Climate change may cause severe loss in the economic value of European forest land
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...Conversely, it is estimated that an average of 34% of European forest lands, currently coveredwith valuable timber trees, such as Norway spruce, will be suitable only for Mediterranean oak forest vegetation by 2100, resulting in much lower economic returns for forest owners and the timber industry (49)....
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...Therefore, economical losses may be higher than those predicted by Hanewinkel et al. (2013)....
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...Although Hanewinkel et al. (2013) predicted that the dominant forest type in Central Europe will change from P. sylvestris to Q. robur and Q. petraea, in the most severe scenario even these species seem to be threatened....
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...Hanewinkel et al. (2013) claim that climate change will result in net replacement of highly productive forests (P. abies and P. sylvestris) by species with lower productivity (Quercus spp.) by 2100....
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...Hanewinkel et al. (2013) predicted changes in structure of dominant tree species in Europe that are consistent with our results....
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"Climate change may cause severe los..." refers methods in this paper
...9) by downscaling the output (temperature and precipitation) of four general circulation models and for A1B by downscaling the same variables of four regional circulation models (RCM) in combination with WorldClim10 present climate data from a coarse (10) to a fine (1 km) resolution (Supplementary Table S1)....
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