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Code and data files for "Fiscal Policy and Default Risk in Emerging Markets"
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In this article, all Matlab and C++ programs necessary to produce the results of the article were described and a spreadsheet with Mexican data was also provided, along with a spreadsheet containing Mexican data.Abstract:
All Matlab and C++ programs necessary to produce the results of the article. There is also a Excel spreadsheet with Mexican data.read more
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Journal ArticleDOI
A General Equilibrium Model of Sovereign Default and Business Cycles
Enrique G. Mendoza,Vivian Z. Yue +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a general equilibrium model of both sovereign default and business cycles is proposed, which explains several features of cyclical dynamics around deraults, countercyclical spreads, high debt ratios and key business cycle moments.
Journal ArticleDOI
How is Tax Policy Conducted over the Business Cycle
Carlos A. Vegh,Guillermo Vuletin +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors build a dataset on tax rates for 62 countries for the period 1960-2013 that comprises corporate income, personal income, and value-added tax rates and find that tax policy is a cyclical in industrial countries but mostly procyclical in developing countries.
Journal ArticleDOI
Heterogeneous borrowers in quantitative models of sovereign default
TL;DR: In this article, the authors extend the model used in recent quantitative studies of sovereign default, allowing policymakers of different types to stochastically alternate in power, and show that a default episode may be triggered by a change in the type of policymaker in office, and that such a default is likely to occur only if there is enough political stability and if policymakers encounter poor economic conditions.
Book ChapterDOI
What is a Sustainable Public Debt
TL;DR: In this article, the authors identify critical flaws in the traditional approach to evaluate debt sustainability, and examine three alternative approaches that provide useful econometric and model-simulation tools to analyze debt sustainability.
Journal ArticleDOI
Quantitative Properties of Sovereign Default Models: Solution Methods Matter
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors study the sovereign default model that has been used to account for the cyclical behavior of interest rates in emerging market economies and show that this method necessitates a large number of grid points to avoid generating spurious interestrate movements.
References
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On the Determination of the Public Debt
TL;DR: In this paper, a public debt theory is constructed in which the Ricardian invariance theorem is valid as a first-order proposition but where the dependence excess burden on the timing of taxation implies an optimal time path of debt issue.
Journal ArticleDOI
Debt with Potential Repudiation: Theoretical and Empirical Analysis
Jonathan Eaton,Mark Gersovitz +1 more
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The Voracity Effect
Aaron Tornell,Philip R. Lane +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors analyze an economy that lacks a strong legal-political institutional infrastructure and is populated by multiple powerful groups, and they show that a dilution in the concentration of power leads to faster growth and a less procyclical response to shocks.
Journal ArticleDOI
The risk-free rate in heterogeneous-agent incomplete-insurance economies
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors construct an economy where agents experience uninsurable idiosyncratic endowment shocks and smooth consumption by holding a risk-free asset, and calibrate the economy and characterize equilibria computationally.
Posted Content
Business Cycles in Emerging Economies:The Role of Interest Rates
TL;DR: In this paper, the empirical relation between the interest rates that emerging economies face in international capital markets and their business cycles was investigated, showing that interest rate shocks alone can explain 50% of output fluctuations and can generate business cycle patterns consistent with the regularities described above and with the major booms and recessions in Argentina in the last two decades.