Extinction risk from climate change
Chris D. Thomas,Alison Cameron,Rhys E. Green,Rhys E. Green,Michel Bakkenes,Linda J. Beaumont,Yvonne C. Collingham,Barend F.N. Erasmus,Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira,Alan Grainger,Lee Hannah,Lesley Hughes,Brian Huntley,Albert S. van Jaarsveld,Guy F. Midgley,Lera Miles,Lera Miles,Miguel A. Ortega-Huerta,A. Townsend Peterson,Oliver L. Phillips,Stephen E. Williams +20 more
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Estimates of extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.Abstract:
Climate change over the past approximately 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction ( approximately 18%) than mid-range ( approximately 24%) and maximum-change ( approximately 35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.read more
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Effects of environmental change on wildlife health
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Rates of projected climate change dramatically exceed past rates of climatic niche evolution among vertebrate species
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Some like it hot: the influence and implications of climate change on coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei) and coffee production in East Africa.
Juliana Jaramillo,Juliana Jaramillo,Eric Muchugu,Fernando E. Vega,Aaron P. Davis,Christian Borgemeister,Adenirin Chabi-Olaye +6 more
TL;DR: It is suggested that the best way to adapt to a rise of temperatures in coffee plantations could be via the introduction of shade trees in sun grown plantations as well as through the development of an adaptation strategy package for climate change on coffee production.
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Do geographic distribution, niche property and life form explain plants' vulnerability to global change?
Olivier Broennimann,Wilfried Thuiller,Greg Hughes,Guy F. Midgley,J. M. Robert. Alkemade,Antoine Guisan +5 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors modeled the future distribution in 2050 of 975 endemic plant species in southern Africa distributed among seven life forms, including new methodological insights improving the accuracy and ecological realism of predictions of global changes studies by using only endemic species as a way to capture the full realized niche of species, considering the direct impact of human pressure on landscape and biodiversity jointly with climate, and taking species' migration into account.
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References
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