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Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Günter Coenen,Christopher J. Erceg,Charles Freedman,Charles Freedman,Davide Furceri,Davide Furceri,Michael Kumhof,René Lalonde,Douglas Laxton,Jesper Lindé,Annabelle Mourougane,Dirk Muir,Susanna Mursula,Carlos de Resende,John M. Roberts,Werner Roeger,Stephen Snudden,Stephen Snudden,Mathias Trabandt,Mathias Trabandt,Jan in 't Veld +20 more
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TLDR
The authors assesses the effectiveness of temporary fiscal stimulus using seven structural models used heavily by policymaking institutions, and conclude that temporary stimulus is most effective if it has some persistence and if monetary policy accommodates it.Abstract:
The paper assesses, using seven structural models used heavily by policymaking institutions, the effectiveness of temporary fiscal stimulus. Models can, more easily than empirical studies, account for differences between fiscal instruments, for differences between structural characteristics of the economy, and for monetary-fiscal policy interactions. Findings are: (i) There is substantial agreement across models on the sizes of fiscal multipliers. (ii) The sizes of spending and targeted transfers multipliers are large. (iii) Fiscal policy is most effective if it has some persistence and if monetary policy accommodates it. (iv) The perception of permanent fiscal stimulus leads to significantly lower initial multipliers.read more
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References
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