Extinction risk from climate change
Chris D. Thomas,Alison Cameron,Rhys E. Green,Rhys E. Green,Michel Bakkenes,Linda J. Beaumont,Yvonne C. Collingham,Barend F.N. Erasmus,Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira,Alan Grainger,Lee Hannah,Lesley Hughes,Brian Huntley,Albert S. van Jaarsveld,Guy F. Midgley,Lera Miles,Lera Miles,Miguel A. Ortega-Huerta,A. Townsend Peterson,Oliver L. Phillips,Stephen E. Williams +20 more
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TLDR
Estimates of extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.Abstract:
Climate change over the past approximately 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction ( approximately 18%) than mid-range ( approximately 24%) and maximum-change ( approximately 35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.read more
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Climate envelope, life history traits and the resilience of birds facing global change
Frédéric Jiguet,Anne-Sophie Gadot,Romain Julliard,Stuart E. Newson,Stuart E. Newson,Denis Couvet +5 more
TL;DR: Testing whether 18 species-specific variables, related to the climate envelope, ecological envelope and life history, could predict recent population trends of 71 common breeding bird species in France found evidence that natal dispersal was a predictor of recent trends.
Journal ArticleDOI
Dispersal and species’ responses to climate change
Justin M. J. Travis,María del Mar Delgado,Greta Bocedi,Michel Baguette,Kamil A. Bartoń,Dries Bonte,Isabelle Boulangeat,Jenny A. Hodgson,Alexander Kubisch,Vincenzo Penteriani,Marjo Saastamoinen,Virginie M. Stevens,James M. Bullock +12 more
TL;DR: Evidence for direct and indirect influences that climate change may have on dispersal, some ecological and others evolutionary, is compiled across the fields of dispersal ecology and evolution, species distribution modelling and conservation biology.
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Evolution and molecular mechanisms of adaptive developmental plasticity.
TL;DR: This work focuses on recent advances and examples from morphological traits in animals to provide a broad overview of the evolution of developmental plasticity, as well as its relevance to adaptive evolution.
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Extreme heat reduces and shifts United States premium wine production in the 21st century
TL;DR: It is estimated that potential premium winegrape production area in the conterminous United States could decline by up to 81% by the late 21st century using a high-resolution regional climate model forced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emission Scenarios A2 greenhouse gas emission scenario.
Journal ArticleDOI
Odonata enter the biodiversity crisis debate: The first global assessment of an insect group
Viola Clausnitzer,Vincent J. Kalkman,Mala Ram,Ben Collen,Jonathan E. M. Baillie,Matjaž Bedjanič,William Darwall,Klaas-Douwe B. Dijkstra,Rory A. Dow,John H. Hawking,Haruki Karube,Elena I. Malikova,Dennis R. Paulson,Kai Schütte,Frank Suhling,Reagan Joseph T. Villanueva,Natalia Von Ellenrieder,Keith D.P. Wilson +17 more
TL;DR: The first global assessment of an insect order (Odonata) provides new context to the ongoing discussion of current biodiversity loss and finds that one in 10 species of dragonflies and damselflies is threatened with extinction.
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