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Annular Modes in the Extratropical Circulation. Part I: Month-to-Month Variability*

David W. J. Thompson, +1 more
- 01 Mar 2000 - 
- Vol. 13, Iss: 5, pp 1000-1016
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TLDR
In this article, the authors compared the structure and seasonality of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) annular mode and the Northern Hemisphere (NH) mode, referred to as the Arctic Oscillation (AO), based on data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalysis and supplementary datasets.
Abstract
The leading modes of variability of the extratropical circulation in both hemispheres are characterized by deep, zonally symmetric or ‘‘annular’’ structures, with geopotential height perturbations of opposing signs in the polar cap region and in the surrounding zonal ring centered near 458 latitude. The structure and dynamics of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) annular mode have been extensively documented, whereas the existence of a Northern Hemisphere (NH) mode, herein referred to as the Arctic Oscillation (AO), has only recently been recognized. Like the SH mode, the AO can be defined as the leading empirical orthogonal function of the sea level pressure field or of the zonally symmetric geopotential height or zonal wind fields. In this paper the structure and seasonality of the NH and SH modes are compared based on data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction‐National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalysis and supplementary datasets. The structures of the NH and SH annular modes are shown to be remarkably similar, not only in the zonally averaged geopotential height and zonal wind fields, but in the mean meridional circulations as well. Both exist year-round in the troposphere, but they amplify with height upward into the stratosphere during those seasons in which the strength of the zonal flow is conducive to strong planetary wave‐mean flow interaction: midwinter in the NH and late spring in the SH. During these ‘‘active seasons,’’ the annular modes modulate the strength of the Lagrangian mean circulation in the lower stratosphere, total column ozone and tropopause height over mid- and high latitudes, and the strength of the trade winds of their respective hemispheres. The NH mode also contains an embedded planetary wave signature with expressions in surface air temperature, precipitation, total column ozone, and tropopause height. It is argued that the horizontal temperature advection by the perturbed zonal-mean zonal wind field in the lower troposphere is instrumental in forcing this pattern. A companion paper documents the striking resemblance between the structure of the annular modes and observed climate trends over the past few decades.

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Citations
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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project

TL;DR: The NCEP/NCAR 40-yr reanalysis uses a frozen state-of-the-art global data assimilation system and a database as complete as possible, except that the horizontal resolution is T62 (about 210 km) as discussed by the authors.
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The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields

TL;DR: The Arctic Oscillation (AO) as mentioned in this paper is the signature of modulations in the strength of the polar vortex aloft, and it resembles the NAO in many respects; but its primary center of action covers more of the Arctic, giving it a more zonally symmetric appearance.
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Teleconnections in the Geopotential Height Field during the Northern Hemisphere Winter

TL;DR: In this paper, a review of existing literature on the subject reveals the existence of at least four such patterns: the North Atlantic and North Pacific Oscillations identified by Walker and Bliss (1932), a zonally symmetric seesaw between sea level pressures in polar and temperature latitudes, first noted by Lorenz (1951), and what we will refer to as the Pacific/North American pattern, which has been known to operational long-range forecasters in this country since the 1950's.
Journal ArticleDOI

Sampling Errors in the Estimation of Empirical Orthogonal Functions

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors reviewed the necessary weighting factors for gridded data and the sampling errors incurred when too small a sample is available, and a rule of thumb indicating when an EOF is likely to be subject to large sampling fluctuations is presented.
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