Proceedings Article•
EfficientL 1 regularized logistic regression
16 Jul 2006-pp 401-408
TL;DR: Theoretical results show that the proposed efficient algorithm for L1 regularized logistic regression is guaranteed to converge to the global optimum, and experiments show that it significantly outperforms standard algorithms for solving convex optimization problems.
Abstract: L1 regularized logistic regression is now a workhorse of machine learning: it is widely used for many classification problems, particularly ones with many features. L1 regularized logistic regression requires solving a convex optimization problem. However, standard algorithms for solving convex optimization problems do not scale well enough to handle the large datasets encountered in many practical settings. In this paper, we propose an efficient algorithm for L1 regularized logistic regression. Our algorithm iteratively approximates the objective function by a quadratic approximation at the current point, while maintaining the L1 constraint. In each iteration, it uses the efficient LARS (Least Angle Regression) algorithm to solve the resulting L1 constrained quadratic optimization problem. Our theoretical results show that our algorithm is guaranteed to converge to the global optimum. Our experiments show that our algorithm significantly outperforms standard algorithms for solving convex optimization problems. Moreover, our algorithm outperforms four previously published algorithms that were specifically designed to solve the L1 regularized logistic regression problem.
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TL;DR: A systematic study on developing different types of machine learning models, including both deep and non-deep ones, for predicting the readmission risk of COPD patients on a real world database containing the medical claims of 111,992 patients from the Geisinger Health System from January 2004 to September 2015.
Abstract: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a prevalent chronic pulmonary condition that affects hundreds of millions of people all over the world. Many COPD patients got readmitted to hospital within 30 days after discharge due to various reasons. Such readmission can usually be avoided if additional attention is paid to patients with high readmission risk and appropriate actions are taken. This makes early prediction of the hospital readmission risk an important problem. The goal of this paper is to conduct a systematic study on developing different types of machine learning models, including both deep and non-deep ones, for predicting the readmission risk of COPD patients. We evaluate those different approaches on a real world database containing the medical claims of 111,992 patients from the Geisinger Health System from January 2004 to September 2015. The patient features we build the machine learning models upon include both knowledge-driven ones, which are the features extracted according to clinical knowledge potentially related to COPD readmission, and data-driven features, which are extracted from the patient data themselves. Our analysis showed that the prediction performance in terms of Area Under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) Curve (AUC) can be improved from around 0.60 using knowledge-driven features, to 0.653 by combining both knowledge-driven and data-driven features, based on the one-year claims history before discharge. Moreover, we also demonstrate that the complex deep learning models in this case cannot really improve the prediction performance, with the best AUC around 0.65.
121 citations
Proceedings Article•
01 Jan 2013TL;DR: In this article, the authors extend the SPARFA framework to enable the analysis of graded responses on an ordinal scale (partial credit) rather than a binary scale (correct/incorrect), and exploit tags/labels for questions that partially describe the question-concept associations.
Abstract: Machine learning offers novel ways and means to design personalized learning systems wherein each student’s educational experience is customized in real time depending on their background, learning goals, and performance to date. SPARse Factor Analysis (SPARFA) is a novel framework for machine learning-based learning analytics, which estimates a learner’s knowledge of the concepts underlying a domain, and content analytics, which estimates the relationships among a collection of questions and those concepts. SPARFA jointly learns the associations among the questions and the concepts, learner concept knowledge profiles, and the underlying question difficulties, solely based on the correct/incorrect graded responses of a population of learners to a collection of questions. In this paper, we extend the SPARFA framework significantly to enable: (i) the analysis of graded responses on an ordinal scale (partial credit) rather than a binary scale (correct/incorrect); (ii) the exploitation of tags/labels for questions that partially describe the question–concept associations. The resulting Ordinal SPARFA-Tag framework greatly enhances the interpretability of the estimated concepts. We demonstrate using real educational data that Ordinal SPARFA-Tag outperforms both SPARFA and existing collaborative filtering techniques in predicting missing learner responses.
110 citations
Proceedings Article•
11 Jul 2009TL;DR: This work presents an algorithm for solving the L1- regularized optimization problem defined by this model, and shows that it is especially efficient when the optimal solution is sparse, and results in significantly improved self-taught learning performance.
Abstract: Sparse coding is an unsupervised learning algorithm for finding concise, slightly higher-level representations of inputs, and has been successfully applied to self-taught learning, where the goal is to use unlabeled data to help on a supervised learning task, even if the unlabeled data cannot be associated with the labels of the supervised task [Raina et al, 2007] However, sparse coding uses a Gaussian noise model and a quadratic loss function, and thus performs poorly if applied to binary valued, integer valued, or other non-Gaussian data, such as text Drawing on ideas from generalized linear models (GLMs), we present a generalization of sparse coding to learning with data drawn from any exponential family distribution (such as Bernoulli, Poisson, etc) This gives a method that we argue is much better suited to model other data types than Gaussian We present an algorithm for solving the L1- regularized optimization problem defined by this model, and show that it is especially efficient when the optimal solution is sparse We also show that the new model results in significantly improved self-taught learning performance when applied to text classification and to a robotic perception task
108 citations
TL;DR: In this article, the authors developed a new model and algorithms for machine learning-based learning analytics which estimate a learner's knowledge of the concepts underlying a domain, and content analytics, which estimate the relationships among a collection of questions and those concepts.
Abstract: We develop a new model and algorithms for machine learning-based learning analytics, which estimate a learner's knowledge of the concepts underlying a domain, and content analytics, which estimate the relationships among a collection of questions and those concepts. Our model represents the probability that a learner provides the correct response to a question in terms of three factors: their understanding of a set of underlying concepts, the concepts involved in each question, and each question's intrinsic difficulty. We estimate these factors given the graded responses to a collection of questions. The underlying estimation problem is ill-posed in general, especially when only a subset of the questions are answered. The key observation that enables a well-posed solution is the fact that typical educational domains of interest involve only a small number of key concepts. Leveraging this observation, we develop both a bi-convex maximum-likelihood-based solution and a Bayesian solution to the resulting SPARse Factor Analysis (SPARFA) problem. We also incorporate user-defined tags on questions to facilitate the interpretability of the estimated factors. Experiments with synthetic and real-world data demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. Finally, we make a connection between SPARFA and noisy, binary-valued (1-bit) dictionary learning that is of independent interest.
107 citations
TL;DR: A structure-revealing data fusion model that can jointly analyze heterogeneous, incomplete data sets with shared and unshared components is proposed and its promising performance as well as potential limitations on both simulated and real data are demonstrated.
Abstract: Analysis of data from multiple sources has the potential to enhance knowledge discovery by capturing underlying structures, which are, otherwise, difficult to extract. Fusing data from multiple sources has already proved useful in many applications in social network analysis, signal processing and bioinformatics. However, data fusion is challenging since data from multiple sources are often (i) heterogeneous (i.e., in the form of higher-order tensors and matrices), (ii) incomplete, and (iii) have both shared and unshared components. In order to address these challenges, in this paper, we introduce a novel unsupervised data fusion model based on joint factorization of matrices and higher-order tensors. While the traditional formulation of coupled matrix and tensor factorizations modeling only shared factors fails to capture the underlying structures in the presence of both shared and unshared factors, the proposed data fusion model has the potential to automatically reveal shared and unshared components through modeling constraints. Using numerical experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in terms of identifying shared and unshared components. Furthermore, we measure a set of mixtures with known chemical composition using both LC-MS (Liquid Chromatography - Mass Spectrometry) and NMR (Nuclear Magnetic Resonance) and demonstrate that the structure-revealing data fusion model can (i) successfully capture the chemicals in the mixtures and extract the relative concentrations of the chemicals accurately, (ii) provide promising results in terms of identifying shared and unshared chemicals, and (iii) reveal the relevant patterns in LC-MS by coupling with the diffusion NMR data. We have proposed a structure-revealing data fusion model that can jointly analyze heterogeneous, incomplete data sets with shared and unshared components and demonstrated its promising performance as well as potential limitations on both simulated and real data.
102 citations
Additional excerpts
..., for sufficiently small > 0, √ x(2)i + = |xi| [54]....
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References
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TL;DR: A new method for estimation in linear models called the lasso, which minimizes the residual sum of squares subject to the sum of the absolute value of the coefficients being less than a constant, is proposed.
Abstract: SUMMARY We propose a new method for estimation in linear models. The 'lasso' minimizes the residual sum of squares subject to the sum of the absolute value of the coefficients being less than a constant. Because of the nature of this constraint it tends to produce some coefficients that are exactly 0 and hence gives interpretable models. Our simulation studies suggest that the lasso enjoys some of the favourable properties of both subset selection and ridge regression. It produces interpretable models like subset selection and exhibits the stability of ridge regression. There is also an interesting relationship with recent work in adaptive function estimation by Donoho and Johnstone. The lasso idea is quite general and can be applied in a variety of statistical models: extensions to generalized regression models and tree-based models are briefly described.
40,785 citations
"EfficientL 1 regularized logistic r..." refers methods in this paper
...(Tibshirani 1996) Several algorithms have been developed to solve L1 constrained least squares problems....
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...See, Tibshirani (1996) for details.)...
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...(Tibshirani 1996) Several algorithms have been developed to solve L1 constrained least squares problems....
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Book•
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TL;DR: In this article, the focus is on recognizing convex optimization problems and then finding the most appropriate technique for solving them, and a comprehensive introduction to the subject is given. But the focus of this book is not on the optimization problem itself, but on the problem of finding the appropriate technique to solve it.
Abstract: Convex optimization problems arise frequently in many different fields. A comprehensive introduction to the subject, this book shows in detail how such problems can be solved numerically with great efficiency. The focus is on recognizing convex optimization problems and then finding the most appropriate technique for solving them. The text contains many worked examples and homework exercises and will appeal to students, researchers and practitioners in fields such as engineering, computer science, mathematics, statistics, finance, and economics.
33,341 citations
Book•
01 Jan 1983TL;DR: In this paper, a generalization of the analysis of variance is given for these models using log- likelihoods, illustrated by examples relating to four distributions; the Normal, Binomial (probit analysis, etc.), Poisson (contingency tables), and gamma (variance components).
Abstract: The technique of iterative weighted linear regression can be used to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters with observations distributed according to some exponential family and systematic effects that can be made linear by a suitable transformation. A generalization of the analysis of variance is given for these models using log- likelihoods. These generalized linear models are illustrated by examples relating to four distributions; the Normal, Binomial (probit analysis, etc.), Poisson (contingency tables) and gamma (variance components).
23,215 citations
01 Jan 1998
12,940 citations
"EfficientL 1 regularized logistic r..." refers methods in this paper
...We tested each algorithm’s performance on 12 different datasets, consisting of 9 UCI datasets (Newman et al. 1998), one artificial dataset called Madelon from the NIPS 2003 workshop on feature extraction,3 and two gene expression datasets (Microarray 1 and 2).4 Table 2 gives details on the number…...
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...We tested each algorithm’s performance on 12 different real datasets, consisting of 9 UCI datasets (Newman et al. 1998) and 3 gene expression datasets (Microarray 1, 2 and 3) 3....
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TL;DR: This is the rst book on generalized linear models written by authors not mostly associated with the biological sciences, and it is thoroughly enjoyable to read.
Abstract: This is the rst book on generalized linear models written by authors not mostly associated with the biological sciences. Subtitled “With Applications in Engineering and the Sciences,” this book’s authors all specialize primarily in engineering statistics. The rst author has produced several recent editions of Walpole, Myers, and Myers (1998), the last reported by Ziegel (1999). The second author has had several editions of Montgomery and Runger (1999), recently reported by Ziegel (2002). All of the authors are renowned experts in modeling. The rst two authors collaborated on a seminal volume in applied modeling (Myers and Montgomery 2002), which had its recent revised edition reported by Ziegel (2002). The last two authors collaborated on the most recent edition of a book on regression analysis (Montgomery, Peck, and Vining (2001), reported by Gray (2002), and the rst author has had multiple editions of his own regression analysis book (Myers 1990), the latest of which was reported by Ziegel (1991). A comparable book with similar objectives and a more speci c focus on logistic regression, Hosmer and Lemeshow (2000), reported by Conklin (2002), presumed a background in regression analysis and began with generalized linear models. The Preface here (p. xi) indicates an identical requirement but nonetheless begins with 100 pages of material on linear and nonlinear regression. Most of this will probably be a review for the readers of the book. Chapter 2, “Linear Regression Model,” begins with 50 pages of familiar material on estimation, inference, and diagnostic checking for multiple regression. The approach is very traditional, including the use of formal hypothesis tests. In industrial settings, use of p values as part of a risk-weighted decision is generally more appropriate. The pedagologic approach includes formulas and demonstrations for computations, although computing by Minitab is eventually illustrated. Less-familiar material on maximum likelihood estimation, scaled residuals, and weighted least squares provides more speci c background for subsequent estimation methods for generalized linear models. This review is not meant to be disparaging. The authors have packed a wealth of useful nuggets for any practitioner in this chapter. It is thoroughly enjoyable to read. Chapter 3, “Nonlinear Regression Models,” is arguably less of a review, because regression analysis courses often give short shrift to nonlinear models. The chapter begins with a great example on the pitfalls of linearizing a nonlinear model for parameter estimation. It continues with the effective balancing of explicit statements concerning the theoretical basis for computations versus the application and demonstration of their use. The details of maximum likelihood estimation are again provided, and weighted and generalized regression estimation are discussed. Chapter 4 is titled “Logistic and Poisson Regression Models.” Logistic regression provides the basic model for generalized linear models. The prior development for weighted regression is used to motivate maximum likelihood estimation for the parameters in the logistic model. The algebraic details are provided. As in the development for linear models, some of the details are pushed into an appendix. In addition to connecting to the foregoing material on regression on several occasions, the authors link their development forward to their following chapter on the entire family of generalized linear models. They discuss score functions, the variance-covariance matrix, Wald inference, likelihood inference, deviance, and overdispersion. Careful explanations are given for the values provided in standard computer software, here PROC LOGISTIC in SAS. The value in having the book begin with familiar regression concepts is clearly realized when the analogies are drawn between overdispersion and nonhomogenous variance, or analysis of deviance and analysis of variance. The authors rely on the similarity of Poisson regression methods to logistic regression methods and mostly present illustrations for Poisson regression. These use PROC GENMOD in SAS. The book does not give any of the SAS code that produces the results. Two of the examples illustrate designed experiments and modeling. They include discussion of subset selection and adjustment for overdispersion. The mathematic level of the presentation is elevated in Chapter 5, “The Family of Generalized Linear Models.” First, the authors unify the two preceding chapters under the exponential distribution. The material on the formal structure for generalized linear models (GLMs), likelihood equations, quasilikelihood, the gamma distribution family, and power functions as links is some of the most advanced material in the book. Most of the computational details are relegated to appendixes. A discussion of residuals returns one to a more practical perspective, and two long examples on gamma distribution applications provide excellent guidance on how to put this material into practice. One example is a contrast to the use of linear regression with a log transformation of the response, and the other is a comparison to the use of a different link function in the previous chapter. Chapter 6 considers generalized estimating equations (GEEs) for longitudinal and analogous studies. The rst half of the chapter presents the methodology, and the second half demonstrates its application through ve different examples. The basis for the general situation is rst established using the case with a normal distribution for the response and an identity link. The importance of the correlation structure is explained, the iterative estimation procedure is shown, and estimation for the scale parameters and the standard errors of the coef cients is discussed. The procedures are then generalized for the exponential family of distributions and quasi-likelihood estimation. Two of the examples are standard repeated-measures illustrations from biostatistical applications, but the last three illustrations are all interesting reworkings of industrial applications. The GEE computations in PROC GENMOD are applied to account for correlations that occur with multiple measurements on the subjects or restrictions to randomizations. The examples show that accounting for correlation structure can result in different conclusions. Chapter 7, “Further Advances and Applications in GLM,” discusses several additional topics. These are experimental designs for GLMs, asymptotic results, analysis of screening experiments, data transformation, modeling for both a process mean and variance, and generalized additive models. The material on experimental designs is more discursive than prescriptive and as a result is also somewhat theoretical. Similar comments apply for the discussion on the quality of the asymptotic results, which wallows a little too much in reports on various simulation studies. The examples on screening and data transformations experiments are again reworkings of analyses of familiar industrial examples and another obvious motivation for the enthusiasm that the authors have developed for using the GLM toolkit. One can hope that subsequent editions will similarly contain new examples that will have caused the authors to expand the material on generalized additive models and other topics in this chapter. Designating myself to review a book that I know I will love to read is one of the rewards of being editor. I read both of the editions of McCullagh and Nelder (1989), which was reviewed by Schuenemeyer (1992). That book was not fun to read. The obvious enthusiasm of Myers, Montgomery, and Vining and their reliance on their many examples as a major focus of their pedagogy make Generalized Linear Models a joy to read. Every statistician working in any area of applied science should buy it and experience the excitement of these new approaches to familiar activities.
10,520 citations
Additional excerpts
...(Nelder & Wedderbum 1972; McCullagh & Nelder 1989)...
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...(Nelder & Wedderbum 1972; McCullagh & Nelder 1989 )...
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