he was impressed by the work of Noam Chomsky.
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a number of formal restrictions of this sort, investigate their behavior in specific examples, and relate these restrictions to Kohlberg and Mertens' notion of stability.
Abstract: Games in which one party conveys private information to a second through messages typically admit large numbers of sequential equilibria, as the second party may entertain a wealth of beliefs in response to out-of-equilibrium messages. By restricting those out-of equilibrium beliefs, one can sometimes eliminate many unintuitive equilibria. We present a number of formal restrictions of this sort, investigate their behavior in specific examples, and relate these restrictions to Kohlberg and Mertens` notion of stability.
3,290 citations
"Advances in Economics and Econometr..." refers methods in this paper
...10See Banks and Sobel [7] and Cho and Kreps [19].
and induces action a′, then there must be an equilibrium in which type θ sends message m′ and induces action a and type θ′ sends message m and induces action a′....
[...]
...(10)See Banks and Sobel [7] and Cho and Kreps [19]....
TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a model of strategic communication in which a better-informed Sender (S) sends a possibly noisy signal to a Receiver (R), who then takes an action that determines the welfare of both.
Abstract: This paper develops a model of strategic communication, in which a better-informed Sender (S) sends a possibly noisy signal to a Receiver (R), who then takes an action that determines the welfare of both. We characterize the set of Bayesian Nash equilibria under standard assumptions, and show that equilibrium signaling always takes a strikingly simple form, in which S partitions the support of the (scalar) variable that represents his private information and introduces noise into his signal by reporting, in effect, only which element of the partition his observation actually lies in. We show under further assumptions that before S observes his private information, the equilibrium whose partition has the greatest number of elements is Pareto-superior to all other equilibria, and that if agents coordinate on this equilibrium, R's equilibrium expected utility rises when agents' preferences become more similar. Since R bases his choice of action on rational expectations, this establishes a sense in which equilibrium signaling is more informative when agents' preferences are more similar.
TL;DR: In this article, a notion of "favorableness" of news is introduced, characterized, and applied to four simple models: the arrival of good news about a firm's prospects always causes its share price to rise, more favorable evidence about an agent's effort leads the principal to pay a larger bonus, buyers expect that any product information withheld by a salesman is unfavorable to his product, and bidders figure that low bids by their competitors signal a low value for the object being sold.
Abstract: This is an article about modeling methods in information economics. A notion of "favorableness" of news is introduced, characterized, and applied to four simple models. In the equilibria of these models, (1) the arrival of good news about a firm's prospects always causes its share price to rise, (2) more favorable evidence about an agent's effort leads the principal to pay a larger bonus, (3) buyers expect that any product information withheld by a salesman is unfavorable to his product, and (4) bidders figure that low bids by their competitors signal a low value for the object being sold.
3,092 citations
"Advances in Economics and Econometr..." refers background in this paper
...†Department of Economics, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, U.S.A. E-mail: jsobel@ucsd.edu...