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Comparative performance of SARS CoV-2 lateral flow antigen tests demonstrates their utility for high sensitivity detection of infectious virus in clinical specimens

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors evaluated six commercial lateral flow devices (LFDs) on the same collection of clinical samples and assessed their correlation with infectious virus culture and cycle threshold (Ct) values.
Abstract: Background Rapid antigen lateral flow devices (LFDs) are set to become a cornerstone of SARS-CoV-2 mass community testing. However, their reduced sensitivity compared to PCR has raised questions of how well they identify infectious cases. Understanding their capabilities and limitations is therefore essential for successful implementation. To address this, we evaluated six commercial LFDs on the same collection of clinical samples and assessed their correlation with infectious virus culture and cycle threshold (Ct) values. Methods A head-to-head comparison of specificities and sensitivities was performed on six commercial rapid antigen tests using combined nasal/oropharyngeal swabs, and their limits of detection determined using viral plaque forming units (PFU). Three of the LFDs were selected for a further study, correlating antigen test result with RT-PCR Ct values and positive viral culture in Vero-E6 cells. This included sequential swabs and matched serum samples obtained from four infected individuals with varying disease severities. Detection of antibodies was performed using an IgG/IgM Rapid Test Cassette, and neutralising antibodies by infectious virus assay. Finally, the sensitivities of selected rapid antigen LFTs were assessed in swabs with confirmed B.1.1.7 variant, currently the dominant genotype in the UK. Findings Most of the rapid antigen LFDs showed a high specificity (>98%), and accurately detected 50 PFU/test (equivalent N1 Ct of 23.7 or RNA copy number of 3×106/ml). Sensitivities of the LFDs performed on clinical samples ranged from 65 to 89%. These sensitivities increased in most tests to over 90% for samples with Cts lower than 25. Positive virus culture was achieved for 57 out of 141 samples, with 80% of the positive cultures from swabs with Cts lower than 23. Importantly, sensitivity of the LFDs increased to over 95% when compared with the detection of infectious virus alone, irrespective of Ct. Longitudinal studies of PCR-positive samples showed that most of the tests identified all infectious samples as positive, but differences in test sensitivities can lead to missed cases in the absence of repeated testing. Finally, test performance was not impacted when re-assessed against swabs positive for the dominant UK variant B.1.1.7. Interpretation In this comprehensive comparison of antigen LFD and virus infectivity, we demonstrate a clear relationship between Ct values, quantitative culture of infectious virus and antigen LFD positivity in clinical samples. Our data support regular testing of target groups using LFDs to supplement the current PCR testing capacity, to rapidly identify infected individuals in situations where they would otherwise go undetected. Funding King’s Together Rapid COVID-19, Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, Huo Family Foundation.

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Comparative performance of SARS CoV-2 lateral flow antigen tests
1
demonstrates their utility for high sensitivity detection of infectious virus in
2
clinical specimens
3
4
5
Suzanne Pickering
1
, Rahul Batra
2
, Luke B. Snell
2
, Blair Merrick
2
, Gaia Nebbia
2
, Sam
6
Douthwaite
2
, Amita Patel
2
, Mark Tan Kia Ik
2
, Bindi Patel
2
, Themoula Charalampous
2
, Adela
7
Alcolea-Medina
2,3
, Maria Jose Lista
1
, Penelope R. Cliff
3
, Emma Cunningham
3
, Jane Mullen
3
,
8
Katie J. Doores
1
, Jonathan D. Edgeworth
1,2
, Michael H. Malim
1
, Stuart J.D. Neil
1*
, Rui Pedro
9
Galão
1*
10
11
1
Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology & Microbial Sciences, King’s
12
College London, London SE1 9RT, UK
13
14
2
Centre for Clinical Infection and Diagnostics Research, Department of Infectious Diseases,
15
Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London SE1 7EH
16
17
3
Viapath Group LLP, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
18
19
20
*
Joint corresponding authors
21
Rui Pedro Galão rui_pedro.galao@kcl.ac.uk
22
+44 207 848 2610
23
24
Stuart J.D. Neil stuart.neil@kcl.ac.uk
25
+44 207 848 9617
26
27
Abstract
28
29
Background: Rapid antigen lateral flow devices (LFDs) are set to become a cornerstone of
30
SARS-CoV-2 mass community testing. However, their reduced sensitivity compared to PCR
31
has raised questions of how well they identify infectious cases. Understanding their capabilities
32
and limitations is therefore essential for successful implementation. To address this, we
33
evaluated six commercial LFDs on the same collection of clinical samples and assessed their
34
correlation with infectious virus culture and cycle threshold (Ct) values.
35
36
Methods: A head-to-head comparison of specificities and sensitivities was performed on six
37
commercial rapid antigen tests using combined nasal/oropharyngeal swabs, and their limits of
38
detection determined using viral plaque forming units (PFU). Three of the LFDs were selected
39
for a further study, correlating antigen test result with RT-PCR Ct values and positive viral
40
culture in Vero-E6 cells. This included sequential swabs and matched serum samples obtained
41
from four infected individuals with varying disease severities. Detection of antibodies was
42
performed using an IgG/IgM Rapid Test Cassette, and neutralising antibodies by infectious
43
virus assay. Finally, the sensitivities of selected rapid antigen LFTs were assessed in swabs
44
with confirmed B.1.1.7 variant, currently the dominant genotype in the UK.
45
46
Findings: Most of the rapid antigen LFDs showed a high specificity (>98%), and accurately
47
detected 50 PFU/test (equivalent N1 Ct of 23.7 or RNA copy number of 3x10
6
/ml).
48
. CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licenseIt is made available under a
is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. (which was not certified by peer review)
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted March 2, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.27.21252427doi: medRxiv preprint
NOTE: This preprint reports new research that has not been certified by peer review and should not be used to guide clinical practice.

Sensitivities of the LFDs performed on clinical samples ranged from 65 to 89%. These
49
sensitivities increased in most tests to over 90% for samples with Cts lower than 25. Positive
50
virus culture was achieved for 57 out of 141 samples, with 80% of the positive cultures from
51
swabs with Cts lower than 23. Importantly, sensitivity of the LFDs increased to over 95% when
52
compared with the detection of infectious virus alone, irrespective of Ct. Longitudinal studies
53
of PCR-positive samples showed that most of the tests identified all infectious samples as
54
positive, but differences in test sensitivities can lead to missed cases in the absence of repeated
55
testing. Finally, test performance was not impacted when re-assessed against swabs positive
56
for the dominant UK variant B.1.1.7.
57
58
Interpretation: In this comprehensive comparison of antigen LFD and virus infectivity, we
59
demonstrate a clear relationship between Ct values, quantitative culture of infectious virus and
60
antigen LFD positivity in clinical samples. Our data support regular testing of target groups
61
using LFDs to supplement the current PCR testing capacity, to rapidly identify infected
62
individuals in situations where they would otherwise go undetected.
63
64
Funding: King’s Together Rapid COVID-19, Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust,
65
Huo Family Foundation.
66
67
. CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licenseIt is made available under a
is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. (which was not certified by peer review)
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted March 2, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.27.21252427doi: medRxiv preprint

Introduction
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69
Covid-19 continues to have a profound impact on global health, with many countries resorting
70
to economically and socially damaging restrictions to minimise the spread of SARS-CoV-2
71
and protect healthcare systems from being overwhelmed.
72
73
Pathways out of national lockdowns - and strategies to mitigate the need for them in the future
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depend upon the successful implementation of mass vaccination programmes, effective
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contact tracing systems and mass community testing. In addition to the existing PCR-based
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testing systems, the latter may take the form of targeted intensive testing in increasing
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incidence areas, alongside regular routine screening in healthcare, education, workplace and
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leisure settings. Realistically, the expansion of mass regular testing relies heavily on an element
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of low-infrastructure- or self-testing, such as that offered by rapid antigen lateral flow devices
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(LFDs).
1,2
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82
Thoroughly understanding the advantages and limitations of rapid antigen LFDs is, therefore,
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a priority and will help to inform decisions about where these tests will have the most utility
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and, conversely, where they could be contraindicated. There are concerns about their reduced
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sensitivity in comparison to PCR, and controversies have arisen over the suitability of their
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implementation.
3–5
Problems with comparing Ct values from RT-qPCR between different
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protocols, and even between the same protocols at different locations, combined with
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uncertainty about the range of viral loads that constitute a transmission risk, have been the root
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of many of the issues.
5,6
Individuals are most infectious around the time of symptom onset,
90
when viral loads in the upper respiratory tract are highest,
7,8
with recent studies confirming an
91
association between viral load and increased transmission of SARS-CoV-2.
9
For asymptomatic
92
individuals, infectivity and viral load dynamics involve a similar, limited, period of infectivity,
93
and asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic contributions to spread in the community remain
94
problematic.
10,11
95
96
Several studies have shown a relationship between Ct value and virus infectivity,
8, 12–14
and
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manufacturers of rapid antigen LFDs have implied a link between antigen test positivity and
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infectious potential. Here we present a detailed assessment of the relationship between Ct,
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quantitative culture of infectious virus and antigen test positivity, alongside an independent
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and unbiased head-to-head comparison of six widely available commercial antigen tests. Most
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tests showed good sensitivity (>90%) at Cts of less than 25, with sensitivity increasing to over
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95% when compared to infectious samples. Longitudinal studies of PCR-positive samples
103
highlight the importance of regular testing. We also re-assessed the tests against the dominant
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genotype in the UK, B.1.1.7, and found no difference in test performance.
105
106
107
. CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licenseIt is made available under a
is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. (which was not certified by peer review)
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted March 2, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.27.21252427doi: medRxiv preprint

Materials and Methods
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Study samples and ethics
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Combined nasal/oropharyngeal swabs were submitted to the diagnostic laboratory in 1 ml of
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viral transport medium (VTM) for routine real time SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR testing. Surplus
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VTM was routinely stored at -80
o
C by the diagnostic laboratory for future technology
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evaluations. VTM from 100 laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 positive swabs selected to
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cover a wide range of Cts (14 to 39) and 100 confirmed negative swabs were used for head-to-
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head comparisons of 6 commercial antigen tests. Similarly, VTM from an additional 141
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confirmed positive swabs were used for comparative studies on infectivity and antigen testing.
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All samples were collected between March and October 2020. A further 23 laboratory-
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confirmed SARS-CoV-2 positive swabs, collected in January 2021, were shown by on-site
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whole-genome sequencing to be from the B.1.1.7 variant and used for comparative evaluation
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of the sensitivity of selected tests.
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Matched routinely-collected serum samples stored for up to 48 hours at 4
o
C in the Viapath
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Blood Sciences laboratory were retrieved after routine diagnostic testing prior to planned
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discard and stored at -80
o
C for future serological analysis. All swabs, VTM and serum samples
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were stored in the Directorate of Infection. Samples for research were retrieved by the primary
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care team and anonymised before sending to the King’s College London laboratories for
128
analysis along with dates of symptom onset and sample collection, and any relevant routine
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laboratory result obtained from that sample. All studies were performed in accordance with the
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UK Policy Framework for Health and Social Care Research and with specific Research Ethics
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Committee approval (REC 20/SC/0310).
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133
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Viral growth assays
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For the comparative studies on infectivity and antigen positivity, each swab was subjected to
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the following procedures: RNA extraction for subsequent RT-PCR and sequencing; titration
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and viral titre determination by plaque assay; titration and infectivity determination by
139
intracellular anti-N staining; viral propagation for isolation of virus; and rapid antigen testing.
140
Viral growth assays were performed on Vero.E6 cells. For plaque assays, VTM was 10-fold
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serially diluted and applied to Vero.E6 cells in 12-well plates, in a volume of 500 ul per well,
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and incubated for 1 hour at 37
o
C. 500 ul of pre-warmed overlay (0.1% agarose in DMEM
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supplemented with 2% FCS, pen/strep and amphotericin B) was then applied to each well, and
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cultures were incubated for 72 hours at 37
o
C, before fixing with 4% formaldehyde. A solution
145
of 0.05% crystal violet in ethanol was applied to each well, incubated for 5 minutes at room
146
temperature, before washing with PBS, air drying and counting plaques.
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RT-PCR
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Initial diagnostic laboratory testing was carried using the AusDiagnostics Multiplex Tandem
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SARS-CoV-2 PCR assays at Viapath Infection Sciences laboratory, St Thomas’ Hospital,
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London, and positive or negative swabs were selected on basis of this diagnostic test. For
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additional PCR testing and to ensure uniformity of RT-PCR conditions and Ct determination,
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RNA was extracted from 100ul of swab using the Qiagen QIAamp Viral RNA Kit following
155
manufacturer’s instructions and eluted in 60ul of water. RT-PCR reactions (total volume 20µl)
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were performed with 5µl of eluted RNA, 4x TaqMan Fast Virus 1-Step Master mix (Applied
157
. CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licenseIt is made available under a
is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. (which was not certified by peer review)
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted March 2, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.27.21252427doi: medRxiv preprint

Biosystems) and CDC’s IDT Primer-Probes Sets targeting SARS-CoV-2 N gene regions or
158
human RNAse P, using a QuantStudio 5 (ThermoFisher Scientific). RNA standards were
159
extracted as above from serial dilutions of a NATtrol™ SARS-CoV-2 Stock (ZeptoMetrix),
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which is constituted of inactivated intact viral particles with known RNA viral load.
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Rapid antigen tests
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Tests were performed according to the manufacturers’ instructions, with the exception that
165
swabs stored in viral transport medium (VTM) were used for evaluations, rather than direct
166
swabs performed immediately prior to test performance. 50 ul of stored swab was mixed with
167
100 ul of buffer supplied with the test kit, and 100 ul of this was applied to the test cassette.
168
Results were scored at the time stipulated by the manufacturer (between 10 and 30 minutes).
169
Results were recorded independently by two readers, compared, and in the event of a discordant
170
score were referred to a third individual. For the purpose of comparison, chromatographic tests
171
were scored according to whether the test band was strongly positive (2), clearly positive (1),
172
weakly positive (0.5) or negative (0).
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Table 1: Rapid antigen LFD names and manufacturers
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Neutralisation assays
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178
Neutralisation assays were performed on Vero.E6 cells with replication-competent SARS-
179
CoV-2 (England 02/2020) as previously described.
15
Briefly, 20,000 cells were seeded per well
180
of a 96-well plate the day before assay. Heat-inactivated sera were 3-fold serially diluted and
181
incubated with 400 PFU per well of SARS-CoV-2 for 1 hour at 37
o
C. Medium was removed
182
from the cells and replaced with the virus/serum mixtures. After 24 hours at 37
o
C, cells were
183
fixed in 4% formaldehyde before intracellular nucleocapsid staining.
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185
Intracellular nucleocapsid staining
186
187
Immunostaining for SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid detection in Vero.E6 cells was performed in
188
situ in formaldehyde-fixed 96-well plates, to verify viral culture experiments and as a read-out
189
for infectious virus neutralisation assays, as described previously.
15
Briefly, cells were
190
permeabilised with 0.1% triton in PBS for 15 minutes, then blocked in 3% milk for 15 minutes
191
at room temperature. Primary antibody (murinized anti-N 3009) was incubated at a final
192
concentration of 2 ug/mL in 1% milk for 45 minutes at room temperature, before washing twice
193
with PBS and incubating with secondary antibody (goat-anti-mouse IgG HRP-linked, Cell
194
Signaling Technology, 1:2000) in 1% milk for 45 minutes at room temperature. Cells were
195
washed twice with PBS, before addition of substrate. For SARS-CoV-2 plaque verification
196
assays, TrueBlue HRP substrate was used (Seracare Life Sciences Inc.); for neutralisation
197
Rapid Antigen LFD
Distributor/Manufacturer
Reference
SARS-CoV-2 Antigen Test Kit
Innova Med Group
N/A
SARS-CoV-2 Antigen Rapid Test Cassette
(Swab)
Spring Healthcare
SP-SW 106
SARS-CoV-2 Antigen Rapid Test Cassette
(Nasopharyngeal Swab)
SureScreen Diagnostics Ltd
COVID19 AGVCT
SARS-CoV-2 Antigen Rapid Test Device
Emmo Pharma / Encode
N/A
COVID-19 Antigen Rapid Fluorescent
Cassette
SureScreen Diagnostics Ltd
COVID19 AGC
Rapid Diagnostic Test
E25Bio
N/A
. CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licenseIt is made available under a
is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. (which was not certified by peer review)
The copyright holder for this preprintthis version posted March 2, 2021. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.02.27.21252427doi: medRxiv preprint

Citations
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Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: A systematic review and meta-analysis of commercially available rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) for SARS-CoV-2 up until 30 April 2021 was conducted in this paper.
Abstract: Background SARS-CoV-2 antigen rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) are increasingly being integrated in testing strategies around the world. Studies of the Ag-RDTs have shown variable performance. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we assessed the clinical accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) of commercially available Ag-RDTs. Methods and findings We registered the review on PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42020225140). We systematically searched multiple databases (PubMed, Web of Science Core Collection, medRvix, bioRvix, and FIND) for publications evaluating the accuracy of Ag-RDTs for SARS-CoV-2 up until 30 April 2021. Descriptive analyses of all studies were performed, and when more than 4 studies were available, a random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity in comparison to reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing. We assessed heterogeneity by subgroup analyses, and rated study quality and risk of bias using the QUADAS-2 assessment tool. From a total of 14,254 articles, we included 133 analytical and clinical studies resulting in 214 clinical accuracy datasets with 112,323 samples. Across all meta-analyzed samples, the pooled Ag-RDT sensitivity and specificity were 71.2% (95% CI 68.2% to 74.0%) and 98.9% (95% CI 98.6% to 99.1%), respectively. Sensitivity increased to 76.3% (95% CI 73.1% to 79.2%) if analysis was restricted to studies that followed the Ag-RDT manufacturers’ instructions. LumiraDx showed the highest sensitivity, with 88.2% (95% CI 59.0% to 97.5%). Of instrument-free Ag-RDTs, Standard Q nasal performed best, with 80.2% sensitivity (95% CI 70.3% to 87.4%). Across all Ag-RDTs, sensitivity was markedly better on samples with lower RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values, i.e., <20 (96.5%, 95% CI 92.6% to 98.4%) and <25 (95.8%, 95% CI 92.3% to 97.8%), in comparison to those with Ct ≥ 25 (50.7%, 95% CI 35.6% to 65.8%) and ≥30 (20.9%, 95% CI 12.5% to 32.8%). Testing in the first week from symptom onset resulted in substantially higher sensitivity (83.8%, 95% CI 76.3% to 89.2%) compared to testing after 1 week (61.5%, 95% CI 52.2% to 70.0%). The best Ag-RDT sensitivity was found with anterior nasal sampling (75.5%, 95% CI 70.4% to 79.9%), in comparison to other sample types (e.g., nasopharyngeal, 71.6%, 95% CI 68.1% to 74.9%), although CIs were overlapping. Concerns of bias were raised across all datasets, and financial support from the manufacturer was reported in 24.1% of datasets. Our analysis was limited by the included studies’ heterogeneity in design and reporting. Conclusions In this study we found that Ag-RDTs detect the vast majority of SARS-CoV-2-infected persons within the first week of symptom onset and those with high viral load. Thus, they can have high utility for diagnostic purposes in the early phase of disease, making them a valuable tool to fight the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Standardization in conduct and reporting of clinical accuracy studies would improve comparability and use of data.

181 citations

Posted ContentDOI
01 Mar 2021-medRxiv
TL;DR: In this article, a systematic review and meta-analysis of commercially available rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) is presented, where the clinical accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) of these tests are assessed.
Abstract: Background SARS-CoV-2 antigen rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) are increasingly being integrated in testing strategies around the world. Studies of the Ag-RDTs have shown variable performance. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we assessed the clinical accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) of commercially available Ag-RDTs. Methods We registered the review on PROSPERO (Registration number: CRD42020225140). We systematically searched multiple databases (PubMed, Web of Science Core Collection, medRvix and bioRvix, FINDdx) for publications up until December 11th, 2020. Descriptive analyses of all studies were performed and when more than four studies were available, a random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity in comparison to reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction testing. We assessed heterogeneity by subgroup analyses ((1) performed con-form with manufacturer’s instructions for use (IFU) or not, (2) symptomatic vs. asymptomatic, (3) duration of symptoms less than seven days vs. more than seven days, (4) Ct-value Results From a total of 11,715 articles, we extracted 98 analytical and clinical data sets. 74 clinical accuracy data sets were evaluated that included 31,202 samples. Across all meta-analyzed samples, the pooled Ag-RDT sensitivity was 73.8% (CI 68.6 to 78.5). If analysis was restricted to studies that followed the Ag-RDT manufacturers’ instructions using fresh upper respiratory swab samples, the sensitivity increased to 79.1% (95%CI 75.0 to 82.8). The SD Biosensor Standard Q and Abbott Panbio showed the highest sensitivity with 81.7% and 72.7%, respectively. The best Ag-RDT performance was found with nasopharyngeal sampling (77.3%, CI 72.0 to 81.9) in comparison to other sample types (e.g., anterior nasal or mid turbinate 63.5%, CI 49.5 to 75.5). Testing in the first week from symptom onset resulted in higher sensitivity (87.5%, CI 86.0 to 89.1) compared to testing after one week (64.1%, CI 54.4 to 73.8). The tests performed markedly better on samples with lower Ct-values, i.e., Conclusion As Ag-RDTs detect most cases within the first week of symptom onset and those with high viral load, they can have high utility for screening purposes in the early phase of disease, and thus can be a valuable tool to fight the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Standardization of conduct and reporting of clinical accuracy studies would improve comparability and use of data. Summary In this living systematic review we analyzed 98 data sets for performance of SARS-CoV-2 Ag-RDTs compared to RT-PCR. Best-performing tests achieved a sensitivity of 81.7%. Highest sensitivity was found in patients within seven days of symptom onset when NP swabs were utilized.

166 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: People infected with SARS-CoV-2, with asymptomatic or mild symptoms, have a distinct odour that can be identified by sensors and trained dogs with a high degree of accuracy, and Odour-based diagnostics using sensors and/or dogs may prove a rapid and effective tool for screening large numbers of people.
Abstract: Abstract Background A rapid, accurate, non-invasive diagnostic screen is needed to identify people with SARS-CoV-2 infection. We investigated whether organic semi-conducting (OSC) sensors and trained dogs could distinguish between people infected with asymptomatic or mild symptoms, and uninfected individuals, and the impact of screening at ports-of-entry. Methods Odour samples were collected from adults, and SARS-CoV-2 infection status confirmed using RT-PCR. OSC sensors captured the volatile organic compound (VOC) profile of odour samples. Trained dogs were tested in a double-blind trial to determine their ability to detect differences in VOCs between infected and uninfected individuals, with sensitivity and specificity as the primary outcome. Mathematical modelling was used to investigate the impact of bio-detection dogs for screening. Results About, 3921 adults were enrolled in the study and odour samples collected from 1097 SARS-CoV-2 infected and 2031 uninfected individuals. OSC sensors were able to distinguish between SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals and uninfected, with sensitivity from 98% (95% CI 95–100) to 100% and specificity from 99% (95% CI 97–100) to 100%. Six dogs were able to distinguish between samples with sensitivity ranging from 82% (95% CI 76–87) to 94% (95% CI 89–98) and specificity ranging from 76% (95% CI 70–82) to 92% (95% CI 88–96). Mathematical modelling suggests that dog screening plus a confirmatory PCR test could detect up to 89% of SARS-CoV-2 infections, averting up to 2.2 times as much transmission compared to isolation of symptomatic individuals only. Conclusions People infected with SARS-CoV-2, with asymptomatic or mild symptoms, have a distinct odour that can be identified by sensors and trained dogs with a high degree of accuracy. Odour-based diagnostics using sensors and/or dogs may prove a rapid and effective tool for screening large numbers of people. Trial Registration NCT04509713 (clinicaltrials.gov).

16 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that the direct visual readout of SARS-CoV-2 LFDs is an inadequate approach to discriminate a potentially infective viral concentration in a biosample.
Abstract: Containing the global severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic has been an unprecedented challenge due to high horizontal transmissivity and asymptomatic carriage rates. Lateral flow device (LFD) immunoassays were introduced in late 2020 to detect SARS-CoV-2 infection in asymptomatic or presymptomatic individuals rapidly. While LFD technologies have been used for over 60 years, their widespread use as a public health tool during a pandemic is unprecedented. By the end of 2020, data from studies into the efficacy of the LFDs emerged and showed these point-of-care devices to have very high specificity (ability to identify true negatives) but inadequate sensitivity with high false-negative rates. The low sensitivity (<50%) shown in several studies is a critical public health concern, as asymptomatic or presymptomatic carriers may wrongly be assumed to be noninfectious, posing a significant risk of further spread in the community. Here, we show that the direct visual readout of SARS-CoV-2 LFDs is an inadequate approach to discriminate a potentially infective viral concentration in a biosample. We quantified significant immobilized antigen-antibody-labeled conjugate complexes within the LFDs visually scored as negative using high-sensitivity synchrotron X-ray fluorescence imaging. Correlating quantitative X-ray fluorescence measurements and quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) determined numbers of viral copies, we identified that negatively scored samples could contain up to 100 PFU (equivalent here to ∼10 000 RNA copies/test). The study demonstrates where the shortcomings arise in many of the current direct-readout SARS-CoV-2 LFDs, namely, being a deficiency in the readout as opposed to the potential level of detection of the test, which is orders of magnitude higher. The present findings are of importance both to public health monitoring during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and to the rapid refinement of these tools for immediate and future applications.

10 citations

Posted ContentDOI
08 Mar 2021-medRxiv
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors show that the direct visual readout of SARS-CoV-2 LFDs is an inadequate approach to discriminate a potentially infective viral concentration in a bio-sample.
Abstract: Containing the global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been an unprecedented challenge due to high horizontal transmissivity and asymptomatic carriage rates. Lateral Flow Device (LFD) immunoassays were introduced in late 2020 to detect SARS-CoV-2 infection in asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic individuals rapidly. Whilst LFD technologies have been used for over 60 years, their widespread use as a public health tool during a pandemic is unprecedented. By the end of 2020, data from studies into the efficacy of the LFDs emerged and showed these point-of-care devices to have very high specificity (ability to identify true negatives) but inadequate sensitivity with high false-negative rates. The low sensitivity (<50%) shown in several studies is a critical public health concern, as asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic carriers may wrongly be assumed to be non-infectious, posing a significant risk of further spread in the community. Here we show that the direct visual readout of SARS-CoV-2 LFDs is an inadequate approach to discriminate a potentially infective viral concentration in a bio-sample. We quantified significant immobilized antigen-antibody-label conjugate complexes within the LFDs visually scored as negative using high-sensitivity synchrotron X-ray fluorescence imaging. Correlating quantitative X-ray fluorescence measurements and qRT-PCR determined numbers of viral copies, we identified that negatively scored samples could contain up to 100 PFU (equivalent here to [~]10,000 RNA copies/test). The study demonstrates where the shortcomings arise in many of the current direct-readout SARS-CoV-2 LFDs, namely being a deficiency in the readout as opposed to the potential level of detection of the test, which is orders of magnitude higher. The present findings are of importance, both to public health monitoring during the COVID-19 pandemic and to the rapid refinement of these tools for immediate and future applications.

5 citations

References
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Journal ArticleDOI
01 Apr 2020-Nature
TL;DR: Detailed virological analysis of nine cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) provides proof of active replication of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in tissues of the upper respiratory tract.
Abstract: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is an acute infection of the respiratory tract that emerged in late 20191,2. Initial outbreaks in China involved 13.8% of cases with severe courses, and 6.1% of cases with critical courses3. This severe presentation may result from the virus using a virus receptor that is expressed predominantly in the lung2,4; the same receptor tropism is thought to have determined the pathogenicity—but also aided in the control—of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 20035. However, there are reports of cases of COVID-19 in which the patient shows mild upper respiratory tract symptoms, which suggests the potential for pre- or oligosymptomatic transmission6–8. There is an urgent need for information on virus replication, immunity and infectivity in specific sites of the body. Here we report a detailed virological analysis of nine cases of COVID-19 that provides proof of active virus replication in tissues of the upper respiratory tract. Pharyngeal virus shedding was very high during the first week of symptoms, with a peak at 7.11 × 108 RNA copies per throat swab on day 4. Infectious virus was readily isolated from samples derived from the throat or lung, but not from stool samples—in spite of high concentrations of virus RNA. Blood and urine samples never yielded virus. Active replication in the throat was confirmed by the presence of viral replicative RNA intermediates in the throat samples. We consistently detected sequence-distinct virus populations in throat and lung samples from one patient, proving independent replication. The shedding of viral RNA from sputum outlasted the end of symptoms. Seroconversion occurred after 7 days in 50% of patients (and by day 14 in all patients), but was not followed by a rapid decline in viral load. COVID-19 can present as a mild illness of the upper respiratory tract. The confirmation of active virus replication in the upper respiratory tract has implications for the containment of COVID-19. Detailed virological analysis of nine cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) provides proof of active replication of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in tissues of the upper respiratory tract.

5,840 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It is estimated that 44% (95% confidence interval, 25–69%) of secondary cases were infected during the index cases’ presymptomatic stage, in settings with substantial household clustering, active case finding and quarantine outside the home.
Abstract: We report temporal patterns of viral shedding in 94 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 and modeled COVID-19 infectiousness profiles from a separate sample of 77 infector–infectee transmission pairs. We observed the highest viral load in throat swabs at the time of symptom onset, and inferred that infectiousness peaked on or before symptom onset. We estimated that 44% (95% confidence interval, 30–57%) of secondary cases were infected during the index cases’ presymptomatic stage, in settings with substantial household clustering, active case finding and quarantine outside the home. Disease control measures should be adjusted to account for probable substantial presymptomatic transmission. Presymptomatic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is estimated to account for a substantial proportion of COVID-19 cases.

3,943 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this article, the authors reviewed and synthesized the available evidence on asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and found that infected persons who remain as healthy played a significant role in the ongoing pandemic, but their relative number and effect have been uncertain.
Abstract: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has spread rapidly throughout the world since the first cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were observed in December 2019 in Wuhan, China. It has been suspected that infected persons who remain asymptomatic play a significant role in the ongoing pandemic, but their relative number and effect have been uncertain. The authors sought to review and synthesize the available evidence on asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Asymptomatic persons seem to account for approximately 40% to 45% of SARS-CoV-2 infections, and they can transmit the virus to others for an extended period, perhaps longer than 14 days. Asymptomatic infection may be associated with subclinical lung abnormalities, as detected by computed tomography. Because of the high risk for silent spread by asymptomatic persons, it is imperative that testing programs include those without symptoms. To supplement conventional diagnostic testing, which is constrained by capacity, cost, and its one-off nature, innovative tactics for public health surveillance, such as crowdsourcing digital wearable data and monitoring sewage sludge, might be helpful.

1,813 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
01 Jan 2021
TL;DR: Although SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding in respiratory and stool samples can be prolonged, duration of viable virus is relatively short-lived.
Abstract: Summary Background Viral load kinetics and duration of viral shedding are important determinants for disease transmission. We aimed to characterise viral load dynamics, duration of viral RNA shedding, and viable virus shedding of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in various body fluids, and to compare SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) viral dynamics. Methods In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched databases, including MEDLINE, Embase, Europe PubMed Central, medRxiv, and bioRxiv, and the grey literature, for research articles published between Jan 1, 2003, and June 6, 2020. We included case series (with five or more participants), cohort studies, and randomised controlled trials that reported SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, or MERS-CoV infection, and reported viral load kinetics, duration of viral shedding, or viable virus. Two authors independently extracted data from published studies, or contacted authors to request data, and assessed study quality and risk of bias using the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist tools. We calculated the mean duration of viral shedding and 95% CIs for every study included and applied the random-effects model to estimate a pooled effect size. We used a weighted meta-regression with an unrestricted maximum likelihood model to assess the effect of potential moderators on the pooled effect size. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42020181914. Findings 79 studies (5340 individuals) on SARS-CoV-2, eight studies (1858 individuals) on SARS-CoV, and 11 studies (799 individuals) on MERS-CoV were included. Mean duration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding was 17·0 days (95% CI 15·5–18·6; 43 studies, 3229 individuals) in upper respiratory tract, 14·6 days (9·3–20·0; seven studies, 260 individuals) in lower respiratory tract, 17·2 days (14·4–20·1; 13 studies, 586 individuals) in stool, and 16·6 days (3·6–29·7; two studies, 108 individuals) in serum samples. Maximum shedding duration was 83 days in the upper respiratory tract, 59 days in the lower respiratory tract, 126 days in stools, and 60 days in serum. Pooled mean SARS-CoV-2 shedding duration was positively associated with age (slope 0·304 [95% CI 0·115–0·493]; p=0·0016). No study detected live virus beyond day 9 of illness, despite persistently high viral loads, which were inferred from cycle threshold values. SARS-CoV-2 viral load in the upper respiratory tract appeared to peak in the first week of illness, whereas that of SARS-CoV peaked at days 10–14 and that of MERS-CoV peaked at days 7–10. Interpretation Although SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding in respiratory and stool samples can be prolonged, duration of viable virus is relatively short-lived. SARS-CoV-2 titres in the upper respiratory tract peak in the first week of illness. Early case finding and isolation, and public education on the spectrum of illness and period of infectiousness are key to the effective containment of SARS-CoV-2. Funding None.

1,061 citations

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The present study has important implications when considering widespread serological testing and antibody protection against reinfection with SARS-CoV-2, and may suggest that vaccine boosters are required to provide long-lasting protection.
Abstract: Antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 can be detected in most infected individuals 10-15 d after the onset of COVID-19 symptoms. However, due to the recent emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in the human population, it is not known how long antibody responses will be maintained or whether they will provide protection from reinfection. Using sequential serum samples collected up to 94 d post onset of symptoms (POS) from 65 individuals with real-time quantitative PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, we show seroconversion (immunoglobulin (Ig)M, IgA, IgG) in >95% of cases and neutralizing antibody responses when sampled beyond 8 d POS. We show that the kinetics of the neutralizing antibody response is typical of an acute viral infection, with declining neutralizing antibody titres observed after an initial peak, and that the magnitude of this peak is dependent on disease severity. Although some individuals with high peak infective dose (ID50 > 10,000) maintained neutralizing antibody titres >1,000 at >60 d POS, some with lower peak ID50 had neutralizing antibody titres approaching baseline within the follow-up period. A similar decline in neutralizing antibody titres was observed in a cohort of 31 seropositive healthcare workers. The present study has important implications when considering widespread serological testing and antibody protection against reinfection with SARS-CoV-2, and may suggest that vaccine boosters are required to provide long-lasting protection.

1,052 citations

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