Extinction risk from climate change
Chris D. Thomas,Alison Cameron,Rhys E. Green,Rhys E. Green,Michel Bakkenes,Linda J. Beaumont,Yvonne C. Collingham,Barend F.N. Erasmus,Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira,Alan Grainger,Lee Hannah,Lesley Hughes,Brian Huntley,Albert S. van Jaarsveld,Guy F. Midgley,Lera Miles,Lera Miles,Miguel A. Ortega-Huerta,A. Townsend Peterson,Oliver L. Phillips,Stephen E. Williams +20 more
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Estimates of extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.Abstract:
Climate change over the past approximately 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction ( approximately 18%) than mid-range ( approximately 24%) and maximum-change ( approximately 35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.read more
Citations
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Ecosystem effects of ocean acidification in times of ocean warming: a physiologist’s view
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors build on the view that development of a cause and effect understanding is required beyond empirical observations, for a more accurate projection of ecosystem effects and for quantitative scenarios, and identify the mechanisms through which temperature and CO2-related ocean physicochemistry affect organism fitness, survival and success.
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Assessing species' vulnerability to climate change
Michela Pacifici,Michela Pacifici,Wendy Foden,Wendy Foden,Piero Visconti,Piero Visconti,James E. M. Watson,James E. M. Watson,James E. M. Watson,Stuart H. M. Butchart,Stuart H. M. Butchart,Kit M. Kovacs,Kit M. Kovacs,Brett R. Scheffers,Brett R. Scheffers,David G. Hole,David G. Hole,Tara G. Martin,Tara G. Martin,Tara G. Martin,H. Resit Akçakaya,H. Resit Akçakaya,Richard T. Corlett,Richard T. Corlett,Brian Huntley,Brian Huntley,David Bickford,David Bickford,Jamie Carr,Ary A. Hoffmann,Ary A. Hoffmann,Guy F. Midgley,Guy F. Midgley,Paul Pearce-Kelly,Paul Pearce-Kelly,Richard G. Pearson,Richard G. Pearson,Stephen E. Williams,Stephen E. Williams,Stephen G. Willis,Bruce E. Young,Bruce E. Young,Carlo Rondinini,Carlo Rondinini +43 more
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Collapse of the world's largest herbivores.
William J. Ripple,Thomas M. Newsome,Thomas M. Newsome,Christopher Wolf,Rodolfo Dirzo,Kristoffer T. Everatt,Mauro Galetti,Matt W. Hayward,Matt W. Hayward,Graham I. H. Kerley,Taal Levi,Peter A. Lindsey,Peter A. Lindsey,David W. Macdonald,Yadvinder Malhi,Luke E. Painter,Christopher J. Sandom,John Terborgh,Blaire Van Valkenburgh +18 more
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Journal ArticleDOI
Sensitivity of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate variability
Alistair W. R. Seddon,Marc Macias-Fauria,Peter R. Long,David Benz,Katherine J. Willis,Katherine J. Willis,Katherine J. Willis +6 more
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Thermal Stress and Coral Cover as Drivers of Coral Disease Outbreaks
John F. Bruno,Elizabeth R. Selig,Kenneth S. Casey,Cathie A. Page,Bette L. Willis,C. Drew Harvell,Hugh Sweatman,Amy Melendy +7 more
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