Demographic perspectives on the rise of longevity.
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In this article, the authors reviewed some key strands of demographic research on past trends in human longevity and explored possible future trends in life expectancy at birth Demographic data on age-specific mortality were used to estimate life expectancy, and validated data on exceptional life spans are used to study the maximum length of life In the countries doing best each year, life expectancy started to increase around 1840 at a pace of almost 25 y per decade.Abstract:
This article reviews some key strands of demographic research on past trends in human longevity and explores possible future trends in life expectancy at birth Demographic data on age-specific mortality are used to estimate life expectancy, and validated data on exceptional life spans are used to study the maximum length of life In the countries doing best each year, life expectancy started to increase around 1840 at a pace of almost 25 y per decade This trend has continued until the present Contrary to classical evolutionary theories of senescence and contrary to the predictions of many experts, the frontier of survival is advancing to higher ages Furthermore, individual life spans are becoming more equal, reducing inequalities, with octogenarians and nonagenarians accounting for most deaths in countries with the highest life expectancy If the current pace of progress in life expectancy continues, most children born this millennium will celebrate their 100th birthday Considerable uncertainty, however, clouds forecasts: Life expectancy and maximum life span might increase very little if at all, or longevity might rise much faster than in the past Substantial progress has been made over the past three decades in deepening understanding of how long humans have lived and how long they might live The social, economic, health, cultural, and political consequences of further increases in longevity are so significant that the development of more powerful methods of forecasting is a priorityread more
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Global, regional, and national burden of diseases and injuries for adults 70 years and older: systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study
Stefanos Tyrovolas,Andy Stergachis,Varsha Sarah Krish,Angela Y Chang,Vegard Skirbekk,Joseph L Dieleman,Somnath Chatterji,Foad Abd-Allah,Mohammad Abdollahi,Aidin Abedi,Hassan Abolhassani,Akine Eshete Abosetugn,Lucas Guimarães Abreu,Michael R.M. Abrigo,Abdulaziz Khalid Abu Haimed,Maryam Adabi,Oladimeji Adebayo,Isaac Akinkunmi Adedeji,Victor Adekanmbi,Olatunji O. Adetokunboh,Davoud Adham,Shailesh Advani,Mohsen Afarideh,Gina Agarwal,M Aghaali,Seyed Mohammad Kazem Aghamir,Anurag Agrawal,Sohail Ahmad,Tauseef Ahmad,Keivan Ahmadi,Mehdi Ahmadi,Muktar Beshir Ahmed,Rufus Akinyemi,Ziyad Al-Aly,Khurshid Alam,Fahad Mashhour Alanezi,Turki Alanzi,Jacqueline Elizabeth Alcalde-Rabanal,Biresaw Wassihun Alemu,Samar Al-Hajj,Robert Kaba Alhassan,Saqib Ali,Gianfranco Alicandro,Mehran Alijanzadeh,Vahid Alipour,Syed Mohamed Aljunid,François Alla,Majid A Almadi,Amir Almasi-Hashiani,Abdulaziz M. Almulhim,Rajaa Al-Raddadi,Arya Aminorroaya,Fatemeh Amiri,Arianna Maever L. Amit,Dickson A. Amugsi,Etsay Woldu Anbesu,Robert Ancuceanu,Deanna Anderlini,Tudorel Andrei,Catalina Liliana Andrei,Sofia Androudi,Mina Anjomshoa,Fereshteh Ansari,Alireza Ansari-Moghaddam,Carl Abelardo T. Antonio,Benny Antony,Davood Anvari,Razique Anwer,Jalal Arabloo,Morteza Arab-Zozani,Johan Ärnlöv,Malke Asaad,Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi,Ali A. Asadi-Pooya,Maha Atout,Marcel Ausloos,Floriane Ausloos,Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla,Getinet Ayano,Martin Amogre Ayanore,Yared Asmare Aynalem,Samad Azari,Zelalem Nigussie Azene,Ebrahim Babaee,Ashish Badiye,Arun Balachandran,Maciej Banach,Srikanta Banerjee,Palash Chandra Banik,Suzanne Barker-Collo,Sanjay Basu,Bernhard T. Baune,Mohsen Bayati,Bayisa Abdissa Baye,Neeraj Bedi,Ettore Beghi,Yannick Béjot,Michelle L. Bell,Isabela M. 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Singh,Pushpendra Singh,Ambrish Singh,Dhirendra N Sinha,Soren Skou,Valentin Yurievich Skryabin,Emma Smith,Mohammad Reza Sobhiyeh,Amin Soheili,Shahin Soltani,Joan B. Soriano,Ireneous N. Soyiri,Emma Elizabeth Spurlock,Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy,Dan J. Stein,Leo Stockfelt,Mark A. Stokes,Saverio Stranges,Jacob L. Stubbs,Agus Sudaryanto,Mu'awiyyah Babale Sufiyan,Hafiz Ansar Rasul Suleria,Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader,Gerhard Sulo,Rafael Tabarés-Seisdedos,Takahiro Tabuchi,Biruk Wogayehu Taddele,Amir Hosein Taherkhani,Masih Tajdini,Md. Ismail Tareque,Yonas Getaye Tefera,Mohamad-Hani Temsah,Zemenu Tadesse Tessema,Kavumpurathu Raman Thankappan,Rekha Thapar,Amanda G. Thrift,Mariya Vladimirovna Titova,Hamid Reza Tohidinik,Marcello Tonelli,Mathilde Touvier,Marcos Roberto Tovani-Palone,Bach Xuan Tran,Ravensara S. Travillian,Alexander C. Tsai,Aristidis Tsatsakis,Riaz Uddin,Saif Ullah,Chukwuma David Umeokonkwo,Bhaskaran Unnikrishnan,Marco Vacante,Pascual R. Valdez,Aaron van Donkelaar,Santosh Varughese,Tommi Vasankari,Yasser Vasseghian,Yousef Veisani,Narayanaswamy Venketasubramanian,Francesco Saverio Violante,Vasily Vlassov,Yasir Waheed,Yanzhong Wang,Fang Wang,Yuan-Pang Wang,Jingkai Wei,Robert G. Weintraub,Jordan Weiss,Ronny Westerman,Taweewat Wiangkham,Charles D.A. Wolfe,Aimin Wu,Seyed Hossein Yahyazadeh Jabbari,Kazumasa Yamagishi,Yuichiro Yano,Sanni Yaya,Vahid Yazdi-Feyzabadi,Yordanos Gizachew Yeshitila,Mohammed Zewdu Yimmer,Paul S. F. Yip,Naohiro Yonemoto,Seok Jun Yoon,Mustafa Z. Younis,Zabihollah Yousefi,Taraneh Yousefinezhadi,Chuanhua Yu,Yong Yu,Hasan Yusefzadeh,Syed Saoud Zaidi,Sojib Bin Zaman,Maryam Zamanian,Hadi Zarafshan,Mikhail Sergeevich Zastrozhin,Zhi-Jiang Zhang,Jianrong Zhang,Yunquan Zhang,Xiu-Ju Zhao,Cong Zhu,Georgios A. Kotsakis,Nicholas J Kassebaum +686 more
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