Dynamic linkages between foreign direct investment and domestic investment: evidence from emerging market economies
30 Jul 2014-International Journal of Economics and Business Research (Inderscience Publishers Ltd)-Vol. 8, Iss: 1, pp 1-20
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the long-run relationship between FDI inflows, FDI outflows and gross fixed capital formation, in a dynamic panel of 22 Asian, Latin American and other emerging market economies.
Abstract: This paper examines the long-run relationship between FDI inflows, FDI outflows and gross fixed capital formation, in a dynamic panel of 22 Asian, Latin American and other emerging market economies. Employing panel cointegration and causality tests, we find a mixed picture of these relationships across the three sub-samples. It is observed that a positive and significant long-run relationship exists between FDI inflows and fixed capital formation for Asian EMEs, suggesting a crowd-in effect. This finding is consistent with the complementary hypothesis of neoclassical macroeconomic growth model in which it is often thought that FDI inflows complement the domestic investment. The results for the relationship between FDI outflows and fixed capital formation indicate a significant negative long-run relationship for Asian and other EMEs. In addition, the long-run causality is observed to be bidirectional for both the samples. These results confirm the general, accepted view that FDI outflows reduce domestic investment.
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TL;DR: In this paper, a neutral relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic investment in China was found, and when considering the entry mode chosen by foreign investors, they found that whilst equity joint venture (EJV) crowds in domestic investment, wholly foreign-funded enterprise (WFFE) crowds it out.
45 citations
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined how access to finance and financial development affects firms' ability to enter export markets in Asia-pacific countries, with particular reference to Asia-Pacific countries.
Abstract: With particular reference to Asia–Pacific countries, the present study examines how access to finance and financial development affects firms’ ability to enter export markets. Using firm†level data from the World Bank Enterprises Survey, we found that access to finance plays a significant role in improving firms’ ability to export. In addition, development of the financial sector fosters export market entry. Among the financial development indicators, reach of the banking sector variable is most prominent. The present study suggests that improvements in access to finance and financial development (increases in the reach of the banking sector) enable firms operating away from capital or major cities to enter export markets easily. The present study supports policy intervention to strengthen access to the financial sector, which would encourage firms to export, and to facilitate export market entry for remotely located firms.
21 citations
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TL;DR: In this paper, the effect of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) on domestic investments is investigated at a disaggregated level as a function of the way industries are organized.
Abstract: Previous research has been inconclusive as regards the effect of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) on domestic investments. In this article we show that this inconclusiveness can be explained at a disaggregated level as a function of the way industries are organized. Based on a simple theoretical framework including monitoring and trade costs, we argue that a complementary relationship can be expected to prevail in vertically integrated industries, whereas a substitutionary relationship can be expected in horizontally organized production. The empirical analysis confirms a significant difference between the two categories of industry as regards the impact of outward FDI on domestic investment. The results may thus have profound policy implications.
10 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors extended Dunning's investment development path theory to assess the long-run relationship among foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow, outflow and domestic investment (DI) for 32 emerging market economies (EMEs) based on 17 years data from 1996 to 2012.
Abstract: This research extends Dunning’s investment development path theory to assess the long-run relationship among foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow, outflow and domestic investment (DI) for 32 emerging market economies (EMEs) based on 17 years data from 1996 to 2012. Breitung Panel unit root test has been used to identify the presence of unit root in the panel data. Since the FDI flows and domestic investments were found to be non-stationary at they were first differenced for converting to stationary variables. Based on Pedroni’s panel cointegration test a long-run relationship among DI, FDI inflow, and FDI outflow was observed indicating that the variables were integrated of order one. Further panel VECM was carried out to assess the causality and it was observed that a joint long-run causality was present both from FDI inflow and outflow towards DI. This essentially indicates that the FDI flows to EMEs will augment domestic capital formation. Therefore policy makers from the EMEs instead of focusing on standalone increase in FDI inflow should focus on both FDI inflow and outflow. However, in the short-run, DI was caused only by FDI inflow, and FDI outflow did not have any causal impact on DI. Further applying fully modified OLS (FMOLS) and dynamic OLS (DOLS) it was observed that FDI inflow and FDI outflow have crowding-in effects on DI. Hence, it can be concluded that for EMEs FDI outflow is also equally important in addition to FDI inflow to augment DI. The impact of 2008 crisis was also examined in the light of FDI outflows and inflows from EMEs. Results based on FMOLS and DOLS indicate that 2008 crisis negatively affected the FDI inflow but the effect on outflows was not statistically significant. These results advocate for a protection mechanism from the financial crises for the EMEs as the FDI inflow declined during the period. Further incentivizing the domestic firms investing abroad for technologies and synergies as FDI outflow also enhances growth.
6 citations
Cites background or result from "Dynamic linkages between foreign di..."
...Studies have evidenced existence of strong linkages (Bosworth and Collins, 1999 and Jain et al., 2014), followed by studies that have indicated little association (Borensztein et al., 1998; Alfaro et al., 2009) few studies reporting negative effects (Lipsey, 2000; Apergis et al., 2006)....
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...While studies (Feldstein, 1995; Jain et al., 2014) have indicated negative relationship, Desai et al. (2005) reported that FDI outflow complements DI....
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...Literature on the long-run causal relationship between FDI flows (outflow and inflow) and domestic capital formation is scarce with studies indicating limited effect to bidirectional causality (Jain et al., 2014)....
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...This result goes against the commonly accepted view that FDI outflow displaces the domestic investment (Jain et al., 2014)....
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References
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TL;DR: The relationship between co-integration and error correction models, first suggested in Granger (1981), is here extended and used to develop estimation procedures, tests, and empirical examples.
Abstract: The relationship between co-integration and error correction models, first suggested in Granger (1981), is here extended and used to develop estimation procedures, tests, and empirical examples. If each element of a vector of time series x first achieves stationarity after differencing, but a linear combination a'x is already stationary, the time series x are said to be co-integrated with co-integrating vector a. There may be several such co-integrating vectors so that a becomes a matrix. Interpreting a'x,= 0 as a long run equilibrium, co-integration implies that deviations from equilibrium are stationary, with finite variance, even though the series themselves are nonstationary and have infinite variance. The paper presents a representation theorem based on Granger (1983), which connects the moving average, autoregressive, and error correction representations for co-integrated systems. A vector autoregression in differenced variables is incompatible with these representations. Estimation of these models is discussed and a simple but asymptotically efficient two-step estimator is proposed. Testing for co-integration combines the problems of unit root tests and tests with parameters unidentified under the null. Seven statistics are formulated and analyzed. The critical values of these statistics are calculated based on a Monte Carlo simulation. Using these critical values, the power properties of the tests are examined and one test procedure is recommended for application. In a series of examples it is found that consumption and income are co-integrated, wages and prices are not, short and long interest rates are, and nominal GNP is co-integrated with M2, but not M1, M3, or aggregate liquid assets.
27,170 citations
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TL;DR: In this article, a unit root test for dynamic heterogeneous panels based on the mean of individual unit root statistics is proposed, which converges in probability to a standard normal variate sequentially with T (the time series dimension) →∞, followed by N (the cross sectional dimension)→∞.
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