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Do financial professionals behave according to prospect theory? An experimental study

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TLDR
In this article, the authors investigated whether and to what extent this support generalizes to more naturally occurring circumstances and found that financial professionals behave according to prospect theory and violate expected utility maximization.
Abstract
Prospect theory is increasingly used to explain deviations from the traditional paradigm of rational agents. Empirical support for prospect theory comes mainly from laboratory experiments using student samples. It is obviously important to know whether and to what extent this support generalizes to more naturally occurring circumstances. This article explores this question and measures prospect theory for a sample of private bankers and fund managers. We obtained clear support for prospect theory. Our financial professionals behaved according to prospect theory and violated expected utility maximization. They were risk averse for gains and risk seeking for losses and their utility was concave for gains and (slightly) convex for losses. They were also averse to losses, but less so than commonly observed in laboratory studies and assumed in behavioral finance. A substantial minority focused on gains and largely ignored losses, behavior reminiscent of what caused the current financial crisis.

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Proceedings Article

Modeling agent's preferences based on prospect theory

TL;DR: This work proposes an agent model based on an extension of PT called Smooth Prospect Theory (SPT) and used this model to create agents to populate an artificial market with SPT and EUT agents, which provided more accurate predictions in crisis periods than E UT agents.
Dissertation

Foundations of equity market leverage effects

TL;DR: The Leverage Effect refers to the observed negative correlation between an asset's return and its volatility as discussed by the authors, and it is defined as "the tendency of an asset to have a negative correlation with its volatility".
Journal ArticleDOI

On discrimination in health insurance

TL;DR: It is argued that profiling is generally unjust in health insurance, going beyond the existing literature in considering a wide range of parameters, be they genetic, non-genetic, or even non-medical such as age or place of living.
Journal ArticleDOI

Higher order risk attitudes of financial experts

TL;DR: The authors measured risk aversion, prudence and temperance in a sample of 173 financial experts and found that the experts were more risk-seeking and intemperate than individuals in the other two groups.
Journal ArticleDOI

Risk sensitivity and theory of mind in human coordination.

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors resort to cumulative prospect theory and level-k recursions to show how biases towards optimism and the capacity of planning ahead significantly increase coordinated, cooperative action among self-regarding individuals.
References
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Book ChapterDOI

Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a critique of expected utility theory as a descriptive model of decision making under risk, and develop an alternative model, called prospect theory, in which value is assigned to gains and losses rather than to final assets and in which probabilities are replaced by decision weights.
Journal ArticleDOI

Advances in prospect theory: cumulative representation of uncertainty

TL;DR: Cumulative prospect theory as discussed by the authors applies to uncertain as well as to risky prospects with any number of outcomes, and it allows different weighting functions for gains and for losses, and two principles, diminishing sensitivity and loss aversion, are invoked to explain the characteristic curvature of the value function and the weighting function.
Journal ArticleDOI

Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects

TL;DR: In this article, a menu of paired lottery choices is structured so that the crossover point to the high-risk lottery can be used to infer the degree of risk aversion, and a hybrid utility function with increasing relative and decreasing absolute risk aversion nicely replicates the data patterns over this range of payoffs from several dollars to several hundred dollars.
ReportDOI

Myopic loss aversion and the equity premium puzzle

TL;DR: Mehra and Prescott as mentioned in this paper proposed a new explanation based on two behavioral concepts: investors are assumed to be "loss averse" meaning that they are distinctly more sensitive to losses than to gains.
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